• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water Level Forecast

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An Analysis of Hydraulic Effect due to the Outflow of Paldang Dam at Hangang Parks (팔당댐 방류량에 따른 한강 시민공원의 수리학적 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Kwak, Chang-Jae;Lee, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2008
  • Hangang Parks have been played an important role as the source of various Civilian activities by providing a natural space near Han River ever since it was developed. Due to the local-heavy rain caused by recent climate change, the Hangang Parks tends to be easily overflowed. Evacuation of the park in emergency and its controlled system should be made for the sake of Civilian's safety. In this study, various basic data and several parameters were analyzed to simulate the hydraulic effect of Hangang Parks based on the outflow in $P1/4{\div}1/4^3$ Dam. Rising effects of flood water level were investigated through the one-dimensional and twodimensional numerical hydraulic models. Relationships of water level and travel time of flood between key station and centeral part of each park were also identified. It can be used to forecast the future flood water level of each individual park in Hangang Parks. Obtained results can be used to establish the rational plan of usage, management, citizen's safety, and emergency action plan of the Hangang Parks as the flood is occurred from the outflow of Paldang dam.

Cause Analysis and Improvement Suggestion for Flood Accident in Dorimcheon - Focused on the Tripping and Isolation Accidents (도림천에서 발생한 고립 및 실족사고의 원인분석을 통한 개선방안 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Su;Jeon, Jong-Hyeong;Kim, Tai-Hoon;Kim, Hyunju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the causes of flood accidents, such as isolation and lost footing accidents in Dorimcheon, to provide legal and institutional improvements. For cause analysis, Field Investigation, Stakeholder Interview, Report, manual, Law et al. Review, Analysis of water level change characteristics, automatic alarm issuance standard level analysis, and evacuation time according to river control were evaluated. Dorimcheon has the characteristics of a typical urban river, which is disadvantageous in terms of water control. In addition, the risk of flood accidents is high because the section where fatal accidents occur forms sharply curved channels. Tripping and isolation accidents occur in the floodplain watch and evacuation stage, which is the stage before the flood watch and warning is issued. Because floodplain evacuation is issued only when the water level rises to the floodplain, an immediate response according to the rainfall forecast is essential. Furthermore, considering that the rate of water level rise is up to 2.62 cm/min in Sillimgyo 3 and Gwanakdorimgyo, sufficient evacuation time is not secured after the floodplain watch is issued. Considering that fatal accidents occurred 0.46 m below the standard water level for the flood watch, complete control is very important, such as blocking the entry of rivers to prevent accidents. Based on these results, four improvement measures were suggested, and it is expected to contribute to the prevention of Tripping and Isolation Accidents occurring in rivers.

Satellite-based Rainfall for Water Resources Application

  • Supattra, Visessri;Piyatida, Ruangrassamee;Teerawat, Ramindra
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.188-188
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is an important input to hydrological models. The accuracy of hydrological studies for water resources and floods management depend primarily on the estimation of rainfall. Thailand is among the countries that have regularly affected by floods. Flood forecasting and warning are necessary to prevent or mitigate loss and damage. Merging near real time satellite-based precipitation estimation with relatively high spatial and temporal resolutions to ground gauged precipitation data could contribute to reducing uncertainty and increasing efficiency for flood forecasting application. This study tested the applicability of satellite-based rainfall for water resources management and flood forecasting. The objectives of the study are to assess uncertainty associated with satellite-based rainfall estimation, to perform bias correction for satellite-based rainfall products, and to evaluate the performance of the bias-corrected rainfall data for the prediction of flood events. This study was conducted using a case study of Thai catchments including the Chao Phraya, northeastern (Chi and Mun catchments), and the eastern catchments for the period of 2006-2015. Data used in the study included daily rainfall from ground gauges, telegauges, and near real time satellite-based rainfall products from TRMM, GSMaP and PERSIANN CCS. Uncertainty in satellite-based precipitation estimation was assessed using a set of indicators describing the capability to detect rainfall event and efficiency to capture rainfall pattern and amount. The results suggested that TRMM, GSMaP and PERSIANN CCS are potentially able to improve flood forecast especially after the process of bias correction. Recommendations for further study include extending the scope of the study from regional to national level, testing the model at finer spatial and temporal resolutions and assessing other bias correction methods.

