• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Analysis

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Simulation of Run-Length and Run-Sum of Daily Rainfall and Streamflow (일수문량의 RUN-LENGTH 및 RUN-SUM의 SIMULATION)

  • 이순택;지홍기
    • Water for future
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 1977
  • This study is aimed at the establishment and examination of stochastic model to simulate Run-length and Run-sum of daily rainfall and streamflow. In the analysis, daily rainfall records in major cities (Seoul, Kangnung, Taegu, Kwangju, Busan, and Cheju) and daily streamflow records of Major rivers (Han, Nakdong and Geum River) were used. Also, the fitness of daily rainfall and streamflow to Weibull and one parameter exponential distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, from which it was found that daily rainfall and streamflow generally fit well to exponential type distribution function. The Run-length and Run-sum were simulated by the Weibull Model (WBL Model), one parameter exponential model (EXP-1 Model) based on the Nonte Carlo technique. In this result, Run-length of rainfall was fitted for one parameter exponential model and Run-length of streamflow was fitted for Weibull model. And Run-sum of rainfall and streamflow were fit comparatively for regression model. Hereby, statistical charactristics of Simulation data were sinilar to historical data.

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An Application of the Probability Plotting Positions for the Ln­least Method for Estimating the Parameters of Weibull Wind Speed Distribution (와이블 풍속 분포 파라미터 추정을 위한 Ln­least 방법의 확률도시위치 적용)

  • Kang, Dong-Bum;Ko, Kyung-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2018
  • The Ln-least method is commonly used to estimate the Weibull parameters from the observed wind speed data. In previous studies, the bin method has been used to calculate the cumulative frequency distribution for the Ln-least method. The purpose of this study is to obtain better performance in the Ln-least method by applying probability plotting position(PPP) instead of the bin method. Two types of the wind speed data were used for the analysis. One was the observed wind speed data taken from three sites with different topographical conditions. The other was the virtual wind speed data which were statistically generated by a random variable with known Weibull parameters. Also, ten types of PPP formulas were applied which were Hazen, California, Weibull, Blom, Gringorten, Chegodayev, Cunnane, Tukey, Beard and Median. In addition, in order to suggest the most suitable PPP formula for estimating Weibull parameters, two accuracy tests, the root mean square error(RMSE) and $R^2$ tests, were performed. As a result, all of PPPs showed better performances than the bin method and the best PPP was the Hazen formula. In the RMSE test, compared with the bin method, the Hazen formula increased estimation performance by 38.2% for the observed wind speed data and by 37.0% for the virtual wind speed data. For the $R^2$ test, the Hazen formula improved the performance by 1.2% and 2.7%, respectively. In addition, the performance of the PPP depended on the frequency of low wind speeds and wind speed variability.

Weibull Statistical Analysis on the Mechanical Properties of SiC by Immersion in Acidic and Alkaline Solutions (산 및 알칼리 용액에 부식된 SiC의 기계적 특성에 대한 와이블 통계 해석)

  • Ahn, Seok-Hwan;Jeong, Sang-Cheol;Nam, Ki-Woo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.9
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    • pp.767-773
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    • 2016
  • A Weibull statistical analysis of the mechanical properties of SiC ceramics was carried out by immersion in acidic and alkaline solutions. The heat treatment was carried out at 1373 K. The corrosion of SiC was carried out in acidic and alkaline solutions under KSL1607. The bending strength of corroded crack-healed specimens decreased 47% and 70% compared to those of uncorroded specimens in acidic and alkaline solutions, respectively. The corrosion of SiC ceramics is faster in alkaline solution than in acid solution. The scale and shape parameters were evaluated for the as-received and corroded materials, respectively. The shape parameter of the as-received material corroded in acidic and alkaline solutions was significantly more apparent in the acidic solution. Further, the heat-treated material was large in acidic solution but small in alkaline solution. The shape parameters of the as-received and heat-treated materials were smaller in both acidic and alkaline solutions.

Analysis of Extreme Wave Conditions for Long-Term Wave Observation Data Considering Directionality (방향성을 고려한 장기 파랑관측자료의 극치파랑조건 분석)

  • Kim, Gunwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.700-711
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    • 2022
  • In this study, deepwater design waves were estimated for 16 wave directions and various return periods based on statistical analysis of extreme waves observed for more than 20 years at three stations (Chilbal-do, Geomun-do, Donghae). These values were compared with design waves estimated based on the omni-directional wave data. The Weibull distribution was used as the probability distribution function whose parameters were determined by the least square method. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was applied for the goodness of fit test. Notably, the directional design waves were smaller than the omni-directional design wave for every wave direction. The maximum 50-year wave heights for directional sectors were 7.46 m (NNE), 12.05 m (S), and 9,59 m (SSW) at Chilbal-do, Geomun-do and Donghae whereas those for uni-directional wave data were 7.91 m, 13.82 m and 10.38 m, respectively. This implied possible under-estimation of the deepwater design waves for 16 wave directions being currently used in the design of offshore and coastal structures.

