• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.185-185
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• 2021

기후변화로 인한 돌발 강우 등 이상 기후 현상이 증가함에 따라 정확한 강우예측의 중요성은 더 증가하는 추세이다. 전통적인 강우예측의 경우 기상수치모델 또는 외삽법을 이용한 레이더 기반 강우예측 기법을 이용하며, 최근 머신러닝 기술의 발달에 따라 이를 활용한 레이더 자료기반 강우예측기법이 개발되고 있다. 기존 머신러닝을 이용한 강우예측 모델의 경우 주로 시계열 이미지 예측에 적합한 2차원 순환 신경망 기반 기법(Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory, ConvLSTM) 또는 합성곱 신경망 기반 기법(Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) Encoder-Decoder) 등을 이용한다. 본 연구에서는 생성적 적대 신경망 기반 기법(Generative Adversarial Network, GAN)을 이용해 미래 강우예측을 수행하도록 하였다. GAN 방법론은 이미지를 생성하는 생성자와 이를 실제 이미지와 구분하는 구별자가 경쟁하며 학습되어 현재 이미지 생성 분야에서 높은 성능을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서 개발한 GAN 기반 모델은 기상청에서 제공된 2016년~2019년까지의 레이더 이미지 자료를 이용하여 초단기, 단기 강우예측을 수행하도록 학습시키고, 2020년 레이더 이미지 자료를 이용해 단기강우예측을 모의하였다. 또한, 기존 머신러닝 기법을 기반으로 한 모델들의 강우예측결과와 GAN 기반 모델의 강우예측결과를 비교분석한 결과, 본 연구를 통해 개발한 강우예측모델이 단기강우예측에 뛰어난 성능을 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.120-120
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• 2020

Spatial precipitation data is one of the essential components in modeling hydrological problems. The estimation of these data has achieved significant achievements own to the recent advances in remote sensing technology. However, there are still gaps between the satellite-derived rainfall data and observed data due to the significant dependence of rainfall on spatial and temporal characteristics. An effective approach based on the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model to correct the satellite-derived rainfall data is proposed in this study. The Mekong River basin, one of the largest river system in the world, was selected as a case study. The two gridded precipitation data sets with a spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees used in the CNN model are APHRODITE (Asian Precipitation - Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation) and PERSIANN-CDR (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks). In particular, PERSIANN-CDR data is exploited as satellite-based precipitation data and APHRODITE data is considered as observed rainfall data. In addition to developing a CNN model to correct the satellite-based rain data, another statistical method based on standard deviations for precipitation bias correction was also mentioned in this study. Estimated results indicate that the CNN model illustrates better performance both in spatial and temporal correlation when compared to the standard deviation method. The finding of this study indicated that the CNN model could produce reliable estimates for the gridded precipitation bias correction problem.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.170-170
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• 2020

Due to the development of technologies, complex computation of huge data set is possible with a prevalent personal computer. Therefore, machine learning methods have been widely applied in the hydrologic field such as regression-based regional frequency analysis (RFA). The main purpose of this study is to compare two frameworks of RFA based on the artificial neural network (ANN) models: quantile regression technique (QRT-ANN) and parameter regression technique (PRT-ANN). As an output layer of the ANN model, the QRT-ANN predicts quantiles for various return periods whereas the PRT-ANN provides prediction of three parameters for the generalized extreme value distribution. Rainfall gauging sites where record length is more than 20 years were selected and their annual maximum rainfalls and various hydro-meteorological variables were used as an input layer of the ANN model. While employing the ANN model, 70% and 30% of gauging sites were used as training set and testing set, respectively. For each technique, ANN model structure such as number of hidden layers and nodes was determined by a leave-one-out validation with calculating root mean square error (RMSE). To assess the performances of two frameworks, RMSEs of quantile predicted by the QRT-ANN are compared to those of the PRT-ANN.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.324-324
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• 2022

