• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unemployment Rate

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한국의 이혼율 변동에 관한 사회$\cdot$인구학적 변인고찰

  • 변화순
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1987
  • This work examines reemployment processes through the use of event history unemployment data in the United States. Two aspects of these processes, the duration of unemployment and changes in the reemployment rate, are modelled and analyzed in terms of individual characteristics and their structural positions in the labor market. The secondary labor market is a competitive market in which unemployment occurs because people quit their jobs to devote more time in search for better jobs. Using search theory, the rate of reemployment has a positive time dependence as the searcher lower her reservation wage with the passage of time. By contrast, the primary market is characterized by long-term employment relations which reduce voluntary turnovers but generate layoffs temporarily. Relying on contract theory, because workers on temporary layoffs wait for recall, reemployment rates have a constant time dependence. Empirical results of unemployment durations indicate that reemployment processes are influenced by individual's positions in dual labor market structures. While the analysis suggests that the amount of search reemployment seems to be positively related to the degree of competitiveness of a market, somewhat weaker results are noted in the search reemployment processes in competitive markets.

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Dual Labor Markets and Reemployment Processes (A Case of the U.S. Labor Market) (이중노동시장의 재취업과정 (미국 노동시장의 경우))

  • Lee, Kun
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.43-66
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    • 1997
  • This work examines reemployment processes through the use of event history unemployment data in the United States. Two aspects of these processes, the duration of unemployment and changes in the reemployment rate, are modelled and analyzed in terms of individual characteristics and their structural positions in the labor market. The secondary labor market is a competitive market in which unemployment occurs because people quit their jobs to devote more time in search for better jobs. Using search theory, the rate of reemployment has a positive time dependence as the searcher lower her reservation wage with the passage of time. By contrast, the primary market is characterized by long-term employment relations which reduce voluntary turnovers but generate layoffs temporarily. Relying on contract theory, because workers on temporary layoffs wait for recall, reemployment rates have a constant time dependence. Empirical results of unemployment durations indicate that reemployment processes are influenced by individual's positions in dual labor market structures. While the analysis suggests that the amount of search reemployment seems to be positively related to the degree of competitiveness of a market, somewhat weaker results are noted in the search reemployment processes in competitive markets.

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A Study on social policy strategies and the modalities of unemployment and poverty of European welfare states in the postindustrial society (후기산업사회에서 유럽복지국가의 사회정책 전략과 실업 및 빈곤의 양상에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, In Rib
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.403-442
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to configurate the contents of social policy strategies of European welfare states in the postindustrial society. The social policy strategy of the socialdemocratic regime consists of 'maintenance of statecentrism' and 'inclusion'. The contents of social policy strategy of the liberal regime are 'expansion of market forces' and 'increase of individual' self-responsibility'. The conservative regime adheres to the 'protection of male breadwinner; and 'income maintenance programs'. Due to these social policy strategies, the conservative regime has very high rate of unemployment. In the liberal regime, the high rate of poverty exists. In contrast, the socialdemocratic regime has low rates of unemployment and poverty and shows best social outcomes among the welfare regimes.

Cyclical Patterns of Real Wages and the Wage Curve (실질임금의 경기변동상 변화패턴과 임금곡선)

  • Shin, Donggyun;Cheon, Byungyou
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2002
  • This paper investigates how real wages adjust to regional and cyclical shocks in the Korean labor market. Major findings are as follows. First, like most longitudinal studies in this literature, we find that real wages are strongly procyclical and more procyclical for men than for women. Second, consistent with the theory prediction of efficiency wages, both permanent and transitory components of real wages are negatively correlated with the local unemployment rate. Third, when overall and local unemployment rates compete in a wage equation (our preferred specification), current wages are dominantly affected by the overall rate, and the effect of the local rate is rather small. This rejects the Blanchflower and Oswald's hypothesis that wages are primarily determined by local labor market conditions. Finally, no lagged effects on wages are detected in the overall or local unemployment rate.

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Analysis of Geographical Mismatch between Job Opening and Job Seeking in Economic Regions (광역경제권별 구인·직의 지역 간 미스매치 특성 비교)

  • Lee, Jeong Hyun;Lee, Hee Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.79-100
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    • 2015
  • In spite of the various government policies to increase the jobs and to improve the employment environment, the unemployment rate has not reduced. The aims of this study are to analyze the structural mismatch(especially geographical mismatch) between job opening and job seeking, and thus to comprehend more deeply the factors affecting unemployment rates of economic regions in Korea. For the period of 2008~2013, the unemployment rates caused by geographical mismatches between job opening and job seeking have been increased steadily. For Chungcheong, Dongnam and Honam economic region, geographical mismatches of low-educated and low-skilled jobs showed relatively quite high, indicating that the job seeker have a strong tendency of preferring certain areas in looking for their jobs. It means that the job seeker can get a job only to move the other areas within an economic region. However, for Capital region, which is the largest job seekers in Korea, geographical mismatches in all types of jobs showed very quite low. So, it is very difficult for the job seeker to escape from unemployment when changing the other areas in looking for a job in Capital region. The results of this study gives an important implication that a nationwide uniform unemployment policy may not be effective to reduce unemployment conditions, and a differentiated unemployment policy should be established in considering the characteristics of geographic mismatches by the types of job in terms of the level of education and skill for each economic region.

