• Title/Summary/Keyword: Variance decomposition

Search Result 142, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Leading-price Analysis of Wando Abalone Producer Prices by Shell Size Using VAR Model (VAR 모형을 이용한 크기별 완도 전복가격의 선도가격 분석)

  • Nam, Jongoh;Sim, Seonghyun
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.327-341
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyze causality among Wando abalone producer prices by size using a vector autoregressive model to expiscate the leading-price of Wando abalone in various price classes by size per kg. This study, using an analytical approach, applies a unit-root test for stability of data, a Granger causality test to learn about interaction among price classes by size for Wando abalone, and a vector autoregressive model to estimate the statistical impact among t-1 variables used in the model. As a result of our leading-price analysis of Wando abalone producer prices by shell size using a VAR model, first, DF, PP, and KPSS tests showed that the Wando abalone monthly price change rate by size differentiated by logarithm were stable. Second, the Granger causality relationship analysis showed that the price change rate for big size abalone weakly led the price change rate for the small and medium sizes of abalone. Third, the vector autoregressive model showed that three price change rates of t-1 period variables statistically, significantly impacted price change rates of own size and other sizes in t period. Fourth, the impulse response analysis indicated that the impulse responses of structural shocks for price change rate for big size abalone was relatively more powerful in its own size and in other sizes than shocks emanating from other sizes. Fifth, the variance decomposition analysis indicated that the price change rate for big size abalone was relatively more influential than the price change rates for medium and small size abalone.

A Study on Causality among Trading Volume of Pyeongtaek Port, Incheon Inner Harbor and Incheon North Harbor (인천내항, 인천북항, 평택항간 물동량의 인과관계 분석)

  • Yoo, Heonjong;Ahn, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.255-273
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the causal relationship among the trading volume of Pyeongtaek port, Incheon Inner Harbor, Incheon North Harbor. Methodologically, Granger causality, impulse response function, and variance decomposition based on VAR are used. The results indicate that Pyeongtaek port trading volume positive shock has positive effects on Incheon North Harbor. In addition, Incheon Inner Harbor trading volumes positive shock has negative effects on Pyeongtaek port. The results also suggest that the volume of Pyeongtaek port Granger-causes the volume of Incheon North Harbor, but not vice versa. The volume of Incheon Inner Harbor Granger-causes the volume of Pyeongtaek port. Based on these results, we suggest that port authorities have to focus on policies that would promote copetition between port of Pyeongtaek and Incheon in the world harbor industry.

A Study on USA, Japan and India Stock Market Integration - Focused on Transmission Mechanism - (미국, 일본, 인도 증권시장 통합에 관한 연구 - 정보전달 메카니즘을 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Dong-Wook
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.255-276
    • /
    • 2009
  • This article has examined the international transmission of returns among S&P500, Nikkei225 and SENSEX stock index cash markets using the daily closing prices covered from January 4, 2002 to February 6, 2009. For this purpose we employed dynamic time series models such as the Granger causality analysis and variance decomposition analysis based on VAR model. The main empirical results are as follows; First, according to Granger causality tests we find that S&P500 stock index has a significant prediction power on the changes of SENSEX and Nikkei225 stock index market and vice versa. However, US stock market's influence is dominant to the other stock markets at a significant level statistically. Second, according to variance decomposition, SENSEX stock index is more sensitive to the movement of S&P500 than that of Nikkei225 stock index. These kinds of empirical results shows that the three stock markets are integrated over times and these results will be informative for the international investors to build the world-wide investment portfolio and risk management strategies, etc.

