• Title/Summary/Keyword: Transition Prediction

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A New k-$\varepsilon$ Model for Prediction of Transitional Boundary-Layer Under Zero-Pressure Gradient (압력 구배가 없는 평판 천이 경계층 유동을 예측하기 위한 k-$\varepsilon$모형의 개발)

  • Baek, Seong-Gu;Im, Hyo-Jae;Jeong, Myeong-Gyun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.305-314
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    • 2001
  • A modified model is proposed for calculation of transitional boundary layer flows. In order to develop the eddy viscosity model for the problem, the flow is divided into three regions; namely, pre-transition region, transition region and fully turbulent region. The pre-transition eddy-viscosity is formulated by extending the mixing length concept. In the transition region, the eddy-viscosity model employs two length scales, i.e., pre-transition length scale and turbulent length scale pertaining to the regions upstream and the downstream, respectively, and a universal model of stream-wise intermittency variation is used as a function bridging the pre-transition region and the fully turbulent region. The proposed model is applied to calculate three benchmark cases of the transitional boundary layer flows with different free-stream turbulent intensity (1%∼6%) under zero-pressure gradient. It was found that the profiles of mean velocity and turbulent intensity, local maximum of velocity fluctuations, their locations as well as the stream-wise variation of integral properties such as skin friction, shape factor and maximum velocity fluctuations are very satisfactorily predicted throughout the flow regions.

Assessment of Stratospheric Prediction Skill of the GloSea5 Hindcast Experiment (GloSea5 모형의 성층권 예측성 검증)

  • Jung, Myungil;Son, Seok-Woo;Lim, Yuna;Song, Kanghyun;Won, DukJin;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.203-214
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    • 2016
  • This study explores the 6-month lead prediction skill of stratospheric temperature and circulations in the Global Seasonal forecasting model version 5 (GloSea5) hindcast experiment over the period of 1996~2009. Both the tropical and extratropical circulations are considered by analyzing the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and Northern Hemisphere Polar Vortex (NHPV). Their prediction skills are quantitatively evaluated by computing the Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) and Mean Squared Skill Score (MSSS), and compared with those of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO). Stratospheric temperature is generally better predicted than tropospheric temperature. Such improved prediction skill, however, rapidly disappears in a month, and a reliable prediction skill is observed only in the tropics, indicating a higher prediction skill in the tropics than in the extratropics. Consistent with this finding, QBO is well predicted more than 6 months in advance. Its prediction skill is significant in all seasons although a relatively low prediction skill appears in the spring when QBO phase transition often takes place. This seasonality is qualitatively similar to the spring barrier of ENSO prediction skill. In contrast, NHPV exhibits no prediction skill beyond one month as in AO prediction skill. In terms of MSSS, both QBO and NHPV are better predicted than their counterparts in the troposphere, i.e., ENSO and AO, indicating that the GloSea5 has a higher prediction skill in the stratosphere than in the troposphere.

Design and Wind Tunnel Tests of a Natural Laminar Flow Airfoil (자연층류 익형 설계 및 시험)

  • Lee, Yung-Gyo;Kim, Cheol-Wan;Shim, Jae-Yeul;Kim, Eung-Tae;Lee, Dae-Sung
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.03b
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    • pp.354-357
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    • 2008
  • Drag reduction is one of main concerns for commercial aircraft companies than ever because fuel price has been tripled in ten years. In this research, Natural Laminar Flow airfoil is designed and tested to reduce drag at cruise condition, $c_l$=0.3, Re=3.4${\times}$10$^6$ and M=0.6. NLF airfoil is characterized by delayed transition from laminar to turbulent flow, which comes from maintaining favorable pressure gradient to downstream. Transition is predicted by solving Boundary Layer equations in viscous boundary layer and by solving Euler Equation outside the boundary layer. Once boundary layer thickness and momentum thickness are obtained, $e^N$-method is used for transition point prediction. As results, KARI's NLF airfoil is designed and shows better characteristics than NLF-0115. The characteristics are tested and verified at low Reynolds numbers, but at high Reynolds numbers, laminar flow characteristics are not obtainable because of fully turbulent flow over airfoil surfaces. Precious experiences, however, relating NLF airfoil design, subsonic and transonic tests are acquired.

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Numerical simulation of aerodynamic characteristics of a BWB UCAV configuration with transition models

  • Jo, Young-Hee;Chang, Kyoungsik;Sheen, Dong-Jin;Park, Soo Hyung
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.8-18
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    • 2015
  • A numerical simulation for a nonslender BWB UCAV configuration with a rounded leading edge and span of 1.0 m was performed to analyze its aerodynamic characteristics. Numerical results were compared with experimental data obtained at a free stream velocity of 50 m/s and at angles of attack from -4 to $26^{\circ}$. The Reynolds number, based on the mean chord length, is $1.25{\times}106$. 3D multi-block hexahedral grids are used to guarantee good grid quality and to efficiently resolve the boundary layer. Menter's shear stress transport model and two transition models (${\gamma}-Re_{\theta}$ model and ${\gamma}$ model) were used to assess the effect of the laminar/turbulent transition on the flow characteristics. Aerodynamic coefficients, such as drag, lift, and the pitching moment, were compared with experimental data. Drag and lift coefficients of the UCAV were predicted well while the pitching moment coefficient was underpredicted at high angles of attack and influenced strongly by the selected turbulent models. After assessing the pressure distribution, skin friction lines and velocity field around UCAV configuration, it was found that the transition effect should be considered in the prediction of aerodynamic characteristics of vortical flow fields.

