• Water Engineering Research
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.111-126
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• 2003

Meteorological data are often needed to evaluate the long-term effects of proposed hydrologic changes. The evaluation is frequently undertaken using deterministic mathematical models that require daily weather data as input including precipitation amount, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed. Stochastic generation of the required weather data offers alternative to the use of observed weather records. The precipitation is modeled by a Markov Chain-exponential model. The other variables are generated by multivariate model with means and standard deviations of the variables conditioned on the wet or dry status of the day as determined by the precipitation model. Ultimately, the objective of this paper is to compare Richardson's model and the improved weather generation model in their ability to provide daily weather data for the crop model to study potential impacts of climate change on the irrigation needs and crop yield. However this paper does not refer to the improved weather generation model and the crop model. The new weather generation model improved will be introduced in the Journal of KWRA.

• 전기전자학회논문지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.121-127
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• 2001

Actual system apparatuses are necessary in order to verify the efficiency and stability of photovoltaic(PV) generation systems considering the size of solar panel, the sort of converter type, and the load conditions and so on. Moreover, it is hardly possible to compare a certain MPPT control scheme with others under the exactly same weather and load conditions as well. For the purpose of solving above mentioned difficulties in a laboratory basis, a transient simulation of PV generation system using real field weather conditions is indispensable. A straightforward simulation scheme with cost effective hardware structures under real weather conditions is proposed in this paper using EMTDC type of transient analysis simulators. Firstly, a solar cell has been modeled with VI characteristic equations, and then the real field data of weather conditions are interfaced to the EMTDC through Fortran program interface method. As a result, the stability and the efficiency analysis of PV generation systems according to various hardware structures and MPPT controls are easily possible under the exactly same weather conditions.

• 전력전자학회논문지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.481-485
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• 2016

When analyzing economic feasibility for installing a PV generation plant at a certain location, the prediction of possible annual power production at the site using the target PV panels should be conducted on the basis of the local weather data provided by a local weather forecasting office. In addition, the prediction of PV generating power under certain weather conditions is useful for fault diagnosis and performance evaluation of PV generation plants during actual operation. This study analyzes PV cell characteristics according to a variety of weather conditions, including ambient temperature and irradiance level. From the analysis and simulation results, this work establishes a proper model that can predict the output characteristics of PV cells under changes in weather conditions.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.157-167
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• 2017

Solar energy has been known as a successful alternative energy source, however it requires a large area to build power generation facilities compared to other energy sources such as nuclear power. Weather factors such as rainy weather or night time impact on solar power generation because of lack of insolation and sunshine. In addition, solar power generation is vulnerable to external elements such as changes in temperature and fine dust. There are four seasons in the Republic of Korea hereby variations of temperature, insolation and sunshine are broad. Currently factors that cause find dust are continuously flowing in to Korea from abroad. In order to build a solar power plant, a large area is required for a limited domestic land hereby selecting the optimal location for the plant that maximizes the efficiency of power generation is necessary. Therefore, this research analyze the optimal site for solar power generation plant by implementing analytic hierarchy process based on weather factors such as fine dust. In order to extract weather factors that impact on solar power generation, this work conducts a case study which includes a correlation analysis between weather information and power generation.

• 대기
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.201-209
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• 2018

Benefits of the next generation geostationary meteorological satellite observation (e.g., GEO-KOMPSAT-2A) are qualitatively and comprehensively described and discussed. Main beneficial phenomena for application can be listed as tropical cyclones (typhoon), high impact weather (heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail), ocean, air pollution (particulate matter), forest fire, fog, aircraft icing, volcanic eruption, and space weather. The next generation satellites with highly enhanced spatial and temporal resolution images, expanding channels, and basic and additional products are expected to create the new valuable benefits, including the contribution to the reduction of socioeconomic losses due to weather-related disasters. In particular, the new satellite observations are readily applicable to early warning and very-short time forecast application of hazardous weather phenomena, global climate change monitoring and adaptation, improvement of numerical weather forecast skill, and technical improvement of space weather monitoring and forecast. Several policy plans for expanding the application of the next generation satellite data are suggested.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제64권3호
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• pp.393-398
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• 2015

