• Title/Summary/Keyword: Using frequency and period

Search Result 1,557, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Bivariate Frequency Analysis of Rainfall using Copula Model (Copula 모형을 이용한 이변량 강우빈도해석)

  • Joo, Kyung-Won;Shin, Ju-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.8
    • /
    • pp.827-837
    • /
    • 2012
  • The estimation of the rainfall quantile is of great importance in designing hydrologic structures. Conventionally, the rainfall quantile is estimated by univariate frequency analysis with an appropriate probability distribution. There is a limitation in which duration of rainfall is restrictive. To overcome this limitation, bivariate frequency analysis by using 3 copula models is performed in this study. Annual maximum rainfall events in 5 stations are used for frequency analysis and rainfall depth and duration are used as random variables. Gumbel (GUM), generalized logistic (GLO) distributions are applied for rainfall depth and generalized extreme value (GEV), GUM, GLO distributions are applied for rainfall duration. Copula models used in this study are Frank, Joe, and Gumbel-Hougaard models. Maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the parameter of copula, and the method of probability weighted moments is used to estimate the parameters of marginal distributions. Rainfall quantile from this procedure is compared with various marginal distributions and copula models. As a result, in change of marginal distribution, distribution of duration does not significantly affect on rainfall quantile. There are slight differences depending on the distribution of rainfall depth. In the case which the marginal distribution of rainfall depth is GUM, there is more significantly increasing along the return period than GLO. Comparing with rainfall quantiles from each copula model, Joe and Gumbel-Hougaard models show similar trend while Frank model shows rapidly increasing trend with increment of return period.

A Study on the Distribution of Rainfall over the Korean Peninsula for the Generation of Rainfall Operational Specifications for Weapon Systems using Electromagnetic and Optical Sensors (전자기 및 광학 센서를 적용한 무기체계의 강수 운용규격 설정을 위한 한반도 강수량 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Ju;Kim, Jai-Ha
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.227-234
    • /
    • 2010
  • When a weapon system is developed, climate elements such as temperature, rainfall, and so on have an effect on development costs and a developing period. Therefore, effects of environment and climate must be examined throughly before the design of weapon systems and be applied to their developments. And so, operational and storage requirements for weapon systems are determined and are applied to related tests through analyzing not only environmental factors such as vibration, shock, and so on, but also climate factors. In this paper, the distribution and the frequency of occurrence of rainfall were analyzed and were suggested as a good guide to determine standards of tests for weapon systems when it's raining.

A development of trivariate drought frequency analysis approach using copula function (Copula 함수를 활용한 삼변량 가뭄빈도해석 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;So, Byung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.10
    • /
    • pp.823-833
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study developed a trivariate Copula function based drought frequency analysis model to better evaluate the recent 2014~2015 drought event. The bivariate frequency analysis has been routinely used for the drought variables of interest (e.g. drought duration and severity). However, the recent drought patterns showed that the intensity can be regarded as an important factor which is being characterized by short duration and severe intensity. Thus, we used the trivariate Copula function approach to incorporate the trivariate drought characteristics into the drought frequency analysis. It was found that the return periods based on the trivariate frequency analysis are, in general, higher than the existing bivariate frequency analysis. In addition, this study concludes that the increase in drought frequency claimed by the Gumbel copula function has been overestimated compared to the Student t Copula function. In other words, the selection of copula functions is rather sensitive to the estimation of trivariate drought return periods at a given duration, magnitude and intensity.

Effects of Preoperative Autologous Blood Donation in Patients Undergoing Minimally Invasive Cardiac Surgery

  • Lim, Mi Hee;Je, Hyung Gon;Ju, Min Ho;Lee, Ji Hye;Oh, Hye Rim;Kim, Ye Ri
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
    • /
    • v.52 no.6
    • /
    • pp.385-391
    • /
    • 2019
  • Background: Preoperative autologous blood donation (PABD) is a conservation strategy for reducing allogenic blood transfusion (ABT) during minimally invasive cardiac surgery (MICS). We aimed to evaluate the effects of PABD on the frequency of ABT and clinical outcomes in patients undergoing MICS. Methods: We enrolled 113 patients (47.8±13.1 years, 50 men) undergoing MICS without preoperative anemia (hemoglobin >11 g/dL) between 2014 and 2017. Of these patients, 69 (the PABD group) donated autologous blood preoperatively and were compared to the non-PABD group (n=44). We analyzed the frequency of perioperative ABT and clinical outcomes. Results: Baseline characteristics did not significantly differ between groups, although preoperative hemoglobin levels were lower in the PABD group. All operations were performed using a minimally invasive approach. Patients' surgical profiles were similar. There were no cases of mortality or significant differences in early postoperative outcomes. During the early postoperative period, hemoglobin levels were higher in the PABD group. No significant difference was found in the frequency of ABT. Conclusion: Although the PABD group had higher postoperative hemoglobin levels, there was no clear clinical benefit in the early postoperative period, despite a great deal of effort and additional cost. Additional PABD in the setting of strict policies for blood conservation was ineffective in reducing ABT for young and relatively healthy patients who underwent MICS.

