• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Situation Analysis Model

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Classification of Freeway Traffic Condition by the Impacts of Road Weather Factors (도로기상요인의 영향에 따른 고속도로 교통상황 유형 분류)

  • Shim, Sangwoo;Choi, Keechoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.6D
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    • pp.685-691
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to classify the traffic condition in freeway by the impacts of road weather. The factor analysis showed that weather factors, which are considered as influential, are identified as weather condition (rain or clear), temperature and sight distance with RWIS and VDS data in Seohae bridge used. The result of ANOVA shows that weather is dividedinto clear and rainy; temperature into below and equal or above $5^{\circ}C$ and sight distance into below or equal or above 10km. Based on those factors, the freeway traffic condition has been classified as five different types. The flow-speed model for each traffic conditions was proposed, which was not significant due to the lack of smaple data. Although not sufficient, the methodology to categorize traffic situation model presented in this paper may shed light on the idea for the future and can be used for proper traffic management for each weather condition.

Performance Analysis of a Sleep Mode Operation in the IEEE 802.16e Wireless MAN with M/G/1 Multiple Vacations Model (M/G/1 복수 휴가 모델을 이용한 IEEE 802.16e 무선 MAN 수면모드 작동에 대한 성능분석)

  • Jung, Sung-Hwan;Hong, Jung-Wan;Chang, Woo-Jin;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, an analytic model of a sleep mode operation in the IEEE 802.16e is investigated. A mobile subscriber station(MSS) goes to sleep mode after negotiations with the base station(BS) and wakes up periodically for a short interval to check whether there is downlink traffic to it. If the arrival of traffic is notified, an MSS returns to wake mode. Otherwise, it again enters increased sleep interval which is double as the previous one. In order to consider the situation more practically, we propose the sleep mode starting threshold, during which MSS should await packets before it enters the sleep mode. By modifying the M/G/l with multiple vacations model, energy consumption ratio(ECR) and average packet response time are calculated. Our analytic model provides potential guidance in determining the optimal parameters values such as sleep mode starting threshold, minimal sleep and maximal sleep window.

Modeling and Performance Analysis on the Response Capacity against Alert Information in an Intrusion Detection System (침입탐지시스템에서 경보정보에 대한 대응 능력 모델링 및 성능분석)

  • Jeon Yong-Hee;Jang Jung-Sook;Jang Jong-Soo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.12C no.6 s.102
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    • pp.855-864
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose an intrusion detection system(IDS) architecture which can detect and respond against the generation of abnormal traffic such as malicious code and Internet worms. We model the system, design and implement a simulator using OPNET Modeller, for the performance analysis on the response capacity of alert information in the proposed system. At first, we model the arrival process of alert information resulted from abnormal traffic. In order to model the situation in which alert information is intensively produced, we apply the IBP(Interrupted Bernoulli Process) which may represent well the burstiness of traffic. Then we perform the simulation in order to gain some quantitative understanding of the system for our performance parameters. Based on the results of the performance analysis, we analyze factors which may hinder in accelerating the speed of security node, and would like to present some methods to enhance performance.

Performance Analysis of a Congestion cControl Mechanism Based on Active-WRED Under Multi-classes Traffic (멀티클래스 서비스 환경에서 Active-WRED 기반의 혼잡 제어 메커니즘 및 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Jong;Kim, Jong-Chan;Choi, Seong-Gon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose active queue management mechanism (Active-WRED) to guarantee quality of the high priority service class in multi-class traffic service environment. In congestion situation, this mechanism increases drop probability of low priority traffic and reduces the drop probability of the high priority traffic, therefore it can improve the quality of the high priority service. In order to analyze the performance of our mechanism we introduce the stochastic analysis of a discrete-time queueing systems for the performance evaluation of the Active Queue Management (AQM) based congestion control mechanism called Weighted Random Early Detection (WRED) using a two-state Markov-Modulated Bernoulli arrival process (MMBP-2) as the traffic source. A two-dimensional discrete-time Harkov chain is introduced to model the Active-WRED mechanism for two traffic classes (Guaranteed Service and Best Effort Service) where each dimension corresponds to a traffic class with its own parameters.

Predicting Dangerous Traffic Intervals between Ships in Vessel Traffic Service Areas Using a Poisson Distribution (푸아송 분포를 이용한 해상교통관제 구역 내 선박 상호간 교통위험 상황의 발생 간격 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Won;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.402-409
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    • 2016
  • Vessel traffic servies (VTS) control movements in ports and coastal areas 24 hours a day using VHF. Thus, we were able to check ship movements and the patterns followed by VTS officers in VTS areas using VHF communication analysis. This study is intended to identify control intervals for dangerous situations and provide VTS officers with basic data and guidelines to prevent these occurrences in advance. We listened to Busan port's VHF communication for seven days and obtained risk values using the Park model with reference to controlled ships. The probability of a dangerous situation arising under a controller's watch per unit of time was confirmed to follow a Poisson distribution. As a result, for each 3.50 hours that VTS directly controls an area, (and in daytime for each 2.85 hours) a ship communicates in a VTS area every 3.84 hours, and some of there communications exceed certain risk values in VTS areas.

