• Title/Summary/Keyword: WRF 모델

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Analysis of the Contribution of Biomass Burning Emissions in East Asia to the PM10 and Radiation Energy Budget in Korea (동아시아의 생체연소 배출물에 대한 한국의 미세먼지 기여도 및 복사 에너지 수지 분석)

  • Lee, Ji-Hee;Cho, Jae-Hee;Kim, Hak-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.265-282
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes the impact of long-range transport of biomass burning emissions from northeastern China on the concentration of particulate matter of diameter less than 10 ㎛ (PM10) in Korea using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). Korea was impacted by anthropogenic emissions from eastern China, dust storms from northern China and Mongolia, and biomass burning emissions from northeast China between April 4-and 7, 2020. The contributions of long-range PM10 transport were calculated by separating biomass burning emissions from mixed air pollutants with anthropogenic emissions and dust storms using the zeroing-out method. Further, the radiation energy budget over land and sea around the Korean Peninsula was analyzed according to the distribution of biomass burning emissions. Based on the WRF-Chem simulation during April 5-6, 2020, the contribution of long-range transport of biomass burning emissions was calculated as 60% of the daily PM10 average in Korea. The net heat flux around the Korean Peninsula was in a negative phase due to the influence of the large-scale biomass burning emissions. However, the contribution of biomass burning emissions was analyzed to be <45% during April 7-8, 2020, when the anthropogenic emissions from eastern China were added to biomass burning emissions, and PM10 concentration increased compared with the concentration recorded during April 5-6, 2020 in Korea. Furthermore, the net heat flux around the Korean Peninsula increased to a positive phase with the decreasing influence of biomass burning emissions.

Numerical Simulation of Local Circulation Over the Daechung Lake Area by Using the Mesoscale Model (중규모 수치 모델을 이용한 대청 호수 주변의 국지 순환 모의)

  • Byon, Jae-Young;Choi, Young-Jean;Seo, Beom-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.464-477
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we examined the patterns of local circulation over the Daechung lake area through the numerical experiment designed to investigate the impact of lake on the local circulation. The results of numerical experiment showed that the surface temperature predicted by WRF model was lower than the observation, while the wind speed was stronger than the observation. The local circulation over the lake area was characterized by a lake breeze induced by a horizontal thermal contrast between the lake surface and the Surrounding land. At Daecheong Lake, a lake breeze formed at 09 LST and dissipated at 18 LST, with maximum intensity at 15 LST. The vertical extent of the simulated circulation was about 1,200 m. The specific humidity increased as the humid air above the lake moved landward due to the daytime circulation of the lake breeze. The numerical experiments of sensitivity to existence of the lake showed that the simulated surface temperature decreased in the experiment with the lake. Wind speed was more intense around the lake area when the actual land use was substituted by grassland land use. The results of numerical experiments suggest that the lake-induced lake breeze circulation has an effect on the meteorology of planetary boundary layer around the lake.

Estimate and Analysis of Planetary Boundary Layer Height (PBLH) using a Mobile Lidar Vehicle system (이동형 차량탑재 라이다 시스템을 활용한 경계층고도 산출 및 분석)

  • Nam, Hyoung-Gu;Choi, Won;Kim, Yoo-Jun;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Choi, Byoung-Choel;Kim, Byung-Gon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.307-321
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    • 2016
  • Planetary Boundary Layer Height (PBLH) is a major input parameter for weather forecasting and atmosphere diffusion models. In order to estimate the sub-grid scale variability of PBLH, we need to monitor PBLH data with high spatio-temporal resolution. Accordingly, we introduce a LIdar observation VEhicle (LIVE), and analyze PBLH derived from the lidar loaded in LIVE. PBLH estimated from LIVE shows high correlations with those estimated from both WRF model ($R^2=0.68$) and radiosonde ($R^2=0.72$). However, PBLH from lidar tend to be overestimated in comparison with those from both WRF and radiosonde because lidar appears to detect height of Residual Layer (RL) as PBLH which is overall below near the overlap height (< 300 m). PBLH from lidar with 10 min time resolution shows typical diurnal variation since it grows up after sunrise and reaches the maximum after 2 hours of sun culmination. The average growth rate of PBLH during the analysis period (2014/06/26 ~ 30) is 1.79 (-2.9 ~ 5.7) m $min^{-1}$. In addition, the lidar signal measured from moving LIVE shows that there is very low noise in comparison with that from the stationary observation. The PBLH from LIVE is 1065 m, similar to the value (1150 m) derived from the radiosonde launched at Sokcho. This study suggests that LIVE can observe continuous and reliable PBLH with high resolution in both stationary and mobile systems.

