• 제목/요약/키워드: Urban Growth Model

검색결과 205건 처리시간 0.03초

우리나라의 지역 특성이 지역 경제 성장에 미치는 요인과 영향 분석 (Analyzing Factors and Impacts of Regional Characteristics to Regional Economic Growth in South Korea)

  • 김근영
    • 도시과학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting economic growth using multiple regression model and Geographically Weighted Regression in consideration of population, industry and employment, housing and political characteristics on economic growth by region. The analysis results are summarized as follows. First, the total employment growth rate, manufacturing employment growth rate, local election turnout and the level of party consensus between the central and local governments are having a positive impact on regional economic growth. Second, according to the GWR analysis, the population has a positive impact on economic growth in the southern region of Korea, and the increase in the total number of employees has a positive impact on the southern region of Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province, North Chungcheong Province and North Gyeongsang Province. Finally, the voter turnout of urbanites is positively affecting economic growth in South Chungcheong Province, Gangwon Province and the southern coast, while North Jeolla and South Jeolla provinces have a positive impact on economic growth as the parties of the central and local governments are equal. The results of this study may suggest the role of local government for regional economic development.

도시경제기반으로서의 비고용소득 성장과 영향분석 - 미국 아리조나주의 경우 - (Growth and Impact Analysis of Nonemployment Income as an Urban Economic Base -The case study of U.S. Arizona State-)

  • 김학훈
    • 지역연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.27-40
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    • 1993
  • Most studies on regional economic impact have utilized employment or employment income data. Recently, a few scholars have noticed the importance of nonemployment income sources in urban economies. Using decennial census data on Arizona towns from 1970 to 1990, this paper first examines the increasing importance of nonempolyment income sources in urban economies and the associations of nonemployment income sources with elderly population and metropolitan location. Then, this paper investigates the impact of nonemployment income on urban growth in the framework of economic base model. The regression results show that the impact of nonemployment income is significant in the increase of nonbasic income and becomes greater over time, and that the impact of transfer over time, and that the impact of transfer income on nonbasic income of transfer income on nonbasic income is stronger in smaller towns and the impact of investment income is stronger in larger towns.

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녹색도시 물순환 계획요소 및 수문순환 모의 (The Urban Water Cycle Planning Elements and Hydrologic Cycle Simulation for Green City)

  • 이정민;김종림
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.271-278
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    • 2012
  • 전 지구적인 기후변화와 지구 온난화에 따라 서구 선진 국가들을 중심으로 저탄소 녹색성장(green growth)이 이슈로 등장하고 있고 이 전략은 미래의 성장동력으로까지 발전되고 있다. 저탄소 사회를 달성하기 위하여 세계 각국은 교토의정서를 체결하고 온실가스배출량을 2008년부터 2012년까지 1990년도 수준의 5.2%까지 줄이도록 선언하였다. 한편 급속한 도시개발과 불투수면적의 증가는 도시의 물순환의 변화를 초래한다. 본 연구에서는 녹색도시 개념을 검토하고 기존의 연구를 바탕으로 도시 및 단지수준에 적합한 물순환 계획요소를 검토하였다. 추가적으로 본 연구에서는 SWMM5-LID 수문모형을 이용하여 시범유역에 물순환 효과를 분석하였다. 물순환 분석은 개발전, 개발후, 녹색도시계획요소적용후(LID시설 적용후)에 대한 시범유역의 도시유출연속모의를 통하여 수행되었다.

