• 한국습지학회지
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.301-311
• /
• 2022

본 연구는 장기 수질모니터링 자료를 이용하여 수질의 계절적 특성을 분석하는 것이 목적이다. 낙동강수계에서 장기 모니터링이 수행되고 있는 34개 지류에서의 모니터링 자료를 이용하여 수질의 계절적 특성을 분석하였고 계절적 분석을 위해 수질의 평균 자료 분석과 변동계수(Coefficient of variation) 분석, 추세분석을 수행하였다. 변동계수 평가결과, 지류가 본류보다 크고 계절적으로는 BOD와 T-P, TOC는 가을철이 크고 T-N은 봄철이 크게 나타났다. 추세분석은 Mann-Kendall과 Sen's Slope를 통해 분석하였으며 BOD와 T-N, T-P는 감소 경향이 많으나 TOC는 증가 경향이 많았다. 또한, 공간적으로는 낙동강 상류보다 하류에서의 증가하는 경향이 많이 나타났다. 본 연구를 통해 장기 수질모니터링 자료의 활용성 평가 및 계절적 특성을 분석할 수 있었고 유역관리를 위해 수질의 안정화 시기, 오염원 증감 변화를 분석할 수 있었다.

• 한국추진공학회지
• /
• 제12권6호
• /
• pp.1-6
• /
• 2008

본 연구에서는 계측 데이터의 성능 추이를 분석하여 가스터빈 엔진의 결함 여부를 탐지하기 위한 퍼지 경향감시 방법을 제안하였다. 제안된 경향감시 방법은 연료유량, 배기가스 온도, 로터회전수, 진동수와 같은 중요 엔진 파라미터를 모니터링 하여 시간에 따른 변화를 분석하여 엔진 상태를 진단하는 것이다. 이를 위해 먼저 선형회귀분석을 통해 엔진 상태 변화를 수식화하고 퍼지 로직을 통해 진단 결과를 분석하여 예측되는 손상 원인을 제시한다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
• /
• 제35권2호
• /
• pp.107-131
• /
• 2013

본고는 글로벌 금융위기 이후 자산가격 버블의 이해에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있는 여건을 감안하여 우리나라 주가에 펀더멘털과 무관한 I(1)인 비정상 확률적 추세(stochastic trend)가 존재하는지의 여부를 주가 배당금의 2변수 VAR 모형에서 검정하고 이를 추정하여 보았다. 이 추세는 주가의 합리적 버블을 추정하기 어려운 점을 감안하여 도입한 것으로, 공적분 및 오차수정모형을 해석하는 경우 양자 간에 유사성이 있음을 설명한다. 한편, 분석 모형에서 주가와 배당은 모두 I(1)인 시계열이며 서로 Engle-Granger 공적분 관계인 것으로 가정한다. 이런 이론적 틀에서 배당금 충격(펀더멘털)의 추세와 통계적으로 상관관계가 없는 주가 내 추세의 추정이 잘 알려진 베버리지-넬슨 분해(Beveridge-Nelson decomposition)를 통해 가능함을 보인다. 또한 이의 검정은 표준적인 t-검정을 통해 쉽게 수행될 수 있음도 보인다. 이러한 추세가 주가에 존재할 경우 일단 발생한 충격은 영구히 지속되며 경제적 영향 역시 항구적일 수 있다. 실증분석에서 1976~2012년 중 연간 실질 KOSPI 지수와 배당 자료를 분석한 결과, 한국주가에 '펀더멘털과 무관한 추세가 존재하지 않는다'는 귀무가설을 기각할 수 없는 것으로 나타났으나, 올림픽 이후 기간의 경우에는 부분적으로 주가변동을 견인하는 것으로 추정된다.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
• /
• 제8권3호
• /
• pp.465-470
• /
• 2013

Dempster-Shafe 증거이론은 다중센서 데이터융합을 위한 좋은 계산방법을 제공해준다. 이때 기본확률배정 함수가 절대적으로 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 신호를 평가하여 기본확률배정함수를 계산하고 결정하는 방법을 제안한다. 센서들이 보내온 신호를 구간별로 변화율을 평가하고 이 평가를 기초로 기본확률배정함수를 정하도록 한다. 센서들이 감지하여 보고한 신호들은 상황발생 요인과 관련 있는데, 시간간격에 따라서 변화하는 신호값의 추이를 평가하였다. 센서가 감지한 신호의 변화는 상황구성 및 병화와 밀접한 관련이 있으므로 신호값의 변화를 평가하는 것은 상황추론에 도움이 되는 것이었다. 이것을 기본확률배정함수 결정에 포함함으로써 사전정보가 없는 경우에 대해서도 상황추론이 가능할 수 있음을 보였다.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
• /
• 제6권1호
• /
• pp.34-47
• /
• 1989

The changing trend of longevity from 1955 through 1985 and its interprovincal variation were studied with longevity rate as indicator. In order to detect the affecting factors of longevity rate, eleven urbanalizational, geographic-environmental, demographic and social-economic variables were employed to carry out multiple stepwise regression analysis. The data used for this study were from Population Census Reports 1955-1985 published by EPB and Year book of Public Health and Social Statistics 1986 published by Ministry of Health and Social Affairs and other reference. Subsequent to that longevity rate decreased during 1950's it has increased continuously by the yeat of 1980's. This trend was especially remarkable in the south area and the GIRI mountain area in Korea. The stepwise regression analysis shows that the longevity rates were significantly associated with the independent variables, and the dependent variables explained at the level of 93.7percent-99.9 percent. Longevity is a reflection of the demographic and socio-economic, environmental and health resourses factor etc., longevity problems cannot be dealt with in isolation. The possible research and services which could be provided by government will be discuss.

• Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
• /
• 제3권3_4호
• /
• pp.173-179
• /
• 2000

Recent changes in the coastal sea surface temperatures (SST) in Korea are studied by time series analysis of daily SST data during the last 60 years (1936-1995) at 18 coastal observation stations of the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute. The climate of coastal SST in Korea are rapidly changing in recent years. General trends of coast SST changes in Korea are as follows. The annual averages of SST are increasing. The annual ranges of SST variation are decreasing. The winter SST are increasing while the summer SST have a decreasing tendency. Climatic changes in coastal SST in recent 30 years (1965-1995) are more pronounced than those in the last 60 years (1936-1995). The observed trend of coast SST implies that the climate in Korea shows a tendency to shift from temperate zone to subtropical zone.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
• /
• pp.183-183
• /
• 2017

Pan evaporation (Epan) is an important indicator of water and energy balance. Despite global warming, decreasing annual Epan has been reported across different continents over last decades, which is claimed as pan evaporation paradox. However, such trend is not necessarily found in seasonal data because the level of contributions on Epan vary among meteorological components. This study investigates long-term trend in seasonal pan evaporation from 1908 to 2016 across South Korea. Meteorological variables including air temperature (Tair), wind speed (U), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and solar radiation (Rs) are selected to quantify the effects of individual contributing factor to Epan. We found overall decreasing trend in Epan, which agrees with earlier studies. However, mixed tendencies between seasons due to variation of dominant factor contributing Epan were found. We also evaluated the reference evapotranspiration based on Penman-Monteith method and compared this with Epan to better understand the physics behind the evaporation paradox.

• 한국철도학회논문집
• /
• 제8권5호
• /
• pp.398-404
• /
• 2005

In this paper, we introduce the on-line test of the current collection characteristics for HSR 350x(Korea High Speed Train project) that have been performed in the Kyoung-bu high-speed line since 2002. Through the analysis of measured data during on-line test, the variation trend of contact force between pantograph and contact wire of catenary according to the span type, the track conditions and driving patterns is reviewed. In order to analyze the variation trend of contact force, we have checked the span type of catenary in KP 24 - 125 out of Kyoung-bu high speed line and obtained the statistical processing result per each span type. This study shows that the track conditions do not affect on the dynamic performance between pantograph and contact wire catenary, and the span type and the driving pattern are important factors in determining the good interaction between them.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국콘크리트학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
• /
• pp.1053-1060
• /
• 2003

The temperature variation of the concrete pavement in the early age significantly affects the initiation and propagation of its early age cracks. This implies that the measurement and analysis of early age temperature trend are necessary to examine the causes of early age cracks in the concrete pavement. In this study, it is investigated how the early age temperature trend in the concrete pavement affects the random crack initiation and behaviors of saw-cut joints using the actual construction site which is located at the KHC test road. During 72 hours after placing the concrete pavement, the ambient air temperature and temperatures at the top, middle, and bottom in the concrete pavement were measured and the random crack initiation in concrete slabs and early age behaviors in the joints were surveyed. The investigation results indicate that the first random crack was initiated at one of the slabs placed in the early morning which have higher temperature changes during early 72 hours. In addition, the joints that were saw-cut in the morning were cracked more rapidly than those saw-cut in the afternoon.

• Elastomers and Composites
• /
• 제50권3호
• /
• pp.196-204
• /
• 2015

Crosslink density of a rubber vulcanizate determines the chemical and physical properties, while bound rubber is an important factor to estimate reinforcement of a filled rubber compound. Extender oil is added to a raw rubber with very high molecular weight for improving processability of a rubber composite. Influence of extender oil on crosslink density, bound rubber formation, and physical properties of solution styrene-butadiene rubber (SSBR) composites with differing microstructures was investigated. Crosslink densities of non-oil-extended SSBR (NO-SSBR) vulcanizates were higher than those of oil-extended SSBR (OE-SSBR) ones. Bound rubber contents of NO-SSBR compounds were also greater than those of OE-SSBR ones. The experimental results could be explained by interfering of extender oil. The OE-SSBR vulcanizates had low modulus but long elongation at break, whereas the NO-SSBR ones had high modulus but short elongation at break. It was found that the crosslink densities affected the physical properties more than the bound rubber contents. The moduli increased with increase in the crosslink density irrespective of extender oil, while the elongation at break decreased. Each variation of the tensile strengths of NO-SSBR and OE-SSBR vulcanizates with the crosslink density showed a decreasing trend. Tear strength of the OE-SSBR vulcanizate increased with increase in the crosslink density, whereas variation of the tear strength of NO-SSBR vulcanizate with the crosslink density showed a weak decreasing trend.