• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unsupervised prediction

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Unsupervised Learning Model for Fault Prediction Using Representative Clustering Algorithms (대표적인 클러스터링 알고리즘을 사용한 비감독형 결함 예측 모델)

  • Hong, Euyseok;Park, Mikyeong
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2014
  • Most previous studies of software fault prediction model which determines the fault-proneness of input modules have focused on supervised learning model using training data set. However, Unsupervised learning model is needed in case supervised learning model cannot be applied: either past training data set is not present or even though there exists data set, current project type is changed. Building an unsupervised learning model is extremely difficult that is why only a few studies exist. In this paper, we build unsupervised models using representative clustering algorithms, EM and DBSCAN, that have not been used in prior studies and compare these models with the previous model using K-means algorithm. The results of our study show that the EM model performs slightly better than the K-means model in terms of error rate and these two models significantly outperform the DBSCAN model.

Severity-based Fault Prediction using Unsupervised Learning (비감독형 학습 기법을 사용한 심각도 기반 결함 예측)

  • Hong, Euyseok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2018
  • Most previous studies of software fault prediction have focused on supervised learning models for binary classification that determines whether an input module has faults or not. However, binary classification model determines only the presence or absence of faults in the module without considering the complex characteristics of the fault, and supervised model has the limitation that it requires a training data set that most development groups do not have. To solve these two problems, this paper proposes severity-based ternary classification model using unsupervised learning algorithms, and experimental results show that the proposed model has comparable performance to the supervised models.

Interpretation of Data Mining Prediction Model Using Decision Tree

  • Kang, Hyuncheol;Han, Sang-Tae;Choi, Jong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.937-943
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    • 2000
  • Data mining usually deal with undesigned massive data containing many variables for which their characteristics and association rules are unknown, therefore it is actually not easy to interpret the results of analysis. In this paper, it is shown that decision tree can be very useful in interpreting data mining prediction model using two real examples.

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A Study on Classification Evaluation Prediction Model by Cluster for Accuracy Measurement of Unsupervised Learning Data (비지도학습 데이터의 정확성 측정을 위한 클러스터별 분류 평가 예측 모델에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Se Hoon;Kim, Jong Chan;Kim, Cheeyong;You, Kang Soo;Sim, Chun Bo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.779-786
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we are applied a nerve network to allow for the reflection of data learning methods in their overall forms by using cluster data rather than data learning by the stages and then selected a nerve network model and analyzed its variables through learning by the cluster. The CkLR algorithm was proposed to analyze the reaction variables of clustering outcomes through an approach to the initialization of K-means clustering and build a model to assess the prediction rate of clustering and the accuracy rate of prediction in case of new data inputs. The performance evaluation results show that the accuracy rate of test data by the class was over 92%, which was the mean accuracy rate of the entire test data, thus confirming the advantages of a specialized structure found in the proposed learning nerve network by the class.

En-route Ground Speed Prediction and Posterior Inference Using Generative Model (생성 모형을 사용한 순항 항공기 향후 속도 예측 및 추론)

  • Paek, Hyunjin;Lee, Keumjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2019
  • An accurate trajectory prediction is a key to the safe and efficient operations of aircraft. One way to improve trajectory prediction accuracy is to develop a model for aircraft ground speed prediction. This paper proposes a generative model for posterior aircraft ground speed prediction. The proposed method fits the Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM) to historical data of aircraft speed, and then the model is used to generates probabilistic speed profile of the aircraft. The performances of the proposed method are demonstrated with real traffic data in Incheon Flight Information Region(FIR).

Study of an algorithm for intelligent digital protective relaying (지능형 디지탈 보호계전 알고리즘 연구)

  • 신현익;이성환;강신준;김정한;김상철
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.343-346
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    • 1996
  • A new method for on-line induction motor fault detection is presented in this paper. This system utilizes unsupervised-learning clustering algorithm, the Dignet, proposed by Thomopoulos etc., to learn the spectral characteristics of a good motor operating on-line. After a sufficient training period, the Dignet signals one-phase ground fault, or a potential failure condition when a new cluster is formed and persists for some time. Since a fault condition is found by comparison to a prior condition of the machine, on-line failure prediction is possible with this system without requiring information on the motor of load characteristics.

