• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Plot

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Estimation of Berthing Velocity Using Probability Distribution Characteristics in Tanker Terminal (확률분포 특성을 이용한 탱커부두에서의 선박접안속도 예측값 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Cho, Jang-Won;Cho, Ik-Soon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.186-196
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    • 2019
  • Berthing energy is majorly influenced by the berthing velocity. It is necessary to design an appropriate berthing velocity for each pier, since excessive berthing velocity can cause berthing accident causing damage to the ship and pier. In this study, as a statistical approach for berthing velocity, the probability distributions suitable for the berthing velocities were confirmed using the K-S test, the A-D test and the Q-Q plot. As a result, the frequency distribution of the berthing velocity was found to be suitable using the Weibull distribution as well as the lognormal distribution. Additionally, the predicted values obtained through estimation of the berthing velocity using the concept of probability of exceedance in this study is proposed as a reference of design berthing velocity. It can be observed that the design berthing velocity is set to be somewhat low so that it does not practically match with the reality. This study and its results can be expected to contribute to the development of a proper design velocity calculation method.

Development of Equipment Measuring Insulation Resistance of High-Power Cables in Operation at Power Station (발전소에서 운전 중인 고전력 케이블의 절연저항의 변화를 감시하는 장치의 개발)

  • Um, Kee-Hong;Kim, Bo-Kyeong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2016
  • In or to generate high electric power in increasing demand, power station should operate facilities to meet requirement. The scale of electric power equipment is increasing in both size and complexity. With unexpected accidents at power facilities or power stations happening, substantial socioeconomic losses in an industrial society is caused. A major cause of unexpected accidents is deterioration of dielectrics, isolating two conductors electrically. In order to detect the deterioration processes of power cables, the operation status of power cables should be monitored on a regular basis. We have invented and installed equipment at Korea Western Power Co., Ltd., located in Taean, in order to predict and prevent the deterioration status of dielectrics destruction of power cables. The main line in Y-connection to the secondary coils of transformer delivers electric power to the external devices. The equipment we developed is the one measuring insulation resistance of cables operation in on/off status with respect to the main line. We present the equipment in terms of operation and configuration of hardware side.

Mechanical Properties and Statistical Evaluation of EPR According to the Accelerated Degradation (EPR의 가속 열화에 의한 기계적 특성 및 통계적 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeon;Yang, Jong-Suk;Lee, Gil-Soo;Seong, Baek-Yong;Bang, Jeong-Hwan;Park, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.501-507
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, EPR (ethylene propylene rubber) insulation material was accelerated degradation test at $121^{\circ}C$, $136^{\circ}C$, $151^{\circ}C$, and experiment the typical EAB (elongation at break) at mechanical characteristics analysis. It is shown that the failure-time at the point of 50% of the initial value of Elongation rate to obtain the activation energy. The failure-time was shown each 5,219 hr, 3,165 hr, and 668 hr at three temperatures. In order to derive the activation energy, Arrhenius methodology was applied. Also, we got the Arrhenius plot from three accelerated temperatures. The activation energy values got 0.98 eV from EAB test. The experimental data were evaluated for estimating the probability density, and the suitable distribution by using statistical program MINITAB. It is shown that EAB data by the acceleration thermal degradation is most suitable for the Weibull distribution.

Development of Stand Yield Table Based on Current Growth Characteristics of Chamaecyparis obtusa Stands (현실임분 생장특성에 의한 편백 임분수확표 개발)

  • Jung, Su Young;Lee, Kwang Soo;Lee, Ho Sang;Ji Bae, Eun;Park, Jun Hyung;Ko, Chi-Ung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.109 no.4
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2020
  • We constructed a stand yield table for Chamaecyparis obtusa based on data from an actual forest. The previous stand yield table had a number of disadvantages because it was based on actual forest information. In the present study we used data from more than 200 sampling plots in a stand of Chamaecyparis obtusa. The analysis included theestimation, recovery and prediction of the distribution of values for diameter at breast height (DBH), and the result is a valuable process for the preparation ofstand yield tables. The DBH distribution model uses a Weibull function, and the site index (base age: 30 years), the standard for assessing forest productivity, was derived using the Chapman-Richards formula. Several estimation formulas for the preparation of the stand yield table were considered for the fitness index, and the optimal formula was chosen. The analysis shows that the site index is in the range of 10 to 18 in the Chamaecyparis obtusa stand. The estimated stand volume of each sample plot was found to have an accuracy of 62%. According to the residuals analysis, the stands showed even distribution around zero, which indicates that the results are useful in the field. Comparing the table constructed in this study to the existing stand yield table, we found that our table yielded comparatively higher values for growth. This is probably because the existing analysis data used a small amount of research data that did not properly reflect. We hope that the stand yield table of Chamaecyparis obtusa, a representative species of southern regions, will be widely used for forest management. As these forests stabilize and growth progresses, we plan to construct an additional yield table applicable to the production of developed stands.

Electrical Insulation Properties of Nanocomposites with SiO2 and MgO Filler

  • Jeong, In-Bum;Kim, Joung-Sik;Lee, Jong-Yong;Hong, Jin-Woong;Shin, Jong-Yeol
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.261-265
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we attempt to improve the electrical characteristics of epoxy resin at high temperature (above $80^{\circ}C$) by adding magnesium oxide (MgO), which has high thermal conductivity. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) of the dispersion of specimens with added MgO reveals that they are evenly dispersed without concentration. The dielectric breakdown characteristics of $SiO_2$ and MgO nanocomposites are tested by measurements at different temperatures to investigate the filler's effect on the dielectric breakdown characteristics. The dielectric breakdown strength of specimens with added $SiO_2$ decreases slowly below $80^{\circ}C$ (low temperature) but decreases rapidly above $80^{\circ}C$ (high temperature). However, the gradient of the dielectric breakdown strength of specimens with added MgO is slow at both low and high temperatures. The dielectric breakdown strength of specimens with 0.4 wt% $SiO_2$ is the best among the specimens with added $SiO_2$, and that of specimens with 3.0 wt% and 5.0 wt% MgO is the best among those with added MgO. Moreover, the dielectric strength of specimens with 3.0 wt% MgO at high temperatures is approximately 53.3% higher than that of specimens with added $SiO_2$ at $100^{\circ}C$, and that of specimens with 5.0 wt% of MgO is approximately 59.34% higher under the same conditions. The dielectric strength of MgO is believed to be superior to that of $SiO_2$ owing to enhanced thermal radiation because the thermal conductivity rate of MgO (approximately 42 $W/m{\cdot}K$) is approximately 32 times higher than that of $SiO_2$ (approximately 1.3 $W/m{\cdot}K$). We also confirmed that the allowable breakdown strength of specimens with added MgO at $100^{\circ}C$ is within the error range when the breakdown probability of all specimens is 40%. A breakdown probability of up to 40% represents a stable dielectric strength in machinery and apparatus design.