• 제목/요약/키워드: Wind Speed Prediction

검색결과 324건 처리시간 0.018초

도시건물정보를 반영한 초고해상도 규모상세화 수치자료 산출체계(KMAPP) 구축 및 풍속 평가 (Development and Wind Speed Evaluation of Ultra High Resolution KMAPP Using Urban Building Information Data)

  • 김도형;이승욱;정형세;박성화;김연희
    • 대기
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to build and evaluate a high-resolution (50 m) KMAPP (Korea Meteorological Administration Post Processing) reflecting building data. KMAPP uses LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) data to detail ground wind speed through surface roughness and elevation corrections. During the detailing process, we improved the vegetation roughness data to reflect the impact of city buildings. AWS (Automatic Weather Station) data from a total of 48 locations in the metropolitan area including Seoul in 2019 were used as the observation data used for verification. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by dividing the experiment according to the method of improving the vegetation roughness length. KMAPP has been shown to improve the tendency of LDAPS to over simulate surface wind speeds. Compared to LDAPS, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) is improved by approximately 23% and Mean Bias Error (MBE) by about 47%. However, there is an error in the roughness length around the Han River or the coastline. Accordingly, the surface roughness length was improved in KMAPP and the building information was reflected. In the sensitivity experiment of improved KMAPP, RMSE was further improved to 6% and MBE to 3%. This study shows that high-resolution KMAPP reflecting building information can improve wind speed accuracy in urban areas.

황사의 확산예측을 위한 기상정보의 시간해상도에 관한 수치연구 (Numerical study on temporal resolution of meteorological information for prediction of Asian dust)

  • 이순환;곽은영;류찬수;문윤섭
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.891-902
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    • 2004
  • In order to predict air pollution and Yellow-sand dispersion precisely, it is necessary to clarify the sensitivity of meteorological field input interval. Therefore numerical experiment by atmospheric dynamic model(RAMS) and atmospheric dispersion model(PDAS) was performed for evaluating the effect of temporal and spatial resolution of meteorological data on particle dispersion. The results are as follows: 1) Base on the result of RAMS simulation, surface wind direction and speed can either synchronize upper wind or not. If surface wind and upper wind do not synchronize, precise prediction of Yellow-sand dispersion is strongly associated with upwelling process of sand of particle. 2) There is no significant discrepance in distribution of particle under usage of difference temporal resolution of meteorological information at early time of simulation, but the difference of distribution of particles become large as time goes by. 3) There is little difference between calculated particles distributions in dispersion experiments with high temporal resolution of meteorological data. On the other hand, low resolution of meteorological data occur the quantitative difference of particle density and there is strong tendency to the quantitative difference.

복사전달과정에서 지형효과에 따른 기상수치모델의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Model with Topographic Effect in the Radiative Transfer Process)

  • 지준범;민재식;장민;김부요;조일성;이규태
    • 대기
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.385-398
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    • 2017
  • Numerical weather prediction experiments were carried out by applying topographic effects to reduce or enhance the solar radiation by terrain. In this study, x and ${\kappa}({\phi}_o,\;{\theta}_o)$ are precalculated for topographic effect on high resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) with 1 km spatial resolution, and meteorological variables are analyzed through the numerical experiments. For the numerical simulations, cases were selected in winter (CASE 1) and summer (CASE 2). In the CASE 2, topographic effect was observed on the southward surface to enhance the solar energy reaching the surface, and enhance surface temperature and temperature at 2 m. Especially, the surface temperature is changed sensitively due to the change of the solar energy on the surface, but the change of the precipitation is difficult to match of topographic effect. As a result of the verification using Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Automated Weather System (AWS) data on Seoul metropolitan area, the topographic effect is very weak in the winter case. In the CASE 1, the improvement of accuracy was numerically confirmed by decreasing the bias and RMSE (Root mean square error) of temperature at 2 m, wind speed at 10 m and relative humidity. However, the accuracy of rainfall prediction (Threat score (TS), BIAS, equitable threat score (ETS)) with topographic effect is decreased compared to without topographic effect. It is analyzed that the topographic effect improves the solar radiation on surface and affect the enhancements of surface temperature, 2 meter temperature, wind speed, and PBL height.

