Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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v.5
no.2
s.17
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pp.9-16
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2005
This paper presents the use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as a viable means of forecasting Inundation Damage Area (IDA) in many watersheds. In order to develop the forecasting model with various environmental factors, we selected 108 watershed areas in South Korea and collected 49 damage data sets from 1990 to 2000, of which each set is composed of 27 parameters including the IDA, rainfall amount, and land use. After successful training processes of the ANN, a good agreement (R=0.92) is obtained (under present conditions) between the measured values of the IDA and those predicted by the developed ANN using the remaining 26 data sets as input parameters. The results indicate that the inundation damage is affected by not only meteorological information such as the rainfall amount, but also various environmental characteristics of the watersheds. So, the ANN proves its present ability to predict the IDA caused by an event of complex factors in a specific watershed area using accumulated temporal-spatial information, and it also shows a potential capability to handle complex non-linear dynamic phenomena of environmental changes. In this light, the ANN can be further harnessed to estimate the importance of certain input parameters to an output (e.g., the IDA in this study), quantify the significance of parameters involved in pre-existing models, and contribute to the presumption, selection, and calibration of input parameters of conventional models.
Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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v.10
no.5
/
pp.1009-1019
/
2009
In this research, various characteristics of South Korea's design flood have been examined by deriving appropriate design flood, using data obtained from careful observation of actual floods occurring in selected main watersheds of the nation. 19 watersheds were selected for research in Korea. The various characteristics of annual rainfall were analyzed by using a moving average method. The frequency analysis was decided to be performed on the annual maximum flood of succeeding one year as a reference year. For the 19 watersheds, tests of basic statistics, independent, homogeneity, and outlier were calculated per period of annual maximum flood series. By performing a test using the LH-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, among applied distributions of Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) distribution was found to be adequate compared with other probability distributions. Parameters of GEV distribution were estimated by L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment method based on the change in the order of probability weighted moments. Design floods per watershed and the periods of annual maximum flood series were derived by GEV distribution. According to the result of the analysis performed by using variation rate used in this research, it has been concluded that the time for changing the design conditions to ensure the proper hydraulic structure that considers recent climate changes of the nation brought about by global warming should be around the year 2002.
KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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v.34
no.4
/
pp.1171-1180
/
2014
The NRCS-CN method is generally used to estimate effective rainfalls in a basin. However, since the curve number which plays a critical role in the NRCS-CN method was originally developed for US watersheds, it is limited to be directly applied to other basins outside the United States. Therefore various modifications have been suggested to revise the NRCS-CN for specific watershed condition. This study introduced the weighted average method and the slope-based CN to estimate effective rainfalls available for Korean watersheds and compared with the observed direct runoff. The overall results achieved from this study indicated that the adjusted slope-based CN considerably increases effective rainfalls in general and makes the duration of effective storm longer. Based on the statistical error analysis performed for various modifications of NRCS-CN, the weighted average method with the adjusted slope-based CN has highest precision with the observed direct runoff. In addition, after analyzing the relation between the initial loss estimated from rainfall-runoff observations and the potential maximum retention from GIS-based data, it turns out that the assumption of linear relationship between the initial loss and the potential maximum retention is not available for Korean watersheds.
Flow exchanges between stream and groundwater are assessed on urban streams in Daegu, Korea. Two rivers and 25 streams with the total length of 240 km run through the study area. The interaction between surface water and groundwater was estimated using Darcy's method. The study was conducted by dividing the basin into 16 smaller watersheds, and for comparison purposes. Groundwater level, surface water level, hydraulic conductivity, thickness of aquifer, and the distance between the well and the nearest stream were used for quantifying the interaction. To investigations the groundwater interaction in the watersheds, the amount of effluent seepage from groundwater to the stream, the amount of influent seepage from the stream to groundwater, and the amount of annual interaction between surface water and groundwater were computed. The total amount of effluent seepage from the groundwater to stream in the basin was approximately $72{\times}10^6m^3/year$. The total amount of influent seepage from the stream to groundwater was approximately $35{\times}10^6m^3/year$. It appeared that the total amount of annual interaction between surface water and groundwater was approximately $108{\times}10^6m^3/year$ and the total groundwater flow balance was approximately $37{\times}10^6m^3/year$. The annual amount of interaction between the surface water and groundwater was the largest in the Goryung Bridge Basin($29{\times}10^6m^3/year$) and the least in the Dalchang Dam Basin($0.2{\times}10^6m^3/year$). The results show that flow exchanges between stream and groundwater are very active and that there are significant difference among the smaller watersheds. Finally, the results indicate that it is necessary to further investigate to more precisely understand the interaction characteristics between surface water and groundwater in urban areas.
