• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull deterioration

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Accelerated life testing of concrete based on stochastic approach and assessment

  • Zhu, Binrong;Qiao, Hongxia;Feng, Qiong;Lu, Chenggong
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to design the accelerated life testing (ALT) of concrete, which stimulating the special natural environment maximumly. Its evaluation indexes, such as dynamic elastic modulus, mass and ultrasonic velocity were measured, and the variation of relative mass and relative dynamic elastic modulus of concrete were studied. Meanwhile, the microanalysis method was used. Moreover, an exploratory application of the stochastic approach, the Weibull distribution and the lognormal distribution, were made to assess the durability of concrete structures. The results show that the ALT for simulating natural environment is more close to the service process of concrete structure under actual conditions; The relative dynamic elastic modulus can be used as the dominant durability evaluation parameters, because it is more sensitive to the environmental factors compared with the relative quality evaluation parameters; In the course of the concrete deterioration, the destruction of the salt freezing cycle is the dominant factor, supplemented by other factors; Both of those two stochastic approaches can be used to evaluate the reliability of concrete specimens under the condition of ALT; By comparison, The lognormal distribution method is better to describe the reliability process.

Determining an Optimal Production Time for EPQ Model with Preventive Maintenance and Defective Rate (생산설비의 유지보수서비스와 제품의 불량률을 고려한 최적 생산주기 연구)

  • Kim, Migyoung;Park, Minjae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to determine an optimal production time for economic production quantity model with preventive maintenance and random defective rate as the function of a machinery deteriorates. Methods: If a machinery shifts from "in-control" state to "out-of-control" state, a proportion of defective items being produced increases. It is assumed that time to state shift is a random variable and follows an arbitrary distribution. The elapsed time until process shift decreases stochastically as a production cycle repeats and quasi-renewal process is used to implement for production facilities to deteriorate. Results: When the exponential parameter for exponential distribution increases, the optimal production time increases. When Weibull distribution is considered, the optimal production time is closely affected by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution. Conclusion: A mathematical model is suggested to find optimal production time and optimal number of production cycles and numerical examples are implemented to validate the patterns for changes of optimal times under different parameters assumptions. The real application is implemented using the proposed approach.

Evaluation of Performance and Reliability of a White Organic Light-Emitting Diode(WOLED) Using an Accelerated Life Test(ALT) (가속수명시험(ALT)을 이용한 WOLED의 성능 및 신뢰성 평가)

  • Moon, Jin-Chel;Park, Hyung-Ki;Choi, Chung-Seog
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to extract the major factors related to the deterioration mechanism of white organic light-emitting diodes(WOLED) by performing accelerated testing of temperature, voltage, time, etc., and to develop an accelerated life test(ALT) model. The measurement results of the brightness of the WOLED exhibited that their average brightness tended to increase as the operating voltage increased and that the half-life period of the brightness appeared after approximately 400 hours when the operating voltage was 20V and the ambient temperature was $85^{\circ}C$. It could be seen that although the WOLED showed comparatively the same brightness when the initial acceleration began after the operating voltage was applied to it, its brightness changed excessively after the WOLED's thermal storage had been made. In addition, it was observed that the half-life period was reduced as the ambient temperature and applied voltage increased. The strength of the WOLED which had been maintained in the range of visible light at the maximum load was reduced by the deterioration of the organic light emitting material due to the influence of the operating voltage and temperature, and the reduction of emitted light was small at low voltage and temperature. It could be seen that the failure of the WOLED during the ALT was caused by wear due to load accumulation over time, and that Weibull distribution was appropriate for the life distribution and acceleration was established between test conditions. From the WOLED analysis, it is thought that factors influencing the brightness deterioration are voltage, temperature, etc., and that comprehensive analysis considering discharge control, dielectric tangent margin, etc., would further increase the reliability.

Application of Judgement Criteria to Measure Deterioration and to Judge Insulation Resistance in High-Power Live XLPE Cables (고전력 활선 XLPE 케이블의 열화를 측정하기 위한 판정기준의 적용 및 절연상태 판정)

  • Um, Kee-Hong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2017
  • The demand for electric power is increasing every year. All facilities operating at power stations and all facilities used in transmitting high volumes of electric power are therefore expected to operate with a high degree of reliability. 6.6 kV XLPE 100 SQ 1C cables are used to deliver high levels of generated electric power. Depending on the method of manufacture, installation environment, and usage conditions, the deterioration processes of power cables start from the instant of operation. Cable junctions may break down in three years from the start of operation due to manufacturing or construction defects. We have invented the first device in Korea to monitor the status of live cables and installed these at Korea Western Power Co., Ltd.. We have set the criteria to determine deterioration status and specified the degree of deterioration at which one should replace the cables. In this paper, we present the effect of insulation layer and sheath on the insulation resistance status in cables.