풍력단지개발 예비타당성 평가를 위한 모델의 WRF 풍황자원 예측 정확도 검증 (Verification of the Validity of WRF Model for Wind Resource Assessment in Wind Farm Pre-feasibility Studies)

  • 허수영;김범석;허종철
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제39권9호
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    • pp.735-742
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 국지적 기상현상의 모사가 가능하고 AWS, 기상탑, 또는 위성자료의 입력이 필요치 않은 WRF 기상수치모델을 이용하여, 풍력단지의 풍황자원 예측정확도 및 적용타당성을 비교 검증하고자 한다. 풍력단지개발 예비타당성단계에서 요구되는 풍황자원 예측을 위한 WRF 모델의 적용타당성 검증을 위해, 기상탑 풍황측정자료와 WAsP에 의한 풍황자원 예측결과와의 비교 검증을 수행하였고 제주도 북서쪽에 위치한 평대와 우도사이트를 비교 검증용 사이트로 선정하였다. 연 월평균풍속, 와이블분포, 연간발전량 및 바람장미의 예측결과가 실측자료와 비교 검증되었고 WRF 모델의 풍황해석결과는 WAsP의 결과에 비해 높은 예측 정확도를 나타내었다. 풍력단지개발 예비타당성 평가를 위한 WRF 모델의 풍황자원 예측가능성이 최종적으로 확인되었다.

역전층이 영동 지역의 활강풍에 미치는 영향에 관한 민감도 수치실험 연구 (A Numerical Sensitivity Experiment of the Downslope Windstorm over the Yeongdong Region in Relation to the Inversion layer of Temperature)

  • 이재규;인소라
    • 대기
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2009
  • A sensitivity study has been performed using ARPS (Advanced Regional Prediction System) version 5.2.10 in a downslope windstorm case of 12-13 February 2006. The purpose of this study was to find out the role of the inversion layer of temperature mainly in relation to the strength of the downslope winds over the Yeongdong region located downstream of the Taebaek mountains. Under the conditions of N (Brunt-$V{\ddot{a}}is{\ddot{a}}la$ frequency)=0.008 and N=0.016, the effects of the presence of the inversion layer, its variation of height of the layer, and the depth of the layer were identified. The sensitivity experiments suggested that the inversion layer effected the downstream wind speed of the mountains under both conditions of N=0.008 and N=0.016, and notably when the inversion layer was located near the mountain crest the downstream wind speed of the mountains was strong (~ $27ms^{-1}$) only under the condition of N=0.016. In addition, when the atmosphere was rather stable (N=0.016) and the depth of the layer was relatively thin (765 m) the downstream wind speed of the mountains was the strongest (~ $30ms^{-1}$) among the sensitivity experiments.

해륙풍관측 data의 차원추정 값에 대한 수치적 검증 (A Numerical Certification to Estimated Dimensions of the Observed Land-Sea Breeze Data)

  • 이화운;김유근;이영곤
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.661-667
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    • 1999
  • Estimating dimensions of attractors are the most basic tools to analyze properties of chaotical dynamic systems. In this paper, we estimate correlation dimensions of meteorological variables, such as wind speed (v) and temperature (T) observed in Kimhae International Airport when the land-sea breeze circulation is appeared and find low non-integer values that reflect the deterministic chaos characterizing the dynamics. We compare the results with the correlation dimensions of 2-dimensional model that is calculated by finite element method. Though the correlation dimensions of the calculated wind speed ( v) are less than those of the observed wind speed ( v), we can suggest that the land-sea breeze circulation has not a unique mechanism. The land-sea breeze phenomenon is a complicated dynamics, which is constructed with various scale motions of atmosphere. In further research, we hope to find more accurate dynamics of land-sea breeze through wide observations and using of more sophisticated prediction models.

