• Title/Summary/Keyword: a error model

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Non-point Source Pollution Modeling Using AnnAGNPS Model for a Bushland Catchment (AnnAGNPS 모형을 이용한 관목림지의 비점오염 모의)

  • Choi Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2005
  • AnnAGNPS model was applied to a catchment mainly occupied with bushland for modeling non-point source pollution. Since the single event model cannot handle events longer than 24 hours duration, the event-based calibration was carried out using the continuous mode. As event flows affect sediment and nutrient generation and transport, the calibration of the model was performed in three steps: Hydrologic, Sediment and Nutrient calibrations. The results from hydrologic calibration for the catchment indicate a good prediction of the model with average ARE(Absolute Relative Error) of $24.6\%$ fur the runoff volume and $12\%$ for the peak flow. For the sediment calibration, the average ARE was $198.8\%$ indicating acceptable model performance for the sediment prediction. The predicted TN(Total Nitrogen) and TP(Total Phosphorus) were also found to be acceptable as the average ARE for TN and TP were $175.5\%\;and\;126.5\%$, respectively. The AnnAGNPS model was therefore approved to be appropriate to model non-point source pollution in bushland catchments. In general, the model was likely to result in underestimation for the larger events and overestimation fur the smaller events for the water quality predictions. It was also observed that the large errors in the hydrologic prediction also produced high errors in sediment and nutrient prediction. This was probably due to error propagation in which the error in the hydrologic prediction influenced the generation of error in the water quality prediction. Accurate hydrologic calibration should be hence obtained for a reliable water quality prediction.

SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INFLUENCES ON SOIL MOISTURE ESTIMATION

  • Kim, Gwang-seob
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2002
  • The effect of diurnal cycle, intermittent visit of observation satellite, sensor installation, partial coverage of remote sensing, heterogeneity of soil properties and precipitation to the soil moisture estimation error were analyzed to present the global sampling strategy of soil moisture. Three models, the theoretical soil moisture model, WGR model proposed Waymire of at. (1984) to generate rainfall, and Turning Band Method to generate two dimensional soil porosity, active soil depth and loss coefficient field were used to construct sufficient two-dimensional soil moisture data based on different scenarios. The sampling error is dominated by sampling interval and design scheme. The effect of heterogeneity of soil properties and rainfall to sampling error is smaller than that of temporal gap and spatial gap. Selecting a small sampling interval can dramatically reduce the sampling error generated by other factors such as heterogeneity of rainfall, soil properties, topography, and climatic conditions. If the annual mean of coverage portion is about 90%, the effect of partial coverage to sampling error can be disregarded. The water retention capacity of fields is very important in the sampling error. The smaller the water retention capacity of the field (small soil porosity and thin active soil depth), the greater the sampling error. These results indicate that the sampling error is very sensitive to water retention capacity. Block random installation gets more accurate data than random installation of soil moisture gages. The Walnut Gulch soil moisture data show that the diurnal variation of soil moisture causes sampling error between 1 and 4 % in daily estimation.

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Point-Based Simplification Using Moving-Least-Squrares (근사 함수를 이용한 Point-Based Simplification)

  • 조현철;배진석;김창헌
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.1312-1314
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a new simplification algorithm that simplifies reconstructed polygonal mesh from 3D point set considering an original point set. Previous method computes error using mesh information, but it makes to increase error of difference between an original and a simplified model by reason of implementation of simplification. Proposed method simplifies a reconstructed model using an original point data, we acquire a simplified model similar an original. We show several simplified results to demonstrate the usability of our methods.

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A Study on the Understanding and Errors of the Logarithmic Function in High School Students (고등학교 학생들의 로그함수에 대한 이해도 및 오류에 관한 연구)

  • 이경숙;김승동
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study was to examine high school second graders' understanding of the basic nature of logarithm, the major type of error they made about logarithmic function and the cause of such an error, and to seek ways to instruct it better. For that purpose, three research questions were posed: 1. Investigate how much high school students in their second year comprehend the nature of logarithm. 2. Analyze what type of error they make about logarithmic function. 3. Analyze the cause of their error according to the selected error models and how it could be taught more efficiently. The findings of this study were as below: First, the natural science students had a better understanding of the basic nature of logarithm than the academic students. What produced the widest gap between the two groups' understanding was applying the nature of logarithm to the given problems, and what caused the smallest gap was the definition of logarithm and the condition of base. Second, the academic students had a poorer understanding of the basic nature of logarithmic function graph and of applying the nature of logarithm to the given problems. Third, the natural science students didn't comprehend well the basic nature of logarithmic function graph, the nature of characteristics and mantissa. Fourth, for all the students from academic and natural science courses, the most common errors were caused by the poor understanding of theorem or nature of the [E4] model. Fifth, the academic students made more frequent errors due to the unfamiliar signs of the [El] model, the imperfect understanding of theorem or nature of the [E4] model, and the technical part of the [E6] model. Sixth, the natural science students made more frequent errors because of the improper problem interpretation of the [E2] model and the logically improper inference of the [E3] model.