The Impact of Pandemic Crises on the Synchronization of the World Capital Markets (팬데믹 위기가 세계 자본시장 동조화에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Dong Soo;Won, Chaehwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.183-208
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose - The main purpose of this study is to widely investigate the impact of recent pandemic crises on the synchronization of the world capital markets through 25 stock indices from major developed countries. Design/methodology/approach - This study collects 25 stock indices from major developed countries and the time period is between January 5, 2001 and February 24, 2022. The data sets used in the study include finance.yahoo.com and Investing.com.. The Granger causality analysis, unit-root test, VAR analysis, and forecasting error variance decomposition were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, there are significant inter-relations among 25 countries around recent major pandemic crises(such as SARS, A(H1N1), MERS, and COVID19), which is consistent result with previous literature. Second, COVID19 shows much stronger impact on the world-wide synchronization than other pandemics. Third, the return volatility of each stock market varies, unit root tests show that daily stock index data are unstable while daily stock index returns are stable, and VAR(Vector Auto Regression) analyses presents significant inter-relations among 25 capital markets. Fourth, from the impulse response function analyses, we find that each market affects the other markets for short term periods, about 2~4 days, and no long term effect was not found. Fifth, Granger causality tests show one-side or two-sides synchronization between capital markets and we estimate, through forecasting error variance decomposition method, that the explanatory portions of each capital market on other markets vary from 10 to 80%. Research implications or Originality - The above results all together show that pandemic crises have strong effects on the synchronization of world capital markets and imply that these synchronizations should be carefully considered both in the investment decisions by individual investors and in the financial and economic policies by governments.

Study on Lead-Lag Relationship between Individual Spot and Futures of Communication Service Industries: Focused on KT and SK Telecom (통신서비스 업종 개별주식 현물과 선물 간 선도-지연 효과: 한국통신과 SK텔레콤을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Joo Il
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.91-103
    • /
    • 2015
  • We examine the information transmission between the KT Spot and the KT Futures Index, the SK Telecom Spot and the SK Telecom Futures Index, based on the returns data offered by the Korea Exchange. The data includes daily return data from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2014. Utilizing a dynamic analytical tool-the VAR model, Granger Causality test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition have been implemented. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index precede and have explanatory power the KT Spot and the SK Telecom Spot However the results also identified a greater causality and explanatory power of the KT Spot and the SK Telecom Spot over the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that the KT Futures Index show immediate response to the KT Spot and are influenced by till time 4. From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Also the SKT Futures Index show immediate response to the SKT Spot and are influenced by till time 4. From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis shows that the changes of return of the KT Spot and SKT Spot are dependent on those of the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. This implies that returns on the KT Spot and SKT Spot have a significant influence over returns on the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. It contributes to the understanding of market price formation function through analysis of detached the KT Spot and the KT Futures Index, the SK Telecom Spot and the SK Telecom Futures Index.

The Improved BAMS Filter for Image Denoising (영상 잡음제거를 위한 개선된 BAMS 필터)

  • Woo, Chang-Yong;Park, Nam-Chun
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.270-277
    • /
    • 2010
  • The BAMS filter is a kind of wavelet shrinkage filter based on the Bayes estimators with no simulation, therefore it can be used for a real time filter. The denoising efficiency of BAMS filter is seriously affected by the estimated noise variance in each wavelet band. To remove noise in signals in existing BAMS filter, the noise variance is estimated by using the quartile of the finest level of details in the wavelet decomposition, and with this variance, the noise of the level is removed. In this paper, to remove the image noise includingodified quartile of the level of detail is proposed. And by these techniques, the image noises of mid and high frequency bands are removed, and the results showed that the increased PSNR of ab the midband noise, the noise variance estimation method using the monotonic transform and the mout 2[dB] and the effectiveness in denosing of low noise deviation images.

A Novel Multifocus Image Fusion Algorithm Based on Nonsubsampled Contourlet Transform

  • Liu, Cuiyin;Cheng, Peng;Chen, Shu-Qing;Wang, Cuiwei;Xiang, Fenghong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.539-557
    • /
    • 2013
  • A novel multifocus image fusion algorithm based on NSCT is proposed in this paper. In order to not only attain the image focusing properties and more visual information in the fused image, but also sensitive to the human visual perception, a local multidirection variance (LEOV) fusion rule is proposed for lowpass subband coefficient. In order to introduce more visual saliency, a modified local contrast is defined. In addition, according to the feature of distribution of highpass subband coefficients, a direction vector is proposed to constrain the modified local contrast and construct the new fusion rule for highpass subband coefficients selection The NSCT is a flexible multiscale, multidirection, and shift-invariant tool for image decomposition, which can be implemented via the atrous algorithm. The proposed fusion algorithm based on NSCT not only can prevent artifacts and erroneous from introducing into the fused image, but also can eliminate 'block effect' and 'frequency aliasing' phenomenon. Experimental results show that the proposed method achieved better fusion results than wavelet-based and CT-based fusion method in contrast and clarity.

