• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제37권4호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2021

항만배후단지는 실질적인 신규 물동량 및 고부가가치 창출에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 항만에서 단순 경유되는 환적화물을 수탁가공으로 전환하여 항만배후단지로 유치할 수 있다면 신규 물동량과 고부가가치 창출에 크게 기여할 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구는 국내 수탁가공 실적과 환적화물의 적하목록 실적을 기준으로 항만배후단지 유치에 적합하고 수탁가공으로의 전환도 가능한 품목과 그 규모를 산정하였다. 수탁가공 실적 상위 50개 품목을 분류하고 그 중 33개 품목이 항만배후단지 유치에 적합한 것으로 제시하였다. 부산항은 국내 수탁가공 전체 규모보다 3.2배가 많은 유치 가능 물동량을 단순 환적하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 광양항도 상당한 물동량이 단순 경유하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 환적화물의 적하목록을 무역실적과 비교한 첫 번째 연구로서 항만공사, 정부, 지자체 등의 기업유치 활동에 유용한 정보를 제공할 것이다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제41권4호
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• pp.1-19
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• 2016

본 연구는 개발도상국인 65개국을 대륙별, 소득별로 구분하여 어떤 요인이 FDI를 유발하는지를 분석하였다. 본 연구는 1993~2013년 기간의 패널자료를 가지고 GDP, Trade, ODA, 부가가치(Industrial value added), 사회기반시설(INFRA), 노동 가능한 인구(Labor), 인플레이션(Inflation)등의 연구모형을 구축하였다. 분석결과 경제성장률은 저소득보다 중간소득 국가와 아시아 대륙에 더 큰 영향을 주었으며, 교역량은 저소득 국가보다 중간소득 국가와 아프리카 대륙에 더 큰 영향을 주었으며, ODA은 소득별 및 대륙별 구분 없이 FDI유입에 부정적인 영향을 준 것으로 확인되었다. 산업부가가치율은 저소득보다 중간소득 국가와 아프리카 대륙의 FDI유입에 더 많은 영향을 주었으며, 노동 가능한 인구는 중간 소득보다 저소득 국가와 아프리카 대륙의 FDI 유입에 긍정적인 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 사회기반시설은 저소득국가보다 중간 소득국가와 아시아 및 아프리카 대륙의 FDI유입에 가장 많은 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 인플레이션률은 소득별 및 대륙별 구분 없이 FDI유입에 부정적인 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권6호
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• pp.157-172
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• 2020

This study attempts to analyze trade flows between Vietnam and China in order to understand the mutual influence of bilateral trade relations. China is a country with the world's leading economic potential. China and Vietnam are neighboring countries sharing a border of 1,281 km. Trade relations between the two countries are a necessity and, with a right policy, are beneficial to both. Vietnam has a trade deficit with China. This situation is exacerbated by the continuing rise in the gap. Vietnam trade deficit from China was USD12.5 billion in 2010, increasing to USD24 billion in 2018. Data are extracted from the 2015 national input-output tables of Vietnam and China as well as Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey statistics. The research identified 36 sectors of bilateral input-output trade between Vietnam and China. A bilateral output-input model is applied to analyze how final demand and use of input in the production of this country induces output and value added of the other country. The results show that China benefits more from Vietnam's production and consumption than Vietnam does. Vietnam's inter-sector structure does not stimulate domestic production due to the absence of supporting products as inputs in the production process.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.71-79
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• 2016

In this study, we attempt to examine the economic impacts of the CCS marine geological storage demonstration project in Korea using Input-Output analysis utilizing the inter-industry relation table issued in 2013. In particular, this study defines the $CO_2$ ocean storage industry and then added the inter-industry relation table and treated the $CO_2$ ocean storage industry as exogenous. In addition, this study assumed two scenarios based on the means of $CO_2$ transport, which are pipe and ship. After defining the industry and scenarios, this study investigates the production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect of the industries associated with the $CO_2$ ocean storage industry based on a demand-driven model. The results pertaining to the scenarios are estimated as follows: total production-inducing effects, value added inducing effects, and employment-inducing effects are calculated as 1.9044 won, 1.2487 won and 16.7224 people/billion won, respectively. In addition, compared to other industries, the indirect economic impacts of the $CO_2$ ocean storage industry are ranked high: the rankings of production-inducing effects, value added inducing effects, and employment-inducing effects are fourth, second, and fifth, respectively.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.55-81
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• 2014

This study aims to answer two questions using input-output decomposition analysis: 1) Have emerging Asian economies decoupled? 2) What are the sources of structural changes in gross outputs and value-added of emerging Asian economies related to the first question? The main findings of the study are as follows: First, since 1990, there has been a trend of increasing dependence on exports to extra-regions such as G3 and the ROW, indicating no sign of "decoupling", but rather an increasing integration of emerging Asian countries into global trade. Second, there is a contrasting feature in the sources of structural changes between non-China emerging Asia and China. Dependence of non-China emerging Asia on intra-regional trade has increased in line with strengthening economic integration in East Asia, whereas China has disintegrated from the region. Therefore, it can be said that China has contributed to no sign of decoupling of emerging Asia as a whole.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.61-76
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• 2023

