• 제목/요약/키워드: Transaction Amount Trend

검색결과 8건 처리시간 0.023초

Prediction of the Corona 19's Domestic Internet and Mobile Shopping Transaction Amount

  • JEONG, Dong-Bin
    • 융합경영연구
    • /
    • 제9권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this work, we examine several time series models to predict internet and mobile transaction amount in South Korea, whereas Jeong (2020) has obtained the optimal forecasts for online shopping transaction amount by using time series models. Additionally, optimal forecasts based on the model considered can be calculated and applied to the Corona 19 situation. Research design, data, and methodology: The data are extracted from the online shopping trend survey of the National Statistical Office, and homogeneous and comparable in size based on 46 realizations sampled from January 2007 to October 2020. To achieve the goal of this work, both multiplicative ARIMA model and Holt-Winters Multiplicative seasonality method are taken into account. In addition, goodness-of-fit measures are used as crucial tools of the appropriate construction of forecasting model. Results: All of the optimal forecasts for the next 12 months for two online shopping transactions maintain a pattern in which the slope increases linearly and steadily with a fixed seasonal change that has been subjected to seasonal fluctuations. Conclusions: It can be confirmed that the mobile shopping transactions is much larger than the internet shopping transactions for the increase in trend and seasonality in the future.

온라인쇼핑몰에서 Online몰의 상품군별 거래액 동향과 동조화 현상 (Trends and Synchronization of Transaction Amounts by Product group of Online Malls in Online Shopping Malls)

  • 최수호;최정일
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.151-160
    • /
    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 온라인쇼핑몰 Online몰 거래액 동향을 한국 총 거래액과 각 상품별 거래액을 산출하여 서로 비교 분석하고 동조화현상을 찾아보는데 있다. 본 연구에 이용된 데이타는 통계청 국가통계포털에서 총 거래량과 음식 서비스, 가전·전자·통신기기, 음식료품, 생활용품, 의복, 컴퓨터 및 주변기기를 검색하였다. 분석기간은 2017년 1월부터 2020년 8월까지 총 44개 월간자료를 이용하였다. 기술통계량에서 음식서비스는 변동성이 상대적으로 매우 안정되어 있으나 의복은 변동성이 크게 나타났다. 상관관계분석에서 총 거래액에 대해 각 상품별로 일정 수준 이상의 상관관계를 보여주었다. 상승률 동향에서 음식서비스 1,039%, 가전·전자·통신기기 325%, 음식료품 296%, 생활용품 250% 상승한 반면 의복은 92.56%로 소폭 하락하였다. Scatter 분석에서 총 거래액과 생활용품 및 가전·전자·통신기기의 분포도는 대체로 우상향하는 형태로 나타나 높은 수준의 동조화현상이 나타나 있다. 코로나19로 인해 온라인쇼핑몰의 거래액 증가에 대비하여 신속성과 안정성, 편리성, 다양한 서비스제공 등을 위한 노력이 지속되어야 할 것이다.

SUPPLY-DEMAND, COMMERCIAL DISTRIBUTION AND TRANSACTION OF THE CULTURED TUNA IN JAPAN - EMPHASIZING ON THE GLOBAL EXPANSION OF THE TUNA-FARMING BUSINESS -