Kim, Nam Won;Nah, Hanna;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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v.47
no.12
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pp.1155-1163
/
2014
The complementary relationship-based evapotranspiration models, namely, AA model of Brutsaert and Stricker (1979) and the CRAE model of Morton (1983) was applied to two permanent stream watersheds Jeju island for the first time, and their major optimal parameters were suggested in this study. The representative watersheds for model calibration and validation were selected as the Hancheon watershed located in the northern part of the Jeju island and and the Kangjeongcheon watershed in southern Jeju island, respectively. The estimated actual evapotranspiration for the Hancheon watershed was compared with the result by the hydrological model, and the major parameters of the AA and CRAE models were calibrated until their results match the hydrological simulations. Through the iterative estimations, the optimal parameters were determined as ${\alpha}=1.00$, $M=30.0Wm^{-2}$ of the AA model, and $b_1=33.0Wm^{-2}$, $b_2=1.02$ of the CRAE model. The calibrated AA and CRAE models were applied to the Kangjeongcheon watershed for model validation, and it was found out that both models can accurately produce the actual evaporation on annual and semiannual bases.
Runoff data availability is a substantial factor for precise flood control such as flood frequency or flood forecasting. However, runoff depths and/or peak discharges for small watersheds are rarely measured which are necessary components for hydrological analysis. To compensate for this discrepancy, a lumped concept such as a Storage Function Method (SFM) was applied for the partitioned Choongju Dam Watershed in Korea. This area was divided into 22 small watersheds for measuring the capability of spatial extension of runoff data. The chosen total number of flood events for searching parameters of SFM was 21 from 1991 to 2009. The parameters for 22 small watersheds consist of physical property based (storage coefficient: k, storage exponent: p, lag time: $T_l$) and flood event based parameters (primary runoff ratio: $f_1$, saturated rainfall: $R_{sa}$). Saturated rainfall and base flow from event based parameters were explored with respect to inflow at Choongju Dam while other parameters for each small watershed were fixed. When inflow of Choongju Dam was optimized, Youngchoon and Panwoon stations obtained average of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were 0.67 and 0.52, respectively, which are in the satisfaction condition (NSE > 0.5) for model evaluation. This result is showing the possibility of spatial data extension using a lumped concept model.
In this study, the effects of changed environment on spatial extension of flood discharge data which is generating discharge data at ungauged watersheds. Especially, effects of dams on spatial extensions of flood discharge data and on natural flow generation were studied. This is somehow an intial trial of flood discharge data generation for heterogeneous watersheds because of dam installation. Data extensions have been performed based on the flood discharge data from YeoJoo water gauge station located on the Nam-Han River. For the evaluation of flood discharge data spatial extension under dam effects and producing natural flow, 41 flood events associated with YeoJoo water gauge station were selected from 1986 to 2010. When flood discharge data were extended based on YeoJoo water gauge station, 77% of selected flood events were over the satisfaction ranges (NSE>0.5) of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency for model validation. Extended flood discharge data at Yangpyung has 0.84 NSE obtained from spatial data extension based on YeoJoo water gauge station. Generated natural flow at YeoJoo was influenced strongly by Chungju Dam which has larger effects on streamflow at YeoJoo than Hoangsung Dam. Observed peak discharges after the 1986 of Chungju Dam installation were smaller than those of the obtained natural flow. Through these results, spatial extension of flood discharge data with installed dams works efficiently for ungauged watersheds and natural flow can be generated using extended flood discharge data.
