• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather classifier

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FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING USING REMOTELY SENSED INFORMATION AND NEURAL NETWORKS PART II : MODEL APPLICATION

  • Kim, Gwang-seob;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2002
  • A developed Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was applied to the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. The model incorporated the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems of the study area for improved flood forecasting. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters associated with synoptic atmospheric conditions as Input. Here, we present results from the application of the Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model in 2 small watersheds along the leeward side of the Appalachian Mountains in the mid-Atlantic region. Threat scores consistently above 0.6 and close to 0.8 ∼ 0.9 were obtained fur 18 hour lead-time forecasts, and skill scores of at least 40% and up to 55 % were obtained.

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Design of Very Short-term Precipitation Forecasting Classifier Based on Polynomial Radial Basis Function Neural Networks for the Effective Extraction of Predictive Factors (예보인자의 효과적 추출을 위한 다항식 방사형 기저 함수 신경회로망 기반 초단기 강수예측 분류기의 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we develop the very short-term precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier based on polynomial radial basis function neural networks by using AWS(Automatic Weather Station) and KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) meteorological data. The polynomial-based radial basis function neural networks is designed to realize precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier. The structure of the proposed RBFNNs consists of three modules such as condition, conclusion, and inference phase. The input space of the condition phase is divided by using Fuzzy C-means(FCM) and the local area of the conclusion phase is represented as four types of polynomial functions. The coefficients of connection weights are estimated by weighted least square estimation(WLSE) for modeling as well as least square estimation(LSE) method for classifier. The final output of the inference phase is obtained through fuzzy inference method. The essential parameters of the proposed model and classifier such ad input variable, polynomial order type, the number of rules, and fuzzification coefficient are optimized by means of Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO) and Differential Evolution(DE). The performance of the proposed precipitation forecasting system is evaluated by using KLAPS meteorological data.

Analysis and Detection Method for Line-shaped Echoes using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 선에코 특성 분석 및 탐지 방법)

  • Lee, Hansoo;Kim, Eun Kyeong;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.665-670
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    • 2014
  • A SVM is a kind of binary classifier in order to find optimal hyperplane which separates training data into two groups. Due to its remarkable performance, the SVM is applied in various fields such as inductive inference, binary classification or making predictions. Also it is a representative black box model; there are plenty of actively discussed researches about analyzing trained SVM classifier. This paper conducts a study on a method that is automatically detecting the line-shaped echoes, sun strobe echo and radial interference echo, using the SVM algorithm because the line-shaped echoes appear relatively often and disturb weather forecasting process. Using a spatial clustering method and corrected reflectivity data in the weather radar, the training data is made up with mean reflectivity, size, appearance, centroid altitude and so forth. With actual occurrence cases of the line-shaped echoes, the trained SVM classifier is verified, and analyzed its characteristics using the decision tree method.

An Intelligent System for Filling of Missing Values in Weather Data

  • Maqsood Ali Solangi;Ghulam Ali Mallah;Shagufta Naz;Jamil Ahmed Chandio;Muhammad Bux Soomro
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.95-99
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    • 2023
  • Recently Machine Learning has been considered as one of the active research areas of Computer Science. The various Artificial Intelligence techniques are used to solve the classification problems of environmental sciences, biological sciences, and medical sciences etc. Due to the heterogynous and malfunctioning weather sensors a considerable amount of noisy data with missing is generated, which is alarming situation for weather prediction stockholders. Filling of these missing values with proper method is really one of the significant problems. The data must be cleaned before applying prediction model to collect more precise & accurate results. In order to solve all above stated problems, this research proposes a novel weather forecasting system which consists upon two steps. The first step will prepare data by reducing the noise; whereas a decision model is constructed at second step using regression algorithm. The Confusion Matrix will be used to evaluation the proposed classifier.

A Study on Chaff Echo Detection using AdaBoost Algorithm and Radar Data (AdaBoost 알고리즘과 레이더 데이터를 이용한 채프에코 식별에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hansoo;Kim, Jonggeun;Yu, Jungwon;Jeong, Yeongsang;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2013
  • In pattern recognition field, data classification is an essential process for extracting meaningful information from data. Adaptive boosting algorithm, known as AdaBoost algorithm, is a kind of improved boosting algorithm for applying to real data analysis. It consists of weak classifiers, such as random guessing or random forest, which performance is slightly more than 50% and weights for combining the classifiers. And a strong classifier is created with the weak classifiers and the weights. In this paper, a research is performed using AdaBoost algorithm for detecting chaff echo which has similar characteristics to precipitation echo and interrupts weather forecasting. The entire process for implementing chaff echo classifier starts spatial and temporal clustering based on similarity with weather radar data. With them, learning data set is prepared that separated chaff echo and non-chaff echo, and the AdaBoost classifier is generated as a result. For verifying the classifier, actual chaff echo appearance case is applied, and it is confirmed that the classifier can distinguish chaff echo efficiently.