New Considerations on Variability of Creep Rupture Data and Life Prediction (크리프 파단 데이터의 변동성에 대한 새로운 고찰과 수명예측)

  • Jung, Won-Taek;Kong, Yu-Sik;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.1119-1124
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with the variability analysis of short term creep rupture test data based on the previous creep rupture tests and the possibility of the creep life prediction. From creep tests performed by constant uniaxial stresses at 600, 650 and $700^{\circ}C$ elevated temperature, in order to investigate the variability of short-term creep rupture data, the creep curves were analyzed for normalized creep strain divided by initial strain. There are some variability in the creep rupture data. And, the difference between general creep curves and normalized creep curves were obtained. The effects of the creep rupture time (RT) and steady state creep rate (SSCR) on the Weibull distribution parameters were investigated. There were good relation between normal Weibull parameters and normalized Weibull parameters. Finally, the predicted creep life were compared with the Monkman-Grant model.

Economic-Statistical Design of Double Sampling T2 Control Chart under Weibull Failure Model (와이블 고장모형 하에서의 이중샘플링 T2 관리도의 경제적-통계적 설계 (이중샘플링 T2 관리도의 경제적-통계적 설계))

  • Hong, Seong-Ok;Lee, Min-Koo;Lee, Jooho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.471-488
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Double sampling $T^2$ chart is a useful tool for detecting a relatively small shift in process mean when the process is controlled by multiple variables. This paper finds the optimal design of the double sampling $T^2$ chart in both economical and statistical sense under Weibull failure model. Methods: The expected cost function is mathematically derived using recursive equation approach. The optimal designs are found using a genetic algorithm for numerical examples and compared to those of single sampling $T^2$ chart. Sensitivity analysis is performed to see the parameter effects. Results: The proposed design outperforms the optimal design of the single sampling $T^2$ chart in terms of the expected cost per unit time and Type-I error rate for all the numerical examples considered. Conclusion: Double sampling $T^2$ chart can be designed to satisfy both economic and statistical requirements under Weibull failure model and the resulting design is better than the single sampling counterpart.

An Analysis of Grinding Effects and Economic Life of Cutting Tool with Proportional Age Reduction Model (비례 수명 감소 모형을 사용한 절삭공구의 연마효과 및 경제적 수명 분석)

  • Oh, Sung-Youl;Hong, Jung-Wan;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2006
  • In this study, based on Weibull proportional age reduction model and age replacement policy, we analyze economic life of cutting tool which allows re-grinding. Re-grinding task, usually for high-priced machining tools(e.g., broaching tool), is a kind of preventive maintenance activities to extend tool life at the completion of a lot production. The numerical results are also presented. Among the parameters of Weibull proportional age reduction model, the re-grinding effect parameter and Weibull shape parameter have a strong effect on economic tool life, and in the cost parameters, shortage cost is most sensitive. With further study on the parameter estimation of tool life process and cost function, this study can be expected to give more practical contribution to management of general machining tools.

Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel (크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jaekab;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

Fabrication and Analysis of Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors for Medium and High Voltage (중, 고압용 적층 세라믹 캐패시터 제작 및 분석)

  • Yoon, Jung-Rag;Kim, Min-Ki;Lee, Heun-Young;Lee, Serk-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.685-689
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    • 2005
  • In the fabrication and design of MLCCs (Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors) with Ni inner electrode for medium and high voltage, reliability and dielectric breakdown mode have been investigated. For thickness of green sheet, the relationship between the rated voltage versus the thickness of green sheet. Increasing the thickness of green sheet increases the dielectric breakdown voltage. However, a practical limit to this linear relationship occurs at 30 urn and above. As the thickness of green sheet increased, dielectric breakdown voltage and weibull coefficient is increased, but abruptly decrease at 30 urn and 36 urn. When 24 urn of green sheet thickness, weibull coefficient and dielectric breakdown voltage were 13.58 and 70 V/um respectively. The results enabling the MLCCs to demonstrate high levels of reliability at medium and high voltage.