  • Yamamoto, Naotoshi;Kameda, Kazuhiko;Nishida, Akari;Kitano, Shinichi
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제39권1호
    • /
    • pp.87-114
    • /
    • 2008
  • The cultured tuna production which has suddenly expanded at the short time and the demand for it attract attention. Farming mode, distribution transactions, change of the market (domestic and international) and the price trend are reviewed from the Japan's position which is the biggest consuming country. This paper tries to describe the current status of the food system related to the cultured tuna. Japanese government began the development of the tuna culture technology in 1970. It was by the Fisheries Agency's project. Kinki University which is the large scale private university in Japan participated in the project. After that, 32 years have passed. Kinki University established the full farming of the bluefin tuna in August, 2002. On the other hand, in 1974, one Japanese private enterprise began its tuna farming business in Canada. Kinki University gave this company technical cooperation. Also, in the early stages of the 90s, as for the policy of the overseas fishery cooperation foundation, it supported the tuna farming business in Australia. It is very clear to understand that the long-term technological-development has supported the take-off scene of the tuna culture business not only in foreign countries but also in Japan. The total shipment scale of the cultured tuna expanded very much within about 10 recent years. However, the decrease of the wild tuna catch, the reinforcement of the fisheries regulation and the tuna body to dwarf are remarkable now. Under the condition as the mentioned above, Japan's tuna consumption, especially, in the market at the fatty meat of tuna of the cultured tuna is building up firm status. At present, the Mediterranean Sea coastal countries, Australia, Mexico and Japan have the tuna farming sites. Australia farms the southern bluefin tuna. The others do the bluefin tuna. About for 3 years, Japan farms the juvenile of the tuna. The global production areas are as follows. 8 coastal countries of the Mediterranean Sea; 18,000 tons (61 % of the cultured tuna quantity in foreign countries), Mexico; 4,500 ton (15%), Australia; 7,000 tons (24%). In 2003, Japan has 32 managements and 39 offices for tuna farming. In Japan, Kyushu and Okinawa district, the share shows itself as 80 % of the domestic production quantity. Especially, the share of Amami-oshima Island in Kagoshima Prefecture exceeds 60 %. Therefore, this island has the maximum production scale of Japan. The amount of supply of BT and SBT was 56,000 tons in 2004. In Abroad, the tuna farming business forms a fixed connection between the importer and the wholesaler which have their office in Japan. In the field of the capital composition, the payment in advance, transaction and the way of settlement, each maintains their fixed relation. The market conditions of the cultured tuna are supported by "the decline of price level" and "the expansion of the general public consumption segment". These lead a team merchandising, and it is supported by the fixed business connection of each. This makes the profit of each business which are on the cultured tuna distribution. However, they have competition on the power balance among them.

  • PDF

VM의 자동 변수 생성 방식 기반 모바일 지급결제 시스템 (A Mobile Payment System Based-on an Automatic Random-Number Generation in the Virtual Machine)

  • 강경석;민상원;심상범
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:컴퓨팅의 실제 및 레터
    • /
    • 제12권6호
    • /
    • pp.367-378
    • /
    • 2006
  • 이동전화가 전자상거래와 온라인 뱅킹의 새로운 수단으로 등장하고 있다. 모바일 기기를 통한 모바일 지급결제는 인터넷 결제나 소액결제 등에서 대중적으로 이용되며 새로운 결제수단으로 각광받고 있다. 하지만 현재의 모바일 지급결제는 소액에 치중하고 있으며 안전하고 표준화된 기술의 미비 등의 문제가 해결해 되어야할 과제로 떠오르고 있다. 본 논문에서는 현재 모바일 지급결제 서비스의 정의와 유형을 알아보고 모바일 지급결제 서비스에서의 인증의 의미와 각 지급결제 서비스의 인증방식에 대해 살펴보았다. 또한 각 인증방식들에서의 사고유형과 그 원인 그리고 그에 따른 대책을 알아보고, 현시점에서 그 대책이 실제 적용되기까지의 긴 시간동안 기존 설비나 휴대폰의 하드웨어를 추가 또는 변형하지 않는 범위 안에서 실현 가능한 새로운 인증절차를 제안하였다. 본 논문이 제안한 인증기법은 휴대폰의 VM을 이용한 결제로서 기존 SMS로 전달된 난수를 입력하는 방식의 문제점으로 지적되는 전달 내용에 대한 타인의 도용 위험성을 줄이기 위해 사용자가 직접 본인의 휴대폰에서 결제용 VM을 구동 난수를 확인하여 난수를 사이트에 입력하는 방식을 사용한다. VM 다운로드 후 처음 사용시 다운받은 VM의 S/N을 서버에 등록하여 VM을 구동할 때마다 S/N과 휴대폰 번호를 매칭한 후 난수를 부여하여 기존 휴대폰 통합 과금 서비스에서는 하기 어려운 점이었던 등록된 폰 이외의 불법 복제된 폰의 결제를 막을 수 있게 하였다. 또 난수 발급시 사용되는 매개체를 SMS발송에서 47 byte 패킷통신으로 대체하여 난수를 발급할 때 소요되는 시간을 대폭 줄이고 결제할 때 소요되는 비용을 기존의 1/3로 절감 하였다.

