• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water Resources Operation

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Accuracy Evaluation of Critical Rainfall for Inundation Using ROC Method (ROC 기법을 이용한 침수유발 한계강우량 정확도 산정)

  • Chu, Kyung Su;Lee, Seok Ho;kang, Dong Ho;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.367-367
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 국지성 호우 및 태풍의 빈도가 빈발하고 및 규모가 커지고 있으며 그로 인한 홍수피해규모는 증가하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 도시 지역의 호우로 인한 침수유발 강우량을 산정하는 기법의 정확도를 산정하는데 목적이 있으며 이를 위해 ROC(Receiver Operation Characteristic Curve) 분석을 이용하였다. 본 논문에서는 분포형 홍수해석 모형인 S-RAT 모형과 2차원 침수해석 모형 FLO-2D을 커플링하여 호우로 인한 침수해석을 실시하였으며 강우시나리오는 설계 강우 200mm의 강우를 10% 간격으로 증가시켜 강우량 대비 침수심 자료를 모의하였다. 모의한 침수심 자료를 이용하여 유역 격자를 $1km{\times}1km$ 별 강우량-침수심 관계곡선식을 제시하였으며 개발된 곡선식을 이용하여 특정 침수심(20cm)을 유발시키는 강우량(한계강우량)을 산정하였다. 정확도 산정은 ROC(Receiver Operation Characteristic Curve) 분석 방법을 이용하여 침수 유무의 적중률에 따른 민감도와 특이도를 이용하여 AUC(Area Under the Curve)의 점수로 정확도를 판단하였다. 본 논문에서는 본 논문에서 제시한 한계강우량의 정확도를 판단하기 위하여 2011년 7월의 사당역 일대 침수사례를 이용하였다. 실제 침수정보가 없어 실제 호우사상과 실제 하수관망을 고려할 수 있는 SWMM 모형을 이용하여 침수분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 평균 ROC는 약 0.7로 나타났으며 5 단계의 구분에서 Fair 단계로 적정 수준의 정확도를 확보한 것으로 나타났다.

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Development of reservoir operation rule curve using DP for max hydro-power generation of power station in the Nam Ngum River in Lao PDR. (라오스 남능강 발전소의 최대전력생산을 위해 동적계획법을 활용하여 저수지 운영규정곡선 개발)

  • Lee, Hyun Jae;Jang, Woong Chul;Lee, Il Ju;Lee, Jin Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.106-106
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    • 2021
  • 라오스 남능강 유역에는 현재 11개의 수력 발전 댐이 운영되고 있으며 최근에 설치된 댐을 제외하고는 오래전에 개발된 운영규정 곡선에 근거하여 운영하고 있다. 즉 댐의 증설에 따른 하천 유량의 변동과 발전소의 설비용량증설 등의 발전환경이 충분히 반영되지 못한 상태로 운영하고 있으며, 이로 인해 통합수자원 관리의 최적화 차원의 일환으로 최대 전력생산을 위한 새로운 저수지 운영규정 곡선 개발이 필요하게 되었다. 저수지 운영규정 곡선(reservoir operation rule curve)은 일반적으로 주어진 저수지의 규모와 저수지로의 유입량 그리고 발전소의 설비용량 등의 발전환경을 종합적으로 고려하여 연간 발전량을 최대로 생산할 수 있도록 최적화 기법 등을 활용하여 개발한다. 본 고에서는 이를 위해 범용적인 동적 계획법(Dynamic Programming:DP)프로그램인 CSUDP를 활용하여 최초의 최적 저수지 운영규정 곡선을 제시하고 이에 의한 발전량을 모의하기 위해 HEC-ResSim package를 활용하였으며, 최종적으로는 기존의 운영규정 곡선, 운영실적, 그리고 현장 운영자의 의견 등을 종합적으로 고려하여 댐 운영 시나리오(단독, 연결, 댐별 상업 발전 시기 등)별로 운영규정 곡선을 개발하고 라오스 정부(EdL)에 제시하였다.

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Deriving Robust Reservoir Operation Policy under Changing Climate: Use of Robust Optimiziation with Stochastic Dynamic Programming

  • Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.171-171
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    • 2020
  • Decision making strategies should consider both adaptiveness and robustness in order to deal with two main characteristics of climate change: non-stationarity and deep uncertainty. Especially, robust strategies are different from traditional optimal strategies in the sense that they are satisfactory over a wider range of uncertainty and may act as a key when confronting climate change. In this study, a new framework named Robust Stochastic Dynamic Programming (R-SDP) is proposed, which couples previously developed robust optimization (RO) into the objective function and constraint of SDP. Two main approaches of RO, feasibility robustness and solution robustness, are considered in the optimization algorithm and consequently, three models to be tested are developed: conventional-SDP (CSDP), R-SDP-Feasibility (RSDP-F), and R-SDP-Solution (RSDP-S). The developed models were used to derive optimal monthly release rules in a single reservoir, and multiple simulations of the derived monthly policy under inflow scenarios with varying mean and standard deviations are undergone. Simulation results were then evaluated with a wide range of evaluation metrics from reliability, resiliency, vulnerability to additional robustness measures. Evaluation results were finally visualized with advanced visualization tools that are used in multi-objective robust decision making (MORDM) framework. As a result, RSDP-F and RSDP-S models yielded more risk averse, or conservative, results than the CSDP model, and a trade-off relationship between traditional and robustness metrics was discovered.

