• Computers and Concrete
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.233-246
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• 2023

Accurate prediction of concrete compressive strength can minimize the need for extensive, time-consuming, and costly mixture optimization testing and analysis. This study attempts to enhance the prediction accuracy of compressive strength using stacking ensemble machine learning (ML) with feature engineering techniques. Seven alternative ML models of increasing complexity were implemented and compared, including linear regression, SVM, decision tree, multiple layer perceptron, random forest, Xgboost and Adaboost. To further improve the prediction accuracy, a ML pipeline was proposed in which the feature engineering technique was implemented, and a two-layer stacked model was developed. The k-fold cross-validation approach was employed to optimize model parameters and train the stacked model. The stacked model showed superior performance in predicting concrete compressive strength with a correlation of determination (R²) of 0.985. Feature (i.e., variable) importance was determined to demonstrate how useful the synthetic features are in prediction and provide better interpretability of the data and the model. The methodology in this study promotes a more thorough assessment of alternative ML algorithms and rather than focusing on any single ML model type for concrete compressive strength prediction.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.393-396
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• 2022

본 연구는 국방과학기술 분야의 특허 및 논문 실적을 이용하여 통계기반 기계학습 모델 4 종을 학습하고, 실제 분석 대상기관의 데이터 입력결과를 분석하여 실용성에 대한 한계점 분석을 목적으로 한다. 기존 연구에서는 특허분류코드를 기준으로 분류하여 특수 목적으로 활용하거나 세부 연구 범위 내 연구 주제탐색 및 특징연구 등 미시적인 관점에서의 상세연구 활용 목적인 반면, 본 연구는 거시적인 관점에서 연구의 전체적인 흐름과 경향성 파악을 목적으로 한다. 이에 ICT 기술 138 종의 특허 및 논문 30,965 건과 국방과학기술 192 종의 특허 및 논문 23,406 건을 학습데이터로 각 모델을 학습하였다. 비교한 통계기반 학습모델은 Support Vector Machines, Decision Tree, Naive Bayes, XGBoost 모델이다. 학습데이터에 대한 학습검증 단계에서는 최대 99.4%의 성능을 보였다. 다만, 실제 분석대상기관의 특허 및 논문 12,824 건으로 입력분석한 결과, 모델별 편향성 문제, 데이터 전처리 이슈, 다중클래스 및 다중레이블 문제를 확인, 도출한 문제에 대한 해결방안을 제시하고 추가 연구의 방향성을 제시한다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.1200-1215
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• 2023

With the development of IoT and artificial intelligence, location-based services are getting more and more attention. For solving the current problem that indoor positioning error is large and generalization is poor, this paper proposes a Model Stacking Algorithm for Indoor Positioning System using WiFi fingerprinting. Firstly, we adopt a model stacking method based on Bayesian optimization to predict the location of indoor targets to improve indoor localization accuracy and model generalization. Secondly, Taking the predicted position based on model stacking as the observation value of particle filter, collaborative particle filter localization based on model stacking algorithm is realized. The experimental results show that the algorithm can control the position error within 2m, which is superior to KNN, GBDT, Xgboost, LightGBM, RF. The location accuracy of the fusion particle filter algorithm is improved by 31%, and the predicted trajectory is close to the real trajectory. The algorithm can also adapt to the application scenarios with fewer wireless access points.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.709-719
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• 2022

Recently, as the importance of environmental protection has emerged, interest in new and renewable energy is also increasing worldwide. In particular, the solar energy sector accounts for the highest production rate among new and renewable energy in Korea due to its infinite resources, easy installation and maintenance, and eco-friendly characteristics such as low noise emission levels and less pollutants during power generation. However, although climate prediction is essential since solar power is affected by weather and climate change, solar radiation, which is closely related to solar power, is not currently forecasted by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Solar radiation prediction can be the basis for establishing a reasonable new and renewable energy operation plan, and it is very important because it can be used not only in solar power but also in other fields such as power consumption prediction. Therefore, this study was conducted for the purpose of improving the accuracy of solar radiation. Solar radiation was predicted by a total of three weather variables, temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, and solar radiation outside the atmosphere, and the results were compared using various models. The CatBoost model was best obtained by fitting and comparing the Boosting series (XGB, CatBoost) and RNN series (Simple RNN, LSTM, GRU) models. In addition, the results were further improved through Time series cross-validation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.152-159
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• 2023

