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A Study on the Insolvency Prediction Model for Korean Shipping Companies

  • Myoung-Hee Kim
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2024
  • To develop a shipping company insolvency prediction model, we sampled shipping companies that closed between 2005 and 2023. In addition, a closed company and a normal company with similar asset size were selected as a paired sample. For this study, data of a total of 82 companies, including 42 closed companies and 42 general companies, were obtained. These data were randomly divided into a training set (2/3 of data) and a testing set (1/3 of data). Training data were used to develop the model while test data were used to measure the accuracy of the model. In this study, a prediction model for Korean shipping insolvency was developed using financial ratio variables frequently used in previous studies. First, using the LASSO technique, main variables out of 24 independent variables were reduced to 9. Next, we set insolvent companies to 1 and normal companies to 0 and fitted logistic regression, LDA and QDA model. As a result, the accuracy of the prediction model was 82.14% for the QDA model, 78.57% for the logistic regression model, and 75.00% for the LDA model. In addition, variables 'Current ratio', 'Interest expenses to sales', 'Total assets turnover', and 'Operating income to sales' were analyzed as major variables affecting corporate insolvency.

Residential Preferences by Occupation and Health Status for the Elderly (노인의 취업여부와 건강 상태에 따른 주거선호)

  • 곽인숙
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.43-59
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the residential preferences, the type of house, the size of living space, and the region for later life and contributing factors to their housing plan. The sample in this study consisted of 572 aged couple living in Korea. Statistics employed for the analysis were frequencies, means, X2test, logit analysis and multiple regression. The results could be summarized as follows. They preferred 31.2 pyung as living space, the single detacted house(81.1%) and living in middle-small cities or rural area. The present living space, present living area, satisfaction of economic status had significant effects on the living space in later life. Those who had a plan to live in the single detached house were affected by husband's educational attaintment, the type of present house, present and future living region. And the factors affecting furture living region were present living region, household income, household expenditure, total asset and preferred housing type. The affecting factors were different from future residential preferences by occupation and health status.

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Financial management Behavior and Financial Solidity of Urban Households (도시가계의 재무관리행동과 재무건전성 - 광주광역시를 대상으로 -)

  • 정운영;황덕순
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.115-130
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    • 2002
  • The purposes of this study was to analyze the effects of household characteristics and financial variables on financial management behavior and financial solidity. The major results could be summarized as follows. First, Debt management behavior and risk management behavior reveled a higher score than any other financial management behaviors. The main determinants of financial management behavior were financial communication and financial attitudes. The more positive financial attitudes and the more financial communication were, the better the financial management behavior followed. The set of households characteristics variables accounted for 2% of the variance in the financial management behaviors. But the addition of financial related variables resulted in an R2 change of 33%. Second, the financial solidity by median was 4.10. It means that usuable net asset is four times higher than the total amount of risk. Household head\`s age, financial attitudes and financial management behavior were the variables affecting the financial solidity.

The bigger is the Better\ulcorner - An Analysis of the Hotel Financial Practices Based on Property Sizes -

  • Park, Jeong-Gil
    • Journal of Applied Tourism Food and Beverage Management and Research
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    • v.11
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    • pp.135-135
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    • 2000
  • The financial performance over the twenty four-year period (1968-1991) was analyzed with respect to six performance measures : current ratio, net sales to working capital for liquidity, total liabilities to net worth for solvency, asset turnover for activity, return on assets for profitability, and cost of operations for operating. Interesting enough, small size hotel companies have enjoyed great profitability while relatively big hotel companies have fallen under the average. Further, after a certain level of firm size, the costs of operations increase, not decrease, as plant size increase. This results lead to a conclusion that getting bigger is not always good financial decision.

Practical Approach for Pavement Treatment Decisions for Local Agencies

  • Abdelaty, Ahmed;Jeong, H. David;Smadi, Omar
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2017
  • Most local agencies such as counties and small cities continuously express difficulties in making technically and financially defensible decisions on their pavement infrastructure maintenance and rehabilitation. Unlike pavement systems managed by state highway agencies, the total lane-miles of many local pavements are significantly short and they are managed by a limited number of staff who typically have multiple responsibilities. Most local agencies also do not have historical pavement performance data and the lack of a systematic decision making framework exacerbates the problem. A structured framework and an easily accessible decision support tool that reflects their local requirements, practices and operational conditions would greatly assist them in making consistent and defensible decisions. This study fills this gap by developing a systematic pavement treatment selection framework and a spreadsheet based tool for local agencies. It is expected that the proposed framework will significantly help local agencies to improve their pavement asset management practices at the project level.