Development of Equipment Measuring Insulation Resistance of High-Power Cables in Operation at Power Station (발전소에서 운전 중인 고전력 케이블의 절연저항의 변화를 감시하는 장치의 개발)

  • Um, Kee-Hong;Kim, Bo-Kyeong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2016
  • In or to generate high electric power in increasing demand, power station should operate facilities to meet requirement. The scale of electric power equipment is increasing in both size and complexity. With unexpected accidents at power facilities or power stations happening, substantial socioeconomic losses in an industrial society is caused. A major cause of unexpected accidents is deterioration of dielectrics, isolating two conductors electrically. In order to detect the deterioration processes of power cables, the operation status of power cables should be monitored on a regular basis. We have invented and installed equipment at Korea Western Power Co., Ltd., located in Taean, in order to predict and prevent the deterioration status of dielectrics destruction of power cables. The main line in Y-connection to the secondary coils of transformer delivers electric power to the external devices. The equipment we developed is the one measuring insulation resistance of cables operation in on/off status with respect to the main line. We present the equipment in terms of operation and configuration of hardware side.

A Stochastic Optimization Model for Equipment Replacement Considering Life Uncertainty (수명의 불확실성을 반영한 추계학적 장비 대체시기 결정모형)

  • 박종인;김승권
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.100-110
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    • 2003
  • Equipment replacement policy may not be defined with certainty, because physical states of any technological system may not be determined with foresight. This paper presents Markov Decision Process(MDP) model for army equipment which is subject to the uncertainty of deterioration and ultimately to failure. The components of the MDP model is defined as follows: ⅰ) state is identified as the age of the equipment, ⅱ) actions are classified as 'keep' and 'replace', ⅲ) cost is defined as the expected cost per unit time associated with 'keep' and 'replace' actions, ⅳ) transition probability is derived from Weibull distribution. Using the MDP model, we can determine the optimal replacement policy for an army equipment replacement problem.

The Aging of Signalling Equipment and the Impact on Maintenance Strategies

  • Antoni, Marc
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2009
  • Research projects of SNCF aim at reducing the costs of infrastructure possessions and improving the operational equipment availability and safety. This permanent search for a better regularity led the SNCF to analyse the maintenance approach of signalling equipment in detail. Until now, it was commonly acknowledged that signalling equipment, which consists of many electronic devices, is not subject to aging. In this study, a Weibull lifetime model, able to describe an aging phenomenon, is used and it can be shown that the deterioration is statistically significant. The validity of the model is tested. We also analyse the influence of environmental covariates. We simulate different scenarios in order to investigate the impact of several maintenance strategies as well as on future maintenance costs, on the amount of components to replace based on the mean age of the network. It can be shown that in most cases a systematic replacement strategy offers the best solution.

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The best accelerated method and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors (전해 캐패시터의 최적 가속시험방법과 수명예측)

  • Kim, Ha-Na;Sim, Chan-Ho;Kim, Sung-Jun;Yoon, Jung-Rag;Lee, Hun-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07c
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    • pp.1945-1947
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    • 2005
  • This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.

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Life Evaluation of Grease for Ball Bearings According to Temperature, Speed, and Load Changes (온도, 속도, 그리고 하중 변화에 따른 볼 베어링용 그리스의 수명평가)

  • Son, Jeonghoon;Kim, Sewoong;Choi, Byong Ho;Lee, Seungpyo
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2021
  • Ball bearing is a device that supports and transmits a load acting on a rotating shaft, and it is a type of rolling bearings that uses the rolling friction of the balls by inserting balls between the inner ring and the outer ring. Grease, which is prepared by mixing a thickener with a base oil, is a lubricant commonly used in bearings and has the advantage of a simple structure and easy handling. Bearings are increasingly being used in high value-added products such as semiconductors, aviation, and robots in the era of the 4th industrial revolution. Accordingly, there is an increasing demand for bearing grease. The selection of grease is an important factor in the bearing design. Therefore, a study must be conducted on the grease life evaluation to select an appropriate grease according to operating conditions such as a high temperature, high rotational speed, and high load. In this study, we evaluate the life of ball-bearing grease according to various operating conditions, namely, temperature, speed, and load changes. For this, we develop and theoretically verify a grease life test machine for ball bearings. We conduct a life test of grease according to various operating conditions of bearings and predict the grease life with a 10% and 50% failure probability using the Weibull analysis. In addition, we analyze the oxide characteristics of the grease over time using the Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy and the deterioration characteristics of the grease using the carbonyl index.

An Accelerated Degradation Test of Electric Double-Layer Capacitors (전기이중층커패시터의 가속열화시험)

  • Jung, Jae-Han;Kim, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2012
  • An electric double-layer capacitor(EDLC) is an electrochemical capacitor with relatively high energy density, typically hundreds of times greater than conventional electrolytic capacitors. EDLCs are widely used for energy storage rather than as general-purpose circuit components. They have a variety of commercial applications, notably in energy smoothing and momentary-load devices, and energy-storage and kinetic energy recovery system devices used in vehicles, etc. This paper presents an accelerated degradation test of an EDLC with rated voltage 2.7V, capacitance 100F, and usage temperature $-40^{\circ}C{\sim}65^{\circ}C$. The EDLCs are tested at $50^{\circ}C$, $60^{\circ}C$, and $70^{\circ}C$, respectively for 1,750hours, and their capacitances are measured at predetermined times by constant current discharge method. The failure times are predicted from their capacitance deterioration patterns, where the failure is defined as 30% capacitance decrease from the initial one. It is assumed that the lifetime distribution of EDLC follows Weibull and Arrhenius life-stress relationship holds. The life-stress relationship, acceleration factor, and $B_{10}$ life at design condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.