• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind Estimation

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Estimation Model of Wind speed Based on Time series Analysis (시계열 자료 분석기법에 의한 풍속 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Keon-Hoon;Jung, Young-Seok;Ju, Young-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2008
  • A predictive model of wind speed in the wind farm has very important meanings. This paper presents an estimation model of wind speed based on time series analysis using the observed wind data at Hangyeong Wind Farm in Jeju island, and verification of the predictive model. In case of Hangyeong Wind Farm and Haengwon Wind Farm, The ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) predictive model was appropriate, and the wind speed estimation model was developed by means of parametric estimation using Maximum likelihood Estimation.

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An alternative method for estimation of annual extreme wind speeds

  • Hui, Yi;Yang, Qingshan;Li, Zhengnong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.169-184
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a method of estimation of extreme wind. Assuming the extreme wind follows the Gumbel distribution, it is modeled through fitting an exponential function to the numbers of storms over different thresholds. The comparison between the estimated results with the Improved Method of Independent Storms (IMIS) shows that the proposed method gives reliable estimation of extreme wind. The proposed method also shows its advantage on the insensitiveness of estimated results to the precision of the data. The volume of extreme storms used in the estimation leads to more than 5% differences in the estimated wind speed with 50-year return period. The annual rate of independent storms is not a significant factor to the estimation.

Adaptive maximum power point tracking control of wind turbine system based on wind speed estimation

  • Hyun, Jong-Ho;Kim, Kyung-Youn
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.460-475
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    • 2018
  • In the variable-speed wind energy system, to achieve maximum power point tracking (MPPT), the wind turbine should run close to its optimal angular speed according to the wind speed. Non-linear control methods that consider the dynamic behavior of wind speed are generally used to provide maximum power and improved efficiency. In this perspective, the mechanical power is estimated using Kalman filter. And then, from the estimated mechanical power, the wind speed is estimated with Newton-Raphson method to achieve maximum power without anemometer. However, the blade shape and air density get changed with time and the generator efficiency is also degraded. This results in incorrect estimation of wind speed and MPPT. It causes not only the power loss but also incorrect wind resource assessment of site. In this paper, the adaptive maximum power point tracking control algorithm for wind turbine system based on the estimation of wind speed is proposed. The proposed method applies correction factor to wind turbine system to have accurate wind speed estimation for exact MPPT. The proposed method is validated with numerical simulations and the results show an improved performance.

Estimation of Sea Surface Wind Speed and Direction From RADARSAT Data

  • Kim, Duk-Jin;Wooil-M. Moon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.485-490
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    • 1999
  • Wind vector information over the ocean is currently obtained using multiple beam scatterometer data. The scatterometers on ERS-1/2 generate wind vector information with a spatial resolution of 50km and accuracies of $\pm$2m/s in wind speed and $\pm$20$^{\circ}$ in wind direction. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data over the ocean have the potential of providing wind vector information independent of weather conditions with finer resolution. Finer resolution wind vector information can often be useful particularly in coastal regions where the scatterometer wind information is often corrupted because of the lower resolution system characteristics which is often contaminated by the signal returns from the coastal areas or ice in the case of arctic environments. In this paper we tested CMOD_4 and CMOD_IFR2 algorithms for extracting the wind vector from SAR data. These algorithms require precise estimation of normalized radar cross-section and wind direction from the SAR data and the local incidence angle. The CMOD series algorithms were developed for the C-band, VV-Polarized SAR data, typically for the ERS SAR data. Since RADARSAT operates at the same C-band but with HH-Polarization, the CMOD series algorithms should not be used directly. As a preliminary approach of resolving with this problem, we applied the polarization ratio between the HH and VV polarizations in the wind vectors estimation. Two test areas, one in front of Inchon and several sites around Jeju island were selected and investigated for wind vector estimation. The new results were compared with the wind vectors obtained from CMOD algorithms. The wind vector results agree well with the observed wind speed data. However the estimation of wind direction agree with the observed wind direction only when the wind speed is greater than approximately 3.0m/s.

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Estimation of Cost of Energy for Offshore Wind Turbines (해상 풍력발전의 경제성 분석)

  • Chung, Taeyoung;Moon, Seokjun;Lee, Hanmin;Rim, Chaewhan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.177.1-177.1
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    • 2010
  • Large offshore wind farms have actively been developed in order to meet the needs for wind energy since the land-based wind farms have almost been fully developed especially in Europe. The key problem for the construction of offshore wind farms may be on the high cost of energy compared to land-based ones. NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory) has developed a spreadsheet-based tool to estimate the cost of wind-generated electricity from both land-based and offshore wind turbines. Component formulas for various kinds and scales of wind turbines were made using available field data. Annual energy production has been estimated based on the Weibull probability distributions of wind. In this paper, this NREL estimation model is introduced and applied to the offshore wind turbines now under designing or in production in Korea, and the result is discussed.