Characteristics and Key Parameters of Dual Bell Nozzles of the DLR, Germany (독일 DLR의 듀얼 벨 노즐 특성 및 핵심 변수)

  • Kim, Jeonghoon;Huh, Hwanil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.952-962
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    • 2015
  • Various types of altitude compensation nozzles have been investigated to develop an effective propulsion system. In order to obtain baseline data for future study of dual bell nozzles, main characteristics and key parameters of dual bell nozzles are summarized and described by analysing DLR dual bell nozzles. DLR's experimental researches show that inflection angle is proportional to transition NPR, and extension length is proportional to side load, but inversely proportional to transition NPR and transition duration. Therefore, the nozzle geometry can be determined through the performance prediction process and thus the optimization process is required to meet performance requirements between parameters.

The Bus Delay Time Prediction Using Markov Chain (Markov Chain을 이용한 버스지체시간 예측)

  • Lee, Seung-Hun;Moon, Byeong-Sup;Park, Bum-Jin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Bus delay time is occurred as the result of traffic condition and important factor to predict bus arrival time. In this paper, transition probability matrixes between bus stops are made by using Markov Chain and it is predicted bus delay time with them. As the results of study, it is confirmed a possibility of adapting the assumption which it has same bus transition probability between stops through paired-samples T-test and overcame the limitation of exiting studies in case there is no scheduled bus arrival time for each stops with using bus interval time. Therefore it will be possible to predict bus arrival time with Markov Chain.

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A Prediction Model for Depression Risk (우울증에 대한 예측모형)

  • Kim, Jaeyong;Min, Byungju;Lee, Jaehoon;Chang, Jae Seung;Ha, Tae Hyon;Ha, Kyooseob;Park, Taesung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.317-330
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    • 2014
  • Bipolar disorder is a psychopathy characterized by manic and major depressive episodes. It is important to determine the degree of depression when treating patients with bipolar disorder because 810% of bipolar patients commit suicide during the periods in which they experience major depressive episodes. The Hamilton depression rating scale is most commonly used to estimate the degree of depression in a patient. This paper proposes using the Hamilton depression rating scale to estimate the effectiveness of patient treatment based on the linear mixed effects model and the transition model. Study subjects were recruited from the Seoul National University Bundang Hospital who scored 8 points or above in the Hamilton depression rating scale on their first medical examination. The linear mixed effects model and the transition model were fitted using the Hamilton depression rating scales measured at the baseline, six month, and twelve month follow-ups. Then, Hamilton depression rating scale at the twenty-four month follow-up was predicted using these models. The prediction models were then evaluated by comparing the observed and predicted Hamilton depression rating scales on the twenty-four month follow-up.

Numerical Prediction of Unsteady Transitional Boundary Layer Flows due to Rotor-Stator Interaction(II)-Characteristics of Unsteady Transitional Boundary Layer Flow- (정익과 동익의 상호작용에 의한 비정상 천이 경계층 유동의 수치해석에 관한 연구 (II))

  • Kang, Dong-Jin;Lakshminarayana, Budugur
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.771-787
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    • 1998
  • A Navier-Stokes code with a modified low Reynolds number k-.epsilon. turbulence model was used to study the unsteady transitional boundary layer flow due to rotor-stator interaction. The modification, proposed by Launder, to improve prediction of stagnation flows was incorporated to the low Reynolds number k-.epsilon. turbulence model by Fan-Lakshminarayana-Barnett. Numerical solution is shown to capture well the calmed laminar flow as well as the wake induced transitional strip due to rotor-stator interaction and shows improvement, in terms of onset of transition and its length, over previous Euler/boundary layer solution. The turbulent kinetic energy shows local maximum along the upstream rotor wake in the wake induced transitional strip and this characteristics is observed untill the end of transition. The wake induced strip also shown apparent even in the laminar sublayer as the upstream rotor wake penetrates inside the boundary layer.

Creep Lifetime Prediction of Composite Geogrids using Stepped Isothermal Method

  • Koo, Hyun-Jin;Cho, Hang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2006
  • The creep behavior of newly developed composite geogrids which consists of PET yarns sheathed in PP were evaluated using SIM. For the SIM procedure, three test parameters, the applied loads, temperature steps and number of ribs were investigated, The study confirmed that temperature steps of 10 and 14$^{\circ}C$ up to 80$^{\circ}C$ are applicable for composite geogrids due to the different transition temperatures between two materials. At applied loads of 40 and 50%, only primary creep state was measured, while secondary creep state appeared at the applied loads of 60%, The lifetimes of composite geogrids were estimated at each of loading level using statistical reliability analysis technique. The results show that the lifetimes longer than 100 years can be predicted within 16 hours. Therefore, SIM is very effective and economical accelerated creep test methods, especially for lifetime prediction. This gives guidelines for users to select the appropriate factor of safety against creep considering the field condition within shorter test times.

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A Data-Mining Model to Support new Customer Acquisition for Internet Telephony(VoIP) (인터넷전화(VoIP)의 신규고객 유치를 지원하는 데이터마이닝 모델)

  • Ha, Sung-Ho;Yang, Jeong-Won;Song, Young-Mi
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.133-154
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    • 2010
  • Recently, Internet Telephony has become increasingly popular in telecommunication industry. However, previous research on Internet Telephony has focused on analyzing specific Internet Telephonysolutions, identifyingthe Internet Telephony movement itself. The research on prediction models about Internet Telephony adoption has been minimal. The main propose of this study is to develop models for predicting transition intention from using traditional telephones to using Internet Telephony. To do so, this study uses data mining methods to analyze demands in the IT communications market and to provide management strategies for Internet telephony providers. Especially this study uses discriminant analysis, logistic regression, classification tree, and neural nets to develop those prediction models toward Internet Telephony adoption. The models are compared with each other and a superior model is chosen.

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