• Title/Summary/Keyword: Winter Precipitation

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On the Characteristics of Probability and Periodicity for the Daily Precipitaty Occureonce in Korea (우리나라 일별 강수발생의 확률과 주기성의 특성)

  • Moon, Sung-Euii;Kim, Baek-Jo;Ha, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 1997
  • The characteristics on the transtion probabilities and periodicity for the daily precipitation occurrence in Korean peninsula are investigated by applying the Markov chain properties to daily precipitation occurrence. In order to examine the responses of Markov Chain properties to the applied period and their magnitudes, three cases (Case A: 1956~ 1985 at 14 stations, Case B: 1965~ 1994 at 14 stations, and Case C: 1985~ 1994 at 63 stations) are considered In this study. The transition probabilities from wet day to wet day for all cases are about 0.50 and in summer, especially July, are higher. In addition, considering them in each station we can find that they are the highest at Ullung-do and lowest at Inchon for all cases. The annual equilibrium probabilities of a wet day appear 0.31 In Case A, 0.30 Case B, and 0. 29 Case C, respectively. This may explain that as the data-period used becomes shorter, the higher the equilibrium probability is. The seasonal distributions of equilibrium probabilities are appeared the lowest(0.23~0.28) in winter and the highest(more than 0.39) in spring and monthly in .truly and in October, repectively. The annual mean wet duration for all cases is 2.04 days in Case A, 1.99 Case B, and 1.89 Case C, repectively. The weather cycle obtained from the annual mean wet and dry duration is 6.54~6.59 days, which are closely associated with the movement of synoptic systems. And the statistical tests show that the transitions of daily precipitation occurrence for all cases may have two-state first Markov chain property, being the stationarity in time and heterogeneity in space.

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A Study on Forecast Accuracies by the Localized Land Forecast Areas over South Korea (육상 국지 예보 구역의 예보 정확도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chang-Yong;Choi, Young-Eun;Kim, Seung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.1 s.118
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2007
  • This study aimed to evaluate weather forecast accuracies of minimum temperature, maximum temperature, precipitation and sky cover by the localized land forecast areas over South Korea Average forecast accuracy score of precipitation was the lowest while that of sky cover was the highest during the study period Overall forecast accuracy scores for Gangwon-do was the lowest while those for Gyeongsangnam-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do were higher than other areas. The frequencies of perfect forecast(eight points) by seasons, were the highest during winter and the lowest during summer. pressure pattern analyses for days when forecast accuracy scores were poor, showed that precipitation forecast accuracy scores were lower due to the movement of the stationary fronts during summers. When continental polar air masses expanded, forecast accuracy of temperature became greatly lower during autumns and winters As the migratory anticyclone pattern rapidly moved, forecast accuracy became lower during springs and autumns. Forecast accuracies were compared by wind directions at 850hPa for the Young-dong region where forecast accuracy was the lowest. Forecast accuracy scores on minimum and maximum temperatures were low when winds were westerlies and forecast accuracy scores of precipitation were low when winds were easterlies.

A Study on Sensitivity of Heavy Precipitation to Domain Size with a Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model (지역예측모델 영역 크기에 따른 집중호우 수치모의 민감도 실험)

  • Min, Jae-Sik;Roh, Joon-Woo;Jee, Joon-Bum;Kim, Sangil
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we investigated the variabilities of wind speed of 850 hPa and precipitable water over the East Asia region using the NCEP Final Analysis data from December 2001 to November 2011. A large variance of wind speed was observed in northern and eastern China during the winter period. During summer, the regions of the East China Sea, the South Sea of Japan and the East Sea show large variances in the wind speed caused by an extended North Pacific High and typhoon activities. The large variances in the wind speed in the regions are shown to be correlated with the inter-annual variability of precipitable water over the inland region of windward side of the Korean Peninsula. Based on the investigation, sensitivity tests to the domain size were performed using the WRF model version 3.6 for heavy precipitation events over the Korean Peninsula for 26 and 27 July 2011. Numerical experiments of different domain sizes were set up with 5 km horizontal and 50 levels vertical resolutions for the control and the first experimental run, and 9 km horizontal for the second experimental run. We found that the major rainfalls correspond to shortwave troughs with baroclinic structure over Northeast China and extended North Pacific High. The correlation analysis between the observation and experiments for 1-h precipitation indicated that the second experiment with the largest domain had the best performance with the correlation coefficient of 0.79 due to the synoptic-scale systems such as short-wave troughs and North Pacific High.

