• Title/Summary/Keyword: Yield Prediction

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DEVELOPMENT OF 2ND GENERATION ICE ACCRETION ANALYSIS PROGRAM FOR HANDLING GENERAL 3-D GEOMETRIES (3차원 착빙 형상 예측을 위한 2세대 시뮬레이션 코드 개발)

  • Son, Chankyu;Oh, Sejong;Yee, Kwanjung
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 2015
  • The $2^{nd}$ generation ice accretion analysis program has been developed and validated for various icing conditions. The essential feature of the $2^{nd}$ generation code lies in its capability of handling general 3-D geometry and improved accuracy. The entire velocity fields are obtained based on Navier-Stokes equations in order to take the massively separated flow field into account. Unlike $1^{st}$ generation code, the droplet trajectories are calculated using Eulerian approach, which is adopted to yield appropriate collection efficiency even in the shadow region. For improved thermodynamic analysis on the surfaces, water film model and modified Messinger model are newly included in the present analysis. The ice shape for a given time step is obtained by considering the exact amount of ice accreted on the surface. Each module of the icing analysis code has been seamlessly integrated on the OpenFOAM platform. The developed code was validated against available experimental data for 2D airfoils and 3D DLR-F4. Due to the lack of experimental data, the computed results of DLR-F4 were compared with those obtained from FENSAP-ICE, which is state-of-the-art 3D icing analysis code. It was clearly shown that the present code produces comparable results to those of FENSAP-ICE, in terms of prediction accuracy and the capability of handling general 3-D geometries.

Structural Performance of Concrete-encased Steel Columns using 800MPa Steel and 100MPa Concrete (800MPa 강재 및 100MPa 콘크리트를 적용한 매입형 합성기둥의 구조성능)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo;Park, Hong-Gun;Choi, In-Rak;Chung, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.497-509
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    • 2010
  • Five concrete-encased steel columns using high-strength steel($f_{ys}$=801MPa) and high-strength concrete($f_{ck}$=97.7MPa) were tested to investigate the eccentric axial load-displacement relationship. Test parameters included the type, yield strength, and spacing of lateral reinforcement, and also the eccentricity of axial load. To analyze the behavior of the column specimens, the nonlinear sectional analysis using strain-compatibility and confinement effect was performed. To examine the applicability of existing design codes for the composite sections using high-strength materials, the test results were also compared with the predictions by the nonlinear analysis and the design codes. The confinement effect of lateral reinforcement increased the ductility of concrete, and the moment capacity of the column specimens increased with the ductility of concrete. The prediction by the nonlinear analysis gave good agreement with the test results. On the other hand, the ACI 318 neglecting lateral confinement effect underestimated the strength of the column specimens, and the Eurocode 4 using complete plastic capacity of steel section overestimated.

The Nutritive Value of Rice Straw in Relation to Variety, Urea Treatment, Location of Growth and Season, and its Prediction from in Sacco Degradability

  • Soebarinoto, Soebarinoto;Chuzaemi, Siti;van Bruchem, Jaap;Hartutik, Hartutik;Mashudi, Mashudi
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 1997
  • Ten rice varieties were planted at two locations (lowland and highland), during the wet and dry seasons of different years. In vivo digestibility and voluntary intake of the straw, were determined in groups of fat-tail sheep, supplemented with $18g{\cdot}kg^{-0.75}$ concentrate DM, containing ~20% crude protein. Voluntary intake of digestible straw organic matter (DOMI) consistently varied from 15.2 to $20.9g{\cdot}kg^{-0.75}$ between straw varieties, averaged over locations, years and seasons, despite considerable variation between individual batches. This variation in the nutritive value of the straw was independent of straw and grain yield, so it would seem that there is scope for selection of rice varieties with straw of higher nutritive value. The variation in DOMI of straw among location of growth, year and season, was of a magnitude similar to the improvement brought about by urea-ammoniation. The in sacco degradation characteristics and digestibility of rice straw residues were superior to those of the offered straw. This can be attributed to a preference for rice straw leaves relative to stems. Averaged over location of growth, year and season, characteristics of in sacco degradation, i.e. the rate of fermentative degradation and the truly undegradable fraction, emerged as accurate predictors of the nutritive value of rice straw.