서울대도시지역 도시성장 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Urban Growth Forecasting for the Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 강영옥;박수홍
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.621-639
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    • 2000
  • 도시는 산업혁명 이후 급속히 발달하기 시작한 인간의 대표적인 정주공간으로, 산업활동의 집중, 도시로의 인구유입으로 공간적인 범위가 확대되어 가고 있다. 급속한 도시성장은 환경을 악화시키고 있으며, 이에 따른 온실효과, 대기오염의 증가 등은 심각한 도시문제로 떠오르고 있다. 지속 가능한 도시성장을 위해 도시가 어떻게 성장해 왔는가를 분석하고, 향후의 도시성장을 예측하며, 이에 대한 적절한 대안을 모색하는 것은 도시관리를 위해 매우 중요한 문제이다. 본 연구에서는 서울대도시지역을 대상으로 1957년부터 1997년까지의 도시성장에 관한 자료를 구축하고, 셀룰라 오토마타(Cellular Automata) 개념에 기초하고 있는 도시성장모델(UGM)을 이용하여 1998년부터 2050년까지의 서울대도시지역의 도시성장을 예측하였다.

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기능적 상호작용에 따른 도시권 설정과 성장관계에 대한 연구 (Study on the Delineation of City-Regions Based on Functional Interdependence and Its Relationships with Urban Growth)

  • 김도형;우명제
    • 국토계획
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2019
  • The central government has implemented policies to strengthen the competitiveness of small and medium sized cities for balanced development at the national scale. However, since it is often difficult to enhance the competitiveness through partial projects of each jurisdiction, many local governments collaborate at the regional scale. This suggests that a regional approach is important for the management of small and medium sized cities. On the one hand, the concept of network city suggests that various functional networks can affect the growth of small and medium sized cities. Given this background, the purposes of this study are to delineate regional boundaries at national scale and identify their relations of growth by using functional network and Moran's I index. The study uses the Markov-chain model and cluster analysis to delineate the regions, and Moran's I is employed to identify the relations of growth. The results show that interactions between jurisdictions through networks could be crucial factors for growth of small and medium sized cities, while the networks based on passenger travel and freight movement have different implications. The results suggest that policy makers should not only consider local level investments, but also take the characteristics of networks between cities into account for achieving balanced development and developing regeneration policies.

건물군 조건이 도시 열환경에 미치는 영향에 관한 정량적 검토 (Quantitative Study on the Effect of the Building Composition on the Urban Thermal Environment)

  • 여인애;카마타요코;이정재;윤성환
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.180-183
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    • 2009
  • In this study, Urban Climate Simulation was performed by 3-Dimensional Urban Canopy Model. The characteristics of urban climate was analyzed combining artificial land coverage, building size, heat production from the air conditioning and topographic conditions as physical variables which affects urban climate characteristics. The results are as follows. (1)The aspects of the urban climatal change is derived to be related to the combination of the building coverage ratio, building height and shading area. (2)Whole heat generation was influenced by the convective sensible heat at the lower building height and by the artificial heat generation at the higher one over 20-story building influence to some extent of the building coverage ratio. The effect of the altitude is not more considerable than the other variables as below $1^{\circ}C$ of the air temperature.

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SWMM을 연계한 DEM기반의 도시침수해석 모형 (DEM Based Urban Inundation Analysis Model Linked with SWMM)

  • 이창희;한건연;최규현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2006
  • 최근에 홍수재해와 관련된 자연재해가 급격히 증가하고 있다. 특히, 사회기반시설의 집중 및 인구증가로 도시지역에서의 침수는 인명과 재산에 큰 피해를 야기한다. 본 연구의 목적은 배수시스템에서의 과부하로 인한 도시지역에서의 침수심을 계산하기 위해서 우수배수시스템모형과 2차원 지표류모형을 연계한 새로운 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 대상유역에서의 침수유량의 거동은 두 가지 요소로 고려되는데 하나는 배수시스템에서의 흐름이고 다른 하나는 월류유량으로 발생한 범람 흐름으로 고려되어 졌다 개발모형은 군자와 장안유역에 적용되었고, 계산된 침수심들은 모의결과로 제시되었다. 모의 결과는 홍수관계기관이 침수 발생이 예상되는 지점에서 홍수피해 방지를 위해 배수시스템의 용량에 대한 재설계 혹은 확장 등과 같은 대책을 수립하는데 도움을 줄 수 있다. 또한, 본 모형은 홍수관계기관에서의 정책결정에 활용될 수 있도록 침수위험지도를 만들고 홍수경감대책을 수립하는데 이용될 수 있다