Application of DEA to Investigate Distinctive Regional Characteristics for Asia-Pacific Telco Management

  • Kustedjo, Ancilla Katherina;Han, Hyun-Soo
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.83-100
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we present the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) application case study to investigate the regionally distinctive telco management characteristics of the Asia-Pacific countries. This study attempts to exploit the implications of DEA for the assessments of core process capabilities of telcos. Accordingly, we extract input variables of CAPEX (capital expenditure), operating expense, marketing expense, and number of employees, each to reflect the competitiveness of the core processes such as fixed asset utilization, operation & sales efficiency, and white collar productivity. In conjunction with the input variables, the output variables are chosen as EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization), ARPU (Average Revenue per User), and number of subscribers. The computational testing results, conducted with total 37 telcos of the 12 Asia-Pacific countries, are analyzed in various ways to understand the distinctive performance characteristics across the region. The managerial implication captured from this study provides useful insight for using DEA as the international telco management purpose.

Preferences for Retirement Communities and Consumer Involvement (실버타운선호도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 - 관여도를 중심으로 -)

  • So Youn-Kyung;Hur Sun-Koo
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.23 no.6 s.78
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the impacts of consumers' demographic characteristics on their involvement in retired communities, under the assumption that consumers' involvement in retired communities would be a preceding factor of the consumers' preferences for retired communities. One of the major findings of this study was that there were statistically significant differences in the involvement in retired communities by several demographic variables such as age, gender, level of education, income, total family asset, consumer values, and pursuit of happiness. Second, such involvement was strongly correlated with consumer preferences. Third, the community management styles, such as sales and rental conditions, significantly influenced consumers' level of preference. The results from this study could provide useful information not only for understanding the residents of retired communities, buffer enhancing the welfare of residents of retired communities.

The Discretionary Consumption Expenditure of Korean Urban Housewives (도시주부의 선택성 개인 소비지출에 관한연구)

  • 백은영
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.183-196
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the discretionary consumption expenditure of Korean urban housewives and the factors contributing to the discretionary consumption expenditure. 535 housewives living in Seoul and Gyungki district were selected and frequencies percentile means standard deviation and multiple-regression analysis were utilized. The results of this study were as follows: First the monthly discretionary consumption expenditure of Korean urban housewives was 592,500won. Particularly the level of clothing expenditure for urban housewives of 135,700won was found to be the highest expenditure among other discretionary expenditures while the level of transportation expenditure of 68,100won was found to be the lowest expenditure. Second educational attainment employment status conspicuous tendency of consumption and contribution to household economic of urban housewives husband's job the number of children monthly income debt ownership and home ownership were ignificant variables on each category of discretionary consumption expenditure while age future economic expectation egion and total asset were not significant variables. Third employment status conspicuous tendency of consumption husband's job the number of children monthly income and debt ownership were related to discretionary consumption expenditure of Korean urban housewives.

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Changes in Household Saving Rate and the Influencing Factors (가계 저축율의 변화 추이와 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Seong-Lim
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.49 no.8
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2011
  • Using the 1987-2008 quarterly aggregated data of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey, this study investigated the factors influencing household saving rate. The independent variables in the AR regression model were the GDP growth rate, shares of the total household expenditure allocated to tax & social insurance, and education, the variables reflecting the conditions of the asset market including interest rate, stock market index, and real estate price index, and the variables representing the social economic conditions including the index of aging and income inequality. Among the independent variables interest rate, stock market index, and income inequality were found to be significantly associated with the household saving rate. These results suggested that the redistribution and financial market policies favorable to savers may be effective for raising the household saving rate.

Evaluating the Efficiency of Mobile Content Companies Using Data Envelopment Analysis and Principal Component Analysis

  • Cho, Eun-Jin;Park, Myeong-Cheol
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.443-453
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    • 2011
  • This paper evaluates the efficiency of mobile content firms through a hybrid approach combining data envelopment analysis (DEA) to analyze the relative efficiency and performance of firms and principal component analysis (PCA) to analyze data structures. We performed a DEA using the total amount of assets, operating costs, employees, and years in business as inputs, and revenue as output. We calculated fifteen combinations of DEA efficiency in the mobile content firms. We performed a PCA on the results of the fifteen DEA models, dividing the mobile content firms into those having either 'asset-oriented' or 'manpower and experience-oriented' efficiency. Discriminant analysis was used to validate the relationship between the efficiency models and mobile content types. This paper contributes toward the construction of a framework that combines the DEA and PCA approaches in mobile content firms for use in comprehensive measurements. Such a framework has the potential to present major factors of efficiency for sustainable management in mobile content firms and to aid in planning mobile content industry policies.