ETF(상장지수펀드)의 투자효과 분석 (Analysis on the Investment Effect of ETFs)

  • 정희석;김선제
    • 서비스연구
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.51-71
    • /
    • 2019
  • 상장종목 수와 시가총액이 급증하고 있는 ETF 시장을 분석하여 ETF의 투자 효과를 규명함으로써 투자 방안을 제시하는 것이 연구목적이다. 연구 절차와 방법은 2010년~2018년 기간 동안 거래내역과 거래금액, 시가총액 등 표본을 대상으로 ETF 종류별로 수익률 및 변화추이를 산출하였고, 상관관계와 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과, ETF 전체수익률은 2.11%, 국내기초시장 ETF 수익률은 2.39%, 주식 ETF 수익률은 2.59%로서 코스피 지수와 코스피200 지수상승률 보다 낮아서 투자자들이 기대했던 수익률 보다 낮았으며, 가장 수익률이 높은 ETF는 인덱스 ETF로서 2.63%를 기록하였고, 다음은 주식 ETF, 해외기초시장 ETF 순으로 나타났다. ETF 투자의 문제점은 전체 ETF와 국내기초시장 ETF의 연간수익률이 2%대로 낮아서 투자자들이 기대하는 5%이상의 수익률에는 미흡하였다. 연구기여도는 실제로 달성 가능한 ETF 투자효과를 분석하여 투자유의사항을 정립한 데 있고, 연구방향은 ETF 자료를 더 많이 축적해서 투자방안을 정밀하게 제시하고자 한다.

지적재산의 취득과 실시에 관한 경쟁정책 : 기술혁신 시장 이론

  • 권용수
    • 기술경영경제학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 기술경영경제학회 1996년도 제10회 동계학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.196-238
    • /
    • 1996
  • Because global innovation-based competition is increasing and the amount of R&D expenditures becomes severely large, it is more likely that mergers and collaborative ventures tend to affect adversely to R&D competition Against this trend, enforcing agency of advanced countries including U.S.A are reassessing certain aspects of competition policy toward mergers and acquisition to ensure that procompetitive, efficiency-enhancing transactions are permitted. The role of competition policy is developing and appropriating new technology and protects the risks involved in the licensing contract of technologies. The role of intellectual property rights is also contrived to promote technological innovation and to increase consumer welfare. That is to say, dynamic efficiency of intellectual property rights includes (l) increase in social welfare and (2) promotion of growth by improvement of quality through invention and commercialization of new product as well as enhanced productive efficiency thorough appropriating new process. Because intellectual property rights are licensed to make use of complementary inputs, the rule of reason approach seems proper when applying antitrust law. To analyze the "Antitrust Guidelines for the Licensing and Acquisition of Intellectual Property"by DOJ and FTC in U.S.A, the author surveyed pros and cons on innovation market approach. This approach will only be used in a narrow range of situations when the evidence is solid, concentration numbers are extremely high, and the agencies can predict with a high degree of certainty that the merger will likely lead either to a slowing in the pace of innovation or the loss of an alternative research track that is likely to lead to a product beneficial to consumers. The author introduces the studies on licensing contract of intellectual property rights and competition polices on behalf of potential inquirers. Also the author invites the interdisciplinary researchers to analyze further with a model on the aspects of the "Notice 1995-10 for Types and Criteria on Unfair Transaction Behavior in International Contracts" by Fair Trade Committee of Korea.

  • PDF

모바일앱 추천시스템과 블록체인 기술 (Blockchain Technology for Mobile Applications Recommendation Systems)

  • 제인오고우메쿠도;심준호
    • 한국전자거래학회지
    • /
    • 제24권3호
    • /
    • pp.129-142
    • /
    • 2019
  • 블록체인기술에 대한 관심은 지속적으로 증가되고 많은 분야에 활용되고 있다. 블록체인기술은 타인이 함부로 데이터와 거래를 제어할 수 없게 하는 분산 환경을 제공한다. 모바일앱 추천은 모바일 사용자에게 적당한 앱을 추천하는데 사용된다. 예를 들어, 사용자의 선호도 및 모바일 환경에 따라 서로 다른 모바일앱을 추천하는 복수의 안드로이드기반 추천앱이 개발되어왔다. 앱 추천은 사용자가 다른 사용자의 경험을 참조하여 앱을 발견하는 데 도움을 준다. 수집된 많은 양의 데이터 및 사용자 정보는 외부 공격에 대한 취약성과 사용자 개인 정보 보호 문제를 내포한다. 이 문제를 해결하는 방법으로 암호화 안전을 보장하는 블록체인 기술을 적용할 수 있다. 본 서베이 논문에서는 모바일앱 추천 기술과 전자상거래 기술 동향을 살펴본다. 개인화된 앱 추천에 대한 사용자의 개인 정보 선호 중요성 측면에서, 블록체인기술과 협업필터링 기술의 접목이 사용자에게 안전한 데이터 환경을 제공할 수 있는지도 살펴본다.

