• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.66-75
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• 2012

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of intervention variables which may affect the air travel demand for Jeju domestic flights and to anticipate the air travel demand for Jeju domestic flights. The air travel demand forecasts for Jeju domestic flights are conducted through ARIMA-Intervention Model selecting five intervention variables such as 2002 World Cup games, SARS, novel swine-origin influenza A, Yeonpyeongdo bombardment and Japan big earthquake. The result revealed that the risk factor such as the threat of war that is a negative intervention incident and occurred in Korea has the negative impact on the air travel demand due to the response of risk aversion by users. However, when local natural disasters (earthquakes, etc) occurring in neighboring courtiers and global outbreak of an epidemic gave the negligible impact to Korea, negative intervention incident would have a positive impact on air travel demand as a response to find alternative due to rational expectation of air travel customers. Also we realize that a mega-event such as the 2002 Korea-Japan World Cup games reduced the air travel demand in a short-term period unlike the perception in which it will increase the air travel demand and travel demands in the corresponding area.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.437-453
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• 2006

Services could move over the world where they want to go. Especially, travel services shared 29.4 percent of total world exports, 625 billion dollars in 2004 (WTO, 2005). Tourism is a very important sector in service trade in the world. Of developing countries, Korea has been experiencing remarkable development in female outbound travel market since the complete liberalization on overseas travels in 1989, with about 3.85 million travelers in 2005, 2,000 percent growth rate over 1988. It means woman's social status has been increasing in Korea. Especially, in the study young housekeepers, solely office ladies, and college students were described as very important market segments in Korean woman outbound travel market. They were not only major decision makers, but also executors because of both enough economic power and social status improvement on small sized family. This study indicated that woman outbound travel market gets larger because their buying power and status are going to go improved in Korean social system. It is recommended that marketers be worth watching Korean woman travellers as a major target market through continuos observation and analysis.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.09a
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• pp.160-167
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• 1998

Recent world-wide interest in activity-based travel behavior modeling has generated an entirely new perspective on how the profession views the travel demand process. This paper seeks to further promote the case of activity-based travel behavior models by providing some empirical evidence of relationship between travel time and activity duration decision for worker with transportation panel data. The travel time from home to work and from work to home, without activity involvement, is estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. And, the travel time to and from the selected activity and the activity duration are modeled simultaneously by the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method due to the endogenous relationship between travel time and activity duration. Two kinds of models, OLS and 3SLS, include selectivity bias corrections in a discrete/continuous framework, because of the inter-relationship between the choice of activity type/travel mode (discrete) and the travel time/activity duration (continuous). Estimation is undertaken using a sample of over 1300 household two-day trip diaries collected from the same travelers in the Seattle area in 1989. The behavioral consequences of these models provide interesting and provocative findings that should be of value to transportation policy formulation and analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.77-89
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• 2013

The purpose of this study is to anticipate the air travel demands over the period of 164 months, from January 1997 to August 2010 using ARIMA-Intervention modeling on the selected sample data. The sample data is composed of the number of the passengers who in the domestic route for Jeju route. In the analysis work of this study, the past events which are assumed to have affected the demands for the air travel routes to Jeju in different periods were used as the intervention variables. The impacts of such variables were reflected in the presupposed demand. The intervention variables used in this study are, respectively, the World Cup event in 2002 (from May to June), 2003 SARS outbreak (from April to May), Tsunami in January 2005, and the influenza outbreak from October to December 2009. The result of the above mentioned analysis revealed that the negative intervention events, like a global outbreak of an epidemic did have negative impact on the air travel demands in a risk aversion by the users of the aviation services. However, in case of the negative intervention events in limited area, where there are possible substituting destinations for the tourists, the impact was positive in terms of the air travel demands for substituting destinations due to the rational expectation of the users as they searched for other options. Also in this study, it was discovered that there is not a binding correlation between a nation wide mega-event, such as the World Cup games in 2002, and the increased air travel demands over a short-term period.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.87-95
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• 2000

This paper presents two analytical approaches to determine the vehicle fleet size for container shuttle service. The shuttle service can be defined as the repetitive travel between the designated places during working period. In the first approach, the transportation model is adopted in order to determine the number of vehicles required. Its advantages and disadvantages in practical application are also discussed. In the second approach, a logical network which is oriented on job is transformed from a physical network which is focused on demand site. Nodes on the logical network represent jobs which include loaded travel, loading and unloading and arcs represent empty travel for the next jobs which include loaded travel, loading and unloading and arcs represent empty travel for the next job. Then a mathematical formulation is constructed similar to the multiple traveling salesman problem (TSP). A solution procedure is carried out based on the well-known insertion heuristic with the real world data.

• IE interfaces
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.75-84
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• 1998

The important issue for intra-city vehicle scheduling is to measure and store actual vehicle travel speeds between customer locations. Travel speeds(and times) in nearly all metropolitan areas change drastically during the day because of congestion in certain parts of the city road network. We propose three models for estimating departure time-dependent travel speeds between locations that relieve much burden for the data collection and computer storage requirements. Two of the three models use a least squares method and the rest one employs a neural network trained with the back-propagation rule. On a real-world study using the travel speed data collected in Seoul, we found out that the neural network model is more accurate than the other two models.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.22 no.50
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• pp.221-230
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• 1999

The important issue for intra-city truck dispatching system is to measure and store actual travel speeds between customer locations. Travel speeds(and times) in nearly all metropolitan areas change drastically during the day because of congestion in certain parts of the city road network. We propose a back-propagation neural network model to recognize the pattern of intra-city vehicle travel speeds between locations that relieve much burden for the data collection and computer storage requirements. On a real-world study using the travel speed data[1] collected in Seoul, we evaluate performance of neural network model and compare with Park & Song model[2] that employs the least square method.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.7 s.93
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• pp.91-100
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• 2006

Travel Demand Forecasting (TDF) is an essential and critical process in the evaluation of the highway improvement Project. The four-step TDF Process has generally been used to forecast travel demand and analyze the effects of diverted travel demand based on the given Origin-Destination trips in the future. Transportation system improvements, however, generate more travel, Induced Travel Demand (ITD) or latent travel demand, which has not been considered in the project evaluation. The Purpose of this study Is to develop a model which can forecast the ITD applied theory of economics and the Program(I.D.A) which can be widely applied to project evaluation analysis. The Kang-Byun-Book-Ro expansion scenario is used to apply and analyze a real-world situation. The result highlights that as much as 15% of diverted travel demand is generated as ITD. The results of this study are expected to improve reliability of the project evaluation of the highway improvement Project.

• The International Journal of Costume Culture
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.34-57
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• 2002

It appears our global society and economy are here to stay, despite current events. Mass communications including The Internet, increased world travel, and more and more consumers developing the ability to afford consumer goods, are all helping to bring world cultures closer together. Indeed, the world is rapidly changing and the fashion consumer, is especially affected. Despite the increased commonalities of peoples of the world, culture is a concept crucial to the understanding of consumer behavior. Marketers must understand the values, ethics, and customs of societies around the world to be successful in the global marketplace.

• Proceedings of the Costume Culture Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.15-41
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• 2001

It appears our global society and economy are here to stay, despite current events. Mass communications including The Internet, increased world travel, and more and more consumers developing the ability to afford consumer goods, are all helping to bring world cultures closer together. Indeed, the world is rapidly changing and the fashion consumer, is especially affected. Despite the increased commonalities of peoples of the world, culture is a concept crucial to the understanding of consumer behavior. Marketers must understand the values, ethics, an customs of societies around the world to be successful in the global marketplace.