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태백산맥의 지형적인 효과와 관련된 강릉 지역의 강풍 사례에 대한 수치모의 연구 (A numerical study of the orographic effect of the Taebak mountains on the increase of the downslope wind speed near Gangnung area)

  • 이재규
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.1245-1254
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    • 2003
  • A numerical simulation for 11 February 1996 has been done to grasp main mechanisms of the occurrence of strong downslope winds near Gangnung area. The simulation performed by using ARPS (Advanced Regional Prediction System) showed that enhanced surface winds were not related with a reflection of vertically propagating gravity waves. Froude numbers were about 1.0, 0.4 and 0.6 for the atmosphere above Daekwanryoung and above a place located 220km upstream, and above another place located 230km downstream from the Taebak mountains, respectively. This suggested that as a subcritical flow ascended the upslope side of the Taebak mountains, Froude numbers would tend to increase according to the increase in wind speed, and near the crest the flow would become supercritical and continue to accelerate as it went down the downslope side until it was adapted back to the ambient subcritical conditions in a turbulent hydraulic jump. Simulated Froude numbers corroborated the hydraulic jump nature of the strong downslope wind. In addition, the inversion was found near the mountain top height upstream of the mountains, and it was favorable for the occurrence of strong downslope winds.

유동해석을 통한 수직축 풍력발전 터빈의 성능 예측 (Performance Prediction of Wind Power Turbine by CFD Analysis)

  • 김종호;김종봉;오영록
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2013
  • 수직축 풍력발전기의 발전 전력을 유동해석을 이용하여 예측하였다. 해석은 블레이드 회전 속도를 고정하고 그 회전 속도에서 토크를 반력으로 추출하였다. 여러 경우의 블레이드의 회전 속도에 대해 토크를 구하고 발전 용량을 계산하였다. 회전 속도에 따른 발전 토크와 발전 용량을 계산함으로써 최적의 발전기와 그 때의 회전 속도를 선정할 수 있었다. 또한, 블레이드의 개수와 블레이드의 형상에 대해 해석을 수행하여 그 영향을 분석하였다. 마지막으로 실험을 수행하여 그 결과를 비교하였다.

포항지역의 기후요소별 분석 (An Analysis of Climatic Elements around the Pohang area)

  • 정우식;김현구;이순환;이화운
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.449-455
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    • 2003
  • 포항일대의 대기환경을 이해하고 예측의 기초정보로 활용하기 위해 기후학적 요소들에 대한 조사를 수행하였다. 분석을 통해, 포항지역의 연평균 기온, 상대습도, 강수량은 각각 14.39$^{\circ}C$, 63.3%, 1,178mm로 나타났다. 포항지역에서의 연간 탁월풍은 남서풍으로 나타났으며 평균풍속은 2.7m/s였다. 운량은 장마기간이 포함되며 지형효과에 의한 대류운이 활발하게 나타나는 여름에 많았다. 또한 연평균 일조시간은 약 2,221시간으로 나타났다.

소형 저속 풍동에서 NASA 표준 연구 모형의 모형지지부 효과 연구 (Study on Model Support Interference of the Scaled NASA Common Research Model in Small Low Speed Wind Tunnel)

  • 김남균;조철영;고성호
    • 한국추진공학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2020
  • 29.7% 축소 NASA 표준 연구 모형에 대하여 소형 저속 풍동에서 시험을 수행하였다. 풍동시험 모형은 NASA Langley 연구소와 AIAA 항력추정 워크숍 위원회의 지침에 따라 알루미늄으로 제작하였다. 풍동의 능력 한계 등으로 상대적으로 낮은 레이놀즈수인 0.3 × 106 에서 정적 힘과 모멘트를 측정하였다. 세 가지 타입(핀 스팅, 블레이드 스팅, 벨리 스팅) 모형지지부에 대하여 피칭모멘트를 비교하였다. 보정된 벨리 스팅과 핀 스팅에 의한 피칭모멘트 보정량은 비슷하였으며 블레이드 스팅에 의한 피칭모멘트 값이 가장 적었다.