산업관련표(産業關聯表)에 의(依)한 임업구조분석(林業構造分析)과 유발생산액(誘發生産額) -임업(林業)이 한국경제(韓國經濟)에 미치는 영향(影響)- (Analysis of Forestry Structure and Induced Output Based on Input - output Table - Influences of Forestry Production on Korean Economy -)

  • 이승윤
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제2권4호
    • /
    • pp.4-14
    • /
    • 1974
  • The total forest land area in Korea accounts for some 67 percent of the nation's land total. Its productivity, however, is very low. Consequently, forest production accounts for only about 2 percent of the gross national product and a minor proportion of no more than about 5 percent versus primary industry. In this case, however, only the direct income from forestry is taken into account, making no reference to the forestry output induced by other industrial sectors. The value added Or the induced forestry output in manufacturing the primary wood products into higher quality products, makes a larger contribution to the economy than direct contribution. So, this author has tried to analyze the structure of forestry and compute the repercussion effect and the induced output of primary forest products when utilized by other industries for their raw materials, Hsing the input-output table and attached tables for 1963 and 1966 issued by the Bank of Korea. 1. Analysis of forestry structure A. Changes in total output Durng the nine-year period, 1961-1969, the real gross national product in Korea increased 2.1 times, while that of primary industries went up about 1. 4 times. Forestry which was valued at 9,380 million won in 1961, was picked up about 2. 1 times to 20, 120 million won in 1969. The rate of the forestry income in the GNP, accordingly, was no more than 1.5 percent both in 1961 and 1962, whereas its rate in primary industries increased 3.5 to 5.4 percent. Such increase in forestry income is attributable to increased forest production and rise in timber prices. The rate of forestry income, nonetheless, was on the decrease on a gradual basis. B. Changes in input coefficient The input coefficient which indicates the inputs of the forest products into other sectors were up in general in 1966 over 1963. It is noted that the input coefficient indicating the amount of forest products supplied to such industries closely related with forestry as lumber and plywood, and wood products and furniture, showed a downward trend for the period 1963-1966. On the other hand, the forest input into other sectors was generally on the increase. Meanwhile, the input coefficient representing the yolume of the forest products supplied to the forestry sector itself showed an upward tendency, which meant more and more decrease in input from other sectors. Generally speaking, in direct proportion to the higher input coefficient in any industrial sector, the reinput coefficient which denotes the use of its products by the same sector becomes higher and higher. C. Changes in ratio of intermediate input The intermediate input ratio showing the dependency on raw materials went up to 15.43 percent m 1966 from 11. 37 percent in 1963. The dependency of forestry on raw materials was no more than 15.43 percent, accounting for a high 83.57 percent of value added. If the intermediate input ratio increases in any given sector, the input coefficient which represents the fe-use of its products by the same sector becomes large. D. Changes in the ratio of intermediate demand The ratio of the intermediate demand represents the characteristics of the intermediary production in each industry, the intermediate demand ratio in forestry which accunted for 69.7 percent in 1963 went up to 75.2 percent in 1966. In other words, forestry is a remarkable industry in that there is characteristics of the intermediary production. E. Changes in import coefficient The import coefficient which denotes the relation between the production activities and imports, recorded at 4.4 percent in 1963, decreased to 2.4 percent in 1966. The ratio of import to total output is not so high. F. Changes in market composition of imported goods One of the major imported goods in the forestry sector is lumber. The import value increased by 60 percent to 667 million won in 1966 from 407 million won in 1963. The sales of imported forest products to two major outlets-lumber and plywood, and wood products and furniture-increased to 343 million won and 31 million won in 1966 from 240million won and 30 million won in 1963 respectively. On the other hand, imported goods valued at 66 million won were sold to the paper products sector in 1963; however, no supply to this sector was recorded in 1963. Besides these major markets, primary industries such as the fishery, coal and agriculture sectors purchase materials from forestry. 