• Title/Summary/Keyword: absolute model accuracy

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Evaluating Variable Selection Techniques for Multivariate Linear Regression (다중선형회귀모형에서의 변수선택기법 평가)

  • Ryu, Nahyeon;Kim, Hyungseok;Kang, Pilsung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.314-326
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of variable selection techniques is to select a subset of relevant variables for a particular learning algorithm in order to improve the accuracy of prediction model and improve the efficiency of the model. We conduct an empirical analysis to evaluate and compare seven well-known variable selection techniques for multiple linear regression model, which is one of the most commonly used regression model in practice. The variable selection techniques we apply are forward selection, backward elimination, stepwise selection, genetic algorithm (GA), ridge regression, lasso (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) and elastic net. Based on the experiment with 49 regression data sets, it is found that GA resulted in the lowest error rates while lasso most significantly reduces the number of variables. In terms of computational efficiency, forward/backward elimination and lasso requires less time than the other techniques.

Improving Forecast Accuracy of Wind Speed Using Wavelet Transform and Neural Networks

  • Ramesh Babu, N.;Arulmozhivarman, P.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.559-564
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    • 2013
  • In this paper a new hybrid forecast method composed of wavelet transform and neural network is proposed to forecast the wind speed more accurately. In the field of wind energy research, accurate forecast of wind speed is a challenging task. This will influence the power system scheduling and the dynamic control of wind turbine. The wind data used here is measured at 15 minute time intervals. The performance is evaluated based on the metrics, namely, mean square error, mean absolute error, sum squared error of the proposed model and compared with the back propagation model. Simulation studies are carried out and it is reported that the proposed model outperforms the compared model based on the metrics used and conclusions were drawn appropriately.

Comparison Analysis of Machine Learning for Concrete Crack Depths Prediction Using Thermal Image and Environmental Parameters (열화상 이미지와 환경변수를 이용한 콘크리트 균열 깊이 예측 머신 러닝 분석)

  • Kim, Jihyung;Jang, Arum;Park, Min Jae;Ju, Young K.
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2021
  • This study presents the estimation of crack depth by analyzing temperatures extracted from thermal images and environmental parameters such as air temperature, air humidity, illumination. The statistics of all acquired features and the correlation coefficient among thermal images and environmental parameters are presented. The concrete crack depths were predicted by four different machine learning models: Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and AdaBoost (AB). The machine learning algorithms are validated by the coefficient of determination, accuracy, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The AB model had a great performance among the four models due to the non-linearity of features and weak learner aggregation with weights on misclassified data. The maximum depth 11 of the base estimator in the AB model is efficient with high performance with 97.6% of accuracy and 0.07% of MAPE. Feature importances, permutation importance, and partial dependence are analyzed in the AB model. The results show that the marginal effect of air humidity, crack depth, and crack temperature in order is higher than that of the others.

The Classification Scheme of ADHD for children based on the CNN Model (CNN 모델 기반의 소아 ADHD 분류 기법)

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Park, Seung-Min;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.809-814
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    • 2022
  • ADHD is a disorder showing inattentiveness and hyperactivity. Since symptoms diagnosed in childhood continue to the adulthood, it is important to diagnose ADHD and start treatments in early stages. However, it has the problems to acquire enough and accurate data for the diagnosis because the mental state of children is immature using the self-diagnosis method or the computerized test. In this paper, we present the classification method based on the CNN model and execute experiment using the EEG data to improve the objectiveness and the accuracy of ADHD diagnosis. For the experiment, we build the 3D convolutional networks model and exploit the 5-folds cross validation method. The result shows the 97% accuracy on average.

Model for assessing the contamination of agricultural plants by accidentally released tritium (삼중수소 사고유출로 인한 농작물 오염 평가 모델)

  • Keum, Dong-Kwon;Lee, Han-Soo;Kang, Hee-Suk;Choi, Young-Ho;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2005
  • A dynamic compartment model was developed to appraise the level of the contamination of agricultural plants by accidentally released tritium from nuclear facility. The model consists of a set of inter-connected compartments representing atmosphere, soil and plant. In the model three categories of plant are considered: leafy vegetables, grain plants and tuber plants, of which each is modeled separately to account for the different transport pathways of tritium. The predictive accuracy of the model was tested through the analysis of the tritium exposure experiments for rice-plants. The predicted TFWT(tissue free water tritium) concentration of the rice ear at harvest was greatly affected by the absolute humidity of air, the ratio of root uptake, and the rate of rainfall, while its OBT(organically bound tritium) concentration the stowing period of the ear, the absolute humidity of air and the content of hydrogen in the organic phase. There was a good agreement between the model prediction and the experimental results lot the OBT concentration of the ear.

