• Title/Summary/Keyword: Zero-Inflated

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Risk Factors Influencing Probability and Severity of Elder Abuse in Community-dwelling Older Adults: Applying Zero-inflated Negative Binomial Modeling of Abuse Count Data (영과잉 가산자료(Zero-inflated Count Data) 분석 방법을 이용한 지역사회 거주 노인의 노인학대 발생과 심각성에 미치는 위험요인 분석)

  • Jang, Mi Heui;Park, Chang Gi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.819-832
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to identify risk factors that influence the probability and severity of elder abuse in community-dwelling older adults. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional descriptive study. Self-report questionnaires were used to collect data from community-dwelling Koreans, 65 and older (N=416). Logistic regression, negative binomial regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression model for abuse count data were utilized to determine risk factors for elder abuse. Results: The rate of older adults who experienced any one category of abuse was 32.5%. By zero-inflated negative binomial regression analysis, the experience of verbal-psychological abuse was associated with marital status and family support, while the experience of physical abuse was associated with self-esteem, perceived economic stress and family support. Family support was found to be a salient risk factor of probability of abuse in both verbal-psychological and physical abuse. Self-esteem was found to be a salient risk factor of probability and severity of abuse in physical abuse alone. Conclusion: The findings suggest that tailored prevention and intervention considering both types of elder abuse and target populations might be beneficial for preventative efficiency of elder abuse.

Bayesian Approaches to Zero Inflated Poisson Model (영 과잉 포아송 모형에 대한 베이지안 방법 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Ho;Choi, Tae-Ryon;Wo, Yoon-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.677-693
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we consider Bayesian approaches to zero inflated Poisson model, one of the popular models to analyze zero inflated count data. To generate posterior samples, we deal with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method using a Gibbs sampler and an exact sampling method using an Inverse Bayes Formula(IBF). Posterior sampling algorithms using two methods are compared, and a convergence checking for a Gibbs sampler is discussed, in particular using posterior samples from IBF sampling. Based on these sampling methods, a real data analysis is performed for Trajan data (Marin et al., 1993) and our results are compared with existing Trajan data analysis. We also discuss model selection issues for Trajan data between the Poisson model and zero inflated Poisson model using various criteria. In addition, we complement the previous work by Rodrigues (2003) via further data analysis using a hierarchical Bayesian model.

An Analysis on the Determinants of Employed Labour Quantity in the Fishing Industry (어가의 고용량 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Park, Cheol-Hyung;Nam, Jongoh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.545-567
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    • 2018
  • This study applied and compared Poisson model, negative binomial model, zero inflated Poisson model, and zero inflated negative binomial model to estimate determinants of employed labour quantity. To estimate each of models, this study used fisheries census data which were obtained at microdata integrated service running by Statistics Korea. The study selected zero inflated negative binomial model according to the Vuong test and Likelihood-ratio test. In addition, the study estimated fishing village's practical changes on employed labour quantity as analyzing changes from 2010 to 2015. The results showed that the household with fishing vessels and high selling price had a significant effect on decrease of the labour quantities. Meanwhile, the longer work experience of the household, the more significant the increase in the labour quantities. In conclusion, this study presented that capitalized fishing household and the acceleration of aging had a significant impact on the change in the labour quantities.

Bayesian Analysis for the Zero-inflated Regression Models (영과잉 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • Jang, Hak-Jin;Kang, Yun-Hee;Lee, S.;Kim, Seong-W.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2008
  • We often encounter the situation that discrete count data have a large portion of zeros. In this case, it is not appropriate to analyze the data based on standard regression models such as the poisson or negative binomial regression models. In this article, we consider Bayesian analysis for two commonly used models. They are zero-inflated poisson and negative binomial regression models. We use the Bayes factor as a model selection tool and computation is proceeded via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Crash count data are analyzed to support theoretical results.

Hurdle Model for Longitudinal Zero-Inflated Count Data Analysis (영과잉 경시적 가산자료 분석을 위한 허들모형)

  • Jin, Iktae;Lee, Keunbaik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2014
  • The Hurdle model can to analyze zero-inflated count data. This model is a mixed model of the logit model for a binary component and a truncated Poisson model of a truncated count component. We propose a new hurdle model with a general heterogeneous random effects covariance matrix to analyze longitudinal zero-inflated count data using modified Cholesky decomposition. This decomposition factors the random effects covariance matrix into generalized autoregressive parameters and innovation variance. The parameters are modeled using (generalized) linear models and estimated with a Bayesian method. We use these methods to carefully analyze a real dataset.

