• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weighted Average Model

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Nonlinear Time Series Prediction Modeling by Weighted Average Defuzzification Based on NEWFM (NEWFM 기반 가중평균 역퍼지화에 의한 비선형 시계열 예측 모델링)

  • Chai, Soo-Han;Lim, Joon-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.563-568
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a methodology for predicting nonlinear time series based on the neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM). The degree of classification intensity is obtained by bounded sum of weighted fuzzy membership functions extracted by NEWFM, then weighted average defuzzification is used for predicting nonlinear time series. The experimental results demonstrate that NEWFM has the classification capability of 92.22% against the target class of GDP. The time series created by NEWFM model has a relatively close approximation to the GDP which is a typical business cycle indicator, and has been proved to be a useful indicator which has the turning point forecasting capability of average 12 months in the peak point and average 6 months in the trough point during 5th to 8th cyclical period. In addition, NEWFM measures the efficiency of the economic indexes by the feature selection and enables the users to forecast with reduced numbers of 7 among 10 leading indexes while improving the classification rate from 90% to 92.22%.

A Study on Occupational Health Program and Development of Evaluating Criteria for Occupational Health (우리나라 산업보건관리(産業保健管理) 평가기준(評價基準)과 실태(實態)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Y.S.;Moon, Y.H.;Kim, Y.K.;Chung, H.K.
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.98-109
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    • 1978
  • The study was carried out for 101 establishments in Kyong-In areas to evaluate the industrial health management status utilizing the scoring method by Webb's model during the period from 1 September to October 30, 1977. To compare the results, reevaluation was made with the 45 questions' model prepared by 6 Korean professionals who were specialized in industrial health fields. The results were as follows: 1. The mean rate of affirmative answers for 101 establishments was 51.6%. The mean weighted score rate of affirmative answers was 52.3%. 2. The mean rate of affirmative answers on components of the philosophy and facility resource for 101 establishments was higher than that of average rate. The mean rate of affirmative answers on components of the health evaluation and health management among the health service program was lower than that of average rate. 3. The mean rate of affirmative answers on components was highter among the establishments with more than 500 employees. The mean rate of affirmative answers of chemical establishment was lower than that of others. 4. The mean rate of affirmative answers on 45 questions' model for 101 establishments were 67.1%. The mean weighted score rate of affirmative answers was 70.0%. 5. In case of 45 questions' model, the mean rate of affirmative answers on components of philosophy and treatment was higher than that of average rate and the mean rate of affirmative answers on components of the facility resource and the health evaluation was lower than that of average rate. 6. The mean rate of affirmative answers of the 45 Questions' model was higher than that of Webb's model in size and class of 101 establishments. Author concluded that Webb's model must be suitable for evaluating higher conditions of occupational health management than is presently used in Korean establishments. According to the results, however, there were no significant differences between Webb's model and the 45 questions' model. So it could be used to evaluate Occupational Health Program. For this objective, in Korean occupational situations, further study also must be made comprehensively thereafter.

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Effect of Improved Runoff Module in SWAT on Water Quality Simulation (SWAT 모형의 유출해석모듈 개선이 수질모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Shin, Ah-Hyun;Lee, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2009
  • For reliable water quality simulation by semi distributed model, accurate daily runoff simulation should have preceded. In this study, newly developed channel routing method which is nonlinear storage method is combination of Muskingum routing method and variable storage routing method and temporally weighted average curve number method were applied for effect analysis of water quality simulation. Developed modules, which are added in SWAT models and simulation, were conducted for the Chungju dam watershed. The simulation result by each module applied effect. As a result of analysis contribute water quality modeling, nonlinear storage method is more effective than temporally weighted average curve number method. Nutrient loading discharge was affected by development of runoff delaying from improvement of channel routing, because of characteristics of nonpoint source pollution.

A Study on the Design of Adaptive EWMA Control Chart using Kalman Gain Recursive Average (칼만 게인 궤환 평균을 이용한 적응 EWMA 관리도 설계)

  • Yoon, Sangwon;Yoon, Seokhwan;Shin, Yongback
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 1996
  • Adaptive EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average)-x control chart using the Kalman gain recursive average is designed. The designed control chart is effective to on-line process monitoring as continuous flow processes. Performance evaluation between the designed control chart and traditional one is implemented. For this, ARL(Average Run Length) is adopted as a criterion. Results show that the designed adaptive EWMA-x control chart has shorter ARL than EWMA-x control chart when process mean is shifted. This model can be extended to process prevention control. The methodology proposed in this research is turned out to show the high performance than that of the given methodologies.

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Speed Estimation by Applying Volume Weighted Average Methods in COSMOS (교통량 가중평균 방법을 적용한 COSMOS 속도 추정)

  • Lee Sang-soo;Lee Seung-hwan;Oh Young-Tae;Song Sung-ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.2 no.1 s.2
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2003
  • COSMOS(Cycle, Offset, Split Model for Seoul), a real-time traffic adaptive signal system. estimates queue lengths on each approach on the basis of arithmetic average spot speeds calculated on loop detectors installed at each of two adjacent lanes. In this paper, A new method, a traffic volume-weighted average method, was studied and compared with the existing arithmetic average method. It was found that the relationship between the ratio of volumes of two lanes and the difference of average speed of each lane has a linear form. With field data, The two methods were applied and the proposed method shows more stable and reasonable queue estimation results.