A Study of Quantitative Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) Estimation by Comparing the Snow Measurement Data (적설 관측자료 비교를 통한 정량적 SWE 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Ro, Yonghun;Chang, Ki-Ho;Cha, Joo-Wan;Chung, Gunhui;Choi, Jiwon;Ha, Jong-Chul
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.269-282
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    • 2019
  • While it is important to obtain the accurate information on snowfall data due to the increase in damage caused by the heavy snowfall in the winter season, it is not easy to observe the snowfall quantitatively. Recently, snow measurements using a weighing precipitation gauge have been carried out, but there is a problem that high snowfall intensity results in low accuracy. Also, the observed snowfall data are sensitive depending on wind speed, temperature, and humidity. In this study, a new process of quality control for snow water equivalent (SWE) data of the weighing precipitation gauge were proposed to cover the low accuracy of snow data and maximize the data utilization. Snowfall data (SWE) observed by Pluvio, Parsivel, snow-depth meter using laser or ultrasonic, and rainfall gauge in Cloud Physics Observation Site (CPOS) were compared and analyzed. Applying the QC algorithm including the use of number of hydrometeor particles as reference, the increased SWE per the unit time was determined and the data noise was removed and marked by flag. The SWE data converted by the number concentration of hydrometeor particles are tested as a method to restore the QC-removed data, and show good agreement with those of the weighing precipitation gauge, though requiring more case studies. The three events data for heavy snowfall disaster in Pyeongchang area was analyzed. The SWE data with improved quality was showed a good correlation with the eye-measured data ($R^2$ > 0.73).

Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea (최근 우리나라 기온 및 강수 평균과 극한 사상의 시.공간적 변화)

  • Choi, Gwang-Yong;Kwon, Won-Tae;Boo, Kyung-On;Cha, Yu-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.681-700
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the spatial and temporal patterns of changes in means and extreme events of temperature and precipitation across the Republic of Korea over the last 35 years (1973-2007) are examined. Over the study period, meteorological winter (December-February) mean minimum (maximum) temperature has increased by $+0.54^{\circ}C$/decade ($+0.6^{\circ}C$/decade), while there have been no significant changes in meteorological summer (June-August) mean temperatures. According to analyses of upper or lower $10^{th}$ percentile-based extreme temperature indices, the annual frequency of cool nights (days) has decreased by -9.2 days/decade (-3.3 days/decade), while the annual frequency of warm nights (days) has increased by +4.9 days/decade (+6.8 days/decade). In contrast, the increase rates of summer warm nights (+8.0 days/$^{\circ}C$) and days (+6.6 days/$^{\circ}C$) relative to changes in summer means minimum and maximum temperatures means are greater than the decreasing rates of winter nights (-5.2 days/$^{\circ}C$) and days (-4.3 days/$^{\circ}C$) relative to changes in winter temperatures. These results demonstrate that seasonal and diurnal asymmetric changes in extreme temperature events have occurred. Moreover, annual total precipitation has increased by 85.5 mm/decade particularly in July and August, which led to the shift of a bimodal behavior of summer precipitation into a multi-modal structure. These changes have resulted from the intensification of heavy rainfall events above 40mm in recent decades, and spatially the statistically-significant increases in these heavy rainfall events are observed around the Taebaek mountain region.

Downscaling GPM Precipitation Using Finer-scale MODIS Based Optical Image in Korean Peninsula (MODIS 광학 영상 자료를 통한 한반도 GPM 강우 자료의 상세화 기법)

  • Oh, Seungcheol;Jeong, Jaehwan;Lee, Seulchan;Choi, Minha
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_1
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    • pp.749-762
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    • 2020
  • Precipitation is closely related to various hydrometeorological phenomena, such as runoff and evapotranspiration. In Korean Peninsula, observing rainfall intensity using weather radar and rain gauge network is dominating due to their accurate, intuitive and precise detecting power. However,since these methods are not suitable at ungauged regions, rainfall detection using satellite is required. Satellite-based rainfall data has coarse spatial resolution (10 km, 25 km), and has a limited range of usage due to its reliability of data. The aim of this study is to obtain finer scale precipitation. Especially, to make the applicability of satellite higher at ungauged regions, 10 km satellite-based rainfall data was downscaled to 1 km data using MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) based cloud property. Downscaled precipitation was verified in urban region, which has complex topographical and environmental characteristics. Correlation coefficient was similar in summer (+0), decreased in spring (-0.08) and autumn (-0.01), and increased in winter (+0.04) season compared to Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) based precipitation. Downscaling without calibration using in situ data could be useful in areas where rain gauge system is not sufficient or ground observations are rarely available.

