• Title/Summary/Keyword: a conditional probability

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A Study on the Gesture Recognition Based on the Particle Filter Using CONDENSATION Algorithm (CONDENSATION 알고리즘을 이용한 입자필터 기반 동작 인식 연구)

  • Lee, Yang-Weon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.584-591
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    • 2007
  • The recognition of human gestures in image sequences is an important and challenging problem that enables a host of human-computer interaction applications. This paper describes a gesture recognition algorithm based on the particle filters, namely CONDENSATION. The particle filter is more efficient than any other tracking algorithm because the tracking mechanism follows Bayesian estimation rule of conditional probability propagation. We used two models for the evaluation of particle filter and apply the MAILAB for the preprocessing of the image sequence. But we implement the particle filter using the C++ to get the high speed processing. In the experimental results, it is demonstrated that the proposed algorithm prove to be robust in the cluttered environment.

An Imputation for Nonresponses in the Survey on the Rural Living Indicators (농촌생활지표조사에서 무응답 대체 : 사례)

  • Cho, Young-Sook;Chun, Young-Min;Hwang, Dae-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2008
  • Survey on the rural living indicators was the statistic approved from National Statistical Office and the survey executed by rural resources development institute. This study was used the raw data of survey on the rural living indicators in 2005. After editing procedure for raw data, we were studied 1,582 households which is acquired through elimination of case included nonresponses, and imputed a nonresponses of 15 item selected from 146 item. The imputation methods and efficiency of imputation for simulation was adapted differently from type of data. For continuous data, we imputed the nonresponses with mean imputation, regression imputation, adjusted grey-based k-NN imputation(DU, DW, WU, WW) and compared the results with RMSE. For categorical data, we imputed the nonresponses with mode method, probability imputation, conditional mode method, conditional probability method, hot-deck imputation, and compared the results with Accuracy. By the results, regression imputation and adjusted grey-based k-NN imputation appropriated for continuous data and hot-deck imputation appropriated for categorical data.

Visual Object Tracking based on Particle Filters with Multiple Observation (다중 관측 모델을 적용한 입자 필터 기반 물체 추적)

  • Koh, Hyeung-Seong;Jo, Yong-Gun;Kang, Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.539-544
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    • 2004
  • We investigate a visual object tracking algorithm based upon particle filters, namely CONDENSATION, in order to combine multiple observation models such as active contours of digitally subtracted image and the particle measurement of object color. The former is applied to matching the contour of the moving target and the latter is used to independently enhance the likelihood of tracking a particular color of the object. Particle filters are more efficient than any other tracking algorithms because the tracking mechanism follows Bayesian inference rule of conditional probability propagation. In the experimental results, it is demonstrated that the suggested contour tracking particle filters prove to be robust in the cluttered environment of robot vision.

Estimating Probability of Mode Choice at Regional Level by Considering Spatial Association of Departure Place (출발지 공간 연관성을 고려한 지역별 수단선택확률 추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.656-662
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    • 2009
  • In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The statistical models considered here are spatial logistic regression model and conditional autoregressive model taking a spatial association parameter into account. We employed the Bayesian approach in order to obtain more reliable parameter estimates. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas.

A numerical study on portfolio VaR forecasting based on conditional copula (조건부 코퓰라를 이용한 포트폴리오 위험 예측에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Lee, Tae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1065-1074
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    • 2011
  • During several decades, many researchers in the field of finance have studied Value at Risk (VaR) to measure the market risk. VaR indicates the worst loss over a target horizon such that there is a low, pre-specified probability that the actual loss will be larger (Jorion, 2006, p.106). In this paper, we compare conditional copula method with two conventional VaR forecasting methods based on simple moving average and exponentially weighted moving average for measuring the risk of the portfolio, consisting of two domestic stock indices. Through real data analysis, we conclude that the conditional copula method can improve the accuracy of portfolio VaR forecasting in the presence of high kurtosis and strong correlation in the data.

Knowledge Base Associated with Autism Construction Using CRFs Learning

  • Yang, Ronggen;Gong, Lejun
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1326-1334
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    • 2019
  • Knowledge base means a library stored in computer system providing useful information or appropriate solutions to specific area. Knowledge base associated with autism is the complex multidimensional information set related to the disease autism for its pathogenic factor and therapy. This paper focuses on the knowledge of biological molecular information extracted from massive biomedical texts with the aid of widespread used machine learning methods. Six classes of biological molecular information (such as protein, DNA, RNA, cell line, cell component, and cell type) are concerned and the probability statistics method, conditional random fields (CRFs), is utilized to discover these knowledges in this work. The knowledge base can help biologists to etiological analysis and pharmacists to drug development, which can at least answer four questions in question-answering (QA) system, i.e., which proteins are most related to the disease autism, which DNAs play important role to the development of autism, which cell types have the correlation to autism and which cell components participate the process to autism. The work can be visited by the address http://134.175.110.97/bioinfo/index.jsp.

