• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind Estimation

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A Study on the Estimation Model of Cost of Energy for Wind Turbines (풍력발전기의 에너지 비용 산출에 대한 고찰)

  • Chung, Taeyoung;Moon, Seokjun;Rim, Chaewhan
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2012
  • Large offshore wind farms have actively been developed in order to meet the needs for wind energy since the land-based wind farms have almost been fully developed especially in Europe. The key problem for the construction of offshore wind farms may be on the high cost of energy compared to land-based ones. NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory) has developed a spreadsheet-based tool to estimate the cost of wind-generated electricity from both land-based and offshore wind turbines. Component formulas for various kinds and scales of wind turbines were made using available field data. In this paper, this NREL estimation model is introduced and applied to the offshore wind turbines now under designing or in production in Korea, and the result is discussed.

Characteristic Analysis on the Wind Data in the Pohang Coastal Zone (포항 연안 바람자료의 특성분석)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Cho, Hongyeon;Baek, Wondae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.190-196
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    • 2015
  • The estimation method of the sea wind information using the nearby land wind data have been widely used. However, it is insufficient to examine the limitation of the method based on the characteristics of the wind data. In this study, the characteristics of the wind data are analysed and compared to check the limitation of the existing conventional method. The data are observed at the same time period in the land and sea stations in Pohang coastal zone. In particular, the analysis are focused on the direction data simply overlooked in the analysis target. The method is suggested as a useful tool for the various analysis of the wind direction data. The results show that the statistical informations between the land and sea wind data are quite different though the lineal distance between stations are not large (${\fallingdotseq}3.8km$). The difference is attributed to come from the geometrical gradient and elevation difference between land and sea areas. As a consequence, the quantitative estimation error should be checked preliminarily using the land-sea monitoring data sets because the sea wind estimation using land data is essentially unacceptable.

A Study on Wind Speed Estimation and Maximum Power Point Tracking scheme for Wind Turbine System (풍력발전기를 위한 신경망 기반의 풍속 추정 및 MPPT 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Dae-Sun;Kim, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.852-857
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    • 2010
  • As the wind has become one of the fastest growing renewable energy sources, the key issue of wind energy conversion systems is on how to efficiently operate the wind turbines in a wide range of wind speeds. In general, the wind speed is the main factor that impact on the dynamics of wind turbine system. Wind turbine algorithms are thus required to improve the performance of wind speed measurements. However, the accurate measurement of the effective wind speed using wind gauge and similar sensors is difficult such that control systems are needed for wind speed estimation using various techniques. Therefore, this research suggests the Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) method for tracking the wind speed based on neural networks. Design experiments were carried out in laboratory environment to validate the application of the proposed method.

The Influence of Optical Porosity of Tree Windbreaks on Windward Wind Speed, Erosive Force and Sand Deposition

  • Dafa-Alla, M.D.;Al-Amin, Nawal K.N.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.212-218
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    • 2016
  • The research was conducted windward of an irrigated Acacia amplicips Maslin windbreak established to protect As Salam Cement Plant from winds and moving sands. Two belts with approximate optical porosities of 50% and 20% were studied in River Nile State, Sudan. The research aimed at assessing the efficiency of the two belts in wind speed reduction and sand deposition. Research methods included: (i) estimation of optical porosity, (ii) measurements of windward wind speeds at a control and at distances of 0.5 h (h stands for windbreak height), 1 h and 2 h at two vertical levels of 0.25 h and 0.5 h, (iii) estimation of relative wind speeds at the three positions (distance and height) at windward and (iv) estimation of wind erosive forces and prediction of zones of sand deposition. Results show that while the two belts reduced windward wind speeds at the two levels for the three distances, belt II was more effective. Nearest sand deposition occurred at 2 h and 1h windward of belt II and belt I, respectively, at level 0.25 h. At level 0.5 h, sand was deposited only at 2 h windward of belt II and no sand deposition occurred windward of belt I. The study concludes that less porous windbreaks are more effective in reducing wind speed and in depositing sand in windward direction at a distance of not less than twice the belt height.