Analysis of the variability of deflection of a prestressed composite bridge deck

  • Staquet, Stephanie;Detandt, Henri;Espion, Bernard
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.385-402
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    • 2004
  • Nearly 400 composite railway bridge decks of a new kind belonging to the trough type with U-shaped cross section have been constructed in Belgium over the last fifteen years. The construction of these bridge decks is rather complex with the preflexion of precambered steel girders, the prestressing of a concrete slab and the addition of a 2nd phase concrete. Until now, they have been designed with a classical computation method using a pseudo-elastic analysis with modular ratios. Globally, they perform according to the expectations but variability has been observed between the measured and the computed camber of these bridge decks just after the transfer of prestressing and also at long-term. A statistical analysis of the variability of the relative difference between the measured camber and the computed camber is made for a sample of 36 bridge decks using no less than 10 variables. The most significant variables to explain this variability at prestressing are the ratio between the maximum tensile stress reached in the steel girders during the preflexion and the yield strength and the type of steel girder. For the same sample, the long-term camber under permanent loading is computed by two methods and compared with measurements taken one or two years after the construction. The camber computed by the step-by-step method shows a better agreement with the measured camber than the camber computed by the classical method. The purpose of the paper is to report on the statistical analysis which was used to determine the most significant parameters to consider in the modeling in order to improve the prediction of the behaviour of these composite railway bridge decks.

Predicting Harvest Maturity of the 'Fuji' Apple using a Beta Distribution Phenology Model based on Temperature (온도기반의 Beta Distribution Model 을 이용한 후지 사과의 성숙기 예측)

  • Choi, In-Tae;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.11
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    • pp.1247-1253
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    • 2017
  • The Fuji variety of apple, introduced in Japan, has excellent storage quality and good taste, such that it is the most commonly cultivated apple variety in Gunwi County, North Gyeongsang Province, Korean Peninsula. Accurate prediction of harvest maturity allows farmers to more efficiently manage their farm in important aspects such as working time, fruit storage, market shipment, and labor distribution. Temperature is one of the most important factors that determine plant growth, development, and yield. This paper reports on the beta distribution (function) model that can be used to simulate the the phenological response of plants to temperature. The beta function, commonly used as a skewed probability density in statistics, was introduced to estimate apple harvest maturity as a function of temperature in this study. The model parameters were daily maximum temperature, daily optimum temperature, and maximum growth rate. They were estimated from the input data of daily maximum and minimum temperature and apple harvest maturity. The difference in observed and predicted maturity day from 2009 to 2012, with optimal parameters, was from two days earlier to one day later.

Effectiveness of Repeated Examination to Diagnose Enterobiasis in Nursery School Groups

  • Remm, Mare;Remm, Kalle
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this study was to estimate the benefit from repeated examinations in the diagnosis of enterobiasis in nursery school groups, and to test the effectiveness of individual-based risk predictions using different methods. A total of 604 children were examined using double, and 96 using triple, anal swab examinations. The questionnaires for parents, structured observations, and interviews with supervisors were used to identify factors of possible infection risk. In order to model the risk of enterobiasis at individual level, a similarity-based machine learning and prediction software Constud was compared with data mining methods in the Statistica 8 Data Miner software package. Prevalence according to a single examination was 22.5%; the increase as a result of double examinations was 8.2%. Single swabs resulted in an estimated prevalence of 20.1% among children examined 3 times; double swabs increased this by 10.1%, and triple swabs by 7.3%. Random forest classification, boosting classification trees, and Constud correctly predicted about 2/3 of the results of the second examination. Constud estimated a mean prevalence of 31.5% in groups. Constud was able to yield the highest overall fit of individual-based predictions while boosting classification tree and random forest models were more effective in recognizing Enterobius positive persons. As a rule, the actual prevalence of enterobiasis is higher than indicated by a single examination. We suggest using either the values of the mean increase in prevalence after double examinations compared to single examinations or group estimations deduced from individual-level modelled risk predictions.