정확한 오염물질 예측은 기상학, 자연재해, 기후변화 연구 등 현장에서 필수적인 과제 중 하나이다. 주변 관측소에서 얻은 데이터를 사용하는 경우 모델 학습을 위한 불필요한 데이터로 인해 예측 결과에 왜곡 문제가 있을 수 있습니다. 따라서, 우리는 종합적인 대기질 지수 행동에 영향을 미치는 요인을 제공하는 최적의 데이터 소스를 찾기 위해 네트워크 방식을 사용했습니다. 본 연구에서는 2015년부터 2020년까지 우리나라의 6개 오염물질과 종합적인 대기질 지수 예측에 대한 네트워크 기법을 적용한 LSTM 및 DNN 모델을 적용하였다. 본 연구는 미세먼지(PM10), 초미세먼지(PM2.5), 오존(O3), 이산화황(SO2), 이산화질소(NO2), 일산화탄소(CO) 등 6가지 오염물질을 기반으로 종합적인 대기질 지수를 예측하는 2단계로 구성되어 있다. LSTM을 이용하여, 개별적으로 예측된 6가지 오염물질을 이용하여 DNN 모형을 이용하여 종합적인 대기질 지수를 예측한다. 6가지 오염물질에 대한 각 모델의 예측능력과 종합적인 대기질 지수 예측은 관측된 대기질 데이터와 비교하여 평가하였다. 본 연구는 심층신경망 모델과 네트워크 방식을 결합한 것이 높은 예측력을 제공함을 보여주었으며, 종합적인 대기질 지수 예측을 위한 최적의 모델로 선정되었다. 재난관리의 필요성이 증가함에 따라 네트워크 방식의 딥러닝 모델은 자연재해 피해를 줄이고 재난관리를 개선할 수 있는 충분한 잠재력을 가질 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.48 no.2
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• pp.116-124
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• 2024

Automatic docking of small planing ship is a critical aspect of maritime operations, requiring accurate prediction of motion states to ensure safe and efficient maneuvers. This study investigates the use of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to predict motion state of a small planing ship to enhance navigation automation in port environments. To achieve this, simulation tests were conducted to control a small planing ship while docking at various heading angles in calm water and in waves. Comprehensive analysis of the ANN-based predictive model was conducted by training and validation using data from various docking situations to improve its ability to accurately capture motion characteristics of a small planing ship. The trained ANN model was used to predict the motion state of the small planning ship based on any initial motion state. Results showed that the small planing ship could dock smoothly in both calm water and waves conditions, confirming the accuracy and reliability of the proposed method for prediction. Moreover, the ANN-based prediction model can adjust the dynamic model of the small planing ship to adapt in real-time and enhance the robustness of an automatic positioning system. This study contributes to the ongoing development of automated navigation systems and facilitates safer and more efficient maritime transport operations.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.38 no.7 s.156
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• pp.575-584
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• 2005

The judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident is constructed by multi-perceptron, multi layer neural network, neuro-fuzzy and it is trained stability, notice, and warming situation due to developed standard axis. The water quality forecasting model is linked to the runoff forecasting model, and joined with the judgement model to warn of possible pollution accident, which completes the artificial intelligence warning system. And GUI (Graphic User Interface) has been designed for that system. GUI screens, in order of process, are main page, data edit, discharge forecasting, water quality forecasting, warming system. The application capability of the system was estimated by the pollution accident scenario. Estimation results verify that the artificial intelligence warning system can be a reasonable judgement of the noized water pollution data.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.305-312
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• 2017

The most effective way to distinguish subsurface interfaces that produce various geophysical responses is through the integration of multiple geophysical methods, with each method detecting both a complementary and unique set of distinct physical properties relating to the subsurface. In this study, shallow seismic reflection (SSR) and ground penetrating radar (GPR) surveys were conducted at the Cheongju-Gadeok site of the Korea National Groundwater Monitoring Network to map the water table, which was measured at 12 m depth during the geophysical surveys. The water table proved to be a good target reflector in both datasets, as the abrupt transition from the overlying unsaturated weathered rock to the underlying saturated weathered rock yielded large acoustic impedance and dielectric constant contrasts. The two datasets were depth converted and integrated into a single section, with the SSR and GPR surveys conducted to ensure subsurface imaging at approximately the same wavelength. The GPR data provided detailed information on the upper ~15 m of the section, whereas the SSR data imaged structures at depths of 10-45 m. The integrated section thus captured the full depth coverage of the sandy clay, water table, weathered rock, soft rock, and hard rock structures, which correlated well with local drillcore and water table observations. Incorporation of these two geophysical datasets yielded a synthetic section that resembled a simplified aquifer model, with the best-fitting seismic velocity, dielectric constant, and porosity of the saturated weathered layer being $v_{seismic}=1000m/s$, ${\varepsilon}_r=16$, and ${\phi}=0.32$, respectively.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.41-50
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• 2015