Determinants of Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries (2002-2019)

  • Khin Theingi Aung
    • SUVANNABHUMI
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.215-244
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the effect of macroeconomic indicators such as foreign direct investment (FDI), domestic investment, trade, inflation, unemployment, population, and governance indicators on economic growth and points out the GDP growth rate in 2002- 2019 among ASEAN countries. Data were compiled from the Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) and the World Bank, and the effect of variables on GDP was predicted using the pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), fixed effects model (FEM), and random effects model (REM) methods. As a measure of growth, the GDP growth rate has been taken; FDI and domestic investment, trade, inflation, and governance indicators are positively connected and have an influence on economic growth in these ASEAN countries; domestic investment, population, and unemployment have a negative relationship to economic growth. The macroeconomic indicators and institutional stability of the nation have an effect on its economic growth. Comprehensive institutional stability and well-laid macroeconomic policies are required for growth to materialize.

The Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on the Export of ASEAN Countries

  • BUI, Ngoc Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2021
  • The article applies the ECM - ARDL model to examine the relationship between economic indicators and the existence of the disease in the long run of 10 ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2019. There are two models: The first model investigates the impact of GDP per capita, net inflow FDI, unemployment rate, and inflation rate on the proportion of export to GDP of ASEAN countries, the second model is similar to the first one but adds one more variable to the independent variable list - 'the variable for disease'. The results prove the long-run effect of GDP per capita, FDI, unemployment and inflation rate on export of the selected countries, though individual country shows differences in the sign and magnitude of these impacts. Surprisingly, the number of people suffering from disease does not affect the export of all selected countries as expected. The results of the two models also indicate that the disequilibrium in the short run converges to the equilibrium in the long run with a high proportion, especially in the case of Cambodia and the Philippines, with the rate of 95.65% and 151.94%, respectively. The findings can be useful for policymakers in promulgating efficient policies to enhance the trading activities of the selected countries.

An Efficient Estimation of Local Area Unemployment Rate Based on Small Area Estimation (소지역 추정법을 이용한 효율적인 지역 실업률 추정)

  • Kim, Soo-Taek
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1129-1138
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    • 2011
  • Small area estimation has received significant intention in recent years due to a growing demand for reliable local area statistics. Traditional area-specific direct estimates based solely on sample survey data in the areas of interest do not provide adequate small area precision; however, design-based indirect local area estimators borrow strength from sample observations of related areas to increase the effective sample size. Design-based indirect estimation methods such as synthetic and composite estimators are considered to adjust local area unemployment rate estimates in the Korean Economically Active Population Survey. This study suggests an efficient alternative to minimize the cost to construct the unemployment rate of a local area through simulation under the condition that we can maintain a certain level of CV for the estimates. We obtained the results that the composite estimators using a sample size greater than 10 are more stable and significant at the level of CV 25% in our design scheme.

Designing a Employment Prediction Model Using Machine Learning: Focusing on D-University Graduates (머신러닝을 활용한 취업 예측 모델 설계: D대학교 졸업생을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sungkook;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2022
  • Recently, youth unemployment, especially the unemployment problem of university graduates, has emerged as a social problem. Unemployment of university graduates is both a pan-national issue and a university-level issue, and each university is making many efforts to increase the employment rate of graduates. In this study, we present a model that predicts employment availability of D-university graduates by utilizing Machine Learning. The variables used were analyzed using up to 138 personal information, admission information, bachelor's information, etc., but in order to reflect them in the future curriculum, only the data after admission works effectively, so by department / student. The proposal was limited to the recommended ability to improve the separate employment rate. In other words, since admission grades are indicators that cannot be improved due to individual efforts after enrollment, they were used to improve the degree of prediction of employment rate. In this research, we implemented a employment prediction model through analysis of the core ability of D-University, which reflects the university's philosophy, goals, human resources awards, etc., and machined the impact of the introduction of a new core ability prediction model on actual employment. Use learning to evaluate. Carried out. It is significant to establish a basis for improving the employment rate by applying the results of future research to the establishment of curriculums by department and guidance for student careers.

A Study on the Effect of German Dualized Vocational Education on the Youth Unemployment Rate : Focusing on the Implications for the Improvement of Vocational Education in Korea (독일의 이원화체제 직업교육이 청년실업률에 미치는 영향 연구 - 한국 직업교육의 개선방안을 위한 시사점을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Sung-Kyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.467-481
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    • 2022
  • What are the implications for us through the discussion on the effect of Germany's dual system of vocational education on the youth unemployment rate? You can find out what kind of evaluation Germany is receiving on the dual system vocational education system implemented based on the 'Vocational Education and Training Act' (Berufsbildungsgesetz), and the specific system establishment form for the industry-academic-government cooperation system. It was possible to present the crises and problems of these systems. Responsibility for the dual system of vocational education in Germany rests with the national and state ministries of education, and private enterprises and chambers of commerce are responsible for business practices. Practical work in a company is conducted through skill-oriented education, and in vocational schools, competency-oriented theoretical education is received. In addition, the necessity and demand for digital vocational and education training in accordance with German Idustrie 4.0 and higher vocational education degree acquisition through dual-degree courses were identified. It can be seen that the youth unemployment rate is the lowest in Europe due to the successful development and utilization of human resources to improve the competitiveness of companies, such as dual vocational education and training (VET) at all levels, higher vocational education at universities, and continuing vocational education programs. Vocational education in Korea will also be able to improve the unemployment rate by establishing a system that allows schools and businesses to conduct vocational education and training simultaneously. In particular, it was possible to judge the necessity of 'close consultation between labor, management, and government', which we consider the most important and should lead to in-depth discussion and cooperation for dual education between vocational schools and companies.