A Modification in the Analysis of the Growth Rate of Short Fatigue Cracks in S45C Carbon Steel under Reversed Loading (반복하중조건 하에서의 S45C 탄소강에 대한 미소피로균열 성장속도 해석의 수정)

  • McEvily,A.J.
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 1995
  • A modified method for the analysis of short fatigue crack growth has been presented, and calculations based upon the modified method are compared with experimental results for S45C carbon steel. It is also shown that the modified method is in good agreement with experimental data. The proposed equation for the fatigue crack growth rates includes a material constant which relates the threshold level to the endurance limit, a correction for elastic-plastic behaviour and a means for dealing with the effects of crack closure. In this study one of the modifications is to substitute the Forman' s elastic expression of the stress intensity factor range into the geometrical factor The other is a consideration of the bending effect which is developed from the moment caused by the eccentric cross sectional geometry as the crack grows. Thus, this method is useful for residual life prediction of the mechanical structures as well as the welding structures.

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A Study on the Prediction of the Strength and Axial Strain of High-Strength Concrete Columns Confined by Tie Reinforcement (띠근 보강 고강도 콘크리트 기둥의 강도 및 축변형 특성 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hoon-Gyu;Jang, Il-Young
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.197-208
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    • 1999
  • The use of high-strength concrete which permits smaller cross sections, reduced dead loads, and longer spans has been getting more popular in tall buildings. However, there has been little research on behavior of high-strength concrete columns laterally reinforced with square ties and subjected to compressive loading. With the addition of transverse reinforcement which lead to triaxial compressive state, ductility behavior of high-strength column member shall be increased. In this study, rational quality and quantity evaluations were made to investigate the ultimate strength and strain ductility by confinement effect of tie reinforced high-strength concrete columns subject to uniaxial loads. Concrete failure theory at the triaxial compressive state and statistical results based on conventional experimental data were applied for this propose. Up to 185 columns, tested under monotonically increasing concentric loading, were evaluated in terms of strength and strain ductility. Analytical results show that confinement stress, maximum compressive strength, and increase of strain equations were developed with the consideration of concrete strength, yield strength, spacing, volumetric ratio, and configurations of tie reinforcement.

The Characteristic for Undrainded Shear Behavior of in Low-Plastic Silt and its Prediction (저소성 실트의 비배수 전단거동 특성과 예측)

  • Kim, Daeman
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2008
  • In this study, undrained triaxial (CU) tests were performed on low-plastic silt of Nakdong River in order to investigate the undrained shear behavior of low-plastic silt. In experimental results, the deviator stress showed the hardening behavior after reaching its yield stress like the tendency of common sand, and the pore water pressure was gradually decreased to critical state after the maximum value. In the effective stress paths, regardless of consolidation stress or overconsolidation ratios, both a critical state line (CSL) and a phase transformation line (PTL) exist in the effective stress path that is similar to the case of sand. The behavior of low-plastic silt was predicted by the Modified Cam-Clay (MCC) model, the Jordan and the Elman-jordan model that is artificial neural network model. According to predicted results, the overall undrained shear behavior of low-plastic silt could not be predicted with the MCC model, but the Jordan and Elman-Jordan model showed well-matched experiment results.

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Manufacture of Garlic Juice and Prediction of its Boiling Point Rise (마늘 착즙의 제조 및 비점 상승의 추정)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sam;Park, Noh-Hyun;Park, Moo-Hyun;Han, Bong-Ho;Bae, Tae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.486-491
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    • 1990
  • To develop a new spice material garlic juice was prepared from peeled garlic and its composition, density and boiling point rise were investigated. Major components of the garlic juice were moisture(68.01%), crude protein(6.50%) and carbohydrate(25.39%). Yield of the juice from the peeled whole garlic was 49.50%(w/w). Density of the garlic juice with solid content of 32 to $65^{\circ}$ Brix was in the range of 1,107 to $1,243kg/m^3$. Boiling point rise of garlic juice increased exponentially with the increase of solid content. In the solid content range of 32 to $65^{\circ}$ Brix, the boiling point rise could be predicted with following experimental equation with average error of less than 7%. $$BPR=1.4105.\;P^{0.1338}.\;exp(0.0357.\;X_5-1.3925)$

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