• 제목/요약/키워드: accident analysis model

검색결과 829건 처리시간 0.025초

GIS에 의한 댐 유역 수질오염사고 평가 (The Assessment of Water Pollution Accident on Dam Watershed using GIS)

  • 명광현;정종철
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.489-496
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    • 2011
  • The water pollution such as oil spill from stream and river because of car accidents have been frequent cases in the watershed of Dam. However we don't have any simulation methods about flow modeling on the watershed and stream tree. In this study aims to analyze water pollution accidents area on impact range for ANDONG-Dam. The focused watershed and the risk range of path analysis model was designed by GIS database. The frequency of transportation accidents which may occur from road accidents in the level of quantitative and qualitative analysis to map flow analysis using ArcHydro Model and Open Geospatial Consortium(OGC) API. and the path way from the accident point to the reservoir stayed on the path was simulated. The area of risk accessment index was displayed with cell and grid of dam area.

Modelling of CANDU NPP Reactor Regulating System using CATHENA

  • Cho, Cheon-Hwey;Kim, Hee-Cheol;Park, Chul-Jin;Lee, Sang-Yong;A.C.D. Wright
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1996년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(2)
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    • pp.579-585
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    • 1996
  • A CATHENA model for the reactor regulating system is developed and tested independently. A CATHENA plant model is created by combining this model with the reference CATHENA model which has been developed to analyze a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) for the Wolsong 2 generating station. This model is intended to provide a trip coverage analysis capability. The CATHENA reactor regulating system model includes the demand power routine. the light water zone control absorbers, mechanical control absorbers and adjusters. The CATHENA model is tested for steady state at 103% full power. A postulated accident transient (small LOCA) was also tested. The results show that the control routines in CATHENA were set up properly.

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An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

에이다 부스트를 활용한 건설현장 추락재해의 강도 예측과 영향요인 분석 (Analysis of Occupational Injury and Feature Importance of Fall Accidents on the Construction Sites using Adaboost)

  • 최재현;류한국
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제35권11호
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2019
  • The construction industry is the highest safety accident causing industry as 28.55% portion of all industries' accidents in Korea. In particular, falling is the highest accidents type composed of 60.16% among the construction field accidents. Therefore, we analyzed the factors of major disaster affecting the fall accident and then derived feature importances by considering various variables. We used data collected from Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency (KOSHA) for learning and predicting in the proposed model. We have an effort to predict the degree of occupational fall accidents by using the machine learning model, i.e., Adaboost, short for Adaptive Boosting. Adaboost is a machine learning meta-algorithm which can be used in conjunction with many other types of learning algorithms to improve performance. Decision trees were combined with AdaBoost in this model to predict and classify the degree of occupational fall accidents. HyOperpt was also used to optimize hyperparameters and to combine k-fold cross validation by hierarchy. We extracted and analyzed feature importances and affecting fall disaster by permutation technique. In this study, we verified the degree of fall accidents with predictive accuracy. The machine learning model was also confirmed to be applicable to the safety accident analysis in construction site. In the future, if the safety accident data is accumulated automatically in the network system using IoT(Internet of things) technology in real time in the construction site, it will be possible to analyze the factors and types of accidents according to the site conditions from the real time data.

화학사고 발생 시 피해예측 모델과 연계된 사업장의 실시간 비상대응 체계에 관한 연구 (The Research on the Real-time Emergency Response Plan for the Company based on Consequence Analysis for Chemical Accidents)

  • 하준호;이창준
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2024
  • The recent surge in the production and handling of hazardous materials in Korea necessitates developing and implementing robust emergency response plans. These plans are crucial in safeguarding the well-being of workers and residents in the event of an incident. The consequence analysis methodology outlined in the KOSHA guidelines provides a foundation for designing emergency response plans in the event of chemical accidents. However, the consequence analysis is evaluated based on assumed accident cases or worst-case scenarios. Consequently, the emergency response plan based on the consequence analysis may overestimate the damage area, complicating rescue efforts and unnecessarily increasing costs. More information and parameters become available after an accident, enabling more accurate consequence analysis. This implies that the results of consequence analysis based on this detailed information provide more realistic results than those based on assumed accidents. This study attempts to optimize the resource allocation and cost-effectiveness of emergency response plans for chemical accidents. Existing procedures and manuals are revised to elucidate the proposed model and conduct real-time consequence analysis. The existing emergency response plan is compared to verify the proposed model's efficacy. The obtained results indicate that the proposed model can exhibit better performance.

