• Title/Summary/Keyword: Variability Management

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Stability of Construction Cost-variability Factor Rankings from Professionals' Perspective: Evidence from Dar es Salaam -Tanzania

  • Shabani, Neema;Mselle, Justine;Sanga, Samwel Alananga;Kanuti, Arbogasti Isidori
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the stability of professionals' cost variability factor-rankings across different levels of cost-variability and response scenarios. Descriptive statistics are used to examine the stability of factor-ranking for 20 cost variability factors and a Multinomial Logistic (MNL) regression model was implemented to examine the stability of cost variability factors across three cost variability levels. The finding on the descriptive statistics indicated that professionals' factors-rankings are stable only for external factors. The MNL regression results on factor-stability suggested that 8 out of the 20 evaluated factors were unstable determinant of lower cost variability levels. These factors are "risk associated with the project", "personal bias and poor professionalism of the estimators", "limited time available to complete the project", "lack of skills and experience by estimator" "geographical location of projects", "incomplete & rush designs for estimate", "unforeseen or unexpected site constraints", "high class bidders for the contractors". Similarly lack of experience and large size projects were observed to be unstable as well. These observations suggest that professionals' view on pre-tender cost variability factor-ranking yields unstable factor rankings hence should not be relied upon as the only mechanisms to mitigate cost related risks in construction projects.

Variability Analysis in QFD: Prioritizing Engineering Characteristics (품질기능전개에서의 변동성 분석: 설계특성의 우선순위 결정)

  • Min, Dae-Gi;Kim, Gwang-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.479-482
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a new framework for variability analysis in QFD. The proposed framework considers the uncertainty of the information contained in the house of quality chart and analyzes the variability resulting in the outcome. A new framework provides a dominance index and a difference index for each pairwise ECs. The indices are helpful to evaluate priorities of each pairwise EC.

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Generalized Q Control Charts for Short Run Processes in the Presence of Lot to Lot Variability (Lot간 변동이 존재하는 Short Run 공정 적용을 위한 일반화된 Q 관리도)

  • Lee, Hyun Cheol
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2014
  • We derive a generalized statistic form of Q control chart, which is especially suitable for short run productions and start-up processes, for the detection of process mean shifts. The generalization means that the derived control chart statistic concurrently uses within lot variability and between lot variability to explain the process variability. The latter variability source is noticeably prevalent in lot type production processes including semiconductor wafer fabrications. We first obtain the generalized Q control chart statistic when both the process mean and process variance are unknown, which represents the case of implementing statistical process control charting for short run productions and start-up processes. Also, we provide the corresponding generalized Q control chart statistics for the rest of three cases of previous Q control chart statistics : (1) both the process mean and process variance are known (2) only the process mean is unknown and (3) only the process variance is unknown.

Spectral Analysis of On-the-go Soil Strength Sensor Data (이동식 토양 강도 센서 데이터 주파수 분석)

  • Chung, Sun-Ok;Suduth, Kenneth A.;Tan, Jinglu
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 2008
  • As agricultural machinery has become larger and tillage practices have changed in recent decades, compaction as a result of wheel traffic and tillage has caused increasing concern. If strategies to manage compaction, such as deep tillage, could be applied only where needed, economic and environmental benefits would result. For such site-specific compaction management to occur, compacted areas within fields must be efficiently sensed and mapped. We previously developed an on-the-go soil strength profile sensor (SSPS) for this purpose. The SSPS measures within-field variability in soil strength at five soil depths up to 50 cm. Determining the variability structure of SSPS data is needed for site-specific field management since the variability structure determines the required intensity of data collection and is related to the delineation of compaction management zones. In this paper, soil bin data were analyzed by a spectral analysis technique to determine the variability structure of the SSPS data, and to investigate causes and implications of this variability. In the soil bin, we observed a repeating pattern due to soil fracture with an approximate 12- to 19-cm period, especially at the 10-cm depth, possibly due to cyclic development of soil fracture on this interval. These findings will facilitate interpretation of soil strength data and enhance application of the SSPS.

Geo-statistical Analysis of Growth Variability in Rice Paddy Field (벼 재배 포장 생육변이의 공간통계학적 해석)

  • 이충근;성제훈;정인규;김상철;박우풍;이용범;박원규
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2004
  • To obtain basic information for precision agriculture, spatial variability of rice growth condition was evaluated in 100m ${\times}$100m paddy field. The rice growth condition of four hundred locations in the field were investigated to analyze the spatial variability of their properties ; SPAD, plant length and tiller number. Geostatistical analysis was carried out to examine within-field spatial variability using semivariograms and kriged maps as well as descriptive statistics. Descriptive statistics showed that the coefficient of variation for SPAD, plant length, and tiller number exceeded 5.70 %, suggesting a relatively high variability. Geostatistical analysis indicated a high spatial dependence for all the properties except for the second tiller number. The range of spatial dependence was about 20 m for SPAD, plant length, and tiller number. Based on the results of spatial dependence, kriged maps were prepared for the properties to analyse their spatial distribution in the field. The results reflected the history of field management. In conclusion, the need for site-specific field management and possibility of precision agriculture were demonstrated even in an almost flat paddy field.

