• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제55권1호
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• pp.31-38
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• 2013

The purpose of this study was to evaluate climate change vulnerability over the agricultural infrastructure in terms of flood and drought using principal component analysis. Vulnerability was assessed using vulnerability resilience index (VRI) which combines climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Ten flood proxy variables and six drought proxy variables for the vulnerability assessment were selected by opinions of researchers and experts. The statistical data on 16 proxy variables for the local governments (Si, Do) were collected. To identify major variables and to explain the trend in whole data set, principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted. The result of PCA showed that the first 3 principal components explained approximately 83 % and 89 % of the total variance for the flood and drought, respectively. VRI assessment for the local governments based on the PCA results indicated that provinces where having the relatively large cultivation areas were categorized as vulnerable to climate change.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.106-117
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• 2012

In an effort to analyze the impact of climate change, Gangwon provincial forest was divided into three sectors; forest ecology, forest disaster, and forest productivity and analysis of their current status from 2000 to 2009 and vulnerability assessment by climate change has been carried in this study. In case of vulnerability assessment, except for the forest ecology, forest disaster (forest fires and forest pests) and forest productivity sectors were analyzed in current status, the year of 2020, and 2050. It turned out that vulnerability of forest fires in the field of disaster would become worse and forest pests also would make more impact even though there is some variation in different areas. In case of the vulnerability of forest productivity there would be not a big difference in the future compared with current vulnerability. Systematic research on the sensitivity index used for vulnerability assessment is necessary since vulnerability assessment result greatly depends on the use of climate exposure index and adaptive capacity index.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.429-442
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• 2023

To study the seismic vulnerability of the composite material structure of adobe and timber, we collected and statistically analysed empirical observation samples of 542,214,937 m² and 467,177 buildings that were significantly impacted during the 179 earthquakes that occurred in mainland China from 1976 to 2010. In multi-intensity regions, combined with numerical analysis and a probability model, a non-linear continuous regression model of the vulnerability, considering the empirical seismic damage area (number of buildings) and the ratio of seismic damage, was established. Moreover, a probability matrix model of the empirical seismic damage mean value was provided. Considering the coupling effect of the annual and seismic fortification factors, an empirical seismic vulnerability curve model was constructed in the multiple-intensity regions. A probability matrix model of the mean vulnerability index (MVI) was proposed, and was validated through the above-mentioned reconnaissance sample data. A matrix model of the MVI of the regions (19 provinces in mainland China) based on the parameter (MVI) was established.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제21권spc호
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• pp.134-140
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 하천 제방에 대한 홍수취약성을 평가하는 새로운 기법으로 제방홍수취약성지수를 제안하였고 제방홍수취약성 지수를 산정하는데 있어 필요한 인자를 적용하는 방법에 대하여 알아보고자 한다. 이를 위해 먼저 대상 제방의 계획홍수위를 적용하여 제방의 안전율을 분석하였고, 제방의 인자들로는 여유고, 둑마루폭, 제방단면의 비, 활동안전율, 턱(소단)의 길이, 침윤선 길이 비, 한계유속으로 7가지의 인자들을 바탕으로 제방홍수취약성지수를 산출하였다. 이를 활용하여 제방의 취약성 분석을 실시하고 분석결과를 제방홍수취약성지수(Levee Flood Vulnerability Index, LFVI) 값을 이용하여 1~7등급으로 나누어 제방의 취약성을 평가하였다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.345-358
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• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 청소년의 인터넷 취약성 지수를 개발하는데 있다. 이를 위해 한국정보화진흥원에서 실시한 2018년 인터넷 과의존 원인분석을 위한 장기추적조사의 원자료를 사용했으며, 선형회귀분석을 이용하여 인터넷 취약성 지수의 대안군과 개인심리와의 연관분석을 수행하였다. 요인분석을 통해 주변과의 관계를 가족수용존중, 또래애착, 교사호감 등 긍정적인 3개 요인에 대해 9개 문항을 합산하여 지수화하였다. 주변과의 관계 및 자기 낙인과의 부의 관계를 확인하여 주변과의 관계가 인터넷 취약성과도 부의 관계가 있을 것으로 예측하였고, 디지털 역량도 인터넷 취약성과 부의 관계에 있을 것으로 가정하여 식을 구성하였다. 도출된 인터넷 취약성 지수의 구체적인 형태를 개발하기 위하여 개인심리와 선형회귀분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 인터넷 과의존을 그대로 쓰는 모델보다 주변과의 관계, 디지털 역량을 모두 고려한 경우 개인심리 중 긍정적인 요인들과 R값이 증가하였다. 이러한 시사점을 바탕으로 본 연구가 지니는 의의와 한계점에 대해서 논의하였다.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.12-22
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• 2018

기후변화에 대한 재해취약성을 개선하기 위하여 각종 재해에 대한 재해취약성분석 매뉴얼이 제시되어 있으나, 공간단위, 재해취약성 등급 그리고 기후적 요소의 조건에 따라 재해취약성 분석 결과는 상당한 영향을 받게 된다. 본 연구에서는 도시 기후변화 재해취약성 분석 중 폭우재해만을 대상으로 하여 집계구 이외의 읍 면 동단위의 공간단위와의 상대적 평가를 수행하였으며, 4등급 단계로 획일화되어 있는 자연적 분류법을 2등급 단계, 4등급 단계, 6등급 단계로 점차 확대해감으로써 분류단계에 따른 취약지구의 상대적 변화를 분석하였다. 그리고 2가지로 한정되어 있는 강우특성에 대하여 기왕최대강우량(10분, 60분, 24시간)을 추가하여 강우특성에 따른 지표별 재해취약지구의 상대성을 파악하고자 하였다. 폭우 취약성 지표에 따른 상대적 평가 결과 공간단위에 따라서 재해취약지구의 면적비는 차이를 보이고 있으며, 상관분석 결과 집계구와 읍 면 동단위의 공간분석은 일치하지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 재해취약성 등급단계, 강우특성의 지표에 따른 재해취약지구의 면적비가 상대적으로 차이를 많이 보이는 것을 알 수 있다. 이는 분석 지표에 따른 재해취약지구의 영향이 상대적으로 크게 나타나는 것으로 판단되며, 분석지표 설정 시 세밀한 지표의 선정이 필요할 것으로 여겨진다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제28권10호
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• pp.863-872
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• 2019

