• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull statistics

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Power Investigation of the Entropy-Based Test of Fit for Inverse Gaussian Distribution by the Information Discrimination Index

  • Choi, Byungjin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.837-847
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    • 2012
  • Inverse Gaussian distribution is widely used in applications to analyze and model right-skewed data. To assess the appropriateness of the distribution prior to data analysis, Mudholkar and Tian (2002) proposed an entropy-based test of fit. The test is based on the entropy power fraction(EPF) index suggested by Gokhale (1983). The simulation results report that the power of the entropy-based test is superior compared to other goodness-of-fit tests; however, this observation is based on the small-scale simulation results on the standard exponential, Weibull W(1; 2) and lognormal LN(0:5; 1) distributions. A large-scale simulation should be performed against various alternative distributions to evaluate the power of the entropy-based test; however, the use of a theoretical method is more effective to investigate the powers. In this paper, utilizing the information discrimination(ID) index defined by Ehsan et al. (1995) as a mathematical tool, we scrutinize the power of the entropy-based test. The selected alternative distributions are the gamma, Weibull and lognormal distributions, which are widely used in data analysis as an alternative to inverse Gaussian distribution. The study results are provided and an illustrative example is analyzed.

A Study of the Small Sample Warranty Data Analysis Using the Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 소표본 보증데이터 분석 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Gurl;Sung, Ki-Woo;Song, Jung-Moo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2013.04a
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    • pp.517-531
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    • 2013
  • 보증 데이터를 통해 제품의 수명 및 형상모수를 추정할 때 최우추정법과 같은 전통적인 통계 분석방법(Classical Statistical Method)을 많이 사용하였다. 그러나 전통적인 통계 분석방법을 통해 수명과 형상모수의 추정 시 표본의 크기가 작거나 불완전한 경우 추정량의 신뢰성이 떨어진다는 단점이 있고 또 누적된 경험과 과거자료를 충분히 이용하지 못하는 단점도 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모수의 사전분포를 가정하는 베이지안(Bayesian) 기법의 적용이 필요하다. 하지만 보증 데이터분석에 있어서 베이지안 기법을 이용한 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수명분포가 와이블 분포를 갖는 보증데이터를 활용하여 모수 추정의 효율성을 비교 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 와이블 분포의 모수가 대수정규분포를 따르는 사전분포를 갖는 베이지안 기법과 전통적 통계기법인 생명표법(Actuarial method)을 활용하여 추정량을 도출하고 비교 분석하였다. 이를 통해 충분한 관측 데이터를 확보할 수 없는 경우에 베이지안 기법을 이용한 보증 데이터 분석방법의 성능을 확인하고자 한다.

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Reliability Prediction of a Fuel Boost Pump using Statistical Methods (통계적 방법을 이용한 연료승압펌프의 신뢰도 예측)

  • Baek, Nak-Gon;Lee, Hyung-Ju;Lim, Jin-shik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2010
  • A Statistical methods are used to determine the reliability of a Fuel Boost Pump for aviation. Failures are referenced from failure reports. The failure-free periods between successive failure events are evaluated in the form of weibull distribution. The results of analysis were calculated shape factor, scale parameter and mean time to failure. It found that the reason of failure is wear-out period.

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Determining an Optimal Production Time for EPQ Model with Preventive Maintenance and Defective Rate (생산설비의 유지보수서비스와 제품의 불량률을 고려한 최적 생산주기 연구)

  • Kim, Migyoung;Park, Minjae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to determine an optimal production time for economic production quantity model with preventive maintenance and random defective rate as the function of a machinery deteriorates. Methods: If a machinery shifts from "in-control" state to "out-of-control" state, a proportion of defective items being produced increases. It is assumed that time to state shift is a random variable and follows an arbitrary distribution. The elapsed time until process shift decreases stochastically as a production cycle repeats and quasi-renewal process is used to implement for production facilities to deteriorate. Results: When the exponential parameter for exponential distribution increases, the optimal production time increases. When Weibull distribution is considered, the optimal production time is closely affected by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution. Conclusion: A mathematical model is suggested to find optimal production time and optimal number of production cycles and numerical examples are implemented to validate the patterns for changes of optimal times under different parameters assumptions. The real application is implemented using the proposed approach.

Reliability assessment of ERA-Interim/MERRA reanalysis data for the offshore wind resource assessment (해상풍력자원 평가를 위한 ERA-Interim/MERRA 재해석 데이터 신뢰성 평가)

  • Byun, Jong-Ki;Son, Jin-Hyuk;Ko, Kyung-Nam
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.44-51
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    • 2016
  • An investigation on reliability of reanalysis wind data was conducted using the met mast wind data at four coastal regions, Jeju Island. Shinchang, Handong, Udo and Gangjeong sites were chosen for the met mast sites, and ERA-Interim and MERRA reanalysis data at two points on the sea around Jeju Island were analyzed for creating Wind Statistics of WindPRO software. Reliability of reanalysis wind data was assessed by comparing the statistics from the met mast wind data with those from Wind Statistics of WindPRO software. The relative error was calculated for annual average wind speed, wind power density and annual energy production. In addition, Weibull wind speed distribution and monthly energy production were analyzed in detail. As a result, ERA-Interim reanalysis data was more suitable for wind resource assessment than MERRA reanalysis data.

