• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trend Curve

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Analysis and Trend Curve Derivation of Major Design Parameters of Unmanned and Manned Rotorcrafts (유.무인 회전익기 주요 설계변수의 추세선 식 유도 및 비교 분석 연구)

  • Hwang, Chang-Jeon;Kim, Seung-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.26-35
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    • 2006
  • Design parameters of manned and unmanned rotorcrafts have been investigated to construct a design database and to derive trend curves. Design parameters of 78 manned rotorcrafts and 33 unmanned rotorcrafts have been collected and analyzed using linear regression method. Six kinds of trend curves equations are derived. Most of trend curves derived are relatively meaningful according to the calculated correlation and determination coefficients. The comparisons between manned and unmanned rotorcraft characteristics are performed. It has been drawn according to the comparisons that unmanned rotorcraft has smaller main rotor diameter and maximum take-off weight, bigger tail rotor size and similar level of empty weight fraction than manned rotorcraft.

Trend analysis of rainfall characteristics and its impact on stormwater runoff quality from urban and agricultural catchment

  • Salim, Imran;Paule-Mercado, Ma. Cristina;Sajjad, Raja Umer;Memon, Sheeraz Ahmed;Lee, Bum-Yeon;Sukhbaatar, Chinzorig;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2019
  • Climate change has significantly affected the rainfall characteristics which can influence the pollutant build-up and wash-off patterns from the catchment. Therefore, this study explored the influence of varying rainfall characteristics on urban and agricultural runoff pollutant export using statistical approaches. For this purpose, Mann-Kendall and Pettitt's test were applied to detect the trend and breakpoint in rainfall characteristics time series. In addition, double mass curve and correlation analysis were used to drive the relationship between rainfall-runoff and pollutant exports from both catchments. The results indicate a significant decreased in total rainfall and average rainfall intensity, while a significant increased trend for antecedents dry days and total storm duration over the study periods. The breakpoint was determined to be 2013 which shows remarkable trend shifts for total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and antecedents dry days except total duration. Double mass curve exhibited a straight line with significant rainfall-runoff relationship indicates a climate change effect on both sites. Overall, higher pollutant exports were observed at both sites during the baseline period as compared to change periods. In agricultural site, most of the pollutants exhibited significant (p< 0.05) association with total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and total storm duration. In contrast, pollutants from urban site significantly correlated with antecedent dry days and average rainfall intensity. Thus, total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and total duration were the significant factors for the agricultural catchment while, antecedents dry days and average rainfall intensity were key factors in build-up and wash-off from the urban catchment.

A Laboratory Study on Low Frequency Noise Assessment based on Noise Acceptability Limits (소음 수응 한계(Noise Acceptability Limits)를 고려한 저주파 소음평가에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Hong, Seung-Ki;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Kyu-Tae;Lee, Soo-Gab
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.127-131
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    • 2007
  • A laboratory study on low frequency noise assessment was carried out to determine the acceptability limits in the frequency range between 20 and 200 Hz. The acceptability limits were tested in the anechoic chamber to minimize the background noise. A total of 30 test subjects, who were aged between 19 to 33 years, participated in this study. They were exposed to various stimuli for about 1 hour by supra-aural earphone. The experiment consisted of two listening sessions; hearing threshold and the acceptability limits session. The results showed that the trend of the acceptability limits curve was approximately equal to C-weighting curve which had been found to be superior to A-weighting curve in low frequency noise assessment.

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CURVE EXTRACTION USING PYRAMID (피라미드를 이용한 곡선 추적에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, So-Yun;Cho, Dong-Sub
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1991.11a
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 1991
  • A method of extracting global, trend curves from input image that may locally not even contain small fragments of those curves using a hierarchical pyramid data structure is suggested. The smoothed input image is subsampled into a pyramid of lower-resolution versions by recursive computation of Gaussian-weighted sums. Trend curves are extracted by finding control points from ridges in these blurred images, and interpolating B-splines for those points.