Using the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), this study analyzed the drought characteristics of ten weather stations in Gyeongbuk, South Korea, that precipitation data over a period of 30 years. For the number of months that had a SPI of -1.0 or less, the drought occurrence index was calculated and a maximum shortage months, resilience and vulnerability in each weather station were analyzed. According to the analysis, in terms of vulnerability, the weather stations with acute short-term drought were Andong, Bonghwa, Moongyeong, and Gumi. The weather stations with acute medium-term drought were Daegu and Uljin. Finally the weather stations with acute long-term drought were Pohang, Youngdeok, and Youngju. In terms of severe drought frequency, the stations with relatively high frequency of mid-term droughts were Andong, Bonghwa, Daegu, Uiseong, Uljin, and Youngju. Gumi station had high frequency of short-term droughts. Pohang station had severe short-term ad long-term droughts. Youngdeok had severe droughts during all the terms. Based on the analysis results, it is inferred that the size of the drought should be evaluated depending on how serious vulnerability, resilience, and drought index are. Through proper evaluation of drought, it is possible to take systematic measures for the duration of the drought.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.387-399
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• 2022

To study the seismic damage of masonry structures and understand the characteristics of the multi-intensity region, according to the Dujiang weir urbanization of China Wenchuan earthquake, the deterioration of 3991 masonry structures was summarized and statistically analysed. First, the seismic damage of multistory masonry structures in this area was investigated. The primary seismic damage of components was as follows: Damage of walls, openings, joints of longitudinal and transverse walls, windows (lower) walls, and tie columns. Many masonry structures with seismic designs were basically intact. Second, according to the main factors of construction, seismic intensity code levels survey, and influence on the seismic capacity, a vulnerability matrix calculation model was proposed to establish a vulnerability prediction matrix, and a comparative analysis was made based on the empirical seismic damage investigation matrix. The vulnerability prediction matrix was established using the proposed vulnerability matrix calculation model. The fitting relationship between the vulnerability prediction matrix and the actual seismic damage investigation matrix was compared and analysed. The relationship curves of the mean damage index for macrointensity and ground motion parameters were drawn through calculation and analysis, respectively. The numerical analysis was performed based on actual ground motion observation records, and fitting models of PGA, PGV, and MSDI were proposed.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제51권spc1호
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• pp.1161-1169
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 하천 제방에 대한 홍수취약성을 평가하는 새로운 기법을 제시하고 기후변화에 따라 변화하는 수위에 대하여 제방에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 위해 먼저 2차원 지하수침투 모형인 SEEP/W를 이용하여 제방의 침투거동을 분석하여 침투안전성을 평가하였다. 침투거동뿐만 아니라 기후변화에 따른 하천환경여건을 고려하는 제방의 취약성 분석 기술이 필요함으로써 본 연구에서는 추가적으로 제방의 취약성 분석에 필요한 인자를 도출하여 제방의 홍수취약성지수(levee flood vulnerability index； LFVI)에 의한 취약성 평가기법을 새로이 개발 하였다. 대상지역을 한강 본류 서울 구간으로 선정하여 하도별 제방의 크기를 조사하였고 조사한 제방을 상류부, 중류부, 하류부로 구분하여 3개의 대표 제방을 선정하였다. 이들 대표 제방지점에서 현재의 계획홍수위와 기후변화 시나리오 RCP8.5를 고려한 계획홍수위를 적용하여 제방의 활동 안전율과 제방홍수취약성지수를 분석하였다. 그리고 제방홍수취약성지수를 구성하는 각각 인자들에 대하여 기후변화에 따른 변화 정도를 파악하였다. 이들 인자들을 종합적으로 활용한 제방홍수취약성지수 값을 이용하여 최종적으로 기후변화에 따른 제방의 취약성을 추정할 수 있도록 하였다.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제39권6호
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• pp.492-504
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• 2013

Objectives: This analysis seeks to evaluate the impact of environmental health factors (EHF; e.g. hospital beds per capita, employees of medical institutions) on extreme-heat vulnerability assessment in Busan Metropolitan City during 2006-2010. Methods: According to the vulnerability concept suggested by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), extreme-heat vulnerability is comprised of the categories of Exposure, Sensitivity, and Adaptive Capacity (including EHF). The indexes of the Exposure and Sensitivity categories indicate positive effects, while the Adaptive capacity index indicates a negative effect on extreme-heat vulnerability. Variables of each category were standardized by the re-scaling method, and then each regional relative vulnerability was computed with the vulnerability index calculation formula. Results: The extreme-heat vulnerability index (EVI) excepting EHF was much higher in urban areas than in suburban areas within the metropolitan area. When EHF was considered, the difference in the EVI between the two areas was reduced due to the increase of the Adaptive capacity index in urban areas. The low EVI in suburban areas was induced by a dominant effect of natural environmental factors (e.g. green area) within the Adaptive capacity category. Conclusions: To reduce the vulnerability to extreme heat in urban areas, which were more frequently exposed to extreme heat than others areas, public health and natural environments need to be improved in sensitive areas.