• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.397-404
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• 2022

Accurate prediction of the undrained shaft resistance is essential for robust design of bored piles in undrained condition. The undrained shaft resistance is calculated using the undrained adhesion factor multiplied by the undrained cohesion of the soil. However, the available correlations to predict the undrained adhesion factor have been developed using simple regression techniques and the accuracy of these correlations has not been thoroughly assessed in previous studies. The lack of the assessment of these correlations made it difficult for geotechnical engineers to select the most accurate correlation in routine designs. Furthermore, limited attempts have been made in previous studies to use advanced data mining techniques to develop simple and accurate correlation to predict the undrained adhesion factor. This research, therefore, has been conducted to fill these gaps in knowledge by developing novel and robust correlation to predict the undrained adhesion factor. The development of the new correlation has been conducted using the multi-objective evolutionary polynomial regression analysis. The new correlation outperformed the available empirical correlations, where the new correlation scored lower mean absolute error, mean square error, root mean square error and standard deviation of measured to predicted adhesion factor, and higher mean, a20-index and coefficient of correlation. The correlation also successfully showed the influence of the undrained cohesion and the effective stress on the adhesion factor. Hence, the new correlation enhances the design accuracy and can be used by practitioner geotechnical engineers to ensure optimized designs of bored piles in undrained conditions.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제39권6호
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• pp.525-531
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• 2021

도시집중화 현상으로 지하공간의 중요성과 활용이 증가하고 있으며 이에 따라 지하공간정보가 구축되고 있다. 지하공간정보는 국민의 생명과 안전에 직접 영향을 미치는 중요한 국가공간정보기반인프라이기 때문에 구축에 사용되는 지하공간 탐사기기의 정확도와 성능을 별도로 관리하고 있다. 이를 위해 공간정보관련 법령에 의거 국가에서는 지하시설물 측량기기 성능검사를 실시하고 있다. 현재 국내 국가공인 지하시설물 탐사장비 검사장으로는 국토지리정보원이 위탁운영을 허가한 성균관대학교 수원캠퍼스에 위치한 지하시설물 탐사장비 검사장이 유일하다. 하지만 지금의 성능검사장은 주로 금속관로를 대상으로 하고 있으며 절대위치측량 검사체계가 없으며 또한 지형측량에 따른 관로의 절대높이값을 확인할 수 있는 체계가 아니다. 이에 본 연구에서는 국내의 지형 및 지질조건과 매설된 지하시설물의 다양한 재료, 형태 등을 고려한 지하공간탐사기기 성능검사 테스트베드 모델을 제시한다. 본 연구를 통해 제시하는 지하정보정밀탐사 실증 테스트베드는 기존의 국내의 시험현장이 지닌 한계를 보완하고 최신 장비 성능 검증까지 가능한 시험장소로서의 활용 방안을 제시하였다.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제23권9호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2023

Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제23권8호
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• pp.210-216
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• 2023

Demand prediction is an essential component of any business or supply chain. Large retailers need to keep track of tens of millions of items flows each day to ensure smooth operations and strong margins. The demand prediction is in the epicenter of this planning tornado. For business processes in retail companies that deal with a variety of products with short shelf life and foodstuffs, forecast accuracy is of the utmost importance due to the shifting demand pattern, which is impacted by an environment of dynamic and fast response. All sectors strive to produce the ideal quantity of goods at the ideal time, but for retailers, this issue is especially crucial as they also need to effectively manage perishable inventories. In light of this, this research aims to show how Machine Learning approaches can help with demand forecasting in retail and future sales predictions. This will be done in two steps. One by using historic data and another by using open data of weather conditions, fuel, Consumer Price Index (CPI), holidays, any specific events in that area etc. Several machine learning algorithms were applied and compared using the r-squared and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) assessment metrics. The suggested method improves the effectiveness and quality of feature selection while using a small number of well-chosen features to increase demand prediction accuracy. The model is tested with a one-year weekly dataset after being trained with a two-year weekly dataset. The results show that the suggested expanded feature selection approach provides a very good MAPE range, a very respectable and encouraging value for anticipating retail demand in retail systems.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제28권7호
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• pp.11-18
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• 2023

