• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unemployment

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Reinterpretation of Okun's law on Korean Economy (오쿤의 법칙(Okun's law)에 대한 재해석)

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon;Ryu, Deockhyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.89-109
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    • 2012
  • This paper evaluate the robustness of the Okun relationship based on Korean data for 1979~2008. For estimating a natural unemployment rate, this study uses time series econometric methodologies. This paper finds some interesting results; first of all, a bench mark estimates of Okun's ${\beta}$ range from 2 to 4 with different methodologies. This is a little bit higher scale than that of Lee(2000)'s results, which estimated the Okun's coefficient on the advanced countries' 1955~1996. Secondly, we test an asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate on business cycle. But the results are mixed. Finally we cannot find the evidence of structural break for the periods of 1979~80 and 1997~98 crises.

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A Study on the Present Conditions of Promotion Policy and Alternatives to Revitalize the Youth Start-up (청년창업 지원정책 실태와 활성화 방안)

  • Noh, Kyoo-Sung;Kang, Hyun-Jig
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2012
  • While the youth unemployment problem has come to extend over a long period of time, because of the promotion policy of youth inauguration of an enterprise, many youths have been considering the start-up to be an alternative of the working. But it is said that many youths who had started an enterprise through the start-up education and related programs were unsuccessful mostly and dashed to get a job or became the delinquent borrower. This article will examine the actual conditions of the youth unemployment and the present conditions of promotion policy of the youth start-up, analyse problems as a result of this examination, propose alternatives of policy to revitalize the youth start-up.

The Nature and Extent of Nominal and Real Wage Flexibility in Korea (한국의 명목 및 실질임금의 유연성 정도와 성격에 대하여)

  • Park, Seonyoung;Shin, Donggyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.1-47
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    • 2014
  • Longitudinal analysis of individual wage data received from the Korea Labor and Income Panel Survey (KLIPS) for the 1998-2012 period reveals that nominal wage reductions are prevailing among job stayers. It is also found that the probability of nominal wage cut is higher in the period of lower inflation or higher unemployment, and affected by various individual or group characteristics. Additional analysis of two establishment-based average wage series and the KLIPS shows that real wages are substantially procyclical, which is attributed to the strong procyclicality of nominal wages rather than countercyclicality of inflation. Current findings defy wage-rigidity-based explanations of unemployment fluctuations or models that predict wage rigidity, inlcluding segmented labor market hypotheses.

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A study on the Reason of China's Anti-Dumping inspection against South Korea (중국(中國)의 대한(對韓) 반(反)덤핑조사(調査) 요인(要因)에 관한 실증(實證) 연구(硏究) - 철강(鐵鋼).석유화학(石油化學).제지(製紙) 산업(産業) 중심(中心) -)

  • Sim, Yoon-Soo
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.30
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    • pp.145-174
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    • 2006
  • An anti-dumping has become the trade policy of choice for developing countries as well as advanced countries, hence it is the impending issue to the export-oriented countries including Korea. After colligating the analysis on the trade and industrial policy between Korea and China as well as the analysis on the preceding research, the main reasons of anti-dumping were selected as followings; an unemployment rate, real GDP growth rate and consumer price increase as internal factors, and trade balance, regional coefficient and trade specification index as external factors. Then, the research on how the above seven variable factors can affect the number of anti-dumping measures was accomplished. For the empirical analysis, the above information was used after reorganizing them by on the quarterly basis. Through the use of the correlation analysis, backward elimination of multiple regression analysis model and time-series analysis, it has appeared that the unemployment rate appeared to be the most important factors of anti-dumping measures in addition to the increase rate of trade balance. The variable such as the unemployment rate is uncontrollable for us, so it is appropriate to establish and operate an preemptive monitoring system based on the increasing rate of the amount of export and increasing rate of trade surplus.

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Unemployment Insurance Take-up Rates in Korea (한국의 구직급여 수급률 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Daechang
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the cyclical behavior of UI benefit take-up rate, the share of unemployed persons who are eligible for job seekers' allowances(JSA) and actually receive them. Using Korea's Employment Insurance DB, it also identifies the factors linked to the decision to take up job seekers' allowances. The results show that the take-up rate is countercyclical and leads both unemployment rate and Coincident Composite Index cyclical component by 6 months and is positively correlated with replacement rate and benefit duration, suggesting that extending benefit duration and raising benefit level can boost benefit claims to increase take-up rates in Korea.

