• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull Reliability Analysis

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일반화 통계량에 의존한 와이블 확장모형을 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 연구 (A study for NHPP Software Reliability Model of the Weibull Extension Model Based on Generalized Order Statistics)

  • 양태진
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2015
  • 소프트웨어 고장분석을 위한 비동질적인 포아송과정에서 결함당 고장발생률이 상수이거나, 단조 증가 또는 단조 감소하는 패턴을 가질 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 수리시점에서도 고장이 발생할 상황을 반영하는 무한고장 NHPP 모형들을 비교 제시하였다. 소프트웨어 신뢰성분야에서 많이 사용되는 와이블 확장분포에 근거한 무한고장 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형에 대한 비교문제를 제시하였다. 그 결과 형상모수가 비교적 큰 경우가 효율적으로 나타났다. 그리고 모수추정법은 최우추정법을 이용하였고 모형선택은 평균제곱오차와 결정계수를 이용하였다. 이 연구를 통하여 소프트웨어 개발자들은 형상모수에 따른 소프트웨어 고장현상을 파악하는데 어느 정도 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Estimation of Suitable Methodology for Determining Weibull Parameters for the Vortex Shedding Analysis of Synovial Fluid

  • Singh, Nishant Kumar;Sarkar, A.;Deo, Anandita;Gautam, Kirti;Rai, S.K.
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2016
  • Weibull distribution with two parameters, shape (k) and scale (s) parameters are used to model the fatigue failure analysis due to periodic vortex shedding of the synovial fluid in knee joints. In order to determine the later parameter, a suitable statistical model is required for velocity distribution of synovial fluid flow. Hence, wide applicability of Weibull distribution in life testing and reliability analysis can be applied to describe the probability distribution of synovial fluid flow velocity. In this work, comparisons of three most widely used methods for estimating Weibull parameters are carried out; i.e. the least square estimation method (LSEM), maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and the method of moment (MOM), to study fatigue failure of bone joint due to periodic vortex shedding of synovial fluid. The performances of these methods are compared through the analysis of computer generated synovial fluidflow velocity distribution in the physiological range. Significant values for the (k) and (s) parameters are obtained by comparing these methods. The criterions such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination ($R^2$), maximum error between the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) or Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) and the chi square tests are used for the comparison of the suitability of these methods. The results show that maximum likelihood method performs well for most of the cases studied and hence recommended.

Slitting Knife의 손상에 미치는 마모의 영향 (The effect of wear on the damage of slitting knife)

  • 남기우;김철수;안석환
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the damage to a slitting knife after cutting steel sheets. Damages to the structure were observed and wear tests were conducted. In addition, the degradation on the damaged and undamaged parts was compared with a micro Vickers hardness test. Weibull statistical analysis was carried out in order to evaluate the reliability of the micro Vickers hardness measured data. Spalling of the edge portion occurred by degradation during use over a long period. Rough parts in the specimens were caused by damage because the slitting knife was used for 1 year. The friction coefficient and wear loss at the damaged parts of the knife edge were slightly larger from shock due to repetitive cutting operation. The micro Vickers hardness followed a two-parameter Weibull probability distribution.

DC 절연파괴 특성을 이용한 Epoxy 복합체의 절연 신뢰도 평가 (Evaluation of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites by DC Dielectric Breakdown Properties)

  • 임중관;박용필;김정호
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.92-95
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    • 2001
  • The dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for transformers was experimented and then its data were simulated by Weibull distribution probability. First of all, speaking of dielectric breakdown properties, the more hardener increased the stronger breakdown strength at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical. The breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised and the electric field is concentrated. In the case of filled specimens with treating silane, the breakdown strength become much higher Finally, from the analysis of weibull distribution, it was confirmed that as the allowed breakdown probability was given by 0.1[%], the applied field value needed to be under 21.5 [Mv/cm].

