• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty in Measurement

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Development of Rating Curve for High Water Level in an Urban Stream using Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo Simulation을 이용한 도시하천의 고수위 Rating Curve 개발)

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1433-1446
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed a methodology to develop Rating Curves for high water level using rainfall generation by the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique, optimized rainfall-runoff model, and flood routing model in an urban stream. The developed stage discharge Rating Curve based on observed data was contained flow measurement errors and uncertainties. The standard error ($S_e$) for observations was 0.056, and the random uncertainty ($2S_{mr}$) was analyzed by ${\pm}1.43%$ on average, and up to ${\pm}4.27%$. Moreover, it was found that the Rating Curve extensions by way of logarithmic and Stevens methods were overestimated to compare with the urban basin scale. Finally, we confirmed that the high water level extension by random generation of hydrological data using MCS can be reduced uncertainty of the high water level, and it will consider as a more reliable approach for high water level extension. In the near future, this results can be applied to real-time flood alert system for urban streams through construction of the high water level extension system using MCS procedures.

Closed Static Chamber Methods for Measurement of Methane Fluxes from a Rice Paddy: A Review (벼논 메탄 플럭스 측정용 폐쇄형 정적 챔버법: 고찰)

  • Ju, Okjung;Kang, Namgoo;Lim, Gapjune
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2020
  • Accurate assessment of greenhouse gas emissions is a cornerstone of every climate change response study, and reliable assessment of greenhouse gas emission data is being used as a practical basis for the entire climate change prediction and modeling studies. Essential, fundamental technologies for estimating greenhouse gas emissions include an on-site monitoring technology, an evaluation methodology of uncertainty in emission factors, and a verification technology for reductions. The closed chamber method is being commonly used to measure gas fluxes between soil-vegetation and atmosphere. This method has the advantages of being simple, easily available and economical. This study presented the technical bases of the closed chamber method for measuring methane fluxes from a rice paddy. The methane fluxes from rice paddies occupy the largest portion of a single source of greenhouse gas in the agricultural field. We reviewed the international and the domestic studies on automated chamber monitoring systems that have been developed from manually operated chambers. Based on this review, we discussed scientific concerns on chamber methods with a particular focus on quality control for improving measurement reliability of field data.

Air Density Correction of Ionization Chamber using $^{90}Sr$ Radioactive Check Device ($^{90}Sr$ 방사성 동위원소를 이용한 전리함의 대기 보정계수 측정)

  • Park, Sung-Y.;Kim, Woo-C.;Shin, Dong-O.;Ji, Young-H.;Kwon, Soo-I.;Lee, Kil-D.;Cho, Young-K.;Loh, John-J.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.267-271
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    • 1998
  • It is required to measure air density correction factor at the time of absorbed dose calibration or measurement. In general, thermometer and barometer are widely used for air density correction. However, this can be done using the radioactive check device with better accuracy. The measurements of air density correction were performed by using the radioactive check device, Unidos electrometer, and 0.6 cc Farmer-type ion chamber of PTW under the different environmental conditions. Above experiments were repeated with thermometer and barometer. By comparing the two methods, they were within the difference of 0.2 %. The overall uncertainty for the dose found in thermometer and barometer was 1.2 - 1.6 %, depending upon either one step or two, whereas the overall uncertainty for the radioactive check device was 1.02 %. This method may reduce the possible error which could occur when thermometer and barometer are not calibrated at regular basis.

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Experimental Research on Radar and ESM Measurement Fusion Technique Using Probabilistic Data Association for Cooperative Target Tracking (협동 표적 추적을 위한 확률적 데이터 연관 기반 레이더 및 ESM 센서 측정치 융합 기법의 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Sae-Woom;Kim, Eun-Chan;Jung, Hyo-Young;Kim, Gi-Sung;Kim, Ki-Seon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.5C
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2012
  • Target processing mechanisms are necessary to collect target information, real-time data fusion, and tactical environment recognition for cooperative engagement ability. Among these mechanisms, the target tracking starts from predicting state of speed, acceleration, and location by using sensors' measurements. However, it can be a problem to give the reliability because the measurements have a certain uncertainty. Thus, a technique which uses multiple sensors is needed to detect the target and increase the reliability. Also, data fusion technique is necessary to process the data which is provided from heterogeneous sensors for target tracking. In this paper, a target tracking algorithm is proposed based on probabilistic data association(PDA) by fusing radar and ESM sensor measurements. The radar sensor's azimuth and range measurements and the ESM sensor's bearing-only measurement are associated by the measurement fusion method. After gating associated measurements, state estimation of the target is performed by PDA filter. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm provides improved estimation under linear and circular target motions.