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Diagnosis of Water Environment and Assessment of Water Quality Restoration in Lake Shihwa (시화호의 수환경 진단과 수질회복 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Seop;Go, Seok-Gu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.551-559
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    • 2000
  • In order to diagnose the water environment and assess the water quality restoration, long term trend of water environment has been surveyed at 3-R stations from 1994 to 1999 in Lake Shihwa. Annual mean values of $COD_{Mn}$, Chlorophyll a, total nitrogen, total phosphorus and Secchi depth are ranged in 5.2-15.1 mg/L, 7.3-14R.1 jlg/L, 1.50-4.84 mgN/L, 0.055-0.281 mgP/L and 0.5 -1.4 m, respectively, during the study periods. Carson's trophic state indeies were varied from mesotrophy in 1994 and 1995, hyper-eutrophy in 1996 and 1997, to meso eutrophy in 199R and 1999. After dike construction, water quality were rapidly deteriorated by allochthonous and autochthonous loading of high nutrients and organic carbon. Eutrophication phenomena were characterized by massive phytoplankton blooms and high concentration of COD. However, after onset of restoration program, lake water quality was rapidly restored to the level of just after sea-dike construction. The diversion of waste water inflowing from the Panwol and the Sihwa industrial districts which was started from March, 1997 has contributed to improve water quality in the surface layer. And the tidal mixing (sea water inflowing) through the continuous gate operation was the most effective measure to the whole lake restoration.ration.

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Optimal Reservoir Operation Models for Paddy Rice Irrigation with Weather Forecasts (II) -Model Development- (기상예보를 고려한 관개용 저수지의 최적 조작 모형(II) -모형의 구성-)

  • 김병진;박승우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.44-55
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    • 1994
  • This paper describes the development of real-time irrigation reservoir operation models that adequately allocate available water resources for paddy rice irrigation. Water requirement deficiency index(WRDI) was proposed as a guide to evaluate the operational performance of release schemes by comparing accumulated differences between daily release requirements for irrigated areas and actual release amounts. Seven reservoir release rules were developed, which are constant release rate method (CRR), mean storage curve method(MSC), frequency analysis method of reservoir storage rate(FAS), storage requirement curve method(SRC), constant optimal storage rate method (COS), ten-day optimal storage rate method(TOS), and release optimization method(ROM). Long-term forecasting reservoir operation model(LFROM) was formulated to find an optimal release scheme which minimizes WRDIs with long-term weather generation. Rainfall sequences, rainfall amount, and evaporation amount throughout the growing season were to be forecasted and the results used as an input for the model. And short-term forecasting reservoir operation model(SFROM) was developed to find an optimal release scheme which minimizes WRDIs with short-term weather forecasts. The model uses rainfall sequences forecasted by the weather service, and uses rainfall and evaporation amounts generated according to rainfall sequences.

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Evaluation of hydropower dam water supply capacity (II): estimation of water supply yield range of hydropower dams considering probabilistic inflow (발전용댐 이수능력 평가 연구(II): 확률론적 유입량을 고려한 발전용댐 용수공급능력 범위 산정)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh;Kim, Taesoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.515-529
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    • 2022
  • Identifying the available water resources amount is an essential process in establishing a sustainable water resources management plan. Dam facility is a major infrastructure storing and supplying water during the dry season, and the water supply yield of the dam varies depending on dam inflow conditions or operation rule. In South Korea, water supply yield of dam is calculated by reservoir simulation based on observed historical dam inflow data. However, the water supply capacity of a dam can be underestimated or overestimated depending on the existence of historical drought events during the simulation period. In this study, probabilistic inflow data was generated and used to estimate the appropriate range of the water supply yield of hydropower dams. That is, a method for estimating the probabilistic dam inflow that fluctuates according to climatic and socio-economic conditions and the range of water supply yield for hydropower dams was presented, and applied to hydropower dams located in the Han river in South Korea. It is expected that the understanding water supply yield of the hydropower dams will become more important to respond to climate change in the future, and this study will contribute to national water resources management planning by providing potential range of water supply yield of hydropower dams.