Purpose - The digital service trade has become an important driver of the global service trade. The main purpose of this study is to explore the influencing factors of digital service exports from China and Korea to RCEP sample countries respectively, and to comprehensively study the export potential of China and Korea to RCEP countries, so as to provide theoretical guidance and a decision-making reference to promote digital service trade exports and digital economy development in China and Korea. Design/methodology - First, the stochastic frontier gravity model was improved by introducing nonefficiency factors affecting digital services trade, extending the gravity model of traditional services trade exports to digital services trade exports. Secondly, the panel data of China and Korea for the eight sample countries of RCEP from 2011 to 2021 were adopted for the empirical analysis of digital service export potential by a stochastic frontier model. Findings - China's economic growth plays a role in increasing China's digital service trade exports, while Korea's economic growth does not play a significant role in increasing Korea's digital service trade exports. However, the economic growth of trading partner countries can play a significant role in boosting the digital service trade in both China and Korea, and comparison shows that Korea has higher resilience in the digital services trade than China. In addition, the market size of target countries plays a positive role in promoting the digital service trade exports of both China and Korea, and the increase in the value-added share of services in target countries will lead to a decrease in the digital service trade exports of both China and Korea. Originality/value - This study is innovative in terms of research perspective and method. Academic research on the export potential of international trade has been extensive, but most studies are based on the perspective of the goods trade, fewer studies are based on the perspective of the service trade, and there are almost no studies based on the perspective of digital service trade. There is a gap based on the comparative analysis of the export potential of the digital service trade between China and Korea. This study extends the gravitational model of traditional service trade exports to digital service trade exports to comparatively analyze the export potential of China and Korea to RCEP countries. This study addresses this limitation by analyzing a comparative analysis of the digital service trade export potential of China and Korea.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.323-331
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• 2020

The study aims to assess the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and international trade (export and import) on Vietnam's economic growth for the 2000-2018 period. Secondary data is taken from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. Ordinary least-square method is used in analyzing the impact of FDI, export and import on economic growth of Vietnam. Empirical test results show that FDI and international trade are related to Vietnam's economic growth. However, each economic variable has a different impact. FDI has a positive and statistically significant influence on economic growth of Vietnam. Export also has positive and statistically significant impact to the economic growth, while import has a negative but not statistically significant effect. The result is useful for the policy makers of Vietnam on foreign economic relations. In order to improve the effect of FDI and international trade on growth of the economy, the government of Vietnam should: (1) continue applying preferential policies to attract FDI; (2) select foreign investors aiming to quality, efficiency, high technology and environmental protection; (3) continue pursuing export-oriented policy; (4) enhance the added value of exported goods and control the type of imported goods; (5) further liberalize trade through signing and implementation of international trade commitments.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.243-258
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• 2021

본 연구는 미·중 무역 전쟁과 일대일로가 촉발할 세계무역의 변화를 부가가치 기준 무역 통계를 이용하고, 사회연결망 기법을 활용하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 첫째, 일대일로 무역 환경은 제조 허브로서의 중국의 위상을 견고히 하고, 유럽 서비스 산업의 위상을 강화한다. 둘째, 1995년부터 2011년까지 GVC 네트워크 내에서 영향력이 큰 산업인 미국의 R&D 산업과 도소매업 및 독일의 자동차 산업은 미·중 무역 분쟁과 일대일로 무역 환경이 반영된 2049년까지도 그 위상이 안정적으로 유지된다. 셋째, 커뮤니티 수의 증가를 통해 일대일로가 GVC 네트워크의 분화를 심화시킨다는 것을 확인할 수 있다. 끝으로 중국의 전자 산업, 독일의 자동차 산업, 미국의 R&D 산업의 커뮤니티 진화 형태에서 주목할 만한 특성이 발견되는데 이는 각국 서비스 산업의 역량과 밀접하게 연관된다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.45-53
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• 2002

A company's market value-added, which equals the excess of a company's market capitalization over it s book value, is used as one of the measures for intangible assets valuation in accounting literature. One problem with the approach is that the valuation results are affected by severe fluctuations in capital markets. In this paper, we propose an approach using the Kalman filter for intangible assets valuation. We apply this method to data of Korean electronic companies.

• 무역학회지
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• 제43권5호
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• pp.25-45
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• 2018

본 논문은 미국의 통상압력에 따른 국내 자동차산업의 수출손실 및 경제적 파급효과를 추정한다. 2010년~2017년 사이 HS 6단위 관세 및 수출자료를 이용하여 미국의 관세변화에 따른 대미 자동차수출 탄력성을 포아송 가성 최우추정기법을 적용하여 추정한다. 세 가지 통상압력 시나리오별로 대미 수출손실을 추정한 후 산업연관분석에 기반한 관세누적모형을 적용하여 국내 생산, 부가가치 및 고용에 미치는 영향을 추정한다. 분석결과 미국의 글로벌 관세율 25% 부과시 국내 경제 파급효과는 2019년~2023년 사이 5년간 수출손실 최대 308억 달러, 일자리손실 약 30만개, 생산유발손실 88.0조원, 부가가치유발손실 24.0조원으로 추정되었다. 자동차관세의 양허철회시 수출손실은 42.7억 달러, 일자리 손실은 4만 1천 7백여 명으로 추정되었다. 자동차부품에 대해 세이프가드 15% 관세율 적용시 3년간 대미 수출손실은 19.3억 달러, 일자리 손실은 1만 8천 7백여 명에 이를 것으로 추정되었다.