Using Reliability Tools to Characterize Wood Strand Thickness of Oriented Strand Board Panels

  • Chastain, J.S.;Young, T.M.;Guess, F.M.;Leo, R.V.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2009
  • Oriented Strand Board (OSB) is an important engineered wood product used in housing construction which has a lower environmental impact or "carbon footprint." In this paper, reliability and statistical tools are applied to gain insights on the strand thickness of OSB panels. An OSB panel consists of several hundred wood strands that are resinated and pressed. The variability of OSB strand thickness for six manufacturers in the Eastern United States is examined as a whole, as well as individually. Little research exists on OSB strand thickness across mills even though strand thickness variability has been documented in laboratory experiments to greatly influence the dimensional stability of OSB panels. Our aims are to quantify and characterize strand thickness, plus apply reliability techniques, such as Kaplan-Meier curves, to characterize the probability of strand thickness. We further explore graphically and statistically the thickness of the strands.

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Optimal Thresholds from Non-Normal Mixture (비정규 혼합분포에서의 최적분류점)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Joo, Jae-Seon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.943-953
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    • 2010
  • From a mixture distribution of the score random variable for credit evaluation, there are many methods of estimating optimal thresholds. Most the research news is based on the assumption of normal distributions. In this paper, we extend non-normal distributions such as Weibull, Logistic and Gamma distributions to estimate an optimal threshold by using a hypotheses test method and other methods maximizing the total accuracy and the true rate. The type I and II errors are obtained and compared with their sums. Finally we discuss their e ciency and derive conclusions for non-normal distributions.

Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Northeast Region of Jeju Island (제주 북동부지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 예측성능 평가)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seok;Ko, Kyung-Nam;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2009
  • In order to clarify predictive accuracy for the wind resource predicted by running WindPRO(Ver. 2.5) which is software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, an investigation was carried out at the northeast region of Jeju island. The Hangwon, Susan and Hoichun sites of Jeju island were selected for this study. The measurement period of wind at the sites was for one year. As a result, when the sites had different energy roses, though the two Wind Statistics made by STATGEN module were used for the prediction, it was difficult to exactly predict the energy rose at a given site. On the other hand, when the two Wind Statistics were used to predict the average wind speed, the wind power density and the annual energy production, the relative error was under ${\pm}20%$ which improved more than that when using only one Wind Statistics.

Exploring Reliability of Oriented Strand Board's Tensile and Stiffness Strengths

  • Wang, Y.;Young, T.M.;Guess, F.M.;Leon, R.V.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we apply insightful statistical reliability tools to manage and seek improvements in the strengths of Oriented Strand Board (OSB). As a part of the OSB manufacturing process, the product undergoes destructive testing at various intervals to determine compliance with customers' specifications. Workers perform these tests on sampled cross sections of the OSB panel to measure the tensile strength, also called internal bond (IB), in pounds per square inches until failure. Additional stiffness strength tests include parallel and perpendicular elasticity indices (EI), which are taken from cross sectional samples of the OSB panel in the parallel and perpendicular directions with respect to the orientation of the wood strands. We explore both graphically and statistically these "pressure-to-failures" of OSB. Also, we briefly comment on reducing sources of variability in the IB and EI of OSB.

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Robust second-order rotatable designs invariably applicable for some lifetime distributions

  • Kim, Jinseog;Das, Rabindra Nath;Singh, Poonam;Lee, Youngjo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.595-610
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    • 2021
  • Recently a few articles have derived robust first-order rotatable and D-optimal designs for the lifetime response having distributions gamma, lognormal, Weibull, exponential assuming errors that are correlated with different correlation structures such as autocorrelated, intra-class, inter-class, tri-diagonal, compound symmetry. Practically, a first-order model is an adequate approximation to the true surface in a small region of the explanatory variables. A second-order model is always appropriate for an unknown region, or if there is any curvature in the system. The current article aims to extend the ideas of these articles for second-order models. Invariant (free of the above four distributions) robust (free of correlation parameter values) second-order rotatable designs have been derived for the intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures. Second-order rotatability conditions have been derived herein assuming the response follows non-normal distribution (any one of the above four distributions) and errors have a general correlated error structure. These conditions are further simplified under intra-class and inter-class correlated error structures, and second-order rotatable designs are developed under these two structures for the response having anyone of the above four distributions. It is derived herein that robust second-order rotatable designs depend on the respective error variance covariance structure but they are independent of the correlation parameter values, as well as the considered four response lifetime distributions.