CO-CLUSTER HOMOTOPY QUEUING MODEL IN NONLINEAR ALGEBRAIC TOPOLOGICAL STRUCTURE FOR IMPROVING POISON DISTRIBUTION NETWORK COMMUNICATION

  • V. RAJESWARI;T. NITHIYA
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.41 no.4
    • /
    • pp.861-868
    • /
    • 2023
  • Nonlinear network creates complex homotopy structural communication in wireless network medium because of complex distribution approach. Due to this multicast topological connection structure, the queuing probability was non regular principles to create routing structures. To resolve this problem, we propose a Co-cluster homotopy queuing model (Co-CHQT) for Nonlinear Algebraic Topological Structure (NLTS-) for improving poison distribution network communication. Initially this collects the routing propagation based on Nonlinear Distance Theory (NLDT) to estimate the nearest neighbor network nodes undernon linear at x(a,b)→ax2+bx2 = c. Then Quillen Network Decomposition Theorem (QNDT) was applied to sustain the non-regular routing propagation to create cluster path. Each cluster be form with co variance structure based on Two unicast 2(n+1)-Z2(n+1)-Z network. Based on the poison distribution theory X(a,b) ≠ µ(C), at number of distribution routing strategies weights are estimated based on node response rate. Deriving shorte;'l/st path from behavioral of the node response, Hilbert -Krylov subspace clustering estimates the Cluster Head (CH) to the routing head. This solves the approximation routing strategy from the nonlinear communication depending on Max- equivalence theory (Max-T). This proposed system improves communication to construction topological cluster based on optimized level to produce better performance in distance theory, throughput latency in non-variation delay tolerant.

Characteristic Analysis of Normalized D-QR-RLS Algorithm (II) (정규화된 D-QR-RLS 알고리즘의 특성 분석(II))

  • Ahn, Bong-Man;Hwang, Jee-Won;Cho, Ju-Phil
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.32 no.11C
    • /
    • pp.1127-1133
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper proposes one of normalized QR-typed LMS (Least Mean Square) algorithms with computational complexity of O(N). This proposed algorithm shows the normalized property in terms of theoretical characteristics. This proposed algorithm is one of algorithms which normalize variance of input signal in terms of mean because QR-typed LMS is proportional to variance of input signal. In this paper, convergence characteristic analysis of normalized algorithm was made. Computer simulation was made by the algorithms used for echo canceller. Proposed algorithm has similar performance to theoretical value. And, we can see that proposed method shows similar one to performance of NLMS.by comparison among different algorithms.

Learning Behaviors of Stochastic Gradient Radial Basis Function Network Algorithms for Odor Sensing Systems

  • Kim, Nam-Yong;Byun, Hyung-Gi;Kwon, Ki-Hyeon
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-66
    • /
    • 2006
  • Learning behaviors of a radial basis function network (RBFN) using a singular value decomposition (SVD) and stochastic gradient (SG) algorithm, together named RBF-SVD-SG, for odor sensing systems are analyzed, and a fast training method is proposed. RBF input data is from a conducting polymer sensor array. It is revealed in this paper that the SG algorithm for the fine-tuning of centers and widths still shows ill-behaving learning results when a sufficiently small convergence coefficient is not used. Since the tuning of centers in RBFN plays a dominant role in the performance of RBFN odor sensing systems, our analysis is focused on the center-gradient variance of the RBFN-SVD-SG algorithm. We found analytically that the steadystate weight fluctuation and large values of a convergence coefficient can lead to an increase in variance of the center-gradient estimate. Based on this analysis, we propose to use the least mean square algorithm instead of SVD in adjusting the weight for stable steady-state weight behavior. Experimental results of the proposed algorithm have shown faster learning speed and better classification performance.

  • PDF