• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.155-165
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• 2016

Pipe Deterioration Prediction (PDP) and Pipe Failure Risk Prediction (PFRP) models were developed in an attempt to predict the deterioration and failure risk in water mains using fuzzy technique and the markov process. These two models were used to determine the priority in repair and replacement, by predicting the deterioration degree, deterioration rate, failure possibility and remaining life in a study sample comprising 32 water mains. From an analysis approach based on conservative risk with a medium policy risk, the remaining life for 30 of the 32 water mains was less than 5 years for 2 mains (7%), 5-10 years for 8 (27%), 10-15 years for 7 (23%), 15-20 years for 5 (17%), 20-25 years for 5 (17%), and 25 years or more for 2 (7%).

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.61-74
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• 2003

This study(II) apply to the A city by using the optimal rehabilitation model based on the deterioration prediction of the water distribution system proposed the study(I). The deterioration prediction model divides factors into 14 factors with digging and experiment and 9 factor without digging and experiment and calculate the deterioration degree. The application results of the deterioration prediction model show that a difference of the deterioration degree according to factor numbers is within 1~2%. Also, the model can predict the deterioration degree of each pipe without digging and experiment. The optimal rehabilitation model is divided into the optimal residual durability of each deterioration factor and budget constraint or not. The application result is as follow: the rehabilitation time and cost increase according to the increasing of the optimal residual durability. When compared the model with budget constraint and model without budget constraint, the former model increase the cost of total contents. In case of budget constraint, the increasing tendency is concluded that the pipe rehabilitation is executed in same budget every year in condition that every rehabilitation cost do not exceed the every year budget within the optimal residual durability.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.45-59
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• 2003

The method in this study, which is more efficiency than the existing method, propose the optimal rehabilitation model based on the deterioration prediction of the laying pipe by using the deterioration survey method of the water distribution system. The deterioration prediction model divides the deterioration degree of each pipe into 5 degree by using the probabilistic neural network. Also, the optimal residual durability is estimated by the calculated deterioration degree in each pipe and pipe diameter. The optimal rehabilitation model by integer programming base on the shortest path can calculate a time and cost of maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement. Also, the model is divided into budget constraint and no budget constraint. Consequently, the model proposed by the study can be utilized as the quantitative method for the management of the water distribution system.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.7
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• pp.525-535
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• 2009

In this paper a heuristic method for identifying individual pipes in water pipe networks to determine specific sections of the pipes that need to be replaced due to deterioration. An appropriate minimum pipe length is determined by selecting the pipe length that has the greatest variance of the average cumulative break number slopes among the various pipe lengths used. As a result, the minimum pipe length for the case study water network is determined as 4 m and a total of 39 individual pipe IDs are obtained. The economically optimal replacement times of the individual pipe IDs are estimated by using the threshold break rate of an individual pipe ID and the pipe break trends models for which the General Pipe Break Prediction Model(Park and Loganathan, 2002) that can incorporate the linear, exponential, and in-between of the linear and exponetial failure trends and the ROCOFs based on the modified time scale(Park et al., 2007) are used. The maximum log-likelihoods of the log-linear ROCOF and Weibull ROCOF estimated for the break data of a pipe are compared and the ROCOF that has a greater likelihood is selected for the pipe of interest. The effects of the social costs of a pipe break on the optimal replacement time are also discussed.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.5-10
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• 2022

Recently, ground subsidence has been continuously occurring in downtown areas, threatening the safety of citizens. Various underground facilities such as water and sewage pipelines and communication pipelines are buried under the road. It is reported that the cause of ground subsidence is the deterioration of various facilities and the reckless development of the underground. In particular, it is known that the biggest cause of ground subsidence is the aging of sewage pipelines. As an existing study related to this, several representative factors of sewage pipelines were selected and a study to predict the risk of ground subsidence through statistical analysis has been conducted. In this study, a data SET was constructed using the characteristics of OO city's sewage pipe characteristics and ground subsidence data, The data set constructed from the characteristics of the sewage pipe of OO city and the location of the ground subsidence was used. The goal of this study was to present a classification model for the occurrence of ground subsidence according to the characteristics of sewage pipes through machine learning. In addition, the importance of each sewage pipe characteristic affecting the ground subsidence was calculated.