• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Accident Analysis

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Random Parameter Negative Binomial Models of Interstate Accident Frequencies on Interchange Segment by Interchange Type/Region (RPNB 모형을 이용한 고속도로 인터체인지 구간에서의 교통사고모형 - 인터체인지 형태별/지역별로)

  • Lee, Geun Hee;Park, Minho;Roh, Jeonghyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation's specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation's specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.

An Analysis of the Hazardous Highway Segments Using Continuous Risk Profile Method (고속도로 사고잦은 지점 분석방법 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Il;Yu, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2010
  • We have to develop more correct and systematic way to choose Hazardous Highway Segments. In this research, we applied CRP(Continuous Risk Profile) technique which developed by UC Berkeley Traffic Safety Center in year of 2007, and can analyze yearly dangerous level tendency of continuity in the route of main road that is under California Department of Transportation(Caltrans). We changed standard of CRP to suit in Korean circumstance with consideration in radius of curve and traffic volume. For the verification by actual accident data, we embodiment the CRP by using the data from total of 587 case of accident in latest 10 years in Gyeong-Bu Highways, the amount of 56km. Finally, the effectiveness of technique in this research has been verified by obtained same result with current method for Hazardous Highway Segments. In addition, when calculating the Hazardous Highway Segments with technique that presented in this research we obtained following statements. First, identified dangerous level of continuity in the route by using CRP. Second, Accurate of Actual Hazardous Highway Segments selection has been developed by using last 10 year's data and profile making which provide simplicity analyze of Tendency. Third, after reforming the way of selection, effective range has been wider than former selection and it gives advantage for the policy side.

A Study on the Development of Basic Model for Marine Traffic Assessment Considering the Encounter Type Between Vessels (선박조우 형태를 고려한 해상교통환경평가 기초 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Jong-Sung;Park, Young-Soo;Heo, Tae-Young;Jeong, Jae-Yong;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2011
  • Korea coastal area is highly potential dangerous zone of marine accident due to frequent ship's encounters. VTS center can't identify ship's information because of beyond VHF range. It is also difficult of us to efficiently manage vessel traffic beyond VTS control area, so that it can't prevent marine accident. Presently, korean government is conducting maritime traffic safety assessment according to enlargement of harbor & development of new port but do not have the system which provide danger of information depending on maritime traffic environment with real time. So it is necessary to develop evaluation index which can assess sea risk through the evaluation of maritime traffic environment. In this paper, on the basis of vessel navigator's risk consciousness, we carried out survey & statistical analysis vessel navigator's subjective risk depending on the LOA, crossing situation($045^{\circ}$, $090^{\circ}$, $135^{\circ}$), overtaking, head-on situation, encountering vessel's side, within or outside harbor, speed with other vessel(ex. same, fast or slow), speed difference with other vessel and distance with other vessel & propose basic expression to develop maritime traffic safety evaluation model. And by using this model, we can confirm that this proposing expression is suitable for domestic maritime traffic environment.

Quantitative Analysis of Safety Improvement on Smart Roads (스마트도로 안전성 향상 효과의 정량화 연구)

  • Chang, Hyun-Ho;Baek, Seung-Kirl;Oh, Sung-Ho;Kim, Ho-Jeung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.44-54
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    • 2011
  • Intelligent transport services on smart roads tend to have a problem at the stage of benefit-cost analysis that can not secure economic feasibility of the new services which increase early investment cost on building its infrastructure. It is expected that the number of road accidents, 'Incident/Accident', will decline through various safety services using intelligent safety facilities, intelligent transport management and so on, and that traffic congestion will also decrease. The effect of traffic congestion reduction could be the benefit by safety improvement, however current investment-analysis process in Korea does not appropriate it as a benefit. This study estimated road blocking time with 'Incident/Accident' classification and highway accident data of past three years. It also developed a generalized model by a regression analysis with a microscopical simulation. Furthermore, it suggested necessary units on quantitative analysis in order to make the developed model applicable to investment evaluation. As a result of applying the developed model to Smart-Highway Project, it showed that total safety improvement benefit is about 139 billion dollars over 30 years when it is supposed that accident decreasing rate by smart safety facilities is 10%.

Modeling Traffic Accident Occurrence Involving Child Pedestrians at School Zone (공간적 특성을 고려한 어린이 교통사고 모형 개발)

  • BEAK, Tea Hun;Son, Seulki;PARK, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop road traffic accident model involving child pedestrian especially at school zones and its surrounding area. The analysis is based upon traffic accident data collected near sixty elementary schools in City of Cheongju during 2012 and 2014. This study results in two statistical models ; one is to predict the number of road traffic accidents involving children, and the other is to predict EPDO(Equivalent Prperty Damage Only). These models are represented as Poisson models. which are statistically significant with the likelihood ratios of 0.533 and 0.273. The common explanatory variables of these models are the ratio of road section with more than 4 lanes, the number of entrance and exit, the number of signalized crosswalk in school zone, the number of school zone signage including road surface marking, and the number of speed limit signs. The specific variables are the length of road stretch in school zone, the number of reflector mirrors, and the number of signalized crosswalk outside school zone. It is concluded that these types of road safety facilities can reduce the number of traffic accidents involving children at school zones and its surrounding area.