A Study on the Nutritional Status of the Children and the Household Food and Nutrients Consumption Level in Rural Farm Household (농촌가구의 식품 및 영양소 섭취수준과 가구내 어린이의 건강상태에 대하여)

  • Kim, Young-Hyun;Kim, Young-Ok
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 1985
  • It has been a long tradition in the field of nutrition that the degree of malnutrition in a community used to be estimated by the degree of the adequacy of nutrients consumption in the households. The adequacy of nutrient consumption in the households then used to be applied to estimate the degree of malnutrition of the children. Such a practice is theoretically acceptable in the community where the food sharing within the household is individual serving style such as in European countries. However, the community where the dietary habit in the household is communal such as in Korea, the estimation of single serving portion from household consumption is quite uncertain. Because of such an uncertainty this study is intended to test the validity of the household food consumption level as an indication of nutritional status of the children in the rural farm households in Korea. The date from the household consumption survey in 1982 by the Korean Rural Nutrition Institute has been used for the analysis of food consumption levels of the households. The survey on the nutritional status of children of 127 preschool children from 78 farm households, has been conducted during May 1983. The nutritional status of the children has been directly measured by weight, height, skinfold thickness, haemoglobin, haematocrit and morbidity of influenza and diarrhoea. The analysis has been conducted to distinguish the differences in prevalence of malnutrition of children from the estimated of household consumption and that of from the direct measurement of nutritional status of children. The results show that the degree of malnutrition of the estimated by the household consumption level has not related with the prevalence of malnutrition by the direct measures of nutritional status of the children. Therefore, the validity of household consumption level as an indication of nutrional status in a same household is quite uncertain for the population studied.

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Influence Analysis of Temporal Continuity Change of Flow Data on Load Duration Curve (유량자료의 시간적 연속성 변화가 오염부하지속곡선에 미치는 영향 비교 분석)

  • Kwon, Pil Ju;Han, Jeong Ho;Ryu, Ji chul;Kim, Hong Tae;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Kim, Jong Gun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.394-402
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    • 2017
  • In korea, TMDL is being implemented to manage nonpoint pollution sources as well as point pollution sources. LDC is being used for the planning of TMDL. In order to analyze the water quality using LDC, it is necessary to prepare FDC using the daily flow data. However, only the daily flow data is measured at the WAMIS branch, and 8days flow data and water quality data are measured at the monitoring Networks. So, in many researches, the water quality is being grasped by deriving the LDC using the 8days flow or the daily flow obtained by various methods. These fluctuations may lead to differences in determining whether the target load is achieved. In this study, each LDC was prepared using the 8day flow and the related daily flow. Then, the effect using different flow data on the achievement of target load was compared according to flow conditions. As a result, the difference ratio in the number of overloads under flow condition was showed 19% in high flows, 42% in moist conditions, 49% in mid-range flows, 41% in dry conditions, and 104% in low flows. In the top ten watershed with the highest difference ratio, the flow became lower the difference ration increases. These differences can cause uncertainty in assessing the achievement of target load using LDC. Therefore, in order to evaluate the water quality accurately and reliably using LDC, accurate daily flow data and water quality data should be secured through the installation of national nonpoint measurement network.

The Statistical Technique for Dosimetric Meta-Analysis at in-vivo and in-vitro Papers about Bioeffects of RF Electromagnetic Field (RF 전자기장 생체 영향 연구 문헌에서 노출량 메타분석을 위한 통계적 기법)

  • Choi, Sung-Ho;Kim, Nam
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.1311-1320
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposed the estimating method of electromagnetic dosimetric reliability at in-vivo and in-vitro experiments. For more accurate consequences of these researches, we have tried to find out any correlations among output power, power density and specific absorption rate(SAR) with the results of in-vivo, in-vitro tests and SAR reports of cellular phone and PDA. In the case of in-vivo tests, the power density has close statistical correlations with SAR value and in the event of in-vitro tests, the output power has considerable statistical correlations with SAR containing duty factor. We analysed the coefficient of determination to estimate the dosimeoic uncertainty. If we use this method before evaluating techniques of measurement and analysis at both in-vivo and in-vitro experiments, we will conduct more accurate reliability test.

