• 제목/요약/키워드: Wind power uncertainty

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.032초

3MW 풍력발전시스템 출력 성능시험 및 불확도 분석 (Power Performance Testing and Uncertainty Analysis for a 3MW Wind Turbine)

  • 김건훈;현승건
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.10-15
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    • 2010
  • The installed capacity of wind turbines in KOREA are growing and enlarging by the central government's support program. Thus, the importance of power performance verification and its uncertainty analysis are recognizing rapidly. This paper described the power testing results of a 3MW wind turbine and analysed an uncertainty level of measurements. The measured power curves are very closely coincide with the calculated one and the annual power production under the given Rayleigh wind speed distribution are estimated with the 3.6~12.7% of uncertainty but, in the dominant wind speed region as 7~8m/s, the uncertainty are stably decreased to 6.3~5.3%.

LSTM을 활용한 풍력발전예측에 영향을 미치는 요인분석 (Analysis on Factors Influencing on Wind Power Generation Using LSTM)

  • 이송근;최준영
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 2020
  • Accurate forecasting of wind power is important for grid operation. Wind power has intermittent and nonlinear characteristics, which increases the uncertainty in wind power generation. In order to accurately predict wind power generation with high uncertainty, it is necessary to analyze the factors affecting wind power generation. In this paper, 6 factors out of 11 are selected for more accurate wind power generation forecast. These are wind speed, sine value of wind direction, cosine value of wind direction, local pressure, ground temperature, and history data of wind power generated.

1.5MW 풍력발전시스템 출력 성능시험 및 불확도 분석 (Power Performance Testing and Uncertainty Analysis for a 1.5MW Wind turbine)

  • 김건훈;주영철;김대호
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2006
  • The installed capacity of wind turbines in KOREA are growing and enlarging by the central government's support program. Thus, the importance of power performance verification and its uncertainty analysis are recognizing rapidly. This paper described the Power testing results of a 1.5MW wind turbine and analysed an uncertainty level of measurements. The measured power curves are very closely coincide with the calculated one and the annual power production under the given Rayleigh wind speed distribution are estimated with the $4.7{\sim}22.0%$ of uncertainty but, in the dominant wind speed region as $7{\sim}8m/s$, the uncertainty are stably decreased to $7{\sim}8%$.

3.0MW 풍력발전기 출력 성능 및 불확실성 분석 (ANALYSIS OF POWER PERFORMANCE AND UNCERTAINTY FOR A 3.0MW WIND TURBINE)

  • 허수영;김경보;허종철
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2010년 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.28-31
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    • 2010
  • In order to clarify the characteristics of power performance and uncertainty of a wind turbine, an investigation was performed in Hangyeong wind farm, Jeju island, Korea. Data were collected for 12 months from Feb. 2, 2008 to Jan. 1, 2009. This study was conducted on the base of the International standard, and observed the methods of mesurement and evaluation form IEC 61400-12. As a result, power performance curve was calculated by measured data and compared with the sixth unit of VESTAS V90-3.0MW in Hangyeong wind farms. In consequence of this paper, uncertainty was estimated from 7% to 14% on the range of the average wind speed from 4m/s to 11m/s.

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3MW 풍력발전시스템 출력성능평가에 관한 연구 (The Power Performance Testing for 3MW Wind turbine System)

  • 고석환;장문석;박종포;이윤섭
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2011
  • We are carried out power performance testing for 3MW wind turbine system at Je-ju wind turbine testing Site and analyzed measured data which was stored through monitoring system. In this paper, we described the power performance testing results and analyzed an uncertainty of measured data sets. The power curve with measured power data is closely coincide with designed power curve except for the low wind speed sections(4m/s~7m/s) and the annual energy production which is given Ray leigh distribution was included with 1.5~5.9% of uncertainty in the wind speed region as 4~11m/s. Although the deviation of curve between measured power and designed power is high, the difference of annual energy production is low in the low wind speed region.