A study of Analysis and Review of Cargo Urban Railway Stations of Korea for Underground Logistics Systems

  • Myung Sung Kim;Kyung Ho Jang;Young Min Kim;Joo Uk Kim
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.208-219
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    • 2023
  • Recently, as mega-urbanization progresses, urban logistics centered on large cities is growing rapidly, and logistics transportation is increasing due to the lack of logistics infrastructure and the operation of a delivery system using cargo trucks in the city center. being cited as a cause. In order to solve this problem, domestic researchers are conducting research on the development of " Urban Underground railway Logistics System" that minimizes the initial infrastructure construction cost by utilizing the existing urban railway facilities in the city. Therefore, this paper analyzed the usage environment of the actual urban railway station to which the system will be applied in order to derive candidates for the test bed selection of "Urban Underground railway Logistics System". The evaluation criteria for test bed candidate role selection were established, and the candidate group derived from the Brown & Gibson model was used to evaluate the candidate group and derive the candidate role. A review of the results was conducted to contribute to the establishment of a test bed for the " Urban Underground railway Logistics System" under development.

기후변화에 따른 도시 수종의 기후 적합성 평가모델 - 서울시를 대상으로 - (Modeling the Present Probability of Urban Woody Plants in the face of Climate Change)

  • 김윤정;이동근;박찬
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2013
  • The effect of climate change on urban woody plants remains difficult to predict in urban areas. Depending on its tolerances, a plant species may stay and survive or stay with slowly declining remnant populations under a changing climate. To predict those vulnerabilities on urban woody plants, this study suggests a basic bioclimatic envelop model of heat requirements, cold tolerance, chilling requirements and moisture requirements that are well documented as the 'climatic niche'. Each component of the 'climatic niche' is measured by the warmth index, the absolute minimum temperature, the number of chilling weeks and the water balance. Regarding the utility of the developed model, the selected urban plant's present probabilities are suggested in the future climate of Seoul. Both Korea and Japan's thermal thresholds are considered for a plant's optimal climatic niche. By considering the thermal thresholds of these two regions for the same species, the different responses observed will reflect the plant's 'hardening' process in a rising climate. The model illustrated that the subpolar plants Taxus cuspidata and Ulmus davidiana var. japonica are predicted to have low suitability in Seoul. The temperate plants Zelkova serrata and Pinus densiflora, which have a broad climatic niche, exhibited the highest present probability in the future. The subtropical plants Camellia japonica and Castanopsis cuspidata var. sieboldii may exhibit a modest growth pattern in the late 21C's future climatic period when an appropriate frost management scheme is offered. The model can be used to hypothesize how urban ecosystems could change over time. Moreover, the developed model can be used to establish selection guidelines for urban plants with high levels of climatic adaptability.

거주성능관리시스템(RPMS)을 이용한 주거지 지속가능성 평가모형 연구 (Schematic Sustainability Assessment Model in Residential Area Using Residential Performance Management System (RPMS))

  • 이희원;이상현;김영석
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.1954-1961
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    • 2011
  • 주거지에서의 지속가능성은 어메니티, 거주성, 건강 등의 주제와 밀접한 관련이 있으며, 지속가능성의 개념은 도시성장관리, 도시재생, 뉴 어바니즘, 압축개발, 스마트성장, 질좋은 주거환경의 개념과 상통하는 개념으로 사용되고 있다. 거주성능관리시스템(RPMS)은 다양한 도시성능을 판단하고 평가할 수 있는 시스템으로, 도시관련 계획가나 관리자의 측면에서도 활용할 수 있다. 본 연구는 서울시정개발연구원에서 개발한 거주환경의 질 지표를 주거지의 지속가능성 지표로하여 RPMS를 이용한 평가가능성을 과 적용방안을 모형으로 제시하였다.