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Study on Demand Estimation of Agricultural Machinery by Using Logistic Curve Function and Markov Chain Model (로지스틱함수법 및 Markov 전이모형법을 이용한 농업기계의 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yun Y. D.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5 s.106
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    • pp.441-450
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    • 2004
  • This study was performed to estimate mid and long term demands of a tractor, a rice transplanter, a combine and a grain dryer by using logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Field survey was done to decide some parameters far logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Ceiling values of tractor and combine fer logistic curve function analysis were 209,280 and 85,607 respectively. Based on logistic curve function analysis, total number of tractors increased slightly during the period analysed. New demand for combine was found to be zero. Markov chain analysis was carried out with 2 scenarios. With the scenario 1(rice price $10\%$ down and current supporting policy by government), new demand for tractor was decreased gradually up to 700 unit in the year 2012. For combine, new demand was zero. Regardless of scenarios, the replacement demand was increased slightly after 2003. After then, the replacement demand is decreased after the certain time. Two analysis of logistic owe function and Markov chain model showed the similar trend in increase and decrease for total number of tractors and combines. However, the difference in numbers of tractors and combines between the results from 2 analysis got bigger as the time passed.

Evidence for the Luminosity Evolution of Type Ia Supernovae from the Ages of Early-type Host Galaxies

  • Lee, Young-Wook;Kang, Yijung;Kim, Young-Lo;Lim, Dongwook;Chung, Chul
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.56.1-56.1
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    • 2013
  • Supernovae type Ia (SNe Ia) cosmology is providing the only direct evidence for the presence of dark energy. This result is based on the assumption that the look-back time evolution of SNe Ia luminosity, after light-curve shape correction, would be negligible. However, the most recent compilation of SNe Ia data shows systematic difference in the Hubble residual (HR) between the E and Sd/Irr galaxies, indicating that the light-curve fitters used by the SNe Ia community cannot quite correct for a large portion of the population age effect. In order to investigate this possibility more directly, we have obtained low-resolution spectra for 30 nearby early-type host galaxies. This data set is used to estimate the luminosity-weighted mean ages and metallicities of host galaxies by employing the population synthesis models. We found an interesting trend between the host galaxy age and HR, in the sense that younger galaxies have positive residuals (i.e., light-curve corrected SNe Ia luminosity is fainter). This result is rather independent of the choice of the population synthesis models employed. Taken at face value, this age (evolution) effect can mimic a large fraction of the HR used in the discovery of the dark energy. This result is significant at 1.4 - 3 sigma levels, depending on the light curve fitters adopted, and further observations and analyses are certainly required to confirm the trend reported here.

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Domestic Automotive Exterior Lamp-LEDs Demand and Forecasting using BASS Diffusion Model (BASS 확산 모형을 이용한 국내 자동차 외장 램프 LED 수요예측 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Heun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.349-371
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Compared to the rapid growth rate of the domestic automotive LED industry so far, the predictive analysis method for demand forecasting or market outlook was insufficient. Accordingly, product characteristics are analyzed through the life trend of LEDs for automotive exterior lamps and the relative strengths of p and q using the Bass model. Also, future demands are predicted. Methods: We used sales data of a leading company in domestic market of automotive LEDs. Considering the autocorrelation error term of this data, parameters m, p, and q were estimated through the modified estimation method of OLS and the NLS(Nonlinear Least Squares) method, and the optimal method was selected by comparing prediction error performance such as RMSE. Future annual demands and cumulative demands were predicted through the growth curve obtained from Bass-NLS model. In addition, various nonlinear growth curve models were applied to the data to compare the Bass-NLS model with potential market demand, and an optimal model was derived. Results: From the analysis, the parameter estimation results by Bass-NLS obtained m=1338.13, p=0.0026, q=0.3003. If the current trend continues, domestic automotive LED market is predicted to reach its maximum peak in 2021 and the maximum demand is $102.23M. Potential market demand was $1338.13M. In the nonlinear growth curve model analysis, the Gompertz model was selected as the optimal model, and the potential market size was $2864.018M. Conclusion: It is expected that the Bass-NLS method will be applied to LED sales data for automotive to find out the characteristics of the relative strength of q/p of products and to be used to predict current demand and future cumulative demand.