An Empirical Test for the Combination of Multiple Recursive Generators (다중귀납난수생성기의 경험적 검정)

  • 김태수;이영해
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.25-32
    • /
    • 2001
  • The Multiple Recursive Generator(MRG) has been considered by many scholars as a very good random number generator. For the long period md excellent statistical properties, the method of the combination with random number generators is used. In this paper, we thought the two-combined MRGs. Using the frequency and serial test, and runs test, we studied the importance of the initial seeds likewise other random number generators.

  • PDF

Estimation of the Expected Loss per Exposure of Export Insurance using GLM (일반화 선형모형을 이용한 수출보험의 지급비율 추정)

  • Ju, Hyo Chan;Lee, Hangsuck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.857-871
    • /
    • 2013
  • Export credit insurance is a policy tool for export growth. In the era of free trade under the governance of WTO, export credit insurance is still allowed as one of the few instruments to increase exports. This paper, using data on short-term export insurance contracts issued to foreign subsidiaries of Korean companies, calculates the expected loss per exposure by combining the effect of risk factors (credit rate of foreign importers, size of mother company, and payment period) on loss frequency and loss severity in different levels. We, applying generalized linear models (GLM), first fit loss frequency and loss severity to negative binomial and lognormal distribution, respectively, and then estimate the loss frequency rate per contract and the ratio of loss severity to coverage amount. Finally, we calculate the expected loss per exposure for each level of risk factors by combining these two rates. Based on the result of statistical analysis, we present the implication for the current premium rate of export insurance.

The effect of lactation number, stage, length, and milking frequency on milk yield in Korean Holstein dairy cows using automatic milking system

  • Vijayakumar, Mayakrishnan;Park, Ji Hoo;Ki, Kwang Seok;Lim, Dong Hyun;Kim, Sang Bum;Park, Seong Min;Jeong, Ha Yeon;Park, Beom Young;Kim, Tae Il
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • v.30 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1093-1098
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objective: The aim of the current study was to describe the relationship between milk yield and lactation number, stage, length and milking frequency in Korean Holstein dairy cows using an automatic milking system (AMS). Methods: The original data set consisted of observations from April to October 2016 of 780 Holstein cows, with a total of 10,751 milkings. Each time a cow was milked by an AMS during the 24 h, the AMS management system recorded identification numbers of the AMS unit, the cow being milking, date and time of the milking, and milk yield (kg) as measured by the milk meters installed on each AMS unit, date and time of the lactation, lactation stage, milking frequency (NoM). Lactation stage is defined as the number of days milking per cows per lactation. Milk yield was calculated per udder quarter in the AMS and was added to 1 record per cow and trait for each milking. Milking frequency was measured the number of milkings per cow per 24 hour. Results: From the study results, a significant relationship was found between the milk yield and lactation number (p<0.001), with the maximum milk yield occurring in the third lactation cows. We recorded the highest milk yield, in a greater lactation length period of early stage (55 to 90 days) at a $4{\times}$ milking frequency/d, and the lowest milk yield was observed in the later stage (>201 days) of cows. Also, milking frequency had a significant influence on milk yield (p<0.001) in Korean Holstein cows using AMS. Conclusion: Detailed knowledge of these factors such as lactation number, stage, length, and milking frequency associated with increasing milk yield using AMS will help guide future recommendations to producers for maximizing milk yield in Korean Dairy industries.