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Topic Extraction and Classification Method Based on Comment Sets

  • Tan, Xiaodong
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.329-342
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    • 2020
  • In recent years, emotional text classification is one of the essential research contents in the field of natural language processing. It has been widely used in the sentiment analysis of commodities like hotels, and other commentary corpus. This paper proposes an improved W-LDA (weighted latent Dirichlet allocation) topic model to improve the shortcomings of traditional LDA topic models. In the process of the topic of word sampling and its word distribution expectation calculation of the Gibbs of the W-LDA topic model. An average weighted value is adopted to avoid topic-related words from being submerged by high-frequency words, to improve the distinction of the topic. It further integrates the highest classification of the algorithm of support vector machine based on the extracted high-quality document-topic distribution and topic-word vectors. Finally, an efficient integration method is constructed for the analysis and extraction of emotional words, topic distribution calculations, and sentiment classification. Through tests on real teaching evaluation data and test set of public comment set, the results show that the method proposed in the paper has distinct advantages compared with other two typical algorithms in terms of subject differentiation, classification precision, and F1-measure.

Analysis of influencing on Inefficiencies of Korean Banking Industry using Weighted Russell Directional Distance Model (가중평균 러셀(Russell) 방향거리함수모형을 이용한 은행산업의 비효율성 분석)

  • Yang, Dong-Hyun;Chang, Young-Jae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2019
  • This study measured inefficiencies of Korean banks with weighted Russell directional distance function, WRDDM, for the years of 2004-2013. Checking contributions of inputs and outputs to these inefficiencies, we found that non-performing loan as undesirable output was the most influential factor. The annual average of inefficiencies of Korean banks was 0.3912, and it consisted of non-performing loan 0.1883, output factors 0.098 except non-performing loan, input factors 0.098. The annual average inefficiency went sharply up from 0.2995 to 0.4829 mainly due to the sharp increase of inefficiency of non-performing loan from 0.1088 to 0.2678 before and after 2007-2008 Global financial crisis. We empirically showed the non-performing loan needed to be considered since it was the most important factor among the influential factors of technical inefficiency such as manpower, total deposit, securities, and non-performing loan. This study had some limitation since we did not control financial environment factor in WRDDM.

A Combined Process Control Procedure by Monitoring and Repeated Adjustment

  • Park, Changsoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.773-788
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    • 2000
  • Statistical process control (SPC) and engineering process control (EPC) are based on different strategies for processes quality improvement. SPC reduces process variability by detecting and eliminating special causes of process variation. while EPC reduces process variability by adjusting compensatory variables to keep the quality variable close to target. Recently there has been needs for a process control proceduce which combines the tow strategies. This paper considers a combined scheme which simultaneously applies SPC and EPC techniques to reduce the variation of a process. The process model under consideration is an integrated moving average(IMA) process with a step shift. The EPC part of the scheme adjusts the process back to target at every fixed monitoring intervals, which is referred to a repeated adjustment scheme. The SPC part of the scheme uses an exponentially weighted moving average(EWMA) of observed deviation from target to detect special causes. A Markov chain model is developed to relate the scheme's expected cost per unit time to the design parameters of he combined control scheme. The expected cost per unit time is composed of off-target cost, adjustment cost, monitoring cost, and false alarm cost.

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Assessment of Personal Exposure to Nitrogen Dioxide in Primary Schoolchildren

  • Cho Yong-Sung;Lee Jong-Tae;Kim Yoon-Shin
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.207-214
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    • 2006
  • This study was designed to assess the level of nitrogen dioxide from several microenvironments including inside the home, outdoors near the home, inside the school, outdoors near the school, and on the road for 42 primary schoolchildren during the month of December 2002 in Seoul, Korea. The average personal, indoor, outdoor $NO_2$ levels, and indoor/outdoor ratio were 45.08 ppb, 27.89 ppb, 30.96 ppb, and 0.89, respectively. The indoor $NO_2$ concentrations were significantly associated with the presence of a smoker with a gas stove. The estimated personal $NO_2$ exposure using time-weighted average equation of $34.64{\pm}5.29$ ppb was significantly lower than the measured personal exposure of $45.08{\pm}5.50$ ppb. Our results indicate that indoor $NO_2$ levels were associated with the presence of a smoker and a gas stove. Moreover, personal $NO_2$ exposure with a gas stove in the house was significantly higher than those without a gas stove.

Effects of DEM Resolution on Hydrological Simulation in, BASINS-BSPF Modeling

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Ham, Jong-Hwa;Chun G. Yoon;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2002
  • In this study, the effect of DEM (Digital Elevation Model) resolution (15m, 30m, 50m, 70m, 100m, 200m, 300m) on the hydrological simulation was examined using the BASINS (Better Assessment Science Integrating point and Nonpoint Source) for the Heukcheon watershed (303.3 ㎢) data from 1998 to 1999. Generally, as the cell size of DEM increased, topographical changes were observed as the original range of elevation decreased. The processing time of watershed delineation and river network needed more time and effort on smaller cell size of DEM. The larger DEM demonstrated had some errors in the junction of river network which might affect on the simulation of water quantity and quality. The area weighted average watershed slope became milder but the length weighted average channel slope became steeper as the DEM size increased. DEM resolution affected substantially on the topographical parameter but less on the hydrological simulation. Considering processing time and accuracy on hydrological simulation, DEM grid size of 100m is recommended for this range of watershed size.