Effect of Crosswind on Derailment of Railway Vehicles Running on Curved Track at Low Speed

  • Hosoi, Takahiro;Tanifuji, Katsuya
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2012
  • Owing to the lightening of railway vehicles and increased operation speeds, the reduction of running safety in the presence of crosswind is becoming an important problem. In particular, the running safety tends to decrease when vehicles run on curved track. When a crosswind acts on a vehicle negotiating a curve from the outer side, flange climbing can occur. In this study, a full-vehicle model was constructed using the multi-body simulation software SIMPACK, and a simulation of a bogie vehicle with two-axle trucks negotiating a curve was carried out to examine the running safety under the condition where a crosswind acts on the vehicle from the outer side of the curve. As a result, it was verified that the derailment coefficient of the first wheelset becomes large in the exit transition curve and the coefficient of the third wheelset does in the entrance transition curve, and this trend becomes pronounced at low operation speeds in the presence of a stronger crosswind. It was also shown that the critical derailment coefficients obtained by modified Nadal's formula considering the effect of attack angle become close to the actual derailment coefficients at the timing that flange climbing occurs.

Estimation of genetic relationships between growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep

  • Hossein-Zadeh, Navid Ghavi
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.19.1-19.6
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to estimate variance components and genetic parameters for growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep. Studied traits were parameters of Brody growth model which included A (asymptotic mature weight), B (initial animal weight) and K (maturation rate). The data set and pedigree information used in this study were obtained from the Agricultural Organization of Guilan province (Rasht, Iran) and comprised 8647 growth curve records of lambs from birth to 240 days of age during 1994 to 2014. Marginal posterior distributions of parameters and variance components were estimated using TM program. The Gibbs sampler was run 300000 rounds and the first 60000 rounds were discarded as a burn-in period. Posterior mean estimates of direct heritabilities for A, B and K were 0.39, 0.23 and 0.039, respectively. Estimates of direct genetic correlation between growth curve parameters were 0.57, 0.03 and -0.01 between A-B, A-K and B-K, respectively. Estimates of direct genetic trends for A, B and K were positive and their corresponding values were $0.014{\pm}0.003$ (P < 0.001), $0.0012{\pm}0.0009$ (P > 0.05) and $0.000002{\pm}0.0001$ (P > 0.05), respectively. Residual correlations between growth curve parameters varied form -0.52 (between A-K) to 0.48 (between A-B). Also, phenotypic correlations between growth curve parameters varied form -0.49 (between A-K) to 0.47 (between A-B). The results of this study indicated that improvement of growth curve parameters of Guilan sheep seems feasible in selection programs. It is worthwhile to develop a selection strategy to obtain an appropriate shape of growth curve through changing genetically the parameters of growth model.

The Practical Method and Experimental Verification of Temperature Estimation in the Permanent Magnet of Electric Machine

  • Kang, Kyongho;Yu, Sukjin;Lee, Geunho;Lee, Byeong-Hwa
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.421-426
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a practical method for estimation of average temperature in the permanent magnet (PM) of electric machine by using finite element analysis (FEA) and dynamo load experiment. First of all, the temperature effect of PM to the torque has been employed by FEA in order to evaluate the Temperature-Torque characteristic curve. The 1st order polynomial equation which is torque attenuation coefficient is derived by the FEA result of the Temperature-Torque curve. Next, torque saturation test with constant current condition is performed by dynamo load experiment. Then, the temperature trend can be estimated by adding the initial starting temperature using the torque attenuation coefficient and torque saturation curve. Lastly, estimated temperature is validated by infrared thermometer which measures temperature of PM surface. The comparison between the estimated result and experimental result gives a good agreement within a deviation of maximum $8^{\circ}C$.