Optimum Climate Change Scenario Estimation via Hierarchical Bayesian Model : Using CORDEX Scenarios (계층적 베이지안 모델을 통한 최적 기후변화 시나리오 추정 : CORDEX 시나리오 사용)

  • Jung, Min-Kyu;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kim, Hyeon-Muk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.168-168
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    • 2018
  • 최근 기후변화로 인하여 전 세계적으로 과거 강우사상에서 확인되지 않는 극치사상이 빈번하게 관측되고 있으며 이에 따른 피해도 증가하고 있다. 미래의 기상학적 변동성 및 기후변화 영향은 지구순환모형 (General Circulation Models, GCM)을 통해 구체화되며 가장 일반적인 기후변화 전망자료로서 활용된다. 그러나 산정된 기후변화 시나리오마다 서로 그 특성에 차이가 있으며 이러한 이유로 다양한 원인으로 인해 큰 변동성을 가지는 미래 극치강우를 하나의 시나리오로 분석하기에는 무리가 있다. 또한 다양한 시나리오를 통해 분석한 결과값이 상이하며 이러한 시나리오별 산정 결과의 차이는 사용자에게 혼란을 야기할 수 있어 이를 하나의 결과로 나타낼 필요성이 있으나 정량적인 대푯값을 얻기 위해 특정 시나리오를 선택하는 것은 신뢰성에 문제가 있다. 본 연구에서는 시나리오들을 정량적 지표에 의거하여 혼합된 하나의 시나리오로 표출하고자 하였다. CORDEX-RCMs 시나리오 중 HadGEM3-RA, RegCM, SNU_WRF 및 GRIMs를 입력 자료로 하여 다중모형앙상블(Multi-Model Ensemble, MME)을 통해 낙동강 유역의 극치강우에 대한 하나의 최적 기후변화 시나리오를 도출하고자 하였으며 계층적 베이지안 (Hierarchical Bayesian Model, HBM) 기법을 통하여 기후변화 시나리오에 내제된 불확실성에 대한 정량적인 해석을 수행하였다.

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The Sensitivity Analyses of Initial Condition and Data Assimilation for a Fog Event using the Mesoscale Meteorological Model (중규모 기상 모델을 이용한 안개 사례의 초기장 및 자료동화 민감도 분석)

  • Kang, Misun;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Cho, Changbum;Kim, Kyu Rang;Park, Jun Sang;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.567-579
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    • 2015
  • The accurate simulation of micro-scale weather phenomena such as fog using the mesoscale meteorological models is a very complex task. Especially, the uncertainty arisen from initial input data of the numerical models has a decisive effect on the accuracy of numerical models. The data assimilation is required to reduce the uncertainty of initial input data. In this study, the limitation of the mesoscale meteorological model was verified by WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model for a summer fog event around the Nakdong river in Korea. The sensitivity analyses of simulation accuracy from the numerical model were conducted using two different initial and boundary conditions: KLAPS (Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) and LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) data. In addition, the improvement of numerical model performance by FDDA (Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation) using the observational data from AWS (Automatic Weather System) was investigated. The result of sensitivity analysis showed that the accuracy of simulated air temperature, dew point temperature, and relative humidity with LDAPS data was higher than those of KLAPS, but the accuracy of the wind speed of LDAPS was lower than that of KLAPS. Significant difference was found in case of relative humidity where RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) for LDAPS and KLAPS was 15.7 and 35.6%, respectively. The RMSE for air temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity was improved by approximately $0.3^{\circ}C$, $0.2m\;s^{-1}$, and 2.2%, respectively after incorporating the FDDA.