안전분위기 안전사고의 관계 및 인적요인과 물적 요인의 상호작용효과 (The relationship between safety climate and accidents, and personal physical factors interactional effect)

  • 안관영
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2006
  • Since Zohar(1980) emphasized the influence of social, organizational, and psychological context in occupational safety and health study, the research in this area tends to be emphasizing the influences of personal and physical interaction. With this research trend, this paper is to examine the relationship between safety climate model and safety accident, and the interactional or moderating effect of personal and physical factor on the above relationship. Author conducted a survey to 292 manufacturing workers in construction industry, and the chief results of statistical analysis are as follows 1) management involvement, safety education, precaution activities, and safety system have negative effects on safety accident, 2) a-type personality has interactional effect on safety accident with communication, precaution activities, and safety system. 3) physical job load has interactional effect on safety accident with precaution activities, and safety system.

안전분위기-안전사고의 관계 및 인적요인과 물적요인의 상호작용효과 (The relationship between safety climate and accidents, and personal-physical factors' interactional effect)

  • 안관영
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2006년도 추계공동학술대회
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2006
  • Since Zohar(1980) emphasized the influence of social, organizational, and psychological context in occupational safety and health study, the research in this area tends to be emphasizing the influences of personal and physical interaction. With this research trend, this paper is to examine the relationship between safety climate model and safety accident, and the interactional or moderating effect of personal and physical factor on the above relationship. Author conducted a survey to 292 manufacturing workers in construction industry, and the chief results of statistical analysis are as follows : 1) management involvement, safety education, precaution activities, and safety system have negative effects on safety accident, 2) a-type personality has interactional effect on safety accident with communication, precaution activities, and safety system. 3) physical job load has interactional effect on safety accident with precaution activities, and safety system.

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사고유형에 따른 교통사고 심각도 모형 개발 (Developing the Traffic Accident Severity Models by Accident Type)

  • 김경환;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.118-123
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    • 2011
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of the arterial link sections. The purpose is to comparatively analyze the characteristics and models by accident type using the data of 24 arterial links in Cheongju. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to modeling such the accidents as the side-right-angle collision, rear-end collision and side-swipe collision. The main results are the followings. First, six accident models are developed, which are all analyzed to be statistically significant. Second, the models are comparatively evaluated using the common and specific variables by accident type.

바지선 구조변경이 계류력 변화와 안정성에 미치는 영향 (Changes of Mooring Force due to Structural Modification of a Barge Ship)

  • 박정홍;김광훈;문병영;장택수
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2011
  • Structural modifications of a ship may cause a fatal accident such as sinking and wrecking of ship. Especially, barge ship can be easily reconstructed to load more bulk cargo. In this study, for a real accident case, change of mooring force due to structural modification was analyzed to evaluate accident risk. A two dimensional dynamic model for the barge ship was constructed to compute mooring forces with related to floating motion. The equation of motion was established in Matlab code and buoyancy was calculated by using direct integration of submerged volume. The results showed that wind force, current force, and mooring force after rebuilding was approximately 4.3 kN, 14 kN, 1,561 kN respectively. The maximum force of mooring force according to the length of mooring cable were 1,614 kN at 30 m of mooring cable. Thus, an arbitrary modification of ship lead instability and unreliable result so that illegal rebuilding of ship should be avoided.

건설사고 예방을 위한 근로자의 불안전한 행동과 휴먼에러와의 관계 분석 (An Analysis of Relationship between Unsafe Acts and Human Errors of Workers for Construction Accident Prevention)

  • 민광호;차용운;한상원;현창택
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2019
  • Construction industry is becoming more advanced, but safety accidents are not decreasing and unsafe act (UA) and human errors (HE) are the main causes of safety accidents. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the relationships between unsafe acts and human errors for construction accident prevents. Specifically, the Correlation Analysis is used to quantify 24 combinations of the relationship between the UA and HE. Then, the Kano Model, and Timko Satisfied Coefficient was utilized to find 6 combinations for construction accident prevention plans. As the result of Timko Satisfied Coefficient, an interview was conducted with three safety managers and 6 safety prevention plan is proposed. Through these results, it is expected that the combination of 24 accidents will be basic data of safety management. Especially, the proposed safety prevention plans considering the characteristics of 6 combinations with high correlation can contribute to prevention of safety accidents at the construction site.