A Study for Influence of Sun Glare Effect on Traffic Safety at Tunnel Hood (직광에 의한 눈부심 현상이 터널 출구부 안전성에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kim, Youngrok;Kim, Sangyoup;Choi, Jaisung;Lee, Daesung
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : In Korea, over 70 percent of the land consists of mountainous and rolling area. Thus, tunnels continue its upward trend as road network are extended. In these circumstances, the importance of tunnel has been increased nowadays and then its safety investigation and research should be performed. This study is focus on confirming and improving the safety of tunnel. On tunnel hood, sunglare effect can irritate driver's behavior instantly and this can result in incident. METHODS : The study of this phenomenon is rarely conducted in domestic and foreign papers, so there is no proper measure for this. This study analyzes the driving environment of the effect of sunglare effect on tunnel hood. RESULTS : Traffic accidents stem from complex set of factors. This study build the Traffic Accident Prediction Models to find out the effect of sunglare effect on tunnel's hood. The independent variables are traffic volume, geometric design of road, length of tunnel and road side environment. Using these variables, this model estimates accident frequency on tunnel hood by Poisson regression model and Negative binomial regression model. Although Poisson regression model have more proper goodness of fit than Negative binomial regression model, Poisson regression model has overdipersion problem. So the Negative binomial regression model is used in this analysis. CONCLUSIONS : Consequently, the model shows that sunglare effect can play a role in driving safety on tunnel hood. As a result, the information of sunglare effect should be noticed ahead of tunnel hood so this can prevent drivers from being in hazard situation.

Study on the Development of Truck Traffic Accident Prediction Models and Safety Rating on Expressways (고속도로 화물차 교통사고 건수 예측모형 및 안전등급 개발 연구)

  • Jungeun Yoon;Harim Jeong;Jangho Park;Donghyo Kang;Ilsoo Yun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the number of truck traffic accidents was predicted by using Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis to understand what factors affect accidents using expressway data. Significant variables in the truck traffic accident prediction model were continuous driving time, link length, truck traffic volume. number of bridges and number of drowsy shelters. The calculated LOSS rating was expressed on the national expressway network to diagnose the risk of truck accidents. This is expected to be used as basic data for policy establishment to reduce truck accidents on expressways.

A Factor Analysis of Traffic Accidents Through Traffic Safety Diagnosis Results - Driver Factor - (교통안전진단 결과분석을 통한 교통사고 요인분석 - 사고자 요인을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Hwan-Seung;Ahn, Byung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.2 s.74
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    • pp.128-137
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    • 2006
  • Traffic accidents occur due to complex influences of transportation companies, drivers, and road environment. This study found that education and surroundings for transportation companies, driving habits of drivers, and road safety facilities and accessory facilities were main factors that affected strongly traffic accidents. Also, it found that driving habits of drivers could affect accidents heavily more than two other factors. Road safety and accessory facilities were analysed that they affected traffic accidents independently with transportation companies and their own drivers. Therefore, in order to achieve a traffic accident prevention as our main target, those companies need to produce atmosphere that their own drivers can have safety awareness, and related institutions for the above target should run parallel with policy assistance and strict traffic enforcement. In the end, this study suggests that transportation companies should secure manpower wholly being charged with traffic safety and financial resources investing in it.

Pattern Analysis for Urban Spatial Distribution of Traffic Accidents in Jinju (진주시 교통사고의 도시공간분포패턴 분석)

  • Sung, Byeong Jun;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2014
  • Since traffic accidents account for the highest proportion of the artificial disasters which occur in urban areas along with fire, more scientific an analysis on the causes of traffic accidents and various prevention measures against traffic accidents are needed. In this study, the research selected Jinju-si, which belongs to local small and medium-sized cities as a research target to analyze the characteristics of temporal and spacial distribution of traffic accidents by associating the data of traffic accidents, occurred in 2013 with the causes of traffic accidents and location information that includes occurrence time and seasonal features. It subsequently examines the spatial correlation between traffic accidents and the characteristics of urban space development according to the plans of land using. As a result, the characteristics of accident distribution according to the types of accidents reveal that side right-angle collisions (car versus car) and pedestrian-crossing accident (car versus man) showed the highest clustering in the density analysis and average nearest neighbor analysis. In particular, traffic accidents occurred the most on roads which connect urban central commercial areas, high-density residential areas, and industrial areas. In addition, human damage in damage conditions, clear day in weather condition, dry condition in the road condition, and three-way intersection in the road way showed the highest clustering.

A Study on Traffic Accident Analysis Treatment and a plan Practical Use by Photogrammetry (사진측량에 의한 교통사고분석처리 및 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • 백은기;김감래
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 1989
  • Sport photographing by the Stereo-Camera generally used in Europ, Japan, etc was applied to the traffic-accident analysis more preferreatially than the measuring with Tape where some problems are found in its accuracy and duribility. Time for photographing and that for measuring a datum point were compared causes for accidents were analyzed by spot drawing PAMS, with a patameter of an exclusively used drawing set, after 3-dimensions were first measured and computed in Stereo-model. Also the collision-angle, the direction of the handle and the quartity of loss after a clash were computed by using a accident vehicle as a model those data was suggested as a way of potential practical the accidents at large.

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