• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Plot

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선박접안속도 실측값의 확률분포특성에 관한 연구

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Jo, Jang-Won;Jo, Ik-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.320-322
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    • 2018
  • 선박이 부두의 계류시설에 접촉할 때 발생하는 접안에너지는 해당선박의 접안속도에 가장 큰 영향을 받는다. 접안속도가 과다할 경우 부두에 접촉하는 사고로까지 이어질 수 있으므로 각각의 부두 특성에 맞는 적절한 접안속도를 설계하는 것이 중요하다. 선박접안속도의 경우, 일반적으로 대수정규분포를 따른다고 가정하고 있으나 국내에서는 이에 대한 검증이나 연구가 없어 해외의 사례를 바탕으로 설계접안 속도를 설정하고 있는 상황이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 부두의 선박접안속도를 설계하기 위한 통계학적인 접근으로 접안속도의 실측데이터를 토대로 그 빈도수를 히스토그램으로 표현하여 각각의 확률분포도와 비교 분석하고, 확률분포에 대한 검정법으로 K-S (Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test) 검정, A-D(Anderson-Darling) 검정, Q-Q(Quantile-Quantile) Plot 등을 이용하여 접안속도 분포에 적합한 확률분포도를 확인하였다. 분석 결과, 선박접안속도의 빈도분포는 일반적으로 알려진 대수정규분포 뿐만 아니라 Weibull 분포와 적합한 형태를 보이는 것을 알 수 있었다. 추가적으로 본 연구에서는 초과확률 개념에서의 접안속도의 예측치를 구하여 구해진 1/1000, 1/10000의 접안속도 예측치를 설계접안속도의 참고자료로 제안하고자 한다.

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AC Insulation Breakdown Weibull Plot Characteristics of Epoxy-Nanocomposites (에폭시-나노콤포지트의 교류절연파괴 와이블 분포특성)

  • Park, Jae-Jjjun;Cho, Dae-Ryung;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Kim, Jung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.384-384
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    • 2009
  • 에폭시 수지에 유기화된 층상실리케이트 나노입자를 1wt% 충진한 경우 나노콤포지트와 마이크로 입자를 50wt% 충진한 경우 마이크로 콤포지트를 제조하였다. 초음파 분산법을 이용하여 나노 및 마이크로입자를 120분 동안 분산시킨 에폭시- 나노/마이크로 콤포지트이다. 나노콤포지트와 마이크로콤포지트의 단시간 교류절연파괴특성을 조사하기 위해 와이블 분포 plot을 통하여 나타내었다. 와이블 plot은 기울기로서 형상파라미터를 나타낸 경우로서 이는 파괴강도의 균질성을 의미하게 된다. 63.2% 누적분포함수를 나타낸 경우 척도파라미터로서 나타내어진다. 마이크로 콤포지트의 경우 형상파라미터가 2.99, 나노콤포지트는 8.96를 나타내었다. 또한 마이크로 콤포지트 및 나노콤포지트 스케일 파라미터는 164.25kV/mm, 245kV/mm를 얻었다. 또한 B10수명의 경우 마이크로콤포지트와 나노콤포지트의 경우 77.57kV/mm, 139.3 6kV/mm로서 나노콤포지트의 경우 완전하게 박리가 일어난 경우이다. 마이크로 입자를 분산시켜 입자간거리와 나노입자를 분산시켜 박리가 일어난 경우 입자간거리는 대단히 큰 차이를 나타내고 있다. 나노입자가 교번전계 하에서 주입된 전하 및 케리어 이동을 억제하는 경우로 이와같은 결과를 얻을 수 있다.

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Non-Gaussian analysis methods for planing craft motion

  • Somayajula, Abhilash;Falzarano, Jeffrey M.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.293-308
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    • 2014
  • Unlike the traditional displacement type vessels, the high speed planing crafts are supported by the lift forces which are highly non-linear. This non-linear phenomenon causes their motions in an irregular seaway to be non-Gaussian. In general, it may not be possible to express the probability distribution of such processes by an analytical formula. Also the process might not be stationary or ergodic in which case the statistical behavior of the motion to be constantly changing with time. Therefore the extreme values of such a process can no longer be calculated using the analytical formulae applicable to Gaussian processes. Since closed form analytical solutions do not exist, recourse is taken to fitting a distribution to the data and estimating the statistical properties of the process from this fitted probability distribution. The peaks over threshold analysis and fitting of the Generalized Pareto Distribution are explored in this paper as an alternative to Weibull, Generalized Gamma and Rayleigh distributions in predicting the short term extreme value of a random process.

