• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident analysis model

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Analysis of Accidents Causes in an Auto-Glass Manufacturing Company using the Comprehensive Human Error Analysis Model (통합적 휴먼에러 분석 모델을 이용한 자동차 유리공장의 사고 원인 분석)

  • Lim, Hyeon-Kyo;Lee, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.90-95
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    • 2012
  • To prevent similar accidents with the basis of industrial accidents already occurred in industrial plants, it would be possible only after true causes are grasped. Unfortunately, however, most accident investigation carried out with the basis of legal regulation failed to grasp them so that similar accidents have been repeated without cease. This research aimed to find out differences between results from conventional accident investigation and those from human error analysis, and to draw out effective and practical counter-plans against industrial accidents occurred repeatedly in an autoglass manufacturing company. As for analysis, about 110 accident cases that occurred for last 7 years were collected, and by adopting the Comprehensive Human Error Analysis Technique developed by the previous researchers, not direct causes but basic fundamental causes that might induce workers to human errors were sought. In consequence, the result showed that facility factors or environmental factors such as improper layout, mistakes in engineering design, and malfunction of interlock system were authentic major accident causes as opposed to managerial factors such as personal carelessness or failure to wearing personal protective equipments, and/or improper work methods.

A Development of Models for Analyzing Traffic Accident Injury Severity for Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 안전성 향상을 위한 사고심각도 모형개발)

  • Ha, Oh-Keun;Hu, Ec;Won, Jai-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2008
  • As the interest in traffic safety has been increasing recently, social movement is being made to reduce the number of traffic accidents and the view on improving the mobility of the existing roads is being converted into on establishing traffic safety as a priority. The increase of traffic accidents related to an intersection in a state that traffic accidents are decreasing overall may suggests the necessity to investigate the specific causes. In addition, we have to consider them when establishing the measures against traffic accidents in a intersection by investigating and analyzing the influences and factors that may affect traffic accidents. To induce the accident severity model, we collected the factors that affect accidents and then applied the Poisson Regression Model among nonlinear regression analysis by verifying the distribution of variables. As a result of the analysis, it turned out that the volume of traffic on main roads, the right turn ratio on sub-roads, the number of ways out on sub-roads, the number of exclusive roads for a left turn, the signals for a right turn on main roads, and an intersect angle were the factors that affect the accident severity.

Analysis of Accident Characteristics and Development of Accident Models in the Signalized Intersections of Cheongju and Cheongwon (지방부 신호교차로 사고특성분석 및 모형개발 (청주.청원을 중심으로))

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Yoo, Doo-Seon;Yang, Jeong-Mo;Lee, Young-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2008
  • The purposes of this study are to analyze the characteristics and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the models(multiple linear, poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju and Cheongwon signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the accident characteristics of rural area were defined by factor. Second, 4 accident models which are all statistically significant were developed. Finally, such the variables as $X_2$ and $X_{11}$ were evaluated to be specific variables which reflect the characteristics of rural area.

Development of Accident Forecasting Models in Freeway Tunnels using Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (다중선형 회귀분석을 이용한 고속도로 터널구간의 교통사고 예측모형 개발)

  • Park, Ju-Hwan;Kim, Sang-Gu
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzed the characteristics of traffic accidents in all tunnels on nationwide freeways and selected some various independent variables related to accident occurrence in tunnels. The study aims to develop reliable accident forecasting models using the various dependent variables such as the number of accident (no.), no./km, and no./MVK. Finally, reliable multiple linear regression models were proposed in this paper. This study tested the validity verification of developed models through statistics such as $R^2$, F values, multicollinearity, residual analysis. The paper selected the accident forecasting models considering the characteristics of tunnel accidents and two models were finally proposed according to two groups of tunnel length. In the selected models, natural logarithm of ln(no./MVK) is used for the dependent variable and AADT, vertical slope, and tunnel hight are used for the independent variables. The reliability of two models was proved by the comparison analysis between field data and estimating data using RMSE and MAE. These models may be not only effective in evaluating tunnel safety under design and planning phases of tunnel but also useful to reduce traffic accidents in tunnels and to manage the traffic flow of tunnel.

Severe Accident Management Using PSA Event Tree Technology

  • Choi, Young;Jeong, Kwang Sub;Park, SooYong
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.50-56
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    • 2003
  • There are a lot of uncertainties in the severe accident phenomena and scenarios in nuclear power plants (NPPs) and one of the major issues for severe accident management is the reduction of these uncertainties. The severe accident management aid system using Probabilistic Safety Assessments (PSA) technology is developed for the management staff in order to reduce the uncertainties. The developed system includes the graphical display for plant and equipment status, previous research results by a knowledge-base technique, and the expected plant behavior using PSA. The plant model used in this paper is oriented to identify plant response and vulnerabilities via analyzing the quantified results, and to set up a framework for an accident management program based on these analysis results. Therefore the developed system may playa central role of information source for decision-making for severe accident management, and will be used as a training tool for severe accident management.