Reliability Analysis of Slope Stability with Sampling Related Uncertainty (통계오차를 고려한 사면안정 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2007
  • A reliability-based approach that can systematically model various sources of uncertainty is presented in the context of slope stability. Expressions for characterization of soil properties are developed in order to incorporate sampling errors, spatial variability and its effect of spatial averaging. Reliability analyses of slope stability with different statistical representations of soil properties show that the incorporation of sampling error, spatial correlation, and conditional simulation leads to significantly lower probability of failure than that obtained by using simple random variable approach. The results strongly suggest that the spatial variability and sampling error have to be properly incorporated in slope stability analysis.

Insights for Improving Road Safety : Focusing on Vehicle Accidents in Daegu Metropolitan City

  • Mee Qi Siow;Yang Sok Kim;Mi Jin Noh;Choong Kwon Lee;Sang Ill Moon;Jae Ho Shin
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2023
  • Road accidents not only caused loss of human lives but also costed 3% of gross domestic product in most of the countries. The road accidents pose significant challenges to public safety and urban transportation management. There is a need to identify the high-risk area of accidents along with the critical day of week and vulnerable time period in order to implement effective preventive measures and optimizing the resource allocation. We collected 5,012 accident data from 대구교통종합정보. This study identified the high-risk locations, days of week, and time periods for accidents in Daegu and estimated the conditional probabilities of accidents occurring based on combinations of location, day of the week, and time period. The result is visualized in the form of dashboard in Tableau. This study holds substantial practical significance for urban planners, transportation authorities, and policymakers in Daegu to strategically allocate resources for traffic management, law enforcement, and targeted safety campaigns.

The Development of Condition Degradation Model of Railway PC Beam Bridge Using Transition Probability (철도 PC Beam교량의 전이확률을 이용한 상태저하 모델개발)

  • Kwon, Se-Gon;Park, Mi-Yun;Kim, Do-Kie;Jin, Nam-Hee;Ku, So-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2009
  • Recently, as a method of green-development and reduction of carbon dioxide emission, increased interest has been focused on a railway. Furthermore, an intensive study has been processed on capabilities of maintenance activities, economic efficiency of maintenance on rail structure and a design of railway structure as well as the development of materials. The purpose of this paper is to develop a deteriorated model of PC Beam Bridge due to timely changes and maintenance activities. Typically, there is definite difference between maintained bridges and non-maintained bridges. As a result of proper maintenance activity, a life time of a structure can be enhanced. In this study, we will research and analyze structures with ongoing maintenance. We will also process same procedures on structures without maintenance. Therefore, we can establish the significant role in a conditional change of a structure. Based on a study, we accomplish the development of a condition-deteriorated model. To develop deteriorated model of PC Beam Bridge, We apply Marcov Theory and develop a transition probability to show the life time of bridge. This study will provide a great benefit to decision making for maintenance activities on the railway bridges for future.

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A Comparison and Analysis of the Levee Height Determination Methods in Korea and the USA (우리나라와 미국의 제방고 산정 기법에 대한 비교 분석)

  • Kang, Tae-Uk;Lee, Sang-Ho;Yu, Kwon-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.497-510
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    • 2011
  • A levee height is determined by adding a deterministic freeboard to a flood water level in Korea. In the USA, a levee height is determined by choosing a value conditionally among the freeboard criteria and the levels resulted from a probabilistic method. The probabilistic method adopts a conditional non-exceedance probability (CNP) which is the probability that the target stage will not be exceeded given a specific flood event. The purpose of the study is to compare Korean criterion for levee height estimation with that of the USA. Levee heights were determined according to the above two criteria at twenty-five cross sections in five streams. The results show that Korean criterion on average yields levee heights 20 cm higher than those calculated by the criterion of the USA. The larger the flood discharges become, the higher the levee height differences are usually. It is caused by the freeboard estimation criterion of Korea that the larger design flood is, the higher freeboard is given. Korean criterion, however, resulted in lower levee heights for smaller streams than those by the criterion of the USA. To sum it up, the Korean levee height criteria can result in overestimation or underestimation depending on flood discharge amount, being compared with the criteria of the USA. The Korean freeboard especially needs to be increased for smaller flood discharges.