Impact of Boundary Conditions and Cumulus Parameterization Schemes on Regional Climate Simulation over South-Korea in the CORDEX-East Asia Domain Using the RegCM4 Model (CORDEX 동아시아 영역에서 경계조건 및 적운모수화방안이 RegCM4를 이용한 남한 지역 기후모의에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Oh, Seok-Geun;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Myoung, Ji-Su;Cha, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.373-387
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    • 2011
  • In this study, four types of sensitivity experiments (EG, EE, NG, NE; E: ERA-Interim, N: NCEP/DOE2, G: Grell scheme, E: Emanuel scheme) were performed to evaluate the simulation skills of RegCM4 released in July 2010 over the CORDEX (COordinated Regional Downscaling EXperiment) East Asia domain based on the combinations of boundary conditions (BC: ERA-Interim, NCEP/DOE2) and the cumulus parameterization schemes (CPS: Grell, Emanuel) for the 1989. The surface air temperature and precipitation data observed by the Korea Meteorological Adminstration were used to validate the simulation results over South Korea. The RegCM4 well simulates the seasonal and spatial variations of temperature but it fails to capture the seasonal and spatial variations of precipitation without consideration of the BC and CPS. Especially the simulated summer precipitation amount is significantly less in EG, NG, and NE experiments. But the seasonal variation of precipitation including summer precipitation is relatively well simulated in the EE experiment. The EE experiment shows a better skill in the seasonal march of East Asia summer monsoon, distribution of precipitation intensity and frequency than other experiments. In general, the skills of RegCM4 for temperature and precipitation are better during winter than summer, and in Emanuel than Grell schemes. The simulation results are more impacted by cumulus parameterization schemes than boundary conditions.

The Determination of Probability Distributions of Annual, Seasonal and Monthly Precipitation in Korea (우리나라의 연 강수량, 계절 강수량 및 월 강수량의 확률분포형 결정)

  • Kim, Dong-Yeob;Lee, Sang-Ho;Hong, Young-Joo;Lee, Eun-Jai;Im, Sang-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to determine the best probability distributions of annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation in Korea. Data observed at 32 stations in Korea were analyzed using the L-moment ratio diagram and the average weighted distance (AWD) to identify the best probability distributions of each precipitation. The probability distribution was best represented by 3-parameter Weibull distribution (W3) for the annual precipitation, 3-parameter lognormal distribution (LN3) for spring and autumn seasons, and generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) for summer and winter seasons. The best probability distribution models for monthly precipitation were LN3 for January, W3 for February and July, 2-parameter Weibull distribution (W2) for March, generalized Pareto distribution (GPA) for April, September, October and November, GEV for May and June, and log-Pearson type III (LP3) for August and December. However, from the goodness-of-fit test for the best probability distributions of the best fit, GPA for April, September, October and November, and LN3 for January showed considerably high reject rates due to computational errors in estimation of the probability distribution parameters and relatively higher AWD values. Meanwhile, analyses using data from 55 stations including additional 23 stations indicated insignificant differences to those using original data. Further studies using more long-term data are needed to identify more optimal probability distributions for each precipitation.

A Study on Inversion at Leeward Side of High-rise Building in Winter (동절기 고층건물 풍하면의 기온역전에 관한 연구)

  • Zheng, Hai-Yan;Jin, Wen-Cheng;Oh, Sung-Nam;Lee, Kyoo-Seock
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2010
  • To determine nocturnal inversion characteristics at the leeward side of high-rise building, air temperature data were observed at 10 minute interval from February 22, 2010 to April 15, 2010. The observed data were compared, analyzed and examined to illustrate air temperature differences between the roof (XAR) and surface (XAG) of X apartment. The wind speed, wind direction and precipitation data were also observed at XAR and YJL (Yangjae Stream) sites at the same time. After the analysis, the maximum nocturnal inversion was observed by $4.0^{\circ}C$ at 3:40, 3:50, 4:10 on February 24th 2010, at that time the weather condition was clear and weak wind. Air temperature inversions at the leeward side of high-rise building were observed on whole day in wintertime and air temperature inversion intensity was also higher than other nearby area (SMG).

A Phytogeographical Study on the Distribution of Bamboos in the Korean Peninsula (韓半島의 대나무類 分布와 그 環境要因에 관한 植物地理學的 硏究)

  • Kong, Woo Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 1985
  • Correlations between horizontal distributions of bamboos (Bambusaceae) in the Korean peninsula and environmental factors were studied using taxanomic and geographical literatures, both old and current. The vertical distributions of bamboos on Mt. Chiri were also studied, and environmental factors limiting horizontal and vertical distributions were compared. There are 18 species of bamboos (belonging to 5 genera) distributed in the Korean peninsula. The distributional range of each genus were distinct, although overlapped. Northern limit of bamboos of any species was marked by the line connecting Paikryung Island (124。40'E, 38。00'N), Mt. Changsoo, Mt. Myungji, Mt. Myohyung and Myungchum (129。40'E, 41。10'N). The optimum range of bamboos was concluded to be restricted to several southern province, with annual precipitation over 1,200 mm. The limiting factors on the distribution were inferred to be low temperature and duration of it. Mean daily minimum temperature of January and the number of days with daily mean temperatures below zero during January showed close associations with the distributional range, and an environmental factors favouring the distributrion of bamboos appeared to be vicinity of warm sea current, deep and extended snow acculation and southern exposure. The vertical distribution of bamboos on Mt. Chiri was limited by low temperature, unfavorable topographic and edaphic conditions caused by steep slope. Difference in the vertical limits between SE and NW slopes are caused by the differences in temperature and precipitation between the slopes. Bamboos were more abundant in valleys than on the ridge, apparently because the deeper snow in the valleys protected the plants from low temperature, heavy winter winds and desiccation.

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