본 논문에서는 딥러닝 시계열 예측 모형을 평가한다. 최근 연구에 따르면 이 모형은 ARIMA와 같은 기존 예측 모형보다 성능이 우수하다고 결론짓는다. 그 중 히든 레이어에 이전 정보를 저장하는 순환 신경망이 이를 위한 예측 모형 중 하나이다. 네트워크의 그래디언트 소실 문제를 해결하기 위해 LSTM은 데이터 흐름의 반대 방향으로 숨겨진 레이어가 추가되는 BI-LSTM과 함께 순환 신경망 내부의 작은 메모리로 사용된다. 본 논문은 서울의 2018년 1월 1일부터 2022년도 1월 1일까지의 NO2 자료에 대해 Informer의 성능을 LSTM, BI-LSTM, Transformer와 비교하였다. 이에 실제 값과 예측값 사이의 평균 제곱근 오차와 평균 절대 오차를 구하였다. 그 결과 Test 데이터(2021.09.01.~2022.01.01.)에 대해 Informer는 다른 방법에 비해 가장 높은 예측 정확도 (가장 낮은 예측 오차: 평균 제곱근 오차: 0.0167, 평균 절대 오차: 0.0138)를 보여 타 방법에 비해 그 우수성을 입증하였다. Informer는 당초 취지와 부합되게 다른 방법들이 갖고 있는 장기 시계열 예측에 있어서의 문제점을 개선하는 결과를 나타내고 있다.

• Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.67-79
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• 2016

The forecasting of air pollution is an important and popular topic in environmental engineering. Due to health impacts caused by unacceptable particulate matter (PM) levels, it has become one of the greatest concerns in metropolitan cities like Karaj City in Iran. In this study, the concentration of $PM_{2.5}$ was predicted by applying a multilayer percepteron (MLP) neural network, a radial basis function (RBF) neural network and a Markov chain model. Two months of hourly data including temperature, NO, $NO_2$, $NO_x$, CO, $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ were used as inputs to the artificial neural networks. From 1,488 data, 1,300 of data was used to train the models and the rest of the data were applied to test the models. The results of using artificial neural networks indicated that the models performed well in predicting $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations. The application of a Markov chain described the probable occurrences of unhealthy hours. The MLP neural network with two hidden layers including 19 neurons in the first layer and 16 neurons in the second layer provided the best results. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$), Index of Agreement (IA) and Efficiency (E) between the observed and the predicted data using an MLP neural network were 0.92, 0.93 and 0.981, respectively. In the MLP neural network, the MBE was 0.0546 which indicates the adequacy of the model. In the RBF neural network, increasing the number of neurons to 1,488 caused the RMSE to decline from 7.88 to 0.00 and caused $R^2$ to reach 0.93. In the Markov chain model the absolute error was 0.014 which indicated an acceptable accuracy and precision. We concluded the probability of occurrence state duration and transition of $PM_{2.5}$ pollution is predictable using a Markov chain method.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.56-62
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• 2017

최근 3차원 공간정보에 대한 수요가 증가하면서 국토교통부, 서울시, 다음 카카오 등 여러 지자체 및 관련 업계에서 서비스를 구축하여 제공하고 있다. 이러한 지도 기반의 3차원 공간정보서비스에서 위치정확도는 특정 업무의 활용 가능성을 결정짓는 중요한 요소이다. 기존의 BIM 데이터는 상대좌표값으로 작성되어 절대좌표값을 갖는 GIS 데이터와 연계하는데 어려움이 있었다. 따라서 본 연구는 BIM/GIS 플랫폼 기반 모델링 데이터 구축을 통해 실내외 3차원 공간정보 간의 위치보정 방안을 제시하였다. 이를 위하여 플랫폼 테스트베드 대상을 선정한 후 데이터 구축 프로세스를 총 3단계로 진행하고, 실내공간정보를 다루는 BIM 모델과 실감형 가시화를 위한 정사영상 기반 3차원 텍스처링 모델 간 위치 불일치의 문제점을 파악하여 위치보정 알고리즘을 설계하였다. 단일 건물을 대상으로 상대좌표 기반의 BIM 모델 데이터를 절대좌표 기반의 텍스처링 데이터와 연계하기 위해 절대좌표 변환 알고리즘을 구현하여 건물의 절대위치를 1차 계산하고 BIM/GIS 플랫폼 지도상에서 텍스처링 데이터와 2차 매핑하여 3차원 모델 데이터의 최종 위치를 보정하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제44권4호
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• pp.12-22
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• 2021