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The cluster-indexing collaborative filtering recommendation

  • Park, Tae-Hyup;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.400-409
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    • 2003
  • Collaborative filtering (CF) recommendation is a knowledge sharing technology for distribution of opinions and facilitating contacts in network society between people with similar interests. The main concerns of the CF algorithm are about prediction accuracy, speed of response time, problem of data sparsity, and scalability. In general, the efforts of improving prediction algorithms and lessening response time are decoupled. We propose a three-step CF recommendation model which is composed of profiling, inferring, and predicting steps while considering prediction accuracy and computing speed simultaneously. This model combines a CF algorithm with two machine learning processes, SOM (Self-Organizing Map) and CBR (Case Based Reasoning) by changing an unsupervised clustering problem into a supervised user preference reasoning problem, which is a novel approach for the CF recommendation field. This paper demonstrates the utility of the CF recommendation based on SOM cluster-indexing CBR with validation against control algorithms through an open dataset of user preference.

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Weighted Local Naive Bayes Link Prediction

  • Wu, JieHua;Zhang, GuoJi;Ren, YaZhou;Zhang, XiaYan;Yang, Qiao
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.914-927
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    • 2017
  • Weighted network link prediction is a challenge issue in complex network analysis. Unsupervised methods based on local structure are widely used to handle the predictive task. However, the results are still far from satisfied as major literatures neglect two important points: common neighbors produce different influence on potential links; weighted values associated with links in local structure are also different. In this paper, we adapt an effective link prediction model-local naive Bayes model into a weighted scenario to address this issue. Correspondingly, we propose a weighted local naive Bayes (WLNB) probabilistic link prediction framework. The main contribution here is that a weighted cluster coefficient has been incorporated, allowing our model to inference the weighted contribution in the predicting stage. In addition, WLNB can extensively be applied to several classic similarity metrics. We evaluate WLNB on different kinds of real-world weighted datasets. Experimental results show that our proposed approach performs better (by AUC and Prec) than several alternative methods for link prediction in weighted complex networks.

An Ensemble Model for Machine Failure Prediction (앙상블 모델 기반의 기계 고장 예측 방법)

  • Cheon, Kang Min;Yang, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2020
  • There have been a lot of studies in the past for the method of predicting the failure of a machine, and recently, a lot of researches and applications have been generated to diagnose the physical condition of the machine and the parts and to calculate the remaining life through various methods. Survival models are also used to predict plant failures based on past anomaly cycles. In particular, special machine that reflect the fluid flow and process characteristics of chemical plants are connected to hundreds or thousands of sensors, so there are not many factors that need to be considered, such as process and material data as well as application of derivative variables. In this paper, the data were preprocessed through time series anomaly detection based on unsupervised learning to predict the abnormalities of these special machine. Next, clustering results reflecting clustering-based data characteristics were applied to produce additional variables, and a learning data set was created based on the history of past facility abnormalities. Finally, the prediction methodology based on the supervised learning algorithm was applied, and the model update was confirmed to improve the accuracy of the prediction of facility failure. Through this, it is expected to improve the efficiency of facility operation by flexibly replacing the maintenance time and parts supply and demand by predicting abnormalities of machine and extracting key factors.

Software Fault Prediction using Semi-supervised Learning Methods (세미감독형 학습 기법을 사용한 소프트웨어 결함 예측)

  • Hong, Euyseok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2019
  • Most studies of software fault prediction have been about supervised learning models that use only labeled training data. Although supervised learning usually shows high prediction performance, most development groups do not have sufficient labeled data. Unsupervised learning models that use only unlabeled data for training are difficult to build and show poor performance. Semi-supervised learning models that use both labeled data and unlabeled data can solve these problems. Self-training technique requires the fewest assumptions and constraints among semi-supervised techniques. In this paper, we implemented several models using self-training algorithms and evaluated them using Accuracy and AUC. As a result, YATSI showed the best performance.