• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Accident Severity

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Traffic Accident Damage Severity of Old Age Drivers by Multilevel Analysis Model (다수준분석모형을 이용한 고령운전자 교통사고 피해 심각성 분석)

  • Jang, Tae Youn
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes traffic accident severity of old age drivers in fourteen cities and counties of Jeonbuk Province. It is assumed that traffic accident effecting factors have two staged structure by personal and driving environment and urban characteristics. Multilevel Analysis Model is used under the assumption of hierarchical characteristics to analyze factors effecting severity. As the driver's age increases after sixty-five years old, accident damages become severe. The drunk driving is likely to make traffic accident damage more severer. The number of fatal accident by old age drivers is about three time more than by no old age drivers. Old age drivers have higher number of night traffic accidents but severer ones in daytime. Old age drivers show the higher number of traffic accidents but severer ones in fine weather. Wet road surface also influences damage severity and especially old age drivers show higher serious damage and fatal than no old drivers.

Studying the Comparative Analysis of Highway Traffic Accident Severity Using the Random Forest Method. (Random Forest를 활용한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sun-min Lee;Byoung-Jo Yoon;WutYeeLwin
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.156-168
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The trend of highway traffic accidents shows a repeating pattern of increase and decrease, with the fatality rate being highest on highways among all road types. Therefore, there is a need to establish improvement measures that reflect the situation within the country. Method: We conducted accident severity analysis using Random Forest on data from accidents occurring on 10 specific routes with high accident rates among national highways from 2019 to 2021. Factors influencing accident severity were identified. Result: The analysis, conducted using the SHAP package to determine the top 10 variable importance, revealed that among highway traffic accidents, the variables with a significant impact on accident severity are the age of the perpetrator being between 20 and less than 39 years, the time period being daytime (06:00-18:00), occurrence on weekends (Sat-Sun), seasons being summer and winter, violation of traffic regulations (failure to comply with safe driving), road type being a tunnel, geometric structure having a high number of lanes and a high speed limit. We identified a total of 10 independent variables that showed a positive correlation with highway traffic accident severity. Conclusion: As accidents on highways occur due to the complex interaction of various factors, predicting accidents poses significant challenges. However, utilizing the results obtained from this study, there is a need for in-depth analysis of the factors influencing the severity of highway traffic accidents. Efforts should be made to establish efficient and rational response measures based on the findings of this research.

A Study on Development of Traffic Accident Merging Index for Local Governments (지방자치단체 교통사고통합지수 개발방안에 관한 연구)

  • Rim, Cheoul-Woong;Cho, Jeong-Kwon;Kim, Su-Yeol;Kim, Ju-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2012
  • Traffic Accident Merging Index (TAMI) is developed for TMACS (Traffic Safety Information Management Complex System). TAMI is calculated by combining 'Severity Index' and 'Frequency'. The existing indexes are Traffic deaths per 100,000 population, Traffic deaths per 100,000 inhabitants/per billion veh-km, etc. However, there is no consistency in using them among local governments, so it can create confusion. Moreover, the index level is too complicated to understand. Therefore, this study suggests new traffic safety index, TAMI. It will work to improve the weaknesses and present accurate status of traffic safety in local governments.

Analysis of Traffic Accident Severity by Aging Level (고령화 수준별 교통사고 심각성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae Yang;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 2018
  • Korea has entered to 'aged society', which the elderly people over 65 years old is over 14% of total population. This paper aims to analyze the traffic accident by aging level. In pursuing the above, this paper focuses on modeling the traffic accident severity based on three aging levels. The main results are as follows. First, the ratio of fatal and serious injured persons (FSI) is judged to increase according to increasing aging level. Second, the null hypothesis that there is no difference in FSI among three aging levels (aging, aged, and super-aged) is rejected. Four accident severity generalized linear models which are all statistically significant have been developed. Third, the common variables are analyzed to be median age, the number of hospital beds per persons, and turn signal usage ratio. Fourth, the differentiated traffic safety policies fitted to aging levels are required. The enforcement of traffic law violation and safety enhancement of motorcycle in the region of 'aging society', improvement of traffic facilities in the region of 'aged society', and expansion of transportation facilities in the region of 'super-aged society' are evaluated to be indispensable.