Optimal Monitoring Frequency Estimation Using Confidence Intervals for the Temporal Model of a Zooplankton Species Number Based on Operational Taxonomic Units at the Tongyoung Marine Science Station

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Kim, Sung;Lee, Youn-Ho;Jung, Gila;Kim, Choong-Gon;Jeong, Dageum;Lee, Yucheol;Kang, Mee-Hye;Kim, Hana;Choi, Hae-Young;Oh, Jina;Myong, Jung-Goo;Choi, Hee-Jung
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-21
    • /
    • 2017
  • Temporal changes in the number of zooplankton species are important information for understanding basic characteristics and species diversity in marine ecosystems. The aim of the present study was to estimate the optimal monitoring frequency (OMF) to guarantee and predict the minimum number of species occurrences for studies concerning marine ecosystems. The OMF is estimated using the temporal number of zooplankton species through bi-weekly monitoring of zooplankton species data according to operational taxonomic units in the Tongyoung coastal sea. The optimal model comprises two terms, a constant (optimal mean) and a cosine function with a one-year period. The confidence interval (CI) range of the model with monitoring frequency was estimated using a bootstrap method. The CI range was used as a reference to estimate the optimal monitoring frequency. In general, the minimum monitoring frequency (numbers per year) directly depends on the target (acceptable) estimation error. When the acceptable error (range of the CI) increases, the monitoring frequency decreases because the large acceptable error signals a rough estimation. If the acceptable error (unit: number value) of the number of the zooplankton species is set to 3, the minimum monitoring frequency (times per year) is 24. The residual distribution of the model followed a normal distribution. This model can be applied for the estimation of the minimal monitoring frequency that satisfies the target error bounds, as this model provides an estimation of the error of the zooplankton species numbers with monitoring frequencies.

Long-term Trends of Visibility in Seoul and Chunchon (서울과 춘천의 장기간 시정 변화경향)

  • 이종범;김용국;백복행
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.473-478
    • /
    • 1996
  • Using data observed from 1966 to 1994, long-term trends of visibility at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were analyzed. Annual average visibility in Seoul has been decreased continuously. In particular, annual number of days for visibility more than 15km was remarkably reduced since 1980. Also, the trend of the visibility in Chunchon was similar to that of Seoul. But the variations were small to compare with Seoul. Long-term trends of relative humidity (RH) and specific humidity (q) at 15:00 in Seoul have been slightly decreased. Cumulative frequency distributions of visibility for ranges of RH (0 $\sim 50%, 50 \sim 60%, 60 \sim 70%, 70 \sim 80%, 80 \sim 90%, 90 \sim 100%$) at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were generally decreased during the second period (1984 $\sim$ 1994) as compared with the first period (1973 $\sim$ 1983), except for the range of 90 to 100% RH. Despite of decreasing phenomena of RH, characteristics of urban climates in Seoul, visibility degraded due to an increase of air pollution.

  • PDF

A Study on Factors that Affect the Selection of Multichannel in the Apparel Retail -Based on the Characteristics of Marketing and Customer- (패션소매유통 멀티채널 채택에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 -마케팅 특성과 소비자 특성을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Ju-Hee;Lee, Jin-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.35 no.7
    • /
    • pp.801-815
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study examines the characteristics of marketing and customer that influence the selection of multichannel (preference/frequency of use) in the fashion retail. The subjects of this study are men and women live in Seoul/Gyeonggi province and Busan/Gyeongsangnam-do in their 20s-40s who have shopping experiences in fashion items of more than 2 shopping channels among offline stores, catalogs, and the internet. The survey period was from March to May 2010 and 411 forms were used in this survey. The data were analyzed by a reliability analysis (Cronbach's ${\alpha}$), a factor analysis, t-test and one-way ANOVA. The main results of this study are summarized as follows. First, marketing characteristics, which effect the selection of multichannel (preference/frequency of use), consist of sales promotion, service, price, merchandise, and distribution. Those have a significant influence (***p${\leq}$.001) on choosing multichannel of fashion retail. Price has a significant impact on the preference of multichannel and merchandise affect for frequency of use in multichannel shopping. Second, customer characteristics have a significant influence (***p${\leq}$.001) on the monthly average purchasing amount, shopping hours, shopping frequency, brand knowledge, and price sensitivity. Particularly, monthly average purchasing amount & shopping frequency have meaningful differences in the frequency of using multichannel; in addition, shopping hours were affected by preference & frequency of use. Price sensitivity has a greater influence on the frequency of using multichannel and brand knowledge has a greater effect on multichannel preference. Customer's information searching characteristics have main 3 factors through the use of marketing information, personal information and experience information. Application of experience information is the main factor in preference and frequency of using multichannel shopping. The customer demographic characteristics of age (*p${\leq}$.05, **p${\leq}$.01) and gender (*p${\leq}$.05) show a difference for selecting multichannel. There is no difference for marital status, average household income per month, and job.