• 제목/요약/키워드: Urban Growth Model

검색결과 205건 처리시간 0.029초

Envi-Met.을 이용한 도심 대기경계층 내 확산장 변화 수치 모의 (Diffusion Simulation Using Envi-Met. in Urban Planetary Boundary Layer)

  • 최현정
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.357-371
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    • 2016
  • Buildings in the city acts as a cause of distorted wind direction, wind speed, causing the stagnation of the air flow. In the recent trend of climate change can not but consider the temperature rise of the urbanization. This study was aimed to analyze the thermal comfort of planetary boundary layer in different artificial constructions areas which has a direct impact on urban climate, and estimating the warming phenomena. Envi-met model was used to consider the urban structure associated with urban growth in order to precisely determine the impact of the building on the city weather condition. The analyzed values of thermal comfort index were temperature, wind speed, horizontal and vertical turbulent diffusivity. In particular, analysis of the PPD(Predicted Percentage of Dissatisfied) represents the human thermal comfort. In this study, by adjusting the arrangement and proportion of the top floor building in the urban it was found that the inflow of the fresh air and cooling can be derived low PPD. Vertical heat flux amount of the city caused by climate change was a factor to form a high potential temperature in the city and the accumulation of cold air does not appear near the surface. Based on this, to make the city effectively respond to climate change may require a long-term restructuring of urban spatial structure and density management.

어반 아웃도어웨어에 대한 소비자 인식과 Kano 모델을 적용한 제품 만족·불만족에 대한 연구: 대학생을 중심으로 (Analysis of Consumer's Perception and Product Satisfaction·Dissatisfaction with Urban Outdoor Wear based on Kano Model: Focused on University Students)

  • 전대근;김희경;김혜란;박순지
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2016
  • This research was designed to figure out the perception and attitude of university students toward urban outdoor wear and to provide the guidelines for product quality improvement using Kano model. A total of 270 responses were analyzed by SPSS 20.0 through frequency and factor analysis. Respondents' levels for outdoor activity & outdoor products possession being still low, steady growth in urban outdoor wear market is expected. A total of eight quality factors were identified through factor analysis; suitability, production quality, functionality, ease of care, fabric performance, portability, fashionability, and symbolism. Based on Kano model, quality factors of urban outdoor wear were categorized into three groups: one-dimensional; indifferent; and must-be quality factor. It was found that consumers were satisfied with urban outdoor wear only when it meets the needs for suitability for body types and ease of care, meaning that manufactures should be cautious not to lose these features. Being must-be quality factor, production quality(form stability, quality of subsidiary materials), and fabric performance such as colorfastness should be basically satisfied. The relative importance of each quality feature on satisfaction/dissatisfaction was investigated using CSC(customer satisfaction coefficient). Based on the CSC, every item was classified again. Attractive quality features with large CSC were shown in suitability factor. Must-be quality features with small CSC were mainly shown in functionality and fabric performance factors. These findings imply that manufactures of urban outdoor wear should not only maintain the production quality but also focus on suitability features to differentiate their product with previous products.

도시계획정보체계 개발모델 연구 (A Study on Developing Model of Urban Planning Information System)

  • 염형민;이승일;전유신
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.77-92
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    • 2002
  • 도시의 무분별한 개발과 성장으로부터 도시공간의 보전과 이용의 조화를 도모하기 위해서는 합리적이고 투명한 도시계획이 수립되어야 한다. 이러한 사회적 요구를 수용하며 조화로운 공간질서를 확립하기 위해 도시공간내 토지이용에 관한 계획수립체계가 변화되고 보다 강화되었다. 그거나, 강화된 도시계획수립체계가 순기능적으로 작용하기 위해서는 도시공간에 환한 다양한 정보를 신속하게 수집, 정리, 분석하여 도시의 현황과 문제점을 정확하게 판단할 수 있어야 한다. 도시계획 분야에서의 이리한 요구와 수요는 다양한 정보를 신속 정확, 편리하게 수집하여 수집된 정보를 체계적으로 분석, 관리하고 이를 공간상의 분포현황 등 시각적으로 표현할 수 있는 G[S관련 정보기술의 발달로 가능하게 되었다. 본 연구에서는 도시계획법을 근거로 하여 도시계획분야에서의 정보화 요구와 수요를 충족하기 위한 도시계획정보체계의 기본구상을 제시하고, 최근 GIS관련 정보기술동향을 활용한 도시 계획정보체계의 개발모델을 제안하였다.