Forecasting of Probability of Accident by Analizing the Traffic Accident Data : Main Intersections on Arterial Roads in Busan (교통사고 데이터분석을 통한 교통사고 위험도 산정 : 부산시 주간선도로 주요교차로를 대상으로)

  • Jung, Kun Young;Bae, Sang Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of forecasting the traffic accident is to reduce the traffic accident. Therefore, the goal of this study is to provide severity of the accident by Forecasting of Probability of Accident. In Korea, accident data are distributed to the public via internet that includes numbers of accident and fatality as well. And crude level of accident severity in accordance with weather information for metropolitan city level are available by weekly. However, It can not reflect personal needs at specific origin of the travel for a certain traveller. This study aims to consider 68 major intersections with precipitation data, and eventually introduces link based accident severity. In estimating the accident severity both dynamic data such as drivers' characteristics, driving conditions and static data such as geometry of road, intersection characteristics are considered. Also, we identifies accident severity according to the accident type - 'vehicle to vehicle,' 'vehicle to person.' Finally, the outcomes of this study suggests taylor-made accident severity information for a specific traveller for a certain route.

Discriminant Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity During Daytime and Nighttime (판별분석을 활용한 주·야간 고속도로 교통사고 영향요인 비교연구)

  • Kim, Kyoungtae;Lee, Soobeom;Choi, Jihye;Park, Sinae;Seo, Geumyeol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : Low visibility caused by dark surroundings at nighttime affects the likelihood of accidents, and various efforts, such as installing road safety facilities, have been made to reduce accidents at night. Despite these efforts, the nighttime severity index (SI) in Korea was higher than the daytime SI during 2011-2014. This study determined the factors affecting daytime and nighttime accident severity through a discriminant analysis. METHODS : Discriminant analysis. RESULTS : First, drowsiness, lack of attention, and lighting facilities affected both daytime and nighttime accident severity. Accidents were found to be caused by a low ability to recognize the driving conditions and a low obstacle avoidance capability. Second, road conditions and speeding affected only the daytime accident severity. Third, failure to maintain a safe distance significantly affected daytime accident severity and nonsignificantly affected nighttime accident severity. The majority of such accidents were caused by rear-end collisions of vehicles driving in the same direction; given the low relative speed difference in such cases, the shock imparted by the accidents was minimal. CONCLUSIONS : Accidents caused by a failure to maintain a safe distance has lower severity than do accidents caused by other factors.

Research on the Investigation of ΔV (Delta-V) for the Quality Improvement of Korean In-Depth Accident Study (KIDAS) Database (한국형 실사고 심층조사 데이터베이스 질향상을 위한 차량속도(ΔV) 측정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Yeon Il;Lee, Kang Hyun;Kong, Joon Seok;Lee, Hee Young;Jeon, Joon Ho;Park, Jong Jin;Kim, Sang Chul
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 2020
  • Modern traffic accidents are a complex occurrence. Various indicators are needed to analyze traffic accidents. Countries that have been investigating traffic accidents for a long time accumulate various data to analyze traffic accidents. The Korean In-Depth Accident Study (KIDAS) database collected damaged vehicles and severity of injury caused by Collision Deformation Classification code (CDC code), Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS), and Injury Severity Score (ISS). As a result of the investigation, data relating to the injuries of the occupants can be easily obtained, but it was difficult to analyze human severity based on the information of the damaged vehicle. This study suggests a method to measure the speed change at the time of an accident, which is one of the most important indicators in the vehicle crash database, to help advance KIDAS research.