Site-specific Quantification and Management of Soil Compaction: A Review (토양 다짐 변이 측정 및 관리기술에 관한 연구동향)

  • Chong, B.H.;Chung, S.O.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.31 no.1 s.114
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2006
  • Compaction is becoming a greater concern in crop production and the environment because it can have deleterious effects on growing conditions that are difficult to remediate. Because compaction can vary considerably from point to point within a field, and also from depth to depth within the soil profile, it is important to consider quantification and management of the spatial and vertical variability in soil compaction when developing an overall site-specific crop management plan. In this paper, the importance of soil compaction, techniques for quantification of its variability, and the concept of site-specific tillage are examined. Methods and systems to detect within-field variation in soil strength as a surrogate measure of soil compaction and related soil properties are also compared and discussed. Quantification of variability in soil compaction and site-specific compaction management was motivated recently, and sensors and control systems are still under development. Future study will need to address a number of issues related to understanding and applying the sensor measurements.

Change of Heart Rate Variability on Menstruation in Women at College (여대생 월경(月經)의 심박변이도 변화에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong Cheol;Kim, Yi Soon
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.745-752
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to show the change of Heart Rate Variability(HRV) and Pulse wave velocity(PWV) on menstruation in women at college. Heart Rate Variability(HRV) and Pulse wave velocity(PWV) of 122 women at college were measured at their menstruation and ordinary period. SDNN, RMSSD, SDSD, HRV Index(%), stress resistance and cardiac activity were significantly higher at their menstruation than ordinary period, but Total Power and pNN50(%) were opposite. The automatic nervous system balance and physical stress were decreased in groups without dysmenorrhea than with one. PWV(E-R) and PWV(E-L) were much higher at menstruation than ordinary period. PTT(F-R) and PTT(F-L) were decreased in groups without dysmenorrhea than with severe one. We demonstrated that menstruation can effect on Heart Rate Variability and Pulse wave velocity and dysmenorrhea can cause the imbalance of autonomic nervous system.

Application of Bias-Correction and Stochastic Analogue Method (BCSA) to Statistically Downscale Daily Precipitation over South Korea (남한지역 일단위 강우량 공간상세화를 위한 BCSA 기법 적용성 검토)

  • Hwang, Syewoon;Jung, Imgook;Kim, Siho;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2021
  • BCSA (Bias-Correction and Stochastic Analog) is a statistical downscaling technique designed to effectively correct the systematic errors of GCM (General Circulation Model) output and reproduce basic statistics and spatial variability of the observed precipitation filed. In this study, the applicability of BCSA was evaluated using the ASOS observation data over South Korea, which belongs to the monsoon climatic zone with large spatial variability of rainfall and different rainfall characteristics. The results presented the reproducibility of temporal and spatial variability of daily precipitation in various manners. As a result of comparing the spatial correlation with the observation data, it was found that the reproducibility of various climate indices including the average spatial correlation (variability) of rainfall events in South Korea was superior to the raw GCM output. In addition, the needs of future related studies to improve BCSA, such as supplementing algorithms to reduce calculation time, enhancing reproducibility of temporal rainfall patterns, and evaluating applicability to other meteorological factors, were pointed out. The results of this study can be used as the logical background for applying BCSA for reproducing spatial details of the rainfall characteristic over the Korean Peninsula.

Analysis of Regional Water Resources Characteristics Through Applying the Water Poverty Index and the Climate Variability Index (물 빈곤지수와 기후 변동성지수의 국내 적용을 통한 지역별 수자원 특성 분석)

  • Hong, Seung-Jin;Choi, Si-Jung;Baeck, Seung-Hyub;Kang, Seong-Kyu
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.427-441
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    • 2011
  • This study developed the Climate Variability Index (CVI) to assess the water resources through adding detail indicators into the existing regional Water Poverty Index (WPI) to consider climate variability and flood damage. This study aims at selecting indicators of WPI focused on water availability and regional climate variability, assessing regional variability of the indices during 1998-2007, and providing information to help determining the priority of water sector policies, investment, and applications. The WPI represents the relationship between the level of welfare and the water use. Considered with flood management and climate variability, CVI added by regional characteristics may be used in water resources management as well as flood mitigation for coping with climate change.

A Study on the Improvement of composition structural system for the apartment with space variability (공간 가변형 공동주택의 복합구조시스템 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Kyo-Jun;Lee, Jeong-Cheol;Lee, Chan-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.353-357
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    • 2007
  • The Apartment resident's make-up of a family and residing preference are diversified by the change of lifestyle through the elevation of economy level and residing level. Accordingly, the remodeling and the early rebuilding for the satisfaction of a life cycle and a life style are increasing, and "Variability" that is the concept of Open Housing was emphasized as a central of residing plan in the apartment. Although apartments which select the space variability to the residing space are increasing gradually, the optimum composition structural system with space variability that satisfies the structure stability, the economical efficiency and the resident usability is not developed. The method of a study was progressed by a comparison and an analysis on each system with estimation elements through analyzing the development process and the special quality of existing composition structural system with space variability in the apartment. This paper offered the improvement direction on the current composition structural system with space variability for the development of modularizing system that is correct in domestic real condition.

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