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불티의 성상을 고려한 도시화재 시뮬레이션 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Urban Fire Simulation on Firebrand Scattering)

  • 구인혁;서동구;김봉찬;권영진
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2015
  • 우리나라는 급속한 경재성장 및 도시화로 인해 도시지역의 건축물이 밀집되어 있다. 이러한 지역에서 화재가 발생할 경우, 강풍에 의한 불티의 비산으로 화재가 확대될 위험성이 존재한다. 하지한 현재 불티의 성상에 대한 모델 구축 및 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 일본 건축연구소(BRI)의 풍동 시설을 이용한 불티의 성상 실험을 통하여 비산모델을 구축하고 기존의 도시화재 시뮬레이션을 개선하였다.

도시 환경용량평가에 관한 연구 -청주시를 사례로- (A Study on the Environmental Carrying Capacity Assessment of Chongju City)

  • 임재호;이종호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the environmental carrying capacity of Chongju City for the environmental management and the urban growth management. The urban environmental carrying capacity assessment of the city by the index of ecological footprint(EF), shows that the ecosystem of the city has been overloaded and most of the deficiencies has come from outside of the city. The EF index, the area of land per capita required for production and consumption in the city, was 1.731 ha per capita in 1989 and 1.901 ha per capita in 1999. On the other side, the ecologically productive land is 0.0175 ha per capita. It means that every citizen owes 1.88 ha per capita to the ecosystem in 1999. The land consumption of the city has increased by 0.1705 ha per capita during the last 10 years. The capacity of infrastructure and the service supply estimated by the Onishi model does not exceed the demand of the city in 1999. But the rapidly increasing population and fast urban growth need the expansion of the capacity. The water supply capacity of the city appears to be sufficient in 1999, but the water supply demand will increase in the future. The capacity of sewage treatment facilities seems to be sufficient, but the higher level of sewage treatment facilities should be adopted for the improvement of water quality as the generation of sewage will increase and its characteristics will also make the wastewater treatment difficult. Due to the decrease of solid waste generated, the land fill capacity for solid waste disposal is not insufficient at present, but the capacity will be saturated in the near future. Therefore, the scientific management system of solid wastes should be introduced. The air quality of the city meets both the national air quality standard and WHO recommendation standard, but the strong regulation and control of automobile emission gas such as CO, $CO_2$, NOx and HC is required for clean air.

사회경제적 특성과 도로망구조를 고려한 고속도로 교통량 예측 오차 보정모형 (A Model to Calibrate Expressway Traffic Forecasting Errors Considering Socioeconomic Characteristics and Road Network Structure)

  • 이용주;김영선;유정훈
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study is to investigate the relationship of socioeconomic characteristics and road network structure with traffic growth patterns. The findings is to be used to tweak traffic forecast provided by traditional four step process using relevant socioeconomic and road network data. METHODS: Comprehensive statistical analysis is used to identify key explanatory variables using historical observations on traffic forecast, actual traffic counts and surrounding environments. Based on statistical results, a multiple regression model is developed to predict the effects of socioeconomic and road network attributes on traffic growth patterns. The validation of the proposed model is also performed using a different set of historical data. RESULTS : The statistical analysis results indicate that several socioeconomic characteristics and road network structure cleary affect the tendency of over- and under-estimation of road traffics. Among them, land use is a key factor which is revealed by a factor that traffic forecast for urban road tends to be under-estimated while rural road traffic prediction is generally over-estimated. The model application suggests that tweaking the traffic forecast using the proposed model can reduce the discrepancies between the predicted and actual traffic counts from 30.4% to 21.9%. CONCLUSIONS : Prediction of road traffic growth patterns based on surrounding socioeconomic and road network attributes can help develop the optimal strategy of road construction plan by enhancing reliability of traffic forecast as well as tendency of traffic growth.