Assessment of Emission Data for Improvement of Air Quality Simulation in Ulsan (울산 지역 대기질 모의능력 개선을 위한 배출량자료 평가)

  • Jo, Yu-Jin;Kim, Cheol-Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.456-471
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    • 2015
  • Emission source term is one of the strong controlling factors for the air quality simulation capability, particularly over the urban area. Ulsan is an industrial area and frequently required to simulate for environmental assessment. In this study, two CAPSS (Clean Air Policy Support System) emission data; CAPSS-2003 and CAPSS-2010 in Ulsan, were employed as an input data for WRF-CMAQ air quality model for emission assessment. The simulated results were compared with observations for the local emission dominant synoptic conditions which had negative vorticities and lower geostrophic wind speed at 850hPa weather maps. The measurements of CO, $NO_2$, $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ concentrations were compared with simulations and the 'scaling factors' of emissions for CO, $NO_2$, $SO_2$, and $PM_{10}$ were suggested in in aggregative and quantitative manner. The results showed that CAPSS-2003 showed no critical discrepancies of CO and $NO_2$ observations with simulations, while $SO_2$ was overestimated by a factor of more than 12, while $PM_{10}$ was underestimated by a factor of more than 20 times. However, CAPSS-2010 case showed that $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ emission were much more improved than CAPSS-2003. However, $SO_2$ was still overestimated by a factor of more than 2, and $PM_{10}$ underestimated by a factor of 5, while there was no significant improvement for CO and $NO_2$ emission. The estimated factors identified in this study can be used as'scaling factors'for optimizing the emissions of air pollutants, particularly $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ for the realistic air quality simulation in Ulsan.

Analysis of PM2.5 Concentration and Contribution Characteristics in South Korea according to Seasonal Weather Patternsin East Asia: Focusing on the Intensive Measurement Periodsin 2015 (동아시아 지역의 계절별 기상패턴에 따른 우리나라 PM2.5 농도 및 기여도 특성 분석: 2015년 집중측정 기간을 중심으로)

  • Nam, Ki-Pyo;Lee, Dae-Gyun;Jang, Lim-Seok
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.183-200
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the characteristics of seasonal $PM_{2.5}$ behavior in South Korea and other Northeast Asian regions were analyzed by using the $PM_{2.5}$ ground measurement data, weather data, WRF and CMAQ models. Analysis of seasonal $PM_{2.5}$ behavior in Northeast Asia showed that $PM_{2.5}$ concentration at 6 IMS sites in South Korea was increased by long-distance transport and atmospheric congestion, or decreased by clean air inflow due to seasonal weather characteristics. As a result of analysis by applying BFM to air quality model, the contribution from foreign countries dominantly influenced the $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations of Baengnyeongdo due to the low self-emission and geographical location. In the case of urban areas with high self-emissions such as Seoul and Ulsan, the $PM_{2.5}$ contribution from overseas was relatively low compared to other regions, but the standard deviation of the season was relatively high. This study is expected to improve the understanding of the air pollutant phenomenon by analyzing the characteristics of $PM_{2.5}$ behavior in Northeast Asia according to the seasonal weather condition change. At the same time, this study can be used to establish the air quality policy in the future, knowing that the contribution of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration to the domestic and overseas can be different depending on the regional emission characteristics.