Relationship between Severity of Physical Trauma and Subsequent the Severity of PTSD Symptoms in Traffic Accident Related PTSD Patients (교통사고 관련 외상후 스트레스 장애 환자에서 신체적 외상의 정도와 외상후 스트레스 장애 증상의 심각도 사이의 관계)

  • Lee, Ji-Youn;Na, Chul;Cho, Ju-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 1998
  • Objective: This study was designed to evaluate the etiological factors of the PTSD(post traumatic stress disorder) by examining the relationship between severity of physical trauma and subsequent the severity of PTSD symptom in traffic accident related PTSD patients. Method: Subjects were 21 psychiatric inpatients with history of traffic accident related PTSD(DSM-IV criteria), the purpose of evaluation of mental disability and no evidence of organic brain leisons. The severity of physical trauma was assessed by McBride number of nonpsychiatric department and the presence / absence of loss of conciousness. The severity of PTSD symptom was assessed by Hovens' self rating inventory for PTSD. And then we evaluated the correlation between these two factors. And we also evaluated relationship between severity of PTSD symtom and clinical variables. Results : There were no significant relationship between McBride number of nonpsychiatric department severity and symptomatic severity(r= 0.17, p<0.05), the presence / absence of loss of conciousness and symptomatic severity(p>0.05). And significant relationship between symptomatic severity and clinical varibles such as sex, education level, marital status(p<0.05). Conclusions : These data did not support data of previous studies that traumatic severity was correlated with symptom severity but, suggested that other variables affecting the severity of PTSD symptom is more important indirectly. And that the 'trauma' in PTSD is psychological meaning rather than physical meaning is also suggested.

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Correlation between injury and the injury severity score in geriatric traffic accident patients transported by 119 rescue services (119로 내원한 노인교통사고 환자의 손상과 손상중증도계수의 상관관계 분석)

  • Park, Yu-Jin;Kim, Byung-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of the study was to investigate the correlation between injury and injury severity score (ISS) in geriatric traffic accident patients transported by 119 emergency medical technicians (EMTs). Methods: The subjects were 240 traffic accident patients over 65 years old transported by 119 rescue services emergency departments in Busan from January 1, 2014 to August 31, 2015. Results: ISS increased in motorcycle traffic accidents (p=.026), truck injuries (p=.005), and head and neck injury (p<.001). Vital signs were evaluated by 119 rescue EMT. ISS increased in cases of unresponsive unconsciousness (p<.001), hypotension (p=.001), and bradycardia (p<.001). The need for bleeding control and dressing by the EMTs increased ISS significantly (p=.022). Conclusion: In the initial evaluation of geriatric traffic patients, ISS can increase in motor cycle accidents and truck injuries. Due to high ISS, patients with head and neck injury, chest injury, hypotension, or tachycardia should be transferred to advanced level hospitals.

A Study on Practical Method of Utility Curve for Deciding Priority Order of the Improvements in Traffic Safety Audit (교통안전진단 개선방안들의 우선순위 산정 연구)

  • Choi, Ji Hye;Kang, Soon Yang;Hong, Ji Yeon;Lim, Joon Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.143-155
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    • 2016
  • Recently, a massive loss of life and property is occurring in Korea due to traffic accidents, with the rapid increase in cars. For improvement of traffic safety, the Korea Transportation Safety Authority intensively analyzes accident data in local governments with low traffic safety index, performs a field investigation to extract problems and offers local governments improvements for problems, by conducting the 'Special Survey of Actual Conditions of Traffic Safety' each year, starting 2008. But local governments cannot strongly push forward the improvement projects due to the limited budget and the uncertainty of the improvement plan effects. Therefore, this study suggested a model which applied the Utility concept to the AHP theory, in order to efficiently decide a priority of the improvement plans in accident black spots in consideration of the limited budget of local governments. The number of accidents in each spot for improvement and accident severity, traffic volume, pedestrian volume, the improvement project cost and the accident reduction effect were chosen as evaluation factors for deciding a priority, and data about the improvement plan costs and the accident reduction effects, traffic accidents and traffic volume in the spots to undergo the special research on the real condition of traffic accident in the past were collected from the existing studies. Then, regression analysis was carried out and the Utility Curve of each evaluation factor was computed. Based on the AHP analysis findings, this study devised a priority decision method which calculated the weight and the utility function of each evaluation factor and compared the total utility values. The AHP analysis findings showed that among the evaluation factors, accident severity had the biggest importance and it was followed by the improvement plan cost, the number of accidents, the improvement effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume. The calculated utility function shows a rise in utility, as the variables of the 5 evaluation factors; the number of accidents, accident severity, the improvement plan effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume increase and a fall in utility, as the variables of the improvement plan cost increase, since the improvement plan cost is included in the budget spent by a local government.