Study for Operation of Water Resources in Cisangkuy Basin of Indonesia (인도네시아 Cisangkuy 유역 수자원 운영에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Won;Kim, Sung Man;Putuhena, Willam M.;Ko, Ick Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.557-561
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    • 2016
  • 인도네시아는 수자원을 관리하는 기관이 총 9개 부처이지만 지역 단위로 가면 각각의 에이전시가 존재하는 등 복잡한 이해관계가 얽혀 있어 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 운영 기술에 많은 어려움이 있다. 이에 인도네시아 국립 수자원연구소(PusAir, Puslitbang Sumber Daya Air)와 공동으로 Cisangkuy 유역 내 다양한 시설물의 연계운영 효과를 분석하여, 한정된 수자원을 다양한 수요처에 원활히 공급함으로써, 지역민과 관리기관간의 이해관계를 해소하고 최적의 수자원 활용방안들에 대한 연구를 수행하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Cisangkuy 유역 내 Cisangkuy 강 상류부의 기존 수력 댐 운영과 상수량 증대를 위해 계획 중인 신규댐에서의 추가용수 공급을 고려한 연계운영 효과분석을 수행하여 수자원의 효율적인 활용을 위한 기초자료를 제시하고자 한다. Cisangkuy 유역에 대하여 현재 용수체계에 대한 모형의 적정성 검토를 수행하였으며, 기존 수력댐 저수지 시스템 운영효율에 대하여 물수지분석을 검토한 결과, 현 운영체계보다 최적 운영시 수력발전소 발전용량이 증가되는 것으로 검토되었다. 이와 같은 모형 구축자료는 현재 Cisangkuy 유역에 대하여 체계적인 운영방안이 없는 상태에서 대상유역 내 다양한 시설물 연계운영효과 도출을 위한 자료가 될 수 있으며, 국내 연구진들이 향후 인도네시아 수자원활용 계획 수립 시 기초자료 활용측면에서 유용할 것으로 예상된다.

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The Influences of Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (ATES) System on Geochemical Properties of Groundwater (대수층 계간 축열시스템 적용을 위한 지하수의 화학적 특성 변화)

  • Choi, Hanna;Lee, Hong-Jin;Shim, Byoung Ohan
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2021
  • Aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) system uses groundwater thermal energy for cooling and heating of buildings, and it is also often utilized to provide warm water to crops and plants for the purpose of enhancing agricultural yields. This study investigated the potential influences of a ATES system on the geochemical properties of groundwater by simulating the variation of hydrochemistry and saturation index of groundwater during ATES operation. The test bed was installed at an agricultural field, which is mainly composed of an groundwater-rich alluvial plain. The simulation results showed no significant precipitation of mineral phases such as manganese-iron oxide, carbonate and sulfate around the ATES test bed, as well as no debasement of other important water quality parameters. The implementation of ATES system in the study area was appropriate and effective for utilizing the thermal energy of groundwater for agricultural use.

Evaluation of Habitat Diversity Changes by Weir Operation of the Sejongbo Weir in Geum River using High-resolution Aerial Photographs (항공사진을 이용한 금강 세종보 수문개방에 따른 서식처 다양도 변화 분석)

  • Ock, Giyoung;Choi, Mikyoung;Kim, Jeong-cheol;Park, Hyung-Geun;Han, Ji Hyun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.366-373
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    • 2020
  • This study investigated habitat diversity changes by conducting weir operations at the Sejongbo site in the Geum River basin. High-resolution aerial photographs taken before and after the weir-opening operation were used for habitat analyses. We classified water and bar areas into 17 types, such as lotic habitats, including riffles, runs, and glides, and lentic habitats, including reservoirs, pools, bar-head backwaters, and bar ponds. Then, we estimated each habitat area quantitatively, calculated a habitat diversity index, and established a habitat diversity map. Our results indicated that after the weir-opening operation, lotic habitats and new types of shallow lentic habitats increased in the water area. In addition, for the bar area, bare lands without cultivation increased distinctively. Finally, we observed that the habitat diversity index drastically increased after the weir-opening operation, which could provide a relatively simple channel of diverse habitats.

Forecasting of flood travel time depending on weir discharge condition using two-dimensional numerical model in the channel (2차원 수치모형을 이용한 보 방류조건에 따른 하도 내 홍수도달시간 예측)

  • Lee, Hae-Kwang;Oh, Ji-Hwan;Jang, Suk-Hwan;Song, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.397-409
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    • 2019
  • Gate operation of hydraulic structures is important for proper management in rivers. In this study, the characteristics of flood time were analyzed and predicted using the HEC-RAS model, which is capable of one-dimensional and two-dimensional connectivity analysis of the main points downstream of the Geum river. As a result, flood travel time was decreased once discharge increase and downstream water level rising. However, When the floodplain was overflowed, the arrival time increased due to the rapid increase of the river width. Also, the same condition, flood wave travel time at the major point was approximately twice as fast as water level rising travel time, indicating that waves progressed faster than actually water. Using the results of this study, it will be helpful in the river.