Comparing Carbon Reduction Estimates for Tree Species from Different Quantitative Models

  • Hyun-Kil Jo;Hye-Mi Park
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2023
  • In this study, quantitative models were applied to case parks to estimate the carbon reduction by trees, which was compared and analyzed at the tree and park levels. At the tree level, quantitative models of carbon storage and uptake differed by up to 7.9 times, even for the same species and size. At the park level, the carbon reduction from quantitative models varied by up to 3.7 times for the same park. In other words, carbon reduction by quantitative models exhibited considerable variation at the tree and park levels. These differences are likely due to the use of different growth environment coefficients and annual diameter at breast height growth rates and the overestimation of carbon reduction due to the substitution of the same genus and group model for each tree species. Extending the annual carbon uptake per unit area of the case park to the total park area of Chuncheon a carbon uptake ranging from a minimum of 370.4 t/yr and a maximum of 929.3 t/yr, and the difference can reach up to 558.9 t/yr. This is equivalent to the carbon emissions from the annual household electricity consumption of approximately 2,430 people. These results suggest that the indiscriminate application of quantitative models to estimate carbon reduction in urban trees can lead to significant errors and deviations in estimating carbon storage and uptake in urban greenspaces. The findings of this study can serve as a basis for estimating carbon reduction in urban greening research, projects, and policies.

Land Cover Change and Urban Greenery Prediction in Jabotabek by using Remote Sensing

  • Zain, Alinda-Medrial;Takeuchi, Kazuhiko;Tsunekawa, Atsushi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture International Edition
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    • 제1호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2001
  • The tremendous growth of population and physical development in the largest urban agglomeration in Indonesia -the Jakarta Metropolitan Region, also known as Jabotabek (Jakarta, Bogor, Tanggerang, Bekasi)- has created many environmental problems, such as land use conversion, increasing urban temperature, water and air pollution, intrusion of seawater, and flooding. These problems have become more serious as the urban green space (trees, shrubs, and groundcovers) has decreased rapidly with the urbanization process. Urban green space directly benefits the urban environment through ameliorating air pollution, controlling temperature, contributing to the balance of the hydrological system, and providing space for recreation and relaxation. Because there is little hard data to support the claim of decreasing greenery in Jabotabek, it is necessary to measure the amount of urban green space. The paper describes the spatial analysis of urban green space within Jabotabek through the use of a geographical information system (GIS). We used GIS and remote sensing to determine land cover change and predicted greenery percentage. Interpretation of Landsat data for 1972, 1983, 1990, and 1997 showed that Jabotabek has experiences rapid development and associated depletion of green open space. The proportion of green open space fell by 23% from 1972 to 1997. We found a low percentage of urban green space in the center of Jakarta but a high percentage in fringe area. The amount of greenery is predicted by the Ratio Vegetation Index (RVI) model: predicted greenery (%) = [146.04] RVI - 134.96. We consider that our result will be useful for landscape planning to improve the environment of Jabotabek.

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우수관망 해석모형과 지표수 침수해석 모형의 연계 적용 (Integrated Application of Stormwater Network Analysis Model and Surfacewater Inundation Analysis Model)

  • 신은택;이상은;엄태수;송창근
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2018
  • Recently, due to the rapid industrialization and urbanization, a great number of infrastructure and population were concentrated in urban areas. These changes have resulted in unprecedent runoff characteristics in urban basins, and the increase in impermeable areas leads to the growth of the runoff and the peak flow rate. Although many cities have made a lot of efforts to check and expand the stormwater network, the flash flood or the local torrential rain caused a growing number of casualty and property damage. This study analyzed the stormwater passage rate in a target area using SWMM. By incorporating the flow quantity surpassing the storm sewer capacity, a 2D inland flooding analysis model was applied to route the inundated area and velocity.

Predicting Land Use Change Affected by Population Growth by Integrating Logistic Regression, Markov Chain and Cellular Automata Models

  • Nguyen, Van Trung;Le, Thi Thu Ha;La, Phu Hien
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2017
  • Demographic change was considered to be the most major driver of land use change although there were several interacting factors involved, especially in the developing countries. This paper presents an approach to predict the future land use change using a hybrid model. A hybrid model consisting of logistic regression model, Markov chain (MC), and cellular automata (CA) was designed to improve the performance of the standard logistic regression model. Experiment was conducted in Giao Thuy district, Nam Dinh Province, Vietnam. Demography and socio-economic variables dealing with urban sprawl were used to create a probability surface of spatio-temporal states of built-up land use for the years 2009, 2019, and 2029. The predicted land use maps for the years 2019 and 2029 show substantial urban development in the area, much of which are located in areas sensitive to source protections. It also showed that aquacultural land changes substantially in areas where are in the vicinity of estuary or near the sea dike. There was considerable variation between the communes; notably, communes with higher household density and higher proportion of people in working age have larger increases in aquacultural areas. The results of the analysis can provide valuable information for local planners and policy makers, assisting their efforts in constructing alternative sustainable urban development schemes and environmental management strategies.