Safety Performance Models of Improvement Projects of Frequent Traffic Accident Locations (사고잦은곳 개선사업의 안전성과 모형)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Park, Gil-Su;Kim, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with the traffic accident according to the improvement projects of frequent accident locations. The objective is to analyze the impact of improvements on the accident reduction. In pursuing the above, the study gives the particular attentions to developing the models based on the data of 70 intersections improved. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, 4 multiple linear regression accident models(total, side right-angle, rear end and side stripe accident) which were statistically significant were developed. Second, total accidents reduction by sight-distance and turning traffic flow improvements, side right-angle by sight-distance, over-speed and lane operation, rear end by turning traffic flow, signal and lane operation, and side stripe by traffic impedance improvements were analyzed. Finally, the above 4 models were evaluated to be statically significant through the correlation analysis and pair-sample t-test.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Electrical Safety Speed-call Service Using Electrical Fire Statistics Analysis and Outcome Analysis Logic Model (전기화재 통계 및 성과 분석 모델을 이용한 전기안전 긴급출동 고충처리 서비스의 비용 편익 분석)

  • Jeon, Jeong Chay;Yoo, Jae-Geun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.11
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    • pp.1943-1947
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    • 2016
  • Korea Electrical Safety Cooperation(KESCO) have provided the electrical safety speed-call service from 2007 year. Purpose of the service is to reduce discomfort of electricity use and to prevent electrical accident like as electrical fire and shock accident by providing emergency treatment service on fault of the residential electrical facilities notified in the specific house like as a lower-income group and a social welfare facility. But efficiency and economic evaluation of the electrical safety speed-call service is impossible because analysis on the quantitative effect of the service is difficult. This paper presents cost-benefit analysis method and result of the electrical safety speed-call service. The presented cost-benefit analysis method has a two-step process: the first step is to measure quantitative electrical fire prevention effect of the service by using electrical accident statistics and developing outcome analysis logic model of the service effect, and the second step is to analysis cost-benefit(B/C)of the service by calculating quantitative benefit analysis on the measured quantitative electrical fire prevention effect. The results showed that cost-benefit(B/C)of the electrical safety speed-call service is over 4 after 2010 year.

Contribution of thermal-hydraulic validation tests to the standard design approval of SMART

  • Park, Hyun-Sik;Kwon, Tae-Soon;Moon, Sang-Ki;Cho, Seok;Euh, Dong-Jin;Yi, Sung-Jae
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.1537-1546
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    • 2017
  • Many thermal-hydraulic tests have been conducted at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute for verification of the SMART (System-integrated Modular Advanced ReacTor) design, the standard design approval of which was issued by the Korean regulatory body. In this paper, the contributions of these tests to the standard design approval of SMART are discussed. First, an integral effect test facility named VISTA-ITL (Experimental Verification by Integral Simulation of Transients and Accidents-Integral Test Loop) has been utilized to assess the TASS/SMR-S (Transient and Set-point Simulation/Small and Medium) safety analysis code and confirm its conservatism, to support standard design approval, and to construct a database for the SMART design optimization. In addition, many separate effect tests have been performed. The reactor internal flow test has been conducted using the SCOP (SMART COre flow distribution and Pressure drop test) facility to evaluate the reactor internal flow and pressure distributions. An ECC (Emergency Core Coolant) performance test has been carried out using the SWAT (SMART ECC Water Asymmetric Two-phase choking test) facility to evaluate the safety injection performance and to validate the thermal-hydraulic model used in the safety analysis code. The Freon CHF (Critical Heat Flux) test has been performed using the FTHEL (Freon Thermal Hydraulic Experimental Loop) facility to construct a database from the $5{\times}5$ rod bundle Freon CHF tests and to evaluate the DNBR (Departure from Nucleate Boiling Ratio) model in the safety analysis and core design codes. These test results were used for standard design approval of SMART to verify its design bases, design tools, and analysis methodology.

A study on the estimation of impact velocity of crashed vehicles in tunnel using computer simulation(PC-CRASH) (컴퓨터 시뮬레이션(PC-CRASH)을 이용한 터널 내 피추돌 차량의 충돌 속도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Chang-Pyoung;Choi, Hong-Ju
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2020
  • In a vehicle-to-vehicle accident, the impact posture, braking status, final stopping position, collision point and collision speed are important factors for accident reconstruction. In particular, the speed of collision is the most important issue. In this study, the collision speed and the final stopping position in the tunnel were estimated using PC-CRASH, a vehicle crash analysis program used for traffic accident analysis, and the final stopping position of the simulation and the final stopping position of the traffic accident report were compared. When the Pride speed was 0km/h or 30km/h and the Sorento speed was 100m/h, the simulation results and reports matched the final stopping positions and posture of the two vehicles. As a result of the simulation, it can be estimated that Pride was collided in an almost stationary state.

Study on the effect of flow blockage due to rod deformation in QUENCH experiment

  • Gao, Pengcheng;Zhang, Bin;Shan, Jianqiang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.3154-3165
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    • 2022
  • During a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) in the pressurized water reactor (PWR), there is a possibility that high temperature and internal pressure of the fuel rods lead to ballooning of the cladding, which causes a partial blockage of flow area in a subchannel. Such flow blockage would influence the core coolant flow, thus affecting the core heat transfer during a reflooding phase and subsequent severe accident. However, most of the system analysis codes simulate the accident process based on the assumed channel blockage ratio, resulting in the fact that the simulation results are not consistent with the actual situation. This paper integrates the developed core Fuel Rod Thermal-Mechanical Behavior analysis (FRTMB) module into the self-developed severe accident analysis code ISAA. At the same time, the existing flow blockage model is improved to make it possible to simulate the change of flow distribution due to fuel rod deformation. Finally, the ISAA-FRTMB is used to simulate the QUENCH-LOCA-0 experiment to verify the correctness and effectiveness of the improved flow blockage model, and then the effect of clad ballooning on core heat transfer and subsequent parts of core degradation is analyzed.