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Job Transition Process by Reasons of Job Separation and Its Determining Factors (이직사유별 일자리 이행경로 및 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Yoon-Gyu
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.91-134
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    • 2010
  • This study examines job transition process and its lahor market performance by reasons of job separation, using the Employment Insurance DB(2000~07). The findings show that involuntary job changers lend to suffer greater loss in job spell and real wage than voluntary job changers, which seems to reflect their characteristics such as lower quality of job matching due to unsystematic job search, negative signaling effect in the labor market and decreasing availability of human capital in previous job. In addition, unemployment benefit eligible for involuntary job changers tends to prolong the period of unemployment, while increasing job spell in the following employment.

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An Efficient Unemployment Benefit System with Income-Contingent Loans (소득연계식 대출(ICL)을 활용한 효율적 실업보호제도의 모색)

  • Yun, Jungyoll
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.29-57
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    • 2014
  • Using unemployment insurance and income-contingent loan (ICL) that conditions repayment by debtors upon their incomes this paper characterizes an efficient income support system for the unemployed, which maximizes their lifetime utilities by effectively enhancing inter-state and inter-temporal consumption-smoothing subject to incentive constraints on the part of the beneficiaries. This paper also emphasizes the generality of the argument for a mix of ICL and subsidy that may be applied potentially to many types of government welfare program.

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Effects of Youth Unemployment Bonus (청년고용촉진장려금 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Chul-In
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2016
  • This study examines the effects of the "youth unemployment bonus" program implemented in 2004. We view this program through the lenz of search-matching models and apply a quasi-experimental approach to an administrative unemployment insurance database of Korea. This episode is particularly useful because the program aims at long-term unemployed youths and the size of public assistance is large enough to subsidize employers for a year with a monthly subsidy of about $600. The main effects are found to be as follows: (i) the search period gets shortened by 18 days, (ii) the subsequent wage has increased by about three percents, and (iii) a conservative benefit-cost analysis reveals the validity of this program. We interpret these results in the context of general equilibrium models.

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Discrete Data Analysis of the Re-employment Pattern (실업자의 재취업형태에 관한 연구: 생존표분석과 이산시간분석)

  • Kim, Kyo-Seong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.253-275
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    • 2005
  • This paper empirically examines the reemployment pattern (full-time versus part-time reemployment) using pooling 6 year data of Korean Labor and Income Panel Study (KLIPS, 1998-2003). A discrete data analysis (multi-nominal logistic regression) is adopted to identify variables predicting reemployment pattern. Among those who lose full-time or part-time job in previous year, women and older people are found to have both longer unemployment durations and lower probabilities of full-time reemployment (versus either each of part-time reemployment or unemployment) than men and younger people. Therefore, the future labor market policy should be more associated with the one for reducing these gender and age differences in worker characteristics.

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A Study on the Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Insurance Using Dynamic Panel Models (동태적 패널모형을 통한 무역보험의 거시경제효과 연구)

  • Nam, Sang Wook
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.61
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    • pp.165-190
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to measure the trade insurance's macroeconomic effects by analyzing the causality between major economic variables(GDP per capita, market interest rate, inflation, unemployment rate, exchange rate) and trade insurance variable. I conducted empirical analyses using First-difference GMM(Generalized Method of Moments), System GMM and Panel-VAR Model, with panel data from 11 countries(Korea, United States, Japan, BRICs, Indonesia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Vietnam) between 1992 and 2011. There are several important findings. Above all, Trade insurance is positively and significantly related to GDP. This results show that trade insurance serves to increase economic growth. In other words, trade insurance leads to economic growth by helping increase GDP per capita. Especially, trade insurance negatively related to unemployment rate, it is for sure that trade insurance contribute to decrease unemployment rate. And trade insurance helps control of inflation. It is also confirmed that trade insurance contributes to price stability, which in turn serves to stabilize the overall economy. And this research finds as uncertainty in the market increases, seen it as increase of exchange rate, increasing trade insurance supply is stabilize the exchange rate.

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