2. Analysis of repercussion effect on production The repercussion effect of final demand in any given sector upon the expansion of the production of other sectors was analyzed, using the inverse matrix coefficient tables attached to the the I.O. Table. A. Changes in intra-sector transaction value of inverse matrix coefficient. The intra-sector transaction value of an inverse matrix coefficient represents the extent of an induced increase in the production of self-support products of the same sector, when it is generated directly and indirectly by one unit of final demand in any given sector. The intra-sector transaction value of the forestry sector rose from 1.04 in 1963 to 1, 11 in 1966. It may well be said, therefore, that forestry induces much more self-supporting products in the production of one unit of final demand for forest products. B. Changes in column total of inverse matrix coefficient It should be noted that the column total indicates the degree of effect of the output of the corresponding and related sectors generated by one unit of final demand in each sector. No changes in the column total of the forestry sector were recorded between the 1963 and 1966 figures, both being the same 1. 19. C. Changes in difference between column total and intra-sector transaction amount. The difference between the column total and intra-sector transaction amount by sector reveals the extent of effect of output of related industrial sector induced indirectly by one unit of final demand in corresponding sector. This change in forestry dropped remarkable to 0.08 in 1966 from 0.15 in 1963. Accordingly, the effect of inducement of indirect output of other forestry-related sectors has decreased; this is a really natural phenomenon, as compared with an increasing input coefficient generated by the re-use of forest products by the forestry sector. 3. Induced output of forestry A. Forest products, wood in particular, are supplied to other industries as their raw materials, increasng their value added. In this connection the primary dependency rate on forestry for 1963 and 1966 was compared, i. e., an increase or decrease in each sector, from 7.71 percent in 1963 to 11.91 percent in 1966 in agriculture, 10.32 to 6.11 in fishery, 16.24 to 19.90 in mining, 0.76 to 0.70 in the manufacturing sector and 2.79 to 4.77 percent in the construction sector. Generally speaking, on the average the dependency on forestry during the period 1963-1966 increased from 5.92 percent to 8.03 percent. Accordingly, it may easily be known that the primary forestry output induced by primary and secondary industries increased from 16, 109 million won in 1963 to 48, 842 million won in 1966. B. The forest products are supplied to other industries as their raw materials. The products are processed further into higher quality products. thus indirectly increasing the value of the forest products. The ratio of the increased value added or the secondary dependency on forestry for 1963 and 1966 showed an increase or decrease, from 5.98 percent to 7.87 percent in agriculture, 9.06 to 5.74 in fishery, 13.56 to 15.81 in mining, 0.68 to 0.61 in the manufacturing sector and 2.71 to 4.54 in the construction sector. The average ratio in this connection increased from 4.69 percent to 5.60 percent. In the meantime, the secondary forestry output induced by primary and secondary industries rose from 12,779 million Wall in 1963 to 34,084 million won in 1966. C. The dependency of tertiary industries on forestry showed very minor ratios of 0.46 percent and 0.04 percent in 1963 and 1966 respectively. The forestry output induced by tertiary industry also decreased from 685 million won to 123 million won during the same period. D. Generally speaking, the ratio of dependency on forestry increased from 17.68 percent in 1963 to 24.28 percent in 1966 in primary industries, from 4.69 percent to 5.70 percent in secondary industries, while, as mentioned above, the ratio in the case of tertiary industry decreased from 0.46 to 0.04 percent during the period 1963-66. The mining industry reveals the heaviest rate of dependency on forestry with 29.80 percent in 1963 and 35.71 percent in 1966. As it result, the direct forestry income, valued at 8,172 million won in 1963, shot up to 22,724 million won in 1966. Its composition ratio lo the national income rose from 1.9 percent in 1963 to 2.3 per cent in 1966. If the induced outcome is taken into account, the total forestry production which was estimated at 37,744 million won in 1963 picked up to 105,773 million won in 1966, about 4.5 times its direct income. It is further noted that the ratio of the gross forestry product to the gross national product. rose significantly from 8.8 percent in 1963 to 10.7 percent in 1966. E. In computing the above mentioned ratio not taken into consideration were such intangible, indirect effects as the drought and flood prevention, check of soil run-off, watershed and land conservation, improvement of the people's recreational and emotional living, and maintenance and increase in the national health and sanitation. F. In conclusion, I would like to emphasize that the forestry sector exercices an important effect upon the national economy and that the effect of induced forestry output is greater than its direct income.

  • PDF