Effects of Wind Generation Uncertainty and Volatility on Power System Small Signal Stability

  • Shi, Li-Bao;Kang, Li;Yao, Liang-Zhong;Qin, Shi-Yao;Wang, Rui-Ming;Zhang, Jin-Ping
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.60-70
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    • 2014
  • This paper discusses the impacts of large scale grid-connected wind farm equipped with permanent magnet synchronous generator (PMSG) on power system small signal stability (SSS) incorporating wind generation uncertainty and volatility. Firstly, a practical simplified PMSG model with rotor-flux-oriented control strategy applied is derived. In modeling PMSG generator side converter, the generator-voltage-oriented control strategy is utilized to implement the decoupled control of active and reactive power output. In modeling PMSG grid side converter, the grid-voltage-oriented control strategy is applied to realize the control of DC link voltage and the reactive power regulation. Based on the Weibull distribution of wind speed, the Monte Carlo simulation technique based is carried out on the IEEE 16-generator-68-bus test system as benchmark to study the impacts of wind generation uncertainty and volatility on small signal stability. Finally, some preliminary conclusions and comments are given.

풍속고도분포지수 산정 및 불확도 평가 - 제주도 사례 (Calculation of Vertical Wind Profile Exponents and Its Uncertainty Evaluation - Jeju Island Cases)

  • 김유미;김현구;강용혁;윤창열;김진영;김창기;김신영
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2016
  • For accurate wind resource assessment and wind turbine performance test, it is essential to secure wind data covering a rotor plane of wind turbine including a hub height. In general, we can depict wind speed profile by extrapolating or interpolating the wind speed data measured from a meteorological tower where multiple anemometers are mounted at different heights using a power-law of wind speed profile. The most important parameter of a power-law equation is a vertical wind profile exponent which represents local characteristics of terrain and land cover. In this study, we calculated diurnal vertical wind profile exponents of 8 locations in Jeju Island who possesses excellent wind resource according to the GUM (Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement) to evaluate its uncertainty. Expanded uncertainty is calculated by combined standard uncertainty, which is the result of composing type A standard uncertainty with type B standard uncertainty. Although pooled standard deviation should be considered to derive type A uncertainty, we used the standard deviation of vertical wind profile exponent of each day avoiding the difficult of uncertainty evaluation of diurnal wind profile variation. It is anticipated that the evaluated uncertainties of diurnal vertical wind profile exponents at 8 locations in Jeju Island are to be registered as a national standard reference data and widely used in the relevant areas.

풍력발전기 출력성능 평가에 대한 연구 (The Study about Performance Test of Wind turbine)

  • 고석환;장문석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1348-1349
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, The case of power performance test for 3MW wind-turbine system is introduced. For the verification of power curve and the certification of wind-turbine, power performance test is very important. This paper described the power testing results of a 3MW wind turbine and analysed an uncertainty about the testing. The measured power curves are very closely coincide with the calculated. Total uncertainty of measured data for Power Curve is 120~200kW in the rated power.

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Site calibration이 풍력발전시스템 성능시험 불확도에 미치는 영향 연구 (A Study for the Effect on the Uncertainty of Power Performance Testing of Windturbine by a Site Calibration)

  • 김건훈;현승건
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2011
  • A comparison study between two performance testing results, one is on the site calibration not needed and the other is needed, was proceeded for the understanding on the effect of site calibration on the complex terrain. As a result, it is revealed that all of uncertainty components is effected by the topographical features dramatically. And the maximum difference of uncertainty reached at around 8% of rated capacity of wind turbine. So, the site calibration is an effective method to remove the variable wind effect by the ground complexity and must be proceeded before the power performance testing of a wind turbine.

풍력을 포함한 마이크로그리드의 이윤극대 급전계획 연구 (A Probabilistic Analysis for Profit Maximization in a Microgrid Including Wind Power)

  • 조벽근;한종훈;장길수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.270-271
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    • 2011
  • Due to integration of wind power, its unpredictable uncertainty can be a very lethal factor in generation dispatch problem. To handle such uncertainty of wind power output, a profit maximization problem is formulated and random wind speed is modeled by Weibull distribution in this paper. A case study is calculated through profit maximization approach with random wind speed. The effect of case study results is evaluated on how the uncertain wind power integration into the power system affects on the generation dispatch.

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