Due to COVID-19, changes in consumption trends are taking place in the distribution sector, such as an increase in non-face-to-face consumption and a rapid growth in the online shopping market. However, it is difficult for small and medium-sized export sellers to obtain forecast information on the export market by country, compared to large distributors who can easily build a global sales network. This study is about the prediction of export amount and export volume by country and item for market information analysis of small and medium export sellers. A prediction model was developed using Lasso, XGBoost, and MLP models based on supervised learning and deep learning, and export trends for clothing, cosmetics, and household electronic devices were predicted for Korea's major export countries, the United States, China, and Vietnam. As a result of the prediction, the performance of MAE and RMSE for the Lasso model was excellent, and based on the development results, a market analysis system for small and medium sellers was developed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.77-77
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• 2021

가뭄은 사회·경제적으로 매우 큰 피해를 주는 자연재해이며, 그 시작과 발생 지역을 정확하게 예측하는 데 어려운 문제가 있다. 이에 수문 분야에서는 가뭄에 영향을 미치는 수문·기상인자들을 이용하여 다양한 가뭄지수를 개발하였고 이를 활용하여 가뭄 현상을 모니터링하고 예측 및 전망하는데 다양한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 하지만 가뭄지수들은 실제 가뭄이 어떠한 형태로 발생하는지 파악하기에 많은 한계점을 가지고 있다. 이에 최근 들어 미국과 유럽에서는 실제 농업, 환경, 에너지 등과 같은 다양한 분야에 걸쳐 가뭄 피해로 인해 생기는 가뭄 영향을 보다 체계적이고 상세한 데이터 인벤토리로 구축하고 가뭄지수와의 상관관계, 회귀분석과 같은 연구를 통해 가뭄 영향 예측을 시도하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 보고서, 데이터베이스, 웹 크롤링(Web-Crawling)을 통한 뉴스 기사 등과 같은 자료를 수집하여 국내 가뭄 영향 인벤토리를 구축하였다. 또한 수문 분야에 널리 사용되고 있는 가뭄지수인 표준 강수 증발산량지수 SPEI(Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index)를 기반으로 지역에 따른 가뭄 영향을 예측하기 위해 최근 로지스틱 회귀모형, Random forest, Support vector machine, XGBoost 등의 다양한 머신러닝 기법을 적용하였다. 각 모형의 성능을 Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC) 곡선을 통해 평가하여 가뭄 영향 예측에 적절한 머신러닝 기법을 제시하였다. 본 연구 결과를 통해 텍스트 기반의 가뭄 영향 자료와 머신러닝 기법을 통한 가뭄 영향 예측 방법론은 가뭄 재난 관리에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.05a
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• pp.141-143
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• 2021

The Activity patterns of animal species are difficult to access and the behavior of freely moving individuals can not be assessed by direct observation. As it has become large challenge to understand the activity pattern of animals such as dogs, and cats etc. One approach for monitoring these behaviors is the continuous collection of data by human observers. Therefore, in this study we assess the activity patterns of dog using the wearable sensors data such as accelerometer and gyroscope. A wearable, sensor -based system is suitable for such ends, and it will be able to monitor the dogs in real-time. The basic purpose of this study was to develop a system that can detect the activities based on the accelerometer and gyroscope signals. Therefore, we purpose a method which is based on the data collected from 10 dogs, including different nine breeds of different sizes and ages, and both genders. We applied six different state-of-the-art classifiers such as Random forests (RF), Support vector machine (SVM), Gradient boosting machine (GBM), XGBoost, k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and Decision tree classifier, respectively. The Random Forest showed a good classification result. We achieved an accuracy 86.73% while the detecting the activity.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.866-869
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• 2020