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Evaluation of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites

  • Park, No-Bong;Yang, Dong-Bok;Lim, Jung-Kwan;Park, Yong-Pil;Lee, Hee-Kab;Kim, Gui-Yeul
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 Vol.4 No.2
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    • pp.1200-1203
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    • 2003
  • The dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for transformers was experimented and then its data were applied to Weibull distribution probability. First of all, speaking of dielectric breakdown properties, the more hardener increased, the stronger breakdown strength became at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical. The breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised and the electric field is concentrated. In the case of filled specimens with treating silane, the breakdown strength become much higher. Finally, according to Weibull distribution analysis, reducing breakdown probability of equipment insulation lower than 0.1% level requires the allowable field allowable field intensity values to be kept under 21.5 MV/cm.

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인쇄 회로 기판용 에폭시 복합체의 첨가제에 따른 절연 신뢰도 (Insulating Reliability according to additives in Epoxy Composites for PCB Material)

  • 양정윤;박영철;박건호
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집 기술교육전문연구회
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    • pp.159-163
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    • 2003
  • In this study, the DC dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for PCB material was experimented and then its data were simulated by Weibull distribution equation. The more hardener increased the stronger breakdown strength at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical, and the breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised, the electric field is concentrated, and the acceleration of electron and the growth of electron avalanche are early accomplished. From the analysis of Weibull distribution, it was confirmed that as the allowed breakdown probability was given by 0.1[%], the applied field value needed to be under 21.5[kV/mm].

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배전계통 설비의 시변 고장률 추출 (Extraction of Time-varying Failure Rate for Power Distribution System Equipment)

  • 문종필;이희태;김재철;박창호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권11호
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    • pp.548-556
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    • 2005
  • Reliability evaluation of power distribution system is very important to both power utilities and customers. It present the probabilistic number and duration of interruption such as failure rate, SATDI, SAIFI, and CAIDI. However, it has a fatal weakness at reliability index because of accuracy of failure rate. In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate(TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) in Korea. For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential(random failure) and Weibull(aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate(MfR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR

통계적 방법을 이용한 연료승압펌프의 신뢰도 예측 (Reliability Prediction of a Fuel Boost Pump using Statistical Methods)

  • 백낙곤;이형주;임진식
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2010년도 제35회 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2010
  • 항공용 연료계통의 핵심부품인 연료승압펌프(FBP)의 신뢰도를 예측/평가하기 위하여 운용중에 지속적으로 발생되는 고장자료에 근거하여 고장추세분포를 도출하는데 Weibul Distribution 형태의 통계학적인 방법(Statistical Methods)을 사용하였다. 이를 토대로 하여 고장 자료분포를 시각적으로 분석하여 신뢰성 예측을 하였다. 분석결과, 형상모수(${\beta}$), 척도모수(${\eta}$) 및 평균고장시간(MTTF)을 산출하였다. 결과로부터 주요 고장원인이 기계부품의 마모나 노후화로 인하여 발생하는 마모고장기이며 산출된 평균고장시간 이전에 예방정비를 수행해야 사전에 고장을 방지할 수 있음을 알 수 있다.

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와이블 분포를 이용한 농기계 부품의 신뢰도 분석 (Reliability Analysis of Agricultural Machinery Parts using Weibull Distribution)

  • 박영준;이윤세;김경욱
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 2002년도 하계 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.148-153
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    • 2002
  • 사후봉사의 핵심은 신속한 고장 수리와 원활한 부품 공급이다. 일정 지역을 담당하고 있는 사후봉사 업소가 보유해야 할 수리 부품에 대한 적정 재고량 산정은 사후봉사 업소의 안정적인 경영뿐만 아니라 원활한 사후봉사의 기능을 위해서도 대단히 중요한 일이다. (중략)

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PCB용 고분자의 절연 신뢰도 특성 데이터 분석 (Data Analysis of Insulating Reliability Properties in Polymer for PCB)

  • 박건호
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2015년도 제51차 동계학술대회논문집 23권1호
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    • pp.289-290
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 인쇄회로기판(PCB)용 재료로 널리 사용되는 고분자에 대해서 와이블 분포 방정식의 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 절연 신뢰도 특성 데이터를 분석하였다. 와이블 분포에 대한 분석 시뮬레이션을 통하여 일반적으로 허용 절연 파괴 확률을 0.1[%] 이하라고 설정하였을 때, 첨가제 배합비를 5종으로 구분한 각 시편에 대해서 인가 전계의 허용치를 각각 계산할 수 있었다.

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