The Influence of Traffic Information based on VMS(Variable Message Sign) on the Selection of Drivers' Route (VMS(Variable Message Sign)를 통한 교통정보 제공이 운전자의 운행경로 전환에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung, Hun Young;Son, Su Ran;Lee, Jeong Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2D
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2011
  • The provision of traffic information plays an important role in increasing social benefit not only by saving travel time for individuals but also by improving the efficiency of road operation. VMS(Variable Message Sign) helps on-wheel drivers easily understand the road situation, and also provides real-time traffic information to people on the streets. However, it has not been sufficiently studied on how traffic information based on VMS influences on the drivers' selection of route. This study investigated how drivers use VMS traffic information and how they are satisfied with it. Then, the model of drivers' route selection was specified with the types of traffic information and the expected travel time to examine the influence on the selection of drivers' route. The model was estimated and analyzed in three types according to the condition of detour roads, and the rate of route change and the degree of sensitivity was calculated from the estimation. The results of analysis are as follows. the $1^{st}$ type model showed the 10% of route change for the travel time saving of 5minutes, and the 81.6% of route change for the travel time saving of 20minutes. The $2^{nd}$ type led to the range of route change from 14.2% to 92.7% over the 5 through 20 minutes of travel time saving. The $3^{rd}$ model resulted in the 99.1% of route change. The sensitivity of route change showed the highest for the travel time saving of 11 minutes with the $1^{st}$ type model, 9 minutes with the $2^{nd}$ type model, and 5 minutes with the $3^{rd}$ type model respectively.

Construction of an Estimation Model for Intersection Queue Length (교차로의 대기행렬 예측모형구축에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hyung K.;Min, Joon H.;Choi, Jong U.
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.1070-1081
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    • 1996
  • In this research, a model was developed for estimating the queue length of vehicles, based on occupancy time of each vehicle collected by loop detectors which were setup at the upstream of urban street. The estimation model suggestes a method which minimizes architectural effects of the street, such as existence of pedestrian crossing, for future applications to the field. The estimation model suggested in this research was established based on real traffic data collected at up-stream detectors in Kangnam Subway station, Seoul, and the formula of the model is based on Multi-Polynomial equations. Consequence of the experiments showed that the model can adequately and in real-time mode measure length of the queue which were constructed at the 80 to 90 meters away from the upstream detectors. The estimation accuracy of the model was verified in statistical analysis conducted by regressing analysis and test results in real traffic situation.

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Risk Analysis of VTS operators for Small Vessels Using Collision Risk Assessment Model (충돌위험도 평가 모델을 활용한 소형선박에 대한 선박교통관제사의 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Jin-Suk;Kim, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the risk of collision accidents to the VTSOs (Vessel Traffic Service Operators) as small ferries and fishing boats are expanded for monitoring targets. The VTSOs was surveyed, the scale of the small vessels defined and the course of general cargo vessels and small vessels along the Busan VTS area investigated for three days. From calculating the risk with CoRI, patterns of increased or decreased risk due to course deviation were similar, and there was no significant difference between the maximum values and the minimum values. In addition, most VTSOs responded that the minimum time required was approximately three minutes to safely instruct in encounter situation, however, the collision risk with a small vessel is very rapidly changing within the three minutes, which is likely to increase the workload and decrease the concentration of the VTSOs. The objective of this study was to investigate the effect on VTSOs with respect to the expansion of small vessels as collision risk, it is expected that it will contribute to the establishment of a suitable scale for the target vessels for VTS through the analysis of each index of the CoRI model and various case studies.

Prediction of Evacuation Time for Emergency Planning Zone of Uljin Nuclear Site (울진원전 방사선비상계획구역에 대한 소개시간 예측)

  • Jeon, In-Young;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 2002
  • The time for evacuation of residents in emergency planning zone(EPZ) of Uljin nuclear site in case of a radiological emergency was estimated with traffic analysis. Evacuees were classified into 4 groups by considering population density, local jurisdictions, and whether they ate residents or transients. The survey to investigate the behavioral characteristics of the residents was made for 200 households and included a hypothetical scenario explaining the accident situation and questions such as dwelling place, time demand for evacuation preparation transportation means for evacuation, sheltering place, and evacuation direction. The microscopic traffic simulation model, CORSIM, was used to simulate the behavior of evacuating vehicles on networks. The results showed that the evacuation time required for total vehicles to move out from EPZ took longer in the daytime than at night in spite that the delay times at intersections were longer at night than in the daytime. This was analyzed due to the differences of the trip generation time distribution. To validate whether the CORSIM model fan appropriately simulate the congested traffic phenomena assumable in case of emergency, a benchmark study was conducted at an intersection without an actuated traffic signal near Uljin site during the traffic peak-time in the morning. This study indicated that the predicted output by the CORSIM model was in good agreement with the observed data. satisfying the purpose of this study.

Speed Prediction and Analysis of Nearby Road Causality Using Explainable Deep Graph Neural Network (설명 가능 그래프 심층 인공신경망 기반 속도 예측 및 인근 도로 영향력 분석 기법)

  • Kim, Yoo Jin;Yoon, Young
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2022
  • AI-based speed prediction studies have been conducted quite actively. However, while the importance of explainable AI is emerging, the study of interpreting and reasoning the AI-based speed predictions has not been carried out much. Therefore, in this paper, 'Explainable Deep Graph Neural Network (GNN)' is devised to analyze the speed prediction and assess the nearby road influence for reasoning the critical contributions to a given road situation. The model's output was explained by comparing the differences in output before and after masking the input values of the GNN model. Using TOPIS traffic speed data, we applied our GNN models for the major congested roads in Seoul. We verified our approach through a traffic flow simulation by adjusting the most influential nearby roads' speed and observing the congestion's relief on the road of interest accordingly. This is meaningful in that our approach can be applied to the transportation network and traffic flow can be improved by controlling specific nearby roads based on the inference results.