Rainfall Prediction using the QPM by Province of the Korean Peninsula (고해상도 강수량 진단 모형(QPM)을 이용한 한반도 도별 강수 예측)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Oh, Jai-Ho;Jung, Yoo-Rim;Her, Mo-Rang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.34-34
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    • 2011
  • 최근 우리나라에서는 기상이변과 기후변화에 의한 국지성 집중호우의 발생으로 인해 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하는 추세이다. 따라서 이러한 기상현상을 좀 더 정확하게 예측하고 이를 대응하고자 악기상 모형의 개발과 구축 및 활용에 대한 연구들이 활발하게 진행 중에 있다. GCM이 제공하고 있는 많은 유용한 정보에도 불구하고 대부분의 모델이 시 공간 분해능과 물리 과정의 한계점으로 인해 지역적인 기후 특성이나 변화를 예측하기에는 많은 문제점들이 나타나고 있다. GCM의 한계점을 극복하기 위한 방법으로 세밀한 규모의 기후 정보를 얻기 위해 복잡한 지형과 해안선, 호수, 식생, 지표특성과 같은 아격자 규모의 강제 효과를 반영할 수 있는 고해상도 지역 기후 모델(Regional Climate Model, RCM)의 필요성이 제기되었다. 본 연구에서는 전지구 20km 격자자료를 입력장으로 하여 8km 격자로 한반도를 포함하는 도메인에 대해 비정역학 완전 압축성 중규모 모델인 WRF를 이용하여 상세예측자료를 생산하고자 하였다. 강수 예측의 경우 돌발적으로 발생하는 경우가 많아, 이를 예측하기 위해서는 상세한 강수량 정보를 빠른 시간 내에 정확히 제공할 수 있는 모델을 사용하여야 한다. 강수의 경우 온도와는 달리 공간적 편차가 매우 커 지역적으로 정확한 강수량을 예측 하는데 어려움이 있다. 상세강수 예측을 위해 미세 격자 규모의 비 정역학 모형을 사용할 경우 계산양이 매우 늘어나기 때문에 장시간의 모형 적분 시간뿐 아니라, 상당한 컴퓨터 자원을 필요로 하므로 이에 대한 대안으로 지형효과를 포함한 강수량 진단 모형인 QPM(Quantitative Precipitation Model)을 사용하였다. 최종적으로 한반도의 복잡한 지형적 영향을 반영하기 위해 1 km의 수평해상도를 가지는 고해상도 강수량 진단 모형(QPM)과 상세한 지리적, 공간적 분석을 할 수 있는 ARCGIS를 이용하여 한반도 도별 상세 강수자료를 생산하고자 한다.

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A Study on Climate Change KML Contents Publishing by using Meteorological Model (수치모델을 이용한 기후변화 KML 콘텐츠 출판 연구)

  • An, Seung-Man;Choi, Yeong-Jin;Eum, Jung-Hee;Jeon, Sang-Hee;Sung, Hyo-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is visualizing climate change contents from Weather Research and Forecasting model and providing useful tool to anyone who want to use them for communication and actual movement. As a results, we have built a process and user interface for publishing Arrow KML, BWS KML, and DI KML. Arrow KML provide wind rose service and wind attribute information for each arrow. BWS KML provide a wind power index and DI KML provide a thermal comfort. All KML contents are more reliable because those are visualized from the scientifically verified climate change prediction model. Further study will focus on searching for climate change contents mining and useful contents design for wide range of climate change mitigation/adaptation activity.

Dispersion of Air Pollutants from Ship Based Sources in Incheon Port (인천항의 선박오염원에서 배출된 대기오염물질의 확산)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kwon, Byung Hyuk;Kim, Min-Seong;Lee, Don-Chool
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.488-496
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    • 2017
  • Emissions of pollutants from ship-based sources are controlled by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Since pollutants emitted from ship may be dispersed to the land, controlling emissions from ships is necessary for efficient air quality management in Incheon, where exposure to ship-based pollution is frequent. It has been noted that the ratios of air pollutant emissions from coastal areas to inland areas are about 14% for NOx and 10% for SOx. The air quality of coastal urban areas is influenced by the number of ships present and the dispersion pattern of the pollutants released depending on the local circulation system. In this study, the dispersion of pollutants from ship-based sources was analyzed using the numerical California Puff Model (CALPUFF) based on a meteorological field established using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). Air pollutant dispersion modeling around coastal urban regions such as Incheon should consider point and line sources emitted from both anchored and running ships, respectively. The total average NOx emissions from 82-84 ships were 6.2 g/s and 6.8 g/s, entering and leaving, respectively. The total average SOx emissions from 82-84 ships, entering and leaving, were 3.6 g/s and 5.1 g/s, respectively. The total average emissions for NOx and SOx from anchored ships were 0.77 g/s and 1.93 g/s, respectively. Due to the influence of breezes from over land, the transport of pollutants from Incheon Port to inland areas was suppressed, and the concentration of NOx and SOx inland were temporarily reduced. NOx and SOx were diffused inland by the sea breeze, and the concentration of NOx and SOx gradually increased inland. The concentration of pollutants in the area adjacent to Incheon Port was more influenced by anchored ship in the port than sea breezes. We expect this study to be useful for setting emission standards and devising air quality policies in coastal urban regions.