Hydrogeologic environment of the Mega City such as Seoul, suffers from rapid changes caused by urbanization, construction of underground subway or buildings, and contaminant loading by diverse anthropogenic activities. Understanding the present condition of groundwater environment and water budget is necessary to prevent natural and manmade disasters and to prepare for sustainable water resource management of urban environment. In this study, regional groundwater flow and water budget status of Seoul was analyzed using numerical simulation. Modeling result indicated that groundwater level distribution of Seoul generally followed the topography, but the significant decreases in groundwater level were observed around the subway network. Steady-state water balance analysis showed groundwater recharge by rainfall and leakage from the water supply network was about 550,495 m³/day. Surface water inflow and baseflow rate via Han River and major streams accounted for 799,689 m³/day and 1,103,906 m³/day, respectively. Groundwater usage was 60,945 m³/day, and the total groundwater leakage along the subway lines amounted to 114,746 m³/day. Modeling results revealed that the subway could decrease net groundwater baseflow by 40%. Our study result demonstrated that the subway system can have a significant influence on the groundwater environment of Seoul.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.11
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• pp.1103-1113
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• 2013

In this study, determination methods of the pressure monitoring location in water distribution system were introduced and applied to sample pipe network. The best determination method of the pressure monitoring location was suggested and applied to the real city pipe network. Three kinds of determination methods of pressure monitoring locations are categorized such as the sensitivity analysis according to changing roughness coefficient, pressure contribution analysis, and sensitivity analysis according to changing demand. Further-more, pressure contribution analysis and sensitivity analysis from the results of unsteady analysis were conducted and compared each other. From the results, the most accurate and simplest method was selected in this study. Therefore, the best method can be applied for the pressure management or leakage detection as a determination method of pressure monitoring location in water distribution system.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.424-424
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• 2018

인공신경망(Artificial Neural Network; ANN)은 뇌에 존재하는 생물학적 신경세포와 이들의 신호처리 과정을 수학적으로 묘사하여 뇌가 나타내는 지능적 형태의 반응을 구현한 것이다. 인공신경망은 학습(training)을 통해 입력과 출력으로 구성되는 하나의 시스템을 병렬적이고 비선형적으로 구축할 수 있으며, 유연한 모델링 특성으로 인하여 시스템 예측, 패턴인식, 분류 및 공정제어 등의 다양한 분야에서 활용되고 있다. 인공신경망에 대한 최초의 이론은 Muculloch and Pitts(1943)가 제안한 Perceptron에서 시작 되었으며, 기본적인 학습기법인 오차역전파 기법(back-propagation Algorithm) 이 1980년대에 들어 수학적으로 정립된 이후 여러 분야에서 활용되기 시작하였다). 본 연구에서는 하도추적, 구체적으로는 상류단의 복수의 수위관측을 이용하여 하류단의 수위를 예측하기 위하여 인공신경망 모델을 구성하였다. 대상하도는 금강유역의 용담댐과 대청댐 사이의 본류이며, 상류단 입력자료로써 본류에 있는 수통, 호탄 관측소 관측수위와 지류인 송천 관측소 관측수위를 고려하였다. 출력 값으로는 하류단의 옥천 관측소 수위를 3시간 및 6시간의 선행시간으로 예측하도록 인공신경망 모형을 구성하였다. 인공신경망의 학습(testing), 시험(testing), 검증(validation)을 위해 2000년부터 2012년까지 13년간의 시수위자료를 이용하여 학습을 진행하였으며, 2013년부터 2014년의 2년간의 수위자료를 이용한 시험을 통해 최적의 모형을 선정하였다. 또한 선정된 최적의 모형을 이용하여 2015년부터 2016년까지의 수위예측을 수행하였다.