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Estimation Method of Wind Resource Potential Using a National Wind Map (국가바람지도에 의한 풍력자원 잠재량 산출방법)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Jang, M.S.;Kim, E.I.;Lee, H.W.;Lee, S.H.;Kim, D.H.
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.332-333
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents an estimation method of national wind resource potential using a national and GIS(Geographical Information System). The wind resource potential is classified into theoretical, geographical and technical potentials and each category narrows down the previous definition by excluding impossible area to be developed as a wind farm using GIS datasets for onshore and offshore. As a basic unit of wind energy potential at a certain area, API(Average Power Intercepted) is calculated from WPD(Wind Power Density) given by a national wind map which is established by numerical wind simulation, so that a logical and relatively accurate potential estimation is possible comparing with other methods based on a field measurement interpolation which is inevitable to avoid critical assumptions.

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Feedforward Pitch Control Using Wind Speed Estimation

  • Nam, Yoon-Su;Kim, Jeong-Gi;Paek, In-Su;Moon, Young-Hwan;Kim, Seog-Joo;Kim, Dong-Joon
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.211-217
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    • 2011
  • The dynamic response of a multi-MW wind turbine to a sudden change in wind speed is usually slow, because of the slow pitch control system. This could cause a large excursion of the rotor speed and an output power over the rated. A feedforward pitch control can be applied to minimize the fluctuations of these parameters. This paper introduces the complete design steps for a feedforward pitch controller, which consist of three stages, i.e. the aerodynamic torque estimation, the 3-dimensional lookup table for the wind seed estimation, and the calculation of the feedforward pitch amount. The effectiveness of the feedforward control is verified through numerical simulations of a multi-MW wind turbine.

TWO KINDS OF STATIC AND DYNAMIC STATE ESTIMATION METHODS BY USING WIND SPEED INFORMATION IN ENVIRONMENTAL LOW-FREQUENCY NOISE MEASUREMENT

  • Takakuwa, Y.;Ohta, M.;Nishimura, M.;Minamihara, H.
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1994.06a
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    • pp.806-811
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    • 1994
  • Two kinds of static and dynamic state estimation methods are newly discussed for the problem of the measurement disturbance of environmental low-frequency noise in the presence of wind-induced noise. First, the probability characteristics of wind-induced noise are discussed in the form of probability distribution conditioned by wind speed, based on the simultaneous observation of the wind-induced noise and wind speed near a microphone. Next, especially form the viewpoint of simplicity for practical use, two kinds of static and dynamic state estimation methods are discussed. The static estimation method using the information on wind speed is fundamentally supported by the conservation principle of energy sum. The dynamic one is the method by using a recursive digital filter with the parameters successively renewed by the information on wind speed. This can be also simplified by using well-know Kalman filter under the assumption of the Gaussian distribution. The effectiveness of proposed two estimation methods are shown through experiments under a breezy condition in the open filed.

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Influences of Energy Production Estimation Errors on Project Feasibility Indicators of a Wind Project and Critical Factor Analysis by AHP (풍력발전사업 에너지생산량 산정 오차가 사업성지표에 미치는 영향 및 AHP를 이용한 중요인자 분석)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Case studies are made to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of energy production estimation and project feasibility indicators such as rate of return on equity (ROE) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for three wind farm projects. It is found out that 1% improvement in the accuracy of energy production estimation may enhance the ROE by more than 0.5% in the case of P95, thanks to improved financing terms. AHP survey shows that MCP correlation of measured in situ wind data with long term wind speed distribution and hands-on experiences of flow analysis are more important than other factors for more precise annual energy production estimation.

Inverse active wind load inputs estimation of the multilayer shearing stress structure

  • Chen, Tsung-Chien;Lee, Ming-Hui
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2008
  • This research investigates the adaptive input estimation method applied to the multilayer shearing stress structure. This method is to estimate the values of wind load inputs by analyzing the active reaction of the system. The Kalman filter without the input term and the adaptive weighted recursive least square estimator are two main portions of this method. The innovation vector can be produced by the Kalman filter, and be applied to the adaptive weighted recursive least square estimator to estimate the wind load input over time. This combined method can effectively estimate the wind loads to the structure system to enhance the reliability of the system active performance analysis. The forms of the simulated inputs (loads) in this paper include the periodic sinusoidal wave, the decaying exponent, the random combination of the sinusoidal wave and the decaying exponent, etc. The active reaction computed plus the simulation error is regard as the simulated measurement and is applied to the input estimation algorithm to implement the numerical simulation of the inverse input estimation process. The availability and the precision of the input estimation method proposed in this research can be verified by comparing the actual value and the one obtained by numerical simulation.