Decision Analysis System for Job Guidance using Rough Set (러프집합을 통한 취업의사결정 분석시스템)

  • Lee, Heui-Tae;Park, In-Kyoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • Data mining is the process of discovering hidden, non-trivial patterns in large amounts of data records in order to be used very effectively for analysis and forecasting. Because hundreds of variables give rise to a high level of redundancy and dimensionality with time complexity, they are more likely to have spurious relationships, and even the weakest relationships will be highly significant by any statistical test. Hence cluster analysis is a main task of data mining and is the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group are more similar to each other than to those in other groups. In this paper system implementation is of great significance, which defines a new definition based on information-theoretic entropy and analyse the analogue behaviors of objects at hand so as to address the measurement of uncertainties in the classification of categorical data. The sources were taken from a survey aimed to identify of job guidance from students in high school pyeongtaek. we show how variable precision information-entropy based rough set can be used to group student in each section. It is proved that the proposed method has the more exact classification than the conventional in attributes more than 10 and that is more effective in job guidance for students.

Purity assignment of 17β-estradiol by mass balance method

  • Lee, Hwa-Shim;Oh, Kwang-Hoon
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.226-233
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    • 2017
  • In general, quantitative chemical analysis in various areas including food, the environment, in vitro diagnostics, etc., requires traceability in order to increase the reliability of the measurements. Measurement traceability is a property of an unbroken chain of comparisons relating an instrument's measurements to SI units. Purity analysis is the first process for establishing traceability to SI units in chemical measurements. The purpose of this study is to develop and validate a method of purity assignment for establishing the traceability of $17{\beta}$-estradiol measurements in an in vitro diagnostics field. The establishment of this method is very important as it can be applied to the development of CRM and to the analysis of the purity of other hormones. The method of assignment of the purity of $17{\beta}$-estradiol was developed using the mass balance method and was validated through participation in an International comparison. In the mass balance method, impurities are categorized into four classes as follows: total related structure impurities, water, residual organic solvents, and nonvolatiles/inorganics. In this study, total related structure impurities were characterized by a gas chromatography-flame ionization detector (GC-FID) and a high-performance liquid chromatography-ultraviolet (HPLC-UV) detector, water content was determined by a Karl-Fisher coulometer, and total residual solvents and nonvolatiles/inorganics were checked simultaneously by thermogravimetric analysis (TGA). The purity of the $17{\beta}$-estradiol was 985.6 mg/g and the expanded uncertainty was 2.1 mg/g at 95% confidence. The developed method can be applied to the development of certified reference materials, which play a critical role in traceability.

Development and Validation of Primary Method for the Determination of Glucose in Human Serum by Isotope Dilution Liquid Chromatography Tandem Mass Spectrometry and Comparison with Field Methods

  • Lee, Hwa Shim;Lee, Jong Man;Park, Sang Ryoul;Lee, Je Hoon;Kim, Yong Goo
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1698-1702
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    • 2013
  • Glucose is a common medical analyte measuring in human serum or blood samples. The development of a primary method is necessary for the establishment of traceability in measurements. We have developed an isotope dilution liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry as a primary method for the measurement of glucose in human serum. Glucose and glucose-$^{13}C_6$ in sample were ionized in ESI negative mode and monitored at mass transfers of m/z 179/89 and 185/92 in MRM, respectively. Glucose was separated on $NH_2P$-50 2D column, and the mobile phase was 20 mM $NH_4OAc$ in 30% acetonitrile/70% water. Verification of this method was performed by the comparison with NIST SRMs. Our results agreed well with the SRM values. We have developed two levels of glucose serum certified reference material using this method and distributed them to the clinical laboratories in Korea as samples for proficiency testings. The expended uncertainty was about 1.2% on 95% confidence level. In proficiency testings, the results obtained from the clinical laboratories showed about 3.6% and 3.9% RSD to the certified values. Primary method can provide the traceability to the field laboratories through proficiency testings or certified reference materials.