Design wind speed prediction suitable for different parent sample distributions

  • Zhao, Lin;Hu, Xiaonong;Ge, Yaojun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.423-435
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    • 2021
  • Although existing algorithms can predict wind speed using historical observation data, for engineering feasibility, most use moment methods and probability density functions to estimate fitted parameters. However, extreme wind speed prediction accuracy for long-term return periods is not always dependent on how the optimized frequency distribution curves are obtained; long-term return periods emphasize general distribution effects rather than marginal distributions, which are closely related to potential extreme values. Moreover, there are different wind speed parent sample types; how to theoretically select the proper extreme value distribution is uncertain. The influence of different sampling time intervals has not been evaluated in the fitting process. To overcome these shortcomings, updated steps are introduced, involving parameter sensitivity analysis for different sampling time intervals. The extreme value prediction accuracy of unknown parent samples is also discussed. Probability analysis of mean wind is combined with estimation of the probability plot correlation coefficient and the maximum likelihood method; an iterative estimation algorithm is proposed. With the updated steps and comparison using a Monte Carlo simulation, a fitting policy suitable for different parent distributions is proposed; its feasibility is demonstrated in extreme wind speed evaluations at Longhua and Chuansha meteorological stations in Shanghai, China.

Estimation of extreme wind pressure coefficient in a zone by multivariate extreme value theory

  • Yang, Qingshan;Li, Danyu;Hui, Yi;Law, Siu-Seong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2020
  • Knowledge on the design value of extreme wind pressure coefficients (EWPC) of a specific zone of buildings is essential for the wind-resistant capacity of claddings. This paper presents a method to estimate the representative EWPC introducing the multivariate extreme value model. The spatial correlations of the extreme wind pressures at different locations can be consider through the multivariate extreme value. The moving average method is also adopted in this method, so that the measured point pressure can be converted to wind pressure of an area. The proposed method is applied to wind tunnel test results of a large flat roof building. Comparison with existing methods shows that it can give a good estimation for all target zones with different sizes.

Equivalent static wind load estimation in wind-resistant design of single-layer reticulated shells

  • Li, Yuan-Qi;Tamura, Yukio
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.443-454
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    • 2005
  • Wind loading is very important, even dominant in some cases, to large-span single-layer reticulated shells. At present, usually equivalent static methods based on quasi-steady assumption, as the same as the wind-resistant design of low-rise buildings, are used in the structural design. However, it is not easy to estimate a suitable equivalent static wind load so that the effects of fluctuating component of wind on the structural behaviors, especially on structural stability, can be well considered. In this paper, the effects of fluctuating component of wind load on the stability of a single-layer reticulated spherical shell model are investigated based on wind pressure distribution measured simultaneously in the wind tunnel. Several methods used to estimate the equivalent static wind load distribution for equivalent static wind-resistant design are reviewed. A new simple method from the stability point of view is presented to estimate the most unfavorable wind load distribution considering the effects of fluctuating component on the stability of shells. Finally, with comparisive analyses using different methods, the efficiency of the presented method for wind-resistant analysis of single-layer reticulated shells is established.

Flicker Measurement based on SVR for Fixed-Speed Wind Generator Systems

  • Van, Tan Luong;Lee, Dong-Choon
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.117-119
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a simulation model based on support vector regression (SVR) for flicker emission estimation from wind turbines. Training patterns are developed by varying the wind speed and network parameters that might affect the expected flicker levels. A comparison is done to the fixed speed wind turbine (WT), which leads to a conclusion that the factors mentioned above have different influences on flicker emission. The simulation results have shown that the flicker estimation is performed accurately.

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The use of linear stochastic estimation for the reduction of data in the NIST aerodynamic database

  • Chen, Y.;Kopp, G.A.;Surry, D.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.107-126
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes a simple and practical approach through the application of Linear Stochastic Estimation (LSE) to reconstruct wind-induced pressure time series from the covariance matrix for structural load analyses on a low building roof. The main application of this work would be the reduction of the data storage requirements for the NIST aerodynamic database. The approach is based on the assumption that a random pressure field can be estimated as a linear combination of some other known pressure time series by truncating nonlinear terms of a Taylor series expansion. Covariances between pressure time series to be simulated and reference time series are used to calculate the estimation coefficients. The performance using different LSE schemes with selected reference time series is demonstrated by the reconstruction of structural load time series in a corner bay for three typical wind directions. It is shown that LSE can simulate structural load time series accurately, given a handful of reference pressure taps (or even a single tap). The performance of LSE depends on the choice of the reference time series, which should be determined by considering the balance between the accuracy, data-storage requirements and the complexity of the approach. The approach should only be used for the determination of structural loads, since individual reconstructed pressure time series (for local load analyses) will have larger errors associated with them.