A GLR Chart for Monitoring a Zero-Inflated Poisson Process (ZIP 공정을 관리하는 GLR 관리도)

  • Choi, Mi Lim;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.345-355
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    • 2014
  • The number of nonconformities in a unit is commonly modeled by a Poisson distribution. As an extension of a Poisson distribution, a zero-inflated Poisson(ZIP) process can be used to fit count data with an excessive number of zeroes. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio(GLR) chart to monitor shifts in the two parameters of the ZIP process. We also compare the proposed GLR chart with the combined cumulative sum(CUSUM) chart and the single CUSUM chart. It is shown that the overall performance of the GLR chart is comparable with CUSUM charts and is significantly better in some cases where the actual directions of the shifts are different from the pre-specified directions in CUSUM charts.

Neighborhood Environment Associated with Physical Activity among Rural Adults: Applying Zero-Inflated Negative Binominal Regression Modeling (영과잉 음이항 회귀모형을 적용한 농촌지역 성인 신체활동의 지역사회환경 요인 분석)

  • Kim, Bongjeong
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.488-502
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to determine the neighborhood environmental factors associated with physical activity among adults living in rural communities. Methods: A cross-sectional descriptive survey was conducted with a convenience sample of 201 adults living in three Ri in Y-city, Gyeonggi-do. Data were collected from face-to-face interview by trained interviewers and were analyzed using a zero-inflated negative binominal regression model. Results: Participants reported engaged in moderate or vigorous physical activity was 76.1%; 10.5% of participants reported that they met moderate physical activity recommendations and 14.5% of participants reported that they met vigorous physical activity recommendations. Zero-inflated negative binominal regression analysis showed association of increasing days of physical activity with social cohesion (${\beta}=.130$, p=.005), social network (${\beta}=-.096$, p=.003), and safety for crime (${\beta}=-.151$, p=.036), and no days of physical activity was associated with no attainment of education and marginally associated with increasing BMI. Conclusion: Neighborhood environmental factors including social cohesion, social network, and crime for safety were significantly associated with physical activity of rural adults. Community health nurses should expand an approach for individual behavior change to incorporate rural adults' specific neighborhood environmental factors into physical activity interventions.

Soccer goal distributions in K-league (K-리그에서 축구 골의 분포)

  • Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1231-1239
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we analyse the distributions of the number of goals scored by home teams and away teams in K-league soccer outcomes between 1983 and 2012. Real soccer data is explained in K-league using statistical distributions such that Poisson, negative binomial, extreme value and zero inflated Poisson. How close the goals of home and away fits the different distributions are tested by performing chi-square goodness of fit tests. According to these tests, the Poisson distribution gives the best fit to the home goals data. But it is best to model the away goals data on zero inflated Poisson distribution. Also, there is some weak evidence of the dependence for home and away goals.

Bayesian Inference for the Zero In ated Negative Binomial Regression Model (제로팽창 음이항 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 추론)

  • Shim, Jung-Suk;Lee, Dong-Hee;Jun, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.951-961
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a Bayesian inference using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method for the zero inflated negative binomial(ZINB) regression model. The proposed model allows the regression model for zero inflation probability as well as the regression model for the mean of the dependent variable. This extends the work of Jang et al. (2010) to the fully defiend ZINB regression model. In addition, we apply the proposed method to a real data example, and compare the efficiency with the zero inflated Poisson model using the DIC. Since the DIC of the ZINB is smaller than that of the ZIP, the ZINB model shows superior performance over the ZIP model in zero inflated count data with overdispersion.

Bayesian Analysis of Korean Alcohol Consumption Data Using a Zero-Inflated Ordered Probit Model (영 과잉 순서적 프로빗 모형을 이용한 한국인의 음주자료에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Oh, Hyun-Tak;Park, Se-Mi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.363-376
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    • 2012
  • Excessive zeroes are often observed in ordinal categorical response variables. An ordinary ordered Probit model is not appropriate for zero-inflated data especially when there are many different sources of generating 0 observations. In this paper, we apply a two-stage zero-inflated ordered Probit (ZIOP) model which incorporate the zero-flated nature of data, propose a Bayesian analysis of a ZIOP model, and apply the method to alcohol consumption data collected by the National Bureau of Statistics, Korea. In the first stage of a ZIOP model, a Probit model is introduced to divide the non-drinkers into genuine non-drinkers who do not participate in drinking due to personal beliefs or permanent health problems and potential drinkers who did not drink at the time of the survey but have the potential to become drinkers. In the second stage, an ordered probit model is applied to drinkers that consists of zero-consumption potential drinkers and positive consumption drinkers. The analysis results show that about 30% of non-drinkers are genuine non-drinkers and hence the Korean alcohol consumption data has the feature of zero-inflated data. A study on the marginal effect of each explanatory variable shows that certain explanatory variables have effects on the genuine non-drinkers and potential drinkers in opposite directions, which may not be detected by an ordered Probit model.