This article suggests the machine learning model, i.e., classifier, for predicting the production quality of free-machining 303-series stainless steel(STS303) small rolling wire rods according to the operating condition of the manufacturing process. For the development of the classifier, manufacturing data for 37 operating variables were collected from the manufacturing execution system(MES) of Company S, and the 12 types of derived variables were generated based on literature review and interviews with field experts. This research was performed with data preprocessing, exploratory data analysis, feature selection, machine learning modeling, and the evaluation of alternative models. In the preprocessing stage, missing values and outliers are removed, and oversampling using SMOTE(Synthetic oversampling technique) to resolve data imbalance. Features are selected by variable importance of LASSO(Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression, extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost), and random forest models. Finally, logistic regression, support vector machine(SVM), random forest, and XGBoost are developed as a classifier to predict the adequate or defective products with new operating conditions. The optimal hyper-parameters for each model are investigated by the grid search and random search methods based on k-fold cross-validation. As a result of the experiment, XGBoost showed relatively high predictive performance compared to other models with an accuracy of 0.9929, specificity of 0.9372, F₁-score of 0.9963, and logarithmic loss of 0.0209. The classifier developed in this study is expected to improve productivity by enabling effective management of the manufacturing process for the STS303 small rolling wire rods.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제39권6호
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• pp.351-361
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• 2021

화재는 막대한 재산과 인명피해를 초래하고 있으며 크고 작은 화재가 지속해서 발생하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 화재 유형별로 화재에 영향을 미치는 각종 위험요인을 예측하고자 한다. 전국에서 화재 발생 건수가 가장 많은 경기도를 대상으로 화재발생위험요인 예측분석을 실시하였다. 또한, 머신러닝 방법인 SVM, RF, GBRT를 활용하여 각 모형의 정확성을 MAE,RMSE를 통해 적합도가 높은 모형을 제시하였으며 이를 토대로 경기도 화재발생요인 예측분석을 실시하였다. 머신러닝 방법 3가지를 비교분석한 결과 RF가 MAE 1.517, RMSE 1.820으로 나타났으며 MAE, RMSE 검증데이터 및 시험데이터의 경우 MAE값 0.024, RMSE값 0.12의 차이로 매우 유사하게 나타나 가장 우수한 예측력으로 나타났다. RF기법을 적용하여 분석한 결과 공통적으로 발화장소가 화재발생에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 위험요인으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 화재발생에 영향을 주는 요인들의 위험순서를 파악하여 화재안전관리의 유용한 자료로 활용될 것으로 예상된다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.589-597
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• 2019

The purpose of this study was improve accuracy the IOPs inversion model(IOPs-IM) developed in 2016 for phycocyanin(PC) concentration estimation in the Nakdong River. Additionally, two optimum models were developed and evaluated with 2017 measurement field spectral data for the Geum River and the Yeongsan River. The used measurement data for IOPs-IM analyzation was randomly classified as training and verification materials at the ratio of 2:1 in all data sets. Using the training data set from 2015-2017, accuracy results of the IOPs-IM generally improved for the Nakdong River. The RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) decreased by 14 % compared to 2016. For the GeumRiver, the results of the IOPs-IM were suitable, except for some point results in 2016. Results of the IOPs-IM in the Yeongsan River followed the overall 1:1 line and MAE(Mean Absolute Error) was lower than other rivers. But the RMSE and MAE values were higher. As a result of applying the validation data to the IOPs-IM, the accuracy of the Nakdong River was reduced to RMSE 17.7 % and MRE 16.4 %, respectively compared with 2016. However, the MRE(Mean Relative Error) was estimated to be higher by 400 % in the Geum River, and the RMSE was more than 100 mg/㎥ of the Yeongsan River. Therefore, it is necessary to get the continuously data with various sections of each river for obtain objective and reliable results and the models should be improved.