A method of estimating irrigation water need based on water balance and net water consumption concept is proposed, and applied to four watersheds in order to assess the regional and altitudinal characteristics of evapotranspiration and water need for upland crops in Jeju Island. Potential and actual evapotranspiration, and net water need were calculated during the period 1992 to 2013 using SWAT-K watershed model. The annual potential evapotranspiration decreased linearly with increasing elevation, while actual evapotranspiration showed increase with elevation to 400 m around and gradual decrease at higher elevation due to vegetation species, water availability, and cold limitation. Altitudinal pattern of net water need showed linear decrease with increasing elevation for three watersheds (Han-cheon, Cheonmi-cheon, and Oedo-cheon), and annual values of net water need for upland areas (below 200 m in elevation) were 559~680mm/yr. The comparison between actual pumping rate from wells and net water need for irrigation area showed that the amount of pumping water significantly increased during summer season (June to August), while net water need for crop cultivation relatively decreased during this period. To ensure these results, more water use data from pumping wells and additional watersheds should be investigated in the next study.
It is required to estimate reliable design floods for hydraulic structures in order to respond more effectively to recent climate change. In this study, differences of design floods that were estimated the flood frequency analysis (FFA) and the design rainfall-runoff analysis (DRRA) were analyzed. In Korea, due to lack of measured flood data, the DRRA method is used in practice to determine the design floods. However, assuming the design floods estimated by the FFA as true values, the DRRA method over estimated the design floods by 79%. Thus, this study proposed a practical method to estimated design flood in ungauaged watersheds through regressive adjustment of flood quantiles estimated from the DRRA method. To this end, after investigating the differences between design floods acquired from the FFA and the DRRA method, nonlinear regression analyses were performed to develop the adjustment formulas for 8 large-dam watersheds. Applying the adjustment formula, the accuracy was improved by 65.0% on average over the DRRA method. In addition, when considering the watershed size, the adjustment formula increases the accuracy by 2.1%p on average over when not considering the watershed size.
Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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v.37
no.3_4
/
pp.34-47
/
1995
It is experienced fact as a regular annual event that the structure to he designed on unreasonable flood for the agricultural structures including reservoirs have been brought not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this problem at issue, this study was conducted to develop an optimal runoff hydrograph model by comparison of the peak flows and time to peak between observed and simulated flows derived by linear time-invariant and linear time-variant models under the condition of having a short duration of heavy rainfall with uniform rainfall intensity at nine small watersheds which are within the range of 55.9 to 140.7 square kilometers in area in Han, Geum, Nagdong and Yeongsan Rivers. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1. Storage constants and Gamma function arguments were calculated within the range of 1.2 to 6.42 and of 1.28 to 8.05 respectively by the moment method as the parameters for the analysis of runoff hydrograph based on linear time-invariant model. 2. Parameters for both linear time-invariant and linear time-variant models were calibrated with nine gaged watershed data, using a trial and error method. The resulting parameters including Gamma function argument, N and storage constant, K for linear time-invariant model were related statistically to watershed characteristic variables such as area, slope, length of main stream and the centroid length of the basin. 3. Average relative errors of the simulated peak discharge of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using linear time-variant and linear time-invariant models were shown to be 0.75 and 5.42 percent respectively to the peak of observed runoff hydrographs. Correlation coefficients for the statistical analysis in the same condition were shown to be 0.999 and 0.978 with a high significance respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that the accuracy of a linear time-variant model is approaching more closely to the observed runoff hydrograph than that of a linear time-invariant model in the applied watersheds. 4. Average relative errors of the time to peak of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using linear time-variant and linear time-invariant models were shown to be 16.44 and 19.89 percent respectively to the time to peak of observed runoff hydrographs. Correlation coefficients in the same condition were also shown to be 0.999 and 0.886 with a high significance respectively. 5. It can be seen that the shape of simulated hydrograph based on a linear time- variant model is getting closer to the observed runoff hydrograph than that of a linear time-invariant model in the applied watersheds. 6. Two different models were verified with different rainfall-runoff events from data for the calibration by relative error and correlation analysis. Consequently, it can be generally concluded that verification results for the peak discharge and time to peak of simulated runoff hydrographs were in good agreement with those of calibrated runoff hydrographs.
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