소프트웨어 개발 환경이 빠르게 변화함에 따라 시스템의 복잡성이 증가하고 있다. 이에 따라 크고 작은 소프트웨어의 버그를 피할 수 없게 되며 이를 효율적으로 처리하기 위해 Bug report 를 사용한다. 하지만, Bug report 에서 개발자가 해당 Bug report 의 우선순위를 결정하는 과정은 노력과 비용 그리고 시간을 많이 소모하게 만든다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 Bug report 내의 Stack trace 를 기반으로 Bug 의 우선순위를 자동적으로 추천하는 기법을 제안한다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 첫 번째로 Bug report 로부터 Stack trace 를 추출하였으며 Stack trace 의 3 가지 요소(Exception, Reason 그리고 Stack frame)에 TF-IDF, Word2Vec 그리고 Stack overflow 를 사용하여 특징 벡터를 정의하였다. 그리고 Bug 의 우선순위 추천 모델을 생성하기 위해 4 가지의 Classification 알고리즘을(Random Forest, Decision Tree, XGBoost, SVM)을 적용하였다. 평가에서는 266,292 개의 JDK library 의 Bug report 데이터를 수집하였고 그중 Stack trace 를 가진 Bug report 로부터 68%의 정확도를 산출하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.336-336
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• 2020

기후변화와 기상이변으로 전 세계적으로 태풍 및 국지성 집중호우가 급증하고 있으며, 그로 인한 홍수피해와 2차 피해 발생이 증가하고 있어 이에 대한 정량적인 분석이 필요하다. 또한 서울 우면산, 춘천 마적산, 삼척 신남마을 등 토석류로 인한 피해가 증가하여 많은 인명피해와 재산피해가 발생하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 특정지역에서 강우량이 유출량에 미치는 영향을 분석하여 강우로 인해 발생하는 2차 피해인 토석류로 인한 피해를 분석하고자 하였다. 2019년 10월 토석류 피해가 있었던 삼척시 신남마을을 분석지역으로 설정하였으며, 분석에 이용된 강우사상은 실제로 피해를 일으켰던 태풍 '미탁' 사상과 기상청이 제공하는 정량적 예측강우(QPF)를 머신러닝의 XGBoost 기법을 적용하여 개발한 정량적 수문 예측 강우(HQPF)를 이용하였다. 강우-유출모형(S-RAT)으로 강우사상에 따른 유출량과 첨두유출량을 산정하였고, 모델 커플링 기법으로 2차원 토석류 수치모형(RAMMS)을 통해 토석류의 피해규모를 비교 분석하였다.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.153-173
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• 2023

Rectangular concrete-filled steel tubular (RCFST) column, a type of concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST), is widely used in compression members of structures because of its advantages. This paper proposes a robust machine learning-based framework for predicting the ultimate compressive strength of RCFST columns under both concentric and eccentric loading. The gradient boosting neural network (GBNN), an efficient and up-to-date ML algorithm, is utilized for developing a predictive model in the proposed framework. A total of 890 experimental data of RCFST columns, which is categorized into two datasets of concentric and eccentric compression, is carefully collected to serve as training and testing purposes. The accuracy of the proposed model is demonstrated by comparing its performance with seven state-of-the-art machine learning methods including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machines (SVM), deep learning (DL), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and categorical gradient boosting (CatBoost). Four available design codes, including the European (EC4), American concrete institute (ACI), American institute of steel construction (AISC), and Australian/New Zealand (AS/NZS) are refereed in another comparison. The results demonstrate that the proposed GBNN method is a robust and powerful approach to obtain the ultimate strength of RCFST columns.