Design of Meteorological Radar Echo Classifier Using Fuzzy Relation-based Neural Networks : A Comparative Studies of Echo Judgement Modules (FNN 기반 신경회로망을 이용한 기상 레이더 에코 분류기 설계 : 에코판단 모듈의 비교 분석)

  • Ko, Jun-Hyun;Song, Chan-Seok;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.562-568
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    • 2014
  • There exist precipitation echo and non-precipitation echo in the meteorological radar. It is difficult to effectively issue the right weather forecast because of a difficulty in determining these ambiguous point. In this study, Data is extracted from UF data of meteorological radar used. Input and output data for designing two classifier were built up through the analysis of the characteristics of precipitation and non-precipitation. Selected input variables are considered for better performance and echo classifier is designed using fuzzy relation-based nueral network. Comparative studies on the performance of echo classifier are carried out by considering both echo judgement module 1 and module 2.

Forecasting of Various Air Pollutant Parameters in Bangalore Using Naïve Bayesian

  • Shivkumar M;Sudhindra K R;Pranesha T S;Chate D M;Beig G
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.196-200
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    • 2024
  • Weather forecasting is considered to be of utmost important among various important sectors such as flood management and hydro-electricity generation. Although there are various numerical methods for weather forecasting but majority of them are reported to be Mechanistic computationally demanding due to their complexities. Therefore, it is necessary to develop and build models for accurately predicting the weather conditions which are faster as well as efficient in comparison to the prevalent meteorological models. The study has been undertaken to forecast various atmospheric parameters in the city of Bangalore using Naïve Bayes algorithms. The individual parameters analyzed in the study consisted of wind speed (WS), wind direction (WD), relative humidity (RH), solar radiation (SR), black carbon (BC), radiative forcing (RF), air temperature (AT), bar pressure (BP), PM10 and PM2.5 of the Bangalore city collected from Air Quality Monitoring Station for a period of 5 years from January 2015 to May 2019. The study concluded that Naive Bayes is an easy and efficient classifier that is centered on Bayes theorem, is quite efficient in forecasting the various air pollution parameters of the city of Bangalore.

Design of a Mirror for Fragrance Recommendation based on Personal Emotion Analysis (개인의 감성 분석 기반 향 추천 미러 설계)

  • Hyeonji Kim;Yoosoo Oh
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2023
  • The paper proposes a smart mirror system that recommends fragrances based on user emotion analysis. This paper combines natural language processing techniques such as embedding techniques (CounterVectorizer and TF-IDF) and machine learning classification models (DecisionTree, SVM, RandomForest, SGD Classifier) to build a model and compares the results. After the comparison, the paper constructs a personal emotion-based fragrance recommendation mirror model based on the SVM and word embedding pipeline-based emotion classifier model with the highest performance. The proposed system implements a personalized fragrance recommendation mirror based on emotion analysis, providing web services using the Flask web framework. This paper uses the Google Speech Cloud API to recognize users' voices and use speech-to-text (STT) to convert voice-transcribed text data. The proposed system provides users with information about weather, humidity, location, quotes, time, and schedule management.

A Hierarchical CPV Solar Generation Tracking System based on Modular Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크 기반 계층적 CPV 태양광 추적 시스템)

  • Park, Susang;Yang, Kyon-Mo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2014
  • The power production using renewable energy is more important because of a limited amount of fossil fuel and the problem of global warming. A concentrative photovoltaic system comes into the spotlight with high energy production, since the rate of power production using solar energy is proliferated. These systems, however, need to sophisticated tracking methods to give the high power production. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical tracking system using modular Bayesian networks and a naive Bayes classifier. The Bayesian networks can respond flexibly in uncertain situations and can be designed by domain knowledge even when the data are not enough. Bayesian network modules infer the weather states which are classified into nine classes. Then, naive Bayes classifier selects the most effective method considering inferred weather states and the system makes a decision using the rules. We collected real weather data for the experiments and the average accuracy of the proposed method is 93.9%. In addition, comparing the photovoltaic efficiency with the pinhole camera system results in improved performance of about 16.58%.

Self-adaptive Online Sequential Learning Radial Basis Function Classifier Using Multi-variable Normal Distribution Function

  • Dong, Keming;Kim, Hyoung-Joong;Suresh, Sundaram
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.08a
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    • pp.382-386
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    • 2009
  • Online or sequential learning is one of the most basic and powerful method to train neuron network, and it has been widely used in disease detection, weather prediction and other realistic classification problem. At present, there are many algorithms in this area, such as MRAN, GAP-RBFN, OS-ELM, SVM and SMC-RBF. Among them, SMC-RBF has the best performance; it has less number of hidden neurons, and best efficiency. However, all the existing algorithms use signal normal distribution as kernel function, which means the output of the kernel function is same at the different direction. In this paper, we use multi-variable normal distribution as kernel function, and derive EKF learning formulas for multi-variable normal distribution kernel function. From the result of the experience, we can deduct that the proposed method has better efficiency performance, and not sensitive to the data sequence.

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