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A Study of Adoption on the Concept of Monthly Probable Maximum Precipitation (월 PMP 개념의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Han-Kyu;Kim, Nam-Won;Choi, Yong-Mook;Yoon, Hee-Sub
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.21 no.B
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    • pp.241-248
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    • 2001
  • Normally at a flood season the operation of the dam depends on a short range weather forecast that makes many difficulties of the management at a dry season. It is needed to study the pattern of the long period rainfall. The concept of PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation) was used for designing dam. From the concept, this study is applied the concept of monthly probable maximum precipitation for operating dam. It can be possible to let us know the appropriateness of a limiting water level at a rainy season. For the operation of dam at a dry season this study can predict roughly the flood season's pattern of precipitation by month or period, therfore the prediction of precipitation can rise efficient operation of a dam.

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Characteristics of Precipitation over the East Coast of Korea Based on the Special Observation during the Winter Season of 2012 (2012년 특별관측 자료를 이용한 동해안 겨울철 강수 특성 분석)

  • Jung, Sueng-Pil;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Kim, Ki-Hoon;Han, Sang-Ok;Kwon, Tae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2014
  • The special observation using Radiosonde was performed to investigate precipitation events over the east coast of Korea during the winter season from 5 January to 29 February 2012. This analysis focused on the various indices to describe the characteristics of the atmospheric instability. Equivalent Potential Temperature (EPT) from surface (1000 hPa) to middle level (near 750 hPa) was increased when the precipitation occurred and these levels (1000~750 hPa) had moisture enough to cause the instability of atmosphere. The temporal evolution of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) appeared to be enhanced when the precipitation fell. Similar behavior was also observed for the temporal evolution of Storm Relative Helicity (SRH), indicating that it had a higher value during the precipitation events. To understand a detailed structure of atmospheric condition for the formation of precipitation, the surface remote sensing data and Automatic Weather System (AWS) data were analyzed. We calculated the Total Precipitable Water FLUX (TPWFLUX) using TPW and wind vector. TPWFLUX and precipitation amount showed a statistically significant relationship in the north easterly winds. The result suggested that understanding of the dynamical processes such as wind direction be important to comprehend precipitation phenomenon in the east coast of Korea.

A Study on the development of a heavy rainfall risk impact evaluation matrix (호우위험영향평가 매트릭스 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Seung Kwon;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we developed a heavy rainfall risk impact matrix, which can be used to evaluate the influence of heavy rainfall risk, and propose a method to evaluate the impact of heavy rainfall risk. We evaluated the heavy rainfall risk impact for each receptor (Residential, Transport, Utility) on Sadang-dong using the heavy rainfall event on July 27, 2011. For this purpose, the potential risk impact was calculated by combining the impact level and the rainfall depth based on the grid. Heavy Rainfall Risk Impact was calculated by combining with Likelihood to predict the heavy rainfall impact, and the degree of heavy rainfall in the Sadang-dong area was analyzed and presented based on grid.

Comparative analysis of methods for sediment level estimation in dam reservoir (댐 저수지의 퇴사위 결정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo;Cho, Woon ki;Kwak, Jae won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2018
  • This study examined how to determine the optimal sediment level in dam reservoir for efficient plan and operation of dam. Currently, Korea is applying a horizontally accumulated method for sediment level estimation for the safety design of dam and so the method estimated relatively higher level than others. However, the sediment level of dam reservoir should be accurately estimated because it is an important factor in assessing life cycle of a dam. The sediment level in dam reservoir can be determined by SED-2D model linked with RMA-2, horizontally accumulated method, area increment method, and empirical area reduction method. The estimated sediment level from each method was compared with the observed sediment level measured in 2007 in Imha dam reservoir, Korea and then the optimal method was determined. Also, the future sediment level was predicted by each method for the future trend analysis of sediment level. As the results, the most accurate sediment level was estimated by the empirical area reduction method and the future trend of sediment level variation followed the past trend. Therefore, we have found that the empirical area reduction method is a proper one for more accurate estimation of sediment level and it can be validated by the results from a numerical model of SED-2D linked with RMA-2 model.