Applicability Analysis of Measurement Data Classification and Spatial Interpolation to Improve IUGIM Accuracy (지하공간통합지도의 정확도 향상을 위한 계측 데이터 분류 및 공간 보간 기법 적용성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Yun;Song, Ki-Il;Kang, Kyung-Nam;Kim, Wooram;An, Joon-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.10
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the interest in integrated underground geospatial information mapping (IUGIM) to ensure the safety of underground spaces and facilities has been increasing. Because IUGIM is used in the fields of underground space development and underground safety management, the up-to-dateness and accuracy of information are critical. In this study, IUGIM and field data were classified, and the accuracy of IUGIM was improved by spatial interpolation. A spatial interpolation technique was used to process borehole data in IUGIM, and a quantitative evaluation was performed with mean absolute error and root mean square error through the cross-validation of seven interpolation results according to the technique and model. From the cross-validation results, accuracy decreased in the order of nonuniform rational B-spline, Kriging, and inverse distance weighting. In the case of Kriging, the accuracy difference according to the variogram model was insignificant, and Kriging using the spherical variogram exhibited the best accuracy.

A Study on the Analysis of Application of Non-metric Camera to Accident Sites (비측량용 사진기를 이용한 사고현장 적용 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Yeu, Bock Mo;Kim, In Sup;Cho, Gi Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 1991
  • This study is about the analysis of the application of non-metric camera to accident sites and aims to present an efficient, an economical and an accurate method of processing accident sites. This was accomplished by observation and accuracy analysis of an experimental model. It can be concluded that by applying the 3-D coordinate system and the bundle adjustment with additional parameters to non-metric cameras, it is possible to achieve an accuracy level of positional values which is similar to that achieved by conventional control surveying and by metric cameras. It was also found that the accuracy of absolute coordinates approached towards the accuracy of metric cameras with the increase of the film size and with the increase of the focal length of the non-metric camera.

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Omni-directional Visual-LiDAR SLAM for Multi-Camera System (다중 카메라 시스템을 위한 전방위 Visual-LiDAR SLAM)

  • Javed, Zeeshan;Kim, Gon-Woo
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2022
  • Due to the limited field of view of the pinhole camera, there is a lack of stability and accuracy in camera pose estimation applications such as visual SLAM. Nowadays, multiple-camera setups and large field of cameras are used to solve such issues. However, a multiple-camera system increases the computation complexity of the algorithm. Therefore, in multiple camera-assisted visual simultaneous localization and mapping (vSLAM) the multi-view tracking algorithm is proposed that can be used to balance the budget of the features in tracking and local mapping. The proposed algorithm is based on PanoSLAM architecture with a panoramic camera model. To avoid the scale issue 3D LiDAR is fused with omnidirectional camera setup. The depth is directly estimated from 3D LiDAR and the remaining features are triangulated from pose information. To validate the method, we collected a dataset from the outdoor environment and performed extensive experiments. The accuracy was measured by the absolute trajectory error which shows comparable robustness in various environments.

FLORA: Fuzzy Logic - Objective Risk Analysis for Intrusion Detection and Prevention

  • Alwi M Bamhdi
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2023
  • The widespread use of Cloud Computing, Internet of Things (IoT), and social media in the Information Communication Technology (ICT) field has resulted in continuous and unavoidable cyber-attacks on users and critical infrastructures worldwide. Traditional security measures such as firewalls and encryption systems are not effective in countering these sophisticated cyber-attacks. Therefore, Intrusion Detection and Prevention Systems (IDPS) are necessary to reduce the risk to an absolute minimum. Although IDPSs can detect various types of cyber-attacks with high accuracy, their performance is limited by a high false alarm rate. This study proposes a new technique called Fuzzy Logic - Objective Risk Analysis (FLORA) that can significantly reduce false positive alarm rates and maintain a high level of security against serious cyber-attacks. The FLORA model has a high fuzzy accuracy rate of 90.11% and can predict vulnerabilities with a high level of certainty. It also has a mechanism for monitoring and recording digital forensic evidence which can be used in legal prosecution proceedings in different jurisdictions.

Solar Energy Prediction Based on Artificial neural network Using Weather Data (태양광 에너지 예측을 위한 기상 데이터 기반의 인공 신경망 모델 구현)

  • Jung, Wonseok;Jeong, Young-Hwa;Park, Moon-Ghu;Seo, Jeongwook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.457-459
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    • 2018
  • Solar power generation system is a energy generation technology that produces electricity from solar power, and it is growing fastest among renewable energy technologies. It is of utmost importance that the solar power system supply energy to the load stably. However, due to unstable energy production due to weather and weather conditions, accurate prediction of energy production is needed. In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network(ANN) that predicts solar energy using 15 kinds of meteorological data such as precipitation, long and short wave radiation averages and temperature is implemented and its performance is evaluated. The ANN is constructed by adjusting hidden parameters and parameters such as penalty for preventing overfitting. In order to verify the accuracy and validity of the prediction model, we use Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as performance indices. The experimental results show that MAPE = 19.54 and MAE = 2155345.10776 when Hidden Layer $Sizes=^{\prime}16{\times}10^{\prime}$.

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