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Estimation of the Hapcheon Dam Inflow Using HSPF Model (HSPF 모형을 이용한 합천댐 유입량 추정)

  • Cho, Hyun Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.5
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to calibrate and validate the HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran) model for estimating the runoff of the Hapcheon dam watershed. Spatial data, such as watershed, stream, land use, and a digital elevation map, were used as input data for the HSPF model. Observed runoff data from 2000 to 2016 in study watershed were used for calibration and validation. Hydrologic parameters for runoff calibration were selected based on the user's manual and references, and trial and error method was used for parameter calibration. The $R^2$, RMSE (root-mean-square error), RMAE (relative mean absolute error), and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient) were used to evaluate the model's performance. Calibration and validation results showed that annual mean runoff was within ${\pm}4%$ error. The model performance criteria for calibration and validation showed that $R^2$ was in the rang of 0.78 to 0.83, RMSE was 2.55 to 2.76 mm/day, RMAE was 0.46 to 0.48 mm/day, and NSE was 0.81 to 0.82 for daily runoff. The amount of inflow to Hapcheon Dam was calculated from the calibrated HSPF model and the result was compared with observed inflow, which was -0.9% error. As a result of analyzing the relation between inflow and storage capacity, it was found that as the inflow increases, the storage increases, and when the inflow decreases, the storage also decreases. As a result of correlation between inflow and storage, $R^2$ of the measured inflow and storage was 0.67, and the simulated inflow and storage was 0.61.

A Study on the Prediction of Daily Urban Water Demand with Multiple Regression Model (회귀모형에 의한 상수도 1일 급수량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 박성천;문병석;오창주;이병조
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.68-77
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this paper is to establish a method estimating the daily urban water demand using statistical analysis that is used for developing the efficient management and operation of the water supply facilities, and accurary of the model is verified by error rate and F-value. The data used in this study were the daily urban water use, the weather conditions such as temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, etc, and the day of The week. The case study was taken placed for the city of Namwon in Korea. The raw data used in this study were rearranged either by month or by season for analysis purpose, and the statistical analysis was applied to the data to obtain the regression model As a result of this study, the linear regression model was developed to estimate the daily urban water use with weather condition. The regression constant and coefficients of the model were determined for each month of a year. The accuracy of the model was within 3% of average error and within 11% of maximum error. The resulting model was found to he useful to the practical operation and management of the water supply facilities.

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Investigation of Sensor Models for Precise Geolocation of GOES-9 Images

  • Hur Dongseok;Lee Tae-Yoon;Kim Taejung
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.91-94
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    • 2005
  • A numerical formula that presents relationship between a point of a satellite image and its ground position is called a sensor model. For precise geolocation of satellite images, we need an error-free sensor model. However, the sensor model based on GOES ephemeris data has some error, in particular after Image Motion Compensation (IMC) mechanism has been turned off. To solve this problem, we investigate three sensor models: Collinearity model, Direct Linear Transform (DLT) model and Orbit-based model. We apply matching between GOES images and global coastline database and use successful results as control points. With control points we improve the initial image geolocation accuracy using the three models. We compare results from three sensor models that are applied to GOES-9 images. As a result, a suitable sensor model for precise geolocation of GOES-9 images is proposed.

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Design of the Estimator of Forward Kinematics Solution for a 6 DOF Motion Bed (6자유도 운동재현용 베드의 순기구학 추정기 설계)

  • 강지윤;김동환;이교일
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.483-487
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    • 1996
  • We consider the estimation of the position and orientation of 6 DOF motion bed (Stewart platform) from the measured cylinder length. The solution of forward kinematics is not solved yet as a useful realtime application tool because of the complity of the equation with multiple solutiple solutions. Hence we suggest an algorithm for the estimation of forward kinematics solution using Luenberger observer withnonlinear error correction term. The Luenberger observer withlinear model shows that the estimation error does not go to zero in steadystate due to the linearization error of the dynamic model. Hence the linear observer is modified using nonlinear measurement error equation and we prove thd practical stability of the estimation error dynamics of the proposed observer using lyapunov function.

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Short-term Electrical Load Forecasting Using Neuro-Fuzzy Model with Error Compensation

  • Wang, Bo-Hyeun
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a method to improve the accuracy of a short-term electrical load forecasting (STLF) system based on neuro-fuzzy models. The proposed method compensates load forecasts based on the error obtained during the previous prediction. The basic idea behind this approach is that the error of the current prediction is highly correlated with that of the previous prediction. This simple compensation scheme using error information drastically improves the performance of the STLF based on neuro-fuzzy models. The viability of the proposed method is demonstrated through the simulation studies performed on the load data collected by Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) in 1996 and 1997.

Design of Human-Error Detect Filter (휴먼에러의 검출 필터 설계)

  • Kim, Hwan-Seong;Kim, Seung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.121-123
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    • 2009
  • In previous research results, human error can be detected by using observation theory which assumed with step human failures, thus the detector has a limit to detect the human failures. In this paper, we propose a human error detect filter for given human failures. Various kind of human failures can be modeled, and from these models, an argumented human failure model can constructed. By using the argumented human failure model, the human error detect filter can be designed.

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