Thermal shock behavior of alumina ceramics by ball-on-3 ball test (Ball-on-3 ball test에 의한 알루미나 세라믹스의 열충격 거동)

  • 이중현;박성은;한봉석;이홍림
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.1062-1068
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    • 1999
  • The flexural strength distribution of alumina ceramics was observed using ball-on-3 ball test after thermal shock into the distilled water of 25$^{\circ}C$ Crack distribution was also observed by dye-penetration after thermal shock test. Fracture probability of alumina ceramics by ball-on-3 ball test was studied and compared with that by 3-point bending test. The crack distance from the center of thespecimen showed the stronger effect on the flexural strength by ball-on-3 ball test than the crack density.

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A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment (배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Kim, Jae-Chul;Lee, Hee-Tae;Chu, Cheol-Min;Ahn, Jae-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.366-368
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

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Electrical and Mechanical Properties for Micro-and-Nano Mixture Composites using Electric Field Dispersion Technique (전기장 분산기술을 이용한 에폭시 마이크로-나노 입자가 혼합된 콤포지트의 전기적 그리고 기계적특성)

  • Cho, Dae-Lyoung;Han, Jin-Hee;Kim, Jung-Joong;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Yoo, Byoung-Bok;Park, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.98-98
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    • 2010
  • A epoxy/multilayered silicate nanocomposite was prepared by a new AC electric application method and micro silica particle was poured into the nanocomposite in order to prepare epoxy/micro-and-nano- mixed composites (EMNC). Electric insulation breakdown strength was measured in a sphere-sphere electrode system designed for the prevention of edge breakdown and the data were estimated by Weibull plot. As the exfoliated silicate nano-plates were homogeniously dispersed in the micro silica particles, the insulation property was higher.

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Thermal and Mechanical Properties for Micro-and-Nano- Mixture Composites Based Epoxy (에폭시기반 나노와 마이크로 혼합 콤포지트의 열적 그리고 기계적특성)

  • O, Chung-Youn;Yu, Byoung-Bok;Park, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.03b
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2010
  • Nano particles (10nm $SiO_2$) were silane-treated in order to modify the surface characteristics in a epoxy nanocomposite. Then, micro particles ($3{\mu}m$ SiO2) were poured into the epoxy nanocomposite using various mixing process and epoxy/micro-and-nanomixed composites (EMNC) were prepared. The thermal (Tg) and mechanical (tensile and flexural strength) properties were measured by DSC, DMA and UTM and the data was estimated by Weibull plot.

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Mechanical Properties for Micro-and-Nano- Mixture Composites Based Epoxy Resins (에폭시기반 마이크로 그러고 나노입자가 혼합된 콤포지트의 기계적특성)

  • Kwon, Sun-Suk;Choi, Bo-Sung;Baek, Kwan-Hyun;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Park, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.84-84
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    • 2010
  • Nano particles (10nm SiO2) were silane-treated in order to modify the surface characteristics in a epoxy nanocomposite. Then. micro particles ($3{\mu}m$ SiO2) were poured into the epoxy nanocomposite using various mixing process and epoxy/ micro-and-nano- mixed composites (EMNC) were prepared. The thermal (Tg) and mechanical (tensile and flexural strength) properties were measured by DMA and UTM and the data was estimated by Weibull plot.

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A Study on Thermal Properties for Epoxy Micro-and-Nano Mixture Composites(EMNC) (에폭시 마이크로-나노 입자가 혼합된 콤포지트의 열적특성에 관한연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Hoon;Kim, Kuk-Jin;Kim, Suk-Man;Kang, Do-Hoon;Yeon, Da-Som;Park, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.83-83
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    • 2010
  • This study investigates the thermal and mechanical properties of insulation elements through mixing epoxy based micro- and nano particles. Regarding thermal properties, DSC and DMA were used to calculate crosslinking densities for various types of insulation elements. In a mechanical property of bending strength, shape and scale parameters were obtained using the Weibull plot. This study obtained the most excellent results of scale parameters, such as Vol 3.2%, in the bending strength of EMNCs.

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A VLF Breakdown Strength Test of The XLPE Cable on Thermal Aging (열 열화에 따른 XLPE의 VLF 절연파괴 특성)

  • LEE, Seung-Won;KIM, Su-Hwan;KIM, Yong-Hyun;LIM, Jang-Seob;LEE, Kun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.1215-1215
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 상용 XLPE 절연체에 ES(한전)의 장기과통전 시험 기준을 참고하여, 가속 열 열화 하였고, 열화 전/후의 절연특성을 비교하기 위하여 VLF(0.1Hz) 내전압 파괴시험을 수행하였다. 또한, 그 결과를 Weibull plot하여 절연특성을 통계적으로 비교 및 분석하였다.

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