City or Community-scale Energy Management System(CEMS) is used to reduce the total energy consumed in the city by arranging the energy resources efficiently at the planning stage and controlling them economically at the operating stage. Of the operational functions of the CEMS, generation forecasting of renewable energy resources is an essential feature for the effective supply scheduling. This is because it can develop daily operating schedules of controllable generators in the city (e.g. diesel turbine, micro-gas turbine, ESS, CHP and so on) in order to minimize the inflow of the external power supply system, considering the amount of power generated by the uncontrollable renewable energy resources. This paper is written to introduce numerical models for photo-voltaic power generation prediction based on the weather forecasting information. Unlike the conventional methods using the average radiation or average utilization rate, the proposed models are developed for CEMS applications using the realtime weather forecast information provided by the National Weather Service.

• 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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• 제19권8호
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• pp.1530-1537
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• 2016

Recently, solar power generation shows the significant growth in the renewable energy field. Using the short-term prediction, it is possible to control the electric power demand and the power generation plan of the auxiliary device. However, a short-term prediction can be used when you know the weather forecast. If it is not possible to use the weather forecast information because of disconnection of network at the island and the mountains or for security reasons, the accuracy of prediction is not good. Therefore, in this paper, we proposed a system capable of short-term prediction of solar power generation amount by using only the weather information that has been collected by oneself. We used temperature, humidity and insolation as weather information. We have applied a moving average to each information because they had a characteristic of time series. It was composed of min, max and average of each information, differences of mutual information and gradient of it. An artificial neural network, SVM and RBF Network model was used for the prediction algorithm and they were combined by Ensemble method. The results of this suggest that using a moving average during pre-processing and ensemble prediction models will maximize prediction accuracy.

• 디지털콘텐츠학회 논문지
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.157-164
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• 2016

태양광 발전량은 날씨에 큰 영향을 받는다. 기상 예보를 사용할 수 있는 환경이라면, 기상 예보 정보를 사용하여 미래의 태양광 발전량을 단기예측 할 수 있다. 하지만, 섬이나 산과 같이 네트워크의 단절에 의해 기상예보 정보를 사용할 수 없는 제한된 환경에서는 기상예보를 사용한 태양광 발전량 예측 모델을 사용할 수 없다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 시스템 자체적으로 수집할 수 있는 정보만을 이용하여 태양광 발전량을 단기 예측할 수 있는 시스템을 제안하였다. 예측의 정확도를 높이기 위하여 이전 온도정보와 발전량 정보를 이용하여 단기 예측모델을 생성하였다. 실험을 통하여 실데이터에 제안한 예측 모델을 적용하여 유용한 결과를 보였다.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.630-649
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• 2013

기상청은 차세대 도시 농림 융합 스마트 기상서비스기술 개발 사업을 통하여 1km 범위 이내, 1시간 단위 수준으로 기상정보를 세분화시키고 이를 활용하여 도시지역과 농림지역에 필요한 정보를 제공할 계획이다. 이에 본 연구는 조건부 가치측정법을 활용하여 차세대 도시 농림 융합 스마트 기상서비스기술 개발 사업의 편익을 산정함으로써 동 사업의 경제적 타당성 여부 평가를 위한 정량적 정보를 제공하고자 하였다. 또한 스파이크 모형을 통하여 제시된 금액에 대하여 지불의사가 없는 응답자들을 지불의사가 영(0)원인 집단과 지불의사가 영(0)원보다 큰 집단으로 나누어 분석하였다. 분석결과 차세대 도시 농림 융합 스마트 기상서비스에 대한 일반국민들의 가구당 연간 WTP는 2,947.0원에 달하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 분석결과는 동 사업의 타당성분석에 정량적 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권12호
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• pp.2349-2353
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• 2009

Due to high oil price and global warming of the earth, investments for renewable energy have been increased a lot continuously. Specially, wind power has been received a great attention in the world. In order to construct a new wind farm, forecasting of wind power generation is essential for a feasibility test. This paper investigates wind velocity measurement data of Gosan weather station which located in Hankyung of Jeju island. This paper presents results of estimation of wind power generation using digital weather forecast provided from Korea meteorological administration, and the accuracy of the wind power forecasting by comparison between forecasted data and actual wind power data.