Development of Hydrological Shared Vision Model for Conflict Mediation of Dam Construction (댐 건설 갈등 조정을 위한 수문학적 공영시각모형의 개발)

  • Jung, Ha Ok;Han, Jae Ik;Park, Sang Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.10
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    • pp.1009-1022
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    • 2012
  • This study approach the conflict in the process of promoting Dam construction plan from a hydrological method and comprehend the cause of conflict on conservation and flood collect all interested parties direct involvement and develop Shared Vision Model (SVM) to plan simulation and result. We forecast water for living, industrial water and agricultural water in each administrative district on conservation and simulate promptly in case that each structural alternative is formed and suggest water level deduction effect and change of area on watted surface and damage and organize the system to draw and agreement through exchanging mutual opinion. Also, it considered to contribute meditation and soften of conflict by securing accuracy of releasing information and trust of the result.

Determination of Optimal Hourly Water Intake Amount for H Arisu Purification Center using Linear Programming (선형계획법을 이용한 H 아리수 정수 센터 최적 취수량 결정)

  • Lee, Chulsoo;Lee, Kangwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1051-1064
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    • 2015
  • Currently, the H purification plant determines the hourly water intake amount based on operator experience and skill. Therefore, inevitably, there are deviations among operators. While meeting time-varying demand and maintaining the proper water level in the clean water reservoir, the methodology for minimizing electricity cost, when dealing with different electricity rate time zones, is a very complicated problem, which is beyond an operator's capability. To solve this problem, a linear programming (LP) model is proposed, which can determine the optimal hourly water intake amount for minimizing the daily electricity cost. It is shown that an inaccurate estimate for the hourly water usage in the demand areas causes the water level constraint to be violated, which is the weak point of the proposed LP method. However, several examples with real-field data show that we can practically and safely solve this problem with safety margins. It is also shown that the safety margin method still works effectively whether the estimate is accurate or not. The operators need not attend the site at all times under the proposed LP method, and we can additionally expect reductions in labor costs.

A Long Term Effect Prediction of Radioactive Waste Repository Facility in Gyeongju (경주시에 대한 중저준위 방사성폐기물처분장 건설 프로그램의 장기적 효과)

  • Oh, Young-Min;Jung, Chang-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.105-128
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    • 2008
  • City of Gyeongju's referendum finally offered the long-waited low-level radioactive waste disposal site in November 2005. Gyeongju's positive decision was due to the various economic rewards and incentives the national government promised to the city. 300 billion won for an accepting bonus, the location of the headquarter building of the Korean Hydro and Nuclear Power Co., and the accelerator research center and 3.25 trillion won for supporting regional development program implementation. All of the above will affect the city's infrastructure and the citizens' economic and social lives. Population, land use, economic structure, SOC and quality of life will be affected. Some will be very positive, and some will be negative. This research project will see the future of the city and forecast the demographic, economic, physical and environmental changes of the city via computer simulation's system dynamics technique. This kind of simulation will help City of Gyeongju's what to prepare for the future. The population forecasting of the year 2046 will be 662,424 with the waste disposal site, and 327,274 without the waste disposal site in Gyeongju. The waste disposal site and regional supporting program will increase 184,246 Jobs more with 1,605 agriculture and fishery, 5,369 manufacturing shops and 27,577 shops. The population increase will bring 96,726 more houses constructed in the city. Land use will also be affected. More land will be developed. And road, water plant and waste water plant will be expanded as much. The city's financial structure will be expanded, due to the increased revenues from the waste disposal site, and property tax revenues from the middle-class employees of the company, and the high-powered scientists and technologists from the accelerator research center. All in all, the future of the city will be brighter after operating the nuclear waste disposal site inside the city.

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