• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather observation

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Comparison of different post-processing techniques in real-time forecast skill improvement

  • Jabbari, Aida;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.150-150
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    • 2018
  • The Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models provide information for weather forecasts. The highly nonlinear and complex interactions in the atmosphere are simplified in meteorological models through approximations and parameterization. Therefore, the simplifications may lead to biases and errors in model results. Although the models have improved over time, the biased outputs of these models are still a matter of concern in meteorological and hydrological studies. Thus, bias removal is an essential step prior to using outputs of atmospheric models. The main idea of statistical bias correction methods is to develop a statistical relationship between modeled and observed variables over the same historical period. The Model Output Statistics (MOS) would be desirable to better match the real time forecast data with observation records. Statistical post-processing methods relate model outputs to the observed values at the sites of interest. In this study three methods are used to remove the possible biases of the real-time outputs of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model in Imjin basin (North and South Korea). The post-processing techniques include the Linear Regression (LR), Linear Scaling (LS) and Power Scaling (PS) methods. The MOS techniques used in this study include three main steps: preprocessing of the historical data in training set, development of the equations, and application of the equations for the validation set. The expected results show the accuracy improvement of the real-time forecast data before and after bias correction. The comparison of the different methods will clarify the best method for the purpose of the forecast skill enhancement in a real-time case study.

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Observed tropical cyclone wind flow characteristics

  • Schroeder, John L.;Edwards, Becca P.;Giammanco, Ian M.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.349-381
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    • 2009
  • Since 1998, several institutions have deployed mobile instrumented towers to collect research-grade meteorological data from landfalling tropical cyclones. This study examines the wind flow characteristics from seven landfalling tropical cyclones using data collected from eight individual mobile tower deployments which occurred from 1998-2005. Gust factor, turbulence intensity, and integral scale statistics are inspected relative to changing surface roughness, mean wind speed and storm-relative position. Radar data, acquired from the National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) network, are examined to explore potential relationships with respect to radar reflectivity and precipitation structure (convective versus stratiform). The results indicate tropical cyclone wind flow characteristics are strongly influenced by the surrounding surface roughness (i.e., exposure) at each observation site, but some secondary storm dependencies are also documented.

Analysis of Air Temperature Change Distribution that Using GIS technique (GIS 기법을 이용한 대기온도 변화 분포 분석)

  • Jung, Gyu-Young;Kang, In-Joon;Kim, Soo-Gyum;Joo, Hong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.395-397
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    • 2010
  • AWS that exist in Pusan is watching local meteorological phenomena established in place that the weather observatory does not exist by real time, and is used usefully to early input data of numerical weather forecasting model. I wished to display downtown of Pusan and air temperature change of peripheral area using this AWS data. Analyzed volatility using AWS observation data for 5 years to recognize air temperature change of Pusan area through data about temperature among them. Drew air temperature distribution chart by season of recapitulative Pusan area applying IDW linear interpolation with this.

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Determination of the Parameter Sets for the Best Performance of IPS-driven ENLIL Model

  • Yun, Jongyeon;Choi, Kyu-Cheol;Yi, Jonghyuk;Kim, Jaehun;Odstrcil, Dusan
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2016
  • Interplanetary scintillation-driven (IPS-driven) ENLIL model was jointly developed by University of California, San Diego (UCSD) and National Aeronaucics and Space Administration/Goddard Space Flight Center (NASA/GSFC). The model has been in operation by Korean Space Weather Cetner (KSWC) since 2014. IPS-driven ENLIL model has a variety of ambient solar wind parameters and the results of the model depend on the combination of these parameters. We have conducted researches to determine the best combination of parameters to improve the performance of the IPS-driven ENLIL model. The model results with input of 1,440 combinations of parameters are compared with the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) observation data. In this way, the top 10 parameter sets showing best performance were determined. Finally, the characteristics of the parameter sets were analyzed and application of the results to IPS-driven ENLIL model was discussed.

Study on the Specification and Operation Plan of the Meteorological Purpose Aircraft (기상 전용 항공기 도입 및 운영방안 연구)

  • Han, Kyoung-Keun;Kim, Young-Chul;Park, Soo-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2009
  • The Prime objectives of this study are to identify and analyze possible solutions and select a solution for the specification and operation plan of the meteorological purpose aircraft in Korea. Infrastructure like meteorological purpose aircraft and aircraft operating systems should be set up and their efficient plan must be established to improve meteorological technic in Korea. As a result of the study, we have found that the turboprop engine powered aircraft is the most suitable to initial model for the meteorological purpose aircraft. It was found that the indirect operation method might be the best solution, also. The results of this study may be useful to make decision for selecting specification and operation of the meteorological purpose aircraft.

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Extreme Weather Frequency Data over 167 Si-gun of S. Korea with High-resolution Topo-climatology Model (고해상도 소기후모형을 이용한 국내 167개 시·군별 이상기상 발생빈도 자료)

  • Jo, Sera;Shim, Kyo Moon;Park, Joo Hyeon;Kim, Yong Seok;Hur, Jina
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.164-170
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    • 2020
  • The weather conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, and sunshine duration, play one of the key roles in Agriculture. In particular, extreme weather events have crucial impacts on growth and yields of crops. This study estimates statistics of extreme weather events in 167 Si-gun over South Korea derived from high-resolution(30 and 270m) topo-climatology model for key three meteorological variables(temperature, precipitation and sunshine duration). It is shown that the characteristic of each extreme weather frequency in the topo-climatology model is in good agreement with observation from Korean Meteorological Administration's Automatic Surface Observing System. Moreover, it is possible to analyze the statistics of extreme weather more realistically because this data can cover the weather at not-observed regions. Hence, this data is expected to be used as baseline data for assessing vulnerability to extreme weather and politic decisions for damage reduction in agricultural sector.

A Study of the Method for Estimating the Missing Data from Weather Measurement Instruments (인공신경망을 이용한 기상관측장비 결측 보완 기술에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Jae-Sik;Lee, Moo-Hun;Jee, Joon-Bum;Jang, Min
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to make up for missing of weather informations from ASOS and AWS using artificial neural networks. We collected temperature, relative humidity and wind velocity for August during 5-yr (2011-2015) and sample designed artificial neural networks, assuming the Seoul weather station was missing. The result of sensitivity study on number of epoch shows that early stopping appeared at 2,000 epochs. Correlation between observation and prediction was higher than 0.6, especially temperature and humidity was higher than 0.9, 0.8 respectively. RMSE decreased gradually and training time increased exponentially with respect to increase of number of epochs. The predictability at 40 epoch was more than 80% effect on of improved results by the time the early stopping. It is expected to make it possible to use more detailed weather information via the rapid missing complemented by quick learning time within 2 seconds.

Comparison of Weather and Wave Data from Ocean Observation Buoys on the Southwestern Coast of Korea during Typhoon Muifa (태풍 무이파 내습시 서남해안 해양관측부이 기상파랑자료 비교 연구)

  • Yoon, Han-Sam;Kwon, Jun-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.170-176
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes the sea state and characteristics during the August 2011 passage of Typhoon Muifa based on data measured at four ocean weather/wave observation stations (buoys) located on the southwestern coast of Korea. When the typhoon arrived in the area approximately 230 km west of Mokpo at 9 PM on August 7, the decrease in air pressure led to increases in sea level of 25.64 cm at the Chilbal-do buoy, 16.43 cm at the Geomun-do buoy, and 9.60 cm at the Geoje-do buoy. The maximum wave height increased at the Geomun-do buoy about seven times faster than at the Chilbal-do buoy. The low water temperature at Chilbaldo during the typhoon passage probably reduced the wave energy. In the face of the oncoming typhoon, the southwest direction of the wind and waves may have been the result of external forces transporting seawater (energy) from the open sea toward the coast. The weather and ocean data from the Mara-do buoy were negatively correlated with those of Chilbal-do, whereas the data from Geomun-do had a positive correlation with those of Geoje-do.

The Performance Assessment of Special Observation Program (ProbeX-2009) and the Analysis on the Characteristics of Precipitation at the Ulleungdo (울릉도 특별관측 수행평가 및 강수특성 분석)

  • Kim, Ki-Hoon;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Kim, Do-Woo;Chang, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2011
  • The performance assessment in radiosonde observation on the special observation program (ProbeX-2009) is performed and the characteristics of precipitation using Auto Weather System (AWS) and radiosonde data in 2009 at the Ulleungdo are investigated. The launching time, observation time, and maximum altitude of radiosonde are satisfied with the regulation from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and World Meteorological Organization (WMO) but the duration of observational time of radiosonde is much shorter than that of the ProbeX-2007 because the altitude of launching site is higher than others in 2007. From the analysis of trajectories of radiosonde, most radiosondes at the Ulleungdo tend to move into the east because the westerly prevail at the middle latitude. However, when the Okhotsk high is expanded to the Korean peninsula and the north-westerly winds strengthen over the East Sea as the subtropical high is retreated, radiosonde tends to move into the south-west and south-east, respectively. Maximum distance appears at the end of observation level before May but the level of maximum distance is changed into 100 hPa after June because the prevailing wind direction is reversed from westerly to easterly at the stratosphere during summer time. The condition of precipitation was more correlated with the dynamic instability except Changma season. Precipitation in 2009 at the Ulleungdo occurred under the marine climate so that total precipitation amounts and precipitation intensity were increased and intensified during nighttime. The local environment favorable for the precipitation during nighttime was while the wind speed at the surface and the inflow from the shoreline were strengthened. Precipitation events also affected by synoptic condition but the localized effect induced by topography was more strengthened at the northern part of Ulleungdo.

Gangwon Yeongdong Wind Experiments (G-WEX) Pilot Study: Downslope windstorms in the Taebaek Mountains, South Korea (강원영동 강풍 관측설계와 예비 관측결과)

  • Kim, Ji-Eun;Kwon, Tae-Yong;Park, Gyun-Myeong;Han, Youn-Deok;Shin, Dong-Hyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.361-376
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    • 2021
  • "Gangwon Yeongdong Wind Experiments (G-WEX) Pilot Study: Downslope windstorms in the Taebaek Mountains, South Korea" is promoted based on joint organization by Gangwon Regional Office of Meteorology and National Institute of Meteorological Research and participation by 12 institutions to understand the mechanism in development of Yeongdong wind phenomena. The special observation (G-WEX) involved total of 5 intensive observations in March 2020 and April 2020. To collect the data necessary for the research on Yeongdong wind phenomena, (1) high-resolution surface observation network was used to examine surface wind and (2) atmospheric soundings were observed by using Rawinsonde, Wind profiler, Wind Lidar, and Drone. This study covers the detailed information on the special observational experiments for downslope windstorms in the leeward of the Taebaek Mountains, named as the Yeongdong wind, including the observational strategies, experimental designs, and pilot studies during the Intensified Observing Period (IOPs). According to 2020 G-WEX observation results, downslope windstorms were observed in 2~3 km of upper atmosphere when the strong winds happened around the top of the mountain near Daegwallyeong. Also, dry adiabatic expansion related to downslope windstorms caused temperature rise and led to formation of an inversion layer in altitude below 2.5 km. Bands of strong wind were located right under the altitude where downslope windstorms are observed with temporal rise of the